Fresh polls on these two senate races don't look that good. The trend seems to have shifted. This is not what our Democratic candidates need at this time momentum-wise:
From
Political Wire:
In New Jersey's U.S. Senate race, Tom Kean Jr. (R) once again leads Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ), according to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll. Kean gets 44% of the vote while Menendez is at 39%. In the last two polls, Menendez held a six-point lead.
"To reflect the reversal, we are now revising our assessment of the contest from 'Leans Democrat' to 'Toss-Up' in our Senate Balance of Power ratings. Menendez thus becomes the only Senate Democrat not favored to win re-election."
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In Missouri's U.S. Senate race, Sen. Jim Talent's "deluge of ad spending apparently has paid off" as he's now in a statistical dead heat with Claire McCaskill (D), according to a new Research 2000 poll.
McCaskill edges Talent, 47% to 46%.
McCaskill has been outspent 10:1 by Jim Talent. She's getting hammered on the air. The DSCC, always the late-comer, has finally decided to step in with some help for Claire to stem the loss in momentum.
Frankly, I don't know what is going on in New Jersey. Anyone from New Jersey want to chime in? Are Bob Menendez's ads effective or is he even running ads at all?
Here's the thing - The DSCC has pledged to lend financial support to Jim Webb in Virginia and Jon Tester in Montana but I'm afraid like they usually do, they DSCC will come in late. May be too late. Campaigns are won early and not by a last minute deluge of ads. The Missouri race is already making the DSCC strategy of late arrival seem all the more incompetent.
Democrats have to keep all their current senate seats and have to win six Republican seats to take control of the senate.
Leaning Dem seats - Ohio, Pennsylvania
Toss up - Rhode Island, Montana
Leaning Repub - Missouri, Tennessee, Virginia
Hard-leaning Repub - Arizona, Nevada
There is no room for error. We must win SIX Republican seats.