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If we always knew the enemy's intentions beforehand, we should always, even with inferior forces, be superior to him.
Frederick the Great

I am sure that I'm not the first one to speculate in this direction but I'm going to offer the Bush game plan just the same.  Part of my prediction is based on that idiotic nonsense he drivelled yesterday about how the Democrats chased poor "good and honorable" Alberto Gonzales out of the DOJ.  It's a setup and there's only one place he's going with this.

Predictions below the fold.

You can bet your sweet @$$ that Rove had a hand in constructing this AG chicanery.  I have always believed that Rove's best weapons weren't his lack of scruples and unwillingness to play by accepted standards of political conduct.  Those were only Karl's operating procedures.  No, Karl's best weapon has always been in timing.  Karl is like the season in that song from the movie Summer of 42: He "tells the moon to wait and the sun to linger.  Wraps the world round his [middle] finger."  His staff must know every regulation on the books as far as timing goes.  Everything from the 2000 presidential recount, to the IWR, to showing the OBL tape the weekend before the 2004 election, to releasing General Honore to rescue NOLA, to getting out of the Plame GJ testimony faux pas, to the Patriot Act USAG insertion, to the recent FISA debacle: all of it has been carefully calibrated to the greatest effect. For the GOP timing is everything in getting what they want and holding the door on the authorities while they stash as much loot as they can get their hands on.  Karl's still going to be pulling strings in the next election and he is no doubt behind the malicious mischief with the CA electoral votes, timed for maximum effect and waste of resources.

So, if the Dems haven't figured it out yet, here's the lowdown.  If you want to defeat the Rovians, you have to screw up their timing.  They expect you to play by the rules and let a certain amount of time pass.  The Rovians will always have a strategy that takes advantage of that interval.  You wanna shut them down?  Don't give them any more time outs.  Spring things on them.  Be unpredictable.  We should have had no-confidence vote after no-confidence vote.  We should have hammered away on the Iraq War spending bills and sent the same one back over and over again.  Send the subpoenas right away, one after another.  Hammer the White House.  Demand loudly, "Who the F%^*$ are your system administrators and where are the missing emails?  I want them now!"  But nooooo, we were predictable.  We were honorable.  We weren't pushy.  (Thanks Broder)  We have already lost our opportunity to get a decent AG.

Here's why:

1.) Bush has no intention of nominating anyone for AG.  Clement will fill in as acting AG for the remainder of the term.  Chertoff is a non-starter because that will dredge up the whole Katrina debacle and the GOP doesn't want that going into an election year because the hearings will turn into, "So, what was the deal you guys wanted with Kathleen Blanco before you sent in the National Guard and the real assistance?  Why did it take reporters begging for help and pictures of dead old women in wheelchairs and bodies floating in the Mississippi before you did anything? Does human suffering mean nothing to you?  Didn't you have an obligation to resign before your agency was used for political purposes?  Isn't that why we just got rid of AGAG?" That might not look so good.  Better leave sleeping dogs lie for as long as possible.  

3.) Democrats will cry foul and say the acting AG appointment is a de facto recess appointment and that Bush broke his promise.  Bush will say not so.  (technically, this is correct, is it not?) Bush will say, "I'm just looking for the right man who won't have to go through the scathing star chamber that is the US Senate. Democrats aren't interested in justice.  They are only interested in partisan witchhunts. All these good, honorable men will have their reputations viciously attacked for political reasons.  Meanwhile, the work that the Justice Department is supposed to do to keep our nation safe, won't get done." Clement will serve for 210 days, then Bush will nominate someone and the 210 clock will be reset.  That's 420 days total.  How many days does Bush have left in his term?  Gee, now I wonder why he's not leaving until Sept 19... (I think the acting appointment term of service was mentioned somewhere else as well.  If you have the link, lemme know.)

