OK

This is only a Preview!

You must Publish this diary to make this visible to the public,
or click 'Edit Diary' to make further changes first.

Posting a Diary Entry

Daily Kos welcomes blog articles from readers, known as diaries. The Intro section to a diary should be about three paragraphs long, and is required. The body section is optional, as is the poll, which can have 1 to 15 choices. Descriptive tags are also required to help others find your diary by subject; please don't use "cute" tags.

When you're ready, scroll down below the tags and click Save & Preview. You can edit your diary after it's published by clicking Edit Diary. Polls cannot be edited once they are published.

If this is your first time creating a Diary since the Ajax upgrade, before you enter any text below, please press Ctrl-F5 and then hold down the Shift Key and press your browser's Reload button to refresh its cache with the new script files.

ATTENTION: READ THE RULES.

  1. One diary daily maximum.
  2. Substantive diaries only. If you don't have at least three solid, original paragraphs, you should probably post a comment in an Open Thread.
  3. No repetitive diaries. Take a moment to ensure your topic hasn't been blogged (you can search for Stories and Diaries that already cover this topic), though fresh original analysis is always welcome.
  4. Use the "Body" textbox if your diary entry is longer than three paragraphs.
  5. Any images in your posts must be hosted by an approved image hosting service (one of: imageshack.us, photobucket.com, flickr.com, smugmug.com, allyoucanupload.com, picturetrail.com, mac.com, webshots.com, editgrid.com).
  6. Copying and pasting entire copyrighted works is prohibited. If you do quote something, keep it brief, always provide a link to the original source, and use the <blockquote> tags to clearly identify the quoted material. Violating this rule is grounds for immediate banning.
  7. Be civil. Do not "call out" other users by name in diary titles. Do not use profanity in diary titles. Don't write diaries whose main purpose is to deliberately inflame.
For the complete list of DailyKos diary guidelines, please click here.

Please begin with an informative title:

U.S. Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney addresses supporters at the InPro Corporation in Muskego, Wisconsin, March 31, 2012. REUTERS/Darren Hauck
47 percent, here it comes!
When we last checked in on Dave Wasserman's popular vote tally (based on county-by-county tabulations), Mitt Romney was at 47.58 percent of the vote. His total has been steadily decreasing as the vote continues to be reported in heavily Democratic states like California, and as heavily Democratic provisional ballots get tallied everywhere.

As we noted yesterday, President Barack Obama already has a higher popular vote margin than George W. Bush had in 2004. While Bush's margin over John Kerry was a sliver over 3 million, the margin in 2012 now exceeds 4 million votes.

Obama has also officially exceeded Bush's margin of the vote—50.73 in 2004, versus 50.75 oercent today.

More excitingly, this:

Prince George's, MD: 25,122 new votes for Obama, 3,354 Romney. Obama crosses 64M votes, Romney down to 47.56%: https://t.co/...
@Redistrict via web

If Romney hits 47.49 percent, his totals will round down to 47 percent. It doesn't matter of course, but it would be delicious irony to see him finish the election at that very famous 47 percent mark. And in a year full of fun outcomes (like Allen West conceding today), why not squeeze one more?

So thanks, Maryland, for getting us that much closer. With huge chunks of California and New York still outstanding, it would be surprising if the final rounded results aren't 51-47. (Note, only 10 states have completely finished their counts.)

The actual margin, 3.19 points, also means that my predictions are even better than previously determined. I predicted a 3.5-point margin in the popular vote, and we continue to inch up ever closer to that.

Update: Sheesh, how does Jennifer Rubin keep her job? Just posted a couple of hours ago:

As of last Friday, Romney’s popular vote total was 59,142,004, about 800,000 short of McCain’s total. By contrast, President Obama’s has reached 62,615,406. That is about 7 million fewer than he got in 2008.
How does someone who pretends to write about elections not know that there are election journalists tracking this data in real time? And yes, I'm talking about the spreadsheet I've been linking to, maintained by Dave Wasserman. If she wasn't so clueless about anything not coming directly from PR flacks, she would know that Romney now has about 32,000 more votes than McCain got, and that Obama is about 5.5 million short of his 2008 totals.

Seriously, keeping up with facts and reality isn't hard. I'm not sure why conservative pundits have such a difficult time with it.

1:26 PM PT: Ahh, the joys of redistricting:

House Dems' popular vote margin over House GOP (while winning just 201/435 seats) just hit 500,000 votes: https://t.co/...

@Redistrict via web

If you're not in a state with non-partisan redistricting, there's something for you to start working for.


Intro

You must enter an Intro for your Diary Entry between 300 and 1150 characters long (that's approximately 50-175 words without any html or formatting markup).

Extended (Optional)

Originally posted to kos on Tue Nov 20, 2012 at 11:27 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.