OK

This is only a Preview!

You must Publish this diary to make this visible to the public,
or click 'Edit Diary' to make further changes first.

Posting a Diary Entry

Daily Kos welcomes blog articles from readers, known as diaries. The Intro section to a diary should be about three paragraphs long, and is required. The body section is optional, as is the poll, which can have 1 to 15 choices. Descriptive tags are also required to help others find your diary by subject; please don't use "cute" tags.

When you're ready, scroll down below the tags and click Save & Preview. You can edit your diary after it's published by clicking Edit Diary. Polls cannot be edited once they are published.

If this is your first time creating a Diary since the Ajax upgrade, before you enter any text below, please press Ctrl-F5 and then hold down the Shift Key and press your browser's Reload button to refresh its cache with the new script files.

ATTENTION: READ THE RULES.

  1. One diary daily maximum.
  2. Substantive diaries only. If you don't have at least three solid, original paragraphs, you should probably post a comment in an Open Thread.
  3. No repetitive diaries. Take a moment to ensure your topic hasn't been blogged (you can search for Stories and Diaries that already cover this topic), though fresh original analysis is always welcome.
  4. Use the "Body" textbox if your diary entry is longer than three paragraphs.
  5. Any images in your posts must be hosted by an approved image hosting service (one of: imageshack.us, photobucket.com, flickr.com, smugmug.com, allyoucanupload.com, picturetrail.com, mac.com, webshots.com, editgrid.com).
  6. Copying and pasting entire copyrighted works is prohibited. If you do quote something, keep it brief, always provide a link to the original source, and use the <blockquote> tags to clearly identify the quoted material. Violating this rule is grounds for immediate banning.
  7. Be civil. Do not "call out" other users by name in diary titles. Do not use profanity in diary titles. Don't write diaries whose main purpose is to deliberately inflame.
For the complete list of DailyKos diary guidelines, please click here.

Please begin with an informative title:

From here and here  we see that President Obama is up 51 to 46 in Ohio.
CNN and Marist have the President at 51% in Ohio as well. This was the high water mark for Willard. Now, PPP found that 19 % of Ohio's registered voters have already voted. Among them, the President won 76% to 24%. So, what must Willard do among the remaining voters in order to beat us there ?

below the squiggle : :-)

Intro

You must enter an Intro for your Diary Entry between 300 and 1150 characters long (that's approximately 50-175 words without any html or formatting markup).

So, we set up the proportion :

.19 * .52 = .81 * x

x = 12 %.

So, Willard must win the remaining votes by 12 %.
Not. going. to. happen.

And Willard has no credible, realistic path to 270 Electoral College votes without Ohio.

So, let's donate, call, and get our voters to the polls.

Gravis hoodwinked Nate. But the reality is that we are ahead in pretty much every swing state.

He will catch up to reality. by November 7.

7:25 PM PT: McLaughlin (polling for George Allen in Virginia) has Willard up 7. Nobody else has anything close to that number. And now Nate has Virginia as light pink and favors Willard to win it. No wonder Nate is confused. And his model is confused.

Laughable mistake by Nate.


Extended (Optional)

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.