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View Diary: AR-Pres: Not this year (177 comments)

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  •  Except in places (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    askew, Joffan, Ephemera, GermanAmericanDem

    like WV, ND, and SD. Who knows, maybe even AZ!

    Some states haven't given up on Obama yet. I was hoping this was one of them.

    •  Well, I didn't want to (1+ / 0-)
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      come across as condescending, it's just that Arkansas, Louisiana, Alabama, Kentucky, Tennessee are unwinnable states in this environment (a rabid wingnut base energized by Palin concentrated in the Deep South). And that's not even a bad thing: We're about to degrade the Republican Party to a regional force for years to come.
      Just like the Democrats in the 1920s, basically.

      -2.12, -4.97 "Die Lüge wird zur Weltordnung gemacht." -Kafka

      by GermanAmericanDem on Sat Oct 25, 2008 at 02:46:16 PM PDT

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      •  except Arkansas (17+ / 0-)

        has had a reverse political trend than most of the south. Since 1996 Republicans have lost a U.S. House Seat, A U.S. Senate Seat, the Governorship, the Lieutenant Governorship, a seat in the State Senate, and seven seats in the State House. Party registration advantage is huge, a majority of voters self-identify as Democrats, and Republicans main strength comes from Northwest Arkansas. In 2004 Bush got 51% in the state's other three districts, and fixed that by getting 62% in Northwest Arkansas which votes more like Southwestern missouri and Kansas than Arkansas. But in any case a Democratic candidate has to connect to rural voters to win, and Obama has not done that here. Give him a few more years.

        Not to mention that unlike many other Southern states Arkansas has a huge bench of young, charismatic Democrats, Dustin McDaniel the nations youngest Attorney General, popular four term and former State Senator U.S. Rep. Mike Ross who's only 47 and already has a political career going back 18 years to the state legislature. There's Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter, only 48, and numerous others, including several young House candidates who won shocking upsets last time around.

        Seize Every day, giving no thought for tommorrow-Horace

        by ArkDem14 on Sat Oct 25, 2008 at 04:43:40 PM PDT

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    •  Me too, when the last poll was mid-Sep (0+ / 0-)

      but now we've had two polls that don't show a lot of procgress... sigh... this was one I colored blue when sketching the 400+ EVs for Obama.

      This is not a sig-line.

      by Joffan on Sat Oct 25, 2008 at 03:45:18 PM PDT

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