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View Diary: AR-Pres: Not this year (177 comments)

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  •  Not Sure About That..... (3+ / 0-)

    The six electoral votes of Arkansas strike me as much easier to grasp to than the 34 of Texas simply by making a few inroads in Texas suburbs.  Texas is a long-term project.  Arkansas is already nominally on our side.

    •  I don't know (0+ / 0-)

      I think we have better trends in TX than AR. Sure, AR is in a sense cheaper, but I can't see Obama winning AR in 2012 unless he is winning everywhere. I'm not 100% sure the same can be said of TX, if there is a great deal of investment there now. Sure, it won't be pivotal in 2012, but the road to the destruction of the Republican party lies in the Texas suburbs.

      •  huh?? (1+ / 0-)
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        Republicans have made no gains in the state in the past 12 years, in fact they have continued to lose ground while gaining it everywhere else. If Obama even does around 56% in 2012 he'd win Arkansas. Arkansas is much more Democratic than Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, Texas and Tennessee. Obama just hasn't really campaigned there at all, so what do you expect, no ads, rallies. A few would help, possibly bring him where he needs to be, in the 45-46 percent range.

        Seize Every day, giving no thought for tommorrow-Horace

        by ArkDem14 on Sat Oct 25, 2008 at 04:37:10 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  But why would AR be more democratic (0+ / 0-)

          now and in the future than it has been in the past? I think that case can be made for TX, but I don't see any such case for AR. Maybe I am wrong, and there is something about its demographics that make it a good place for Dem expansions. But I don't see what. Clinton winning it is not a long-term demographic trend.

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