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View Diary: AR-Pres: Not this year (177 comments)

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  •  blacks... (1+ / 0-)
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    plf515

    The black population is helping a lot in the deep south. I suspect they will become a southern populist party with support from whites in the deep south, parts of the mountain west and parts of Appalachia. Appalachia is an interesting wild card right now. Despite what we saw in the primaries, Obama seems to be gaining ground there. WV looks possibly winnable and KY is down under 10 points. I think Appalachian needed time to feel comfortable with Obama but over time they will come round. Evangelicals in the deep south and the very conservative western states seem to be the only demographic Obama can't make headway with!

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