3.) Bush will eventually nominate someone but by the time he is confirmed, the presidential term will be up and Bush will say, "I think you were done." and he and his droogs in crime will leave and the Democrats will have the unenviable job of having to clean up and expose the crooks at the same time. Americans will have Bush fatigue and will want to move on, something they should definitely NOT do.  But we know the media will start up the Wurlitzer for healing.  

And Patrick Leahy will be like the dismembered Black Knight, left in the middle of a dusty road, screaming. "Come back here.  I'll bite your leg, I will", while his adversary rides off into the sunset.

Bush's speech yesterday was the classic "Accuse Your Opponent Of The Crimes You Have Committed".  If only the Democrats had some at-the-ready crack communication team craft a message that says, "Yeah, well, no one plays politics better than this WH.  Let's take the Clinton years, the Iraq War vote, Max Cleeland, swiftboating John Kerry, stiffing New Orleans during the flood of the Century, replacing our US Attorneys with Rovian sock puppets, keeping black votes from being counted, etc, etc.  And all we've heard from this human signature machine for the past 6.5 years is Blah-Blah-Blah-Freedom.  Yadda-yadda-yadda-terror. Does George think we're still stupid?" But we do not hear any truly scathing, mocking indignation from the Democrats.  It is all very tempered.  
sigh

Ok, now it's your turn.  How will the USAG situtation turn out?  

Originally posted to goldberry on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 07:59 AM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (16+ / 0-)

    Mo Moj(it)os, please

    -3.63, -4.46 "Choose something like a star to stay your mind on- and be staid"

    by goldberry on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 07:56:58 AM PDT

  •  Clement will be nominated (6+ / 0-)

    and he'll sail through with token faux opposition.  The Democrats will declare victory. The investigation will continue without results. The Republicans will win the Presidency in ’08, and the Democrats will keep congress with improved margins.

    •  That's harsh (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      peace voter, protectedmode

      You may be right but I hope to God we're not THAT feckless.  

      -3.63, -4.46 "Choose something like a star to stay your mind on- and be staid"

      by goldberry on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 08:10:39 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I wish I wasn’t so sure (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Simplify, Leo in NJ

        Recently, I caught part of an interview with an author in NPR. I don’t know who it was or the name of his book, but in the part I heard the guy argued that political change cannot occur without voter demand. Absolutely right.

        As of now demand for real is increasing, but it is no where close to what it will take to made government accountable. Maybe another four years, but eventually, people will just get so sick of what has happened that they pay enough attention to elect candidates who will change things.

    •  Utter nonsense. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      BentLiberal

      Clement will not be nominated.

      Republicans will not win the presidency in '08.

      Democrats WILL keep Congress with improved margins.

      It won't fucking matter, anyway, because neither the Dems nor the Republicans want to address the substantive issues facing us in the future.

      Once the Dems take over the White House, our biggest problem will be the Democrats continuing abuse of our constitutional rights . . . because power corrupts.

      "we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex" Dwight D. Eisenhower

      by bobdevo on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 09:36:51 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Maybe Clement won’t be nominated, (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        bobdevo

        it could be the administration will keep Clement in the job and gum it to death.

        You think a real AG will be nominated?

        •  I don't see how they can. (0+ / 0-)

          Whoever the nominee would be will have to swear to enforce the law - under oath - unless Harry Reid's brain has truly turned to jello.

          I mean - can you imagine the questions you could ask -

          Senator Leahy:  Mr. Nominee, Title 50, US Code, Chapter 36, Subchapter 1, Section 1800 says that any warrantless wiretapping of US citizens is a felony punishable by 5 years in prison and a $10,000.00 fine.  President Bush has admitted ordering warrantless wiretaps against US citizens.  Do you plan to prosecute the President, and, if so, when??

          Nominee:  uh . . .  well . . .

          "we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex" Dwight D. Eisenhower

          by bobdevo on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 01:25:02 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •   Does George think we're still stupid?" (10+ / 0-)

    Only the dems in Congress who just haven't gotten it yet.
    Impeach this asshole and get all the answers, for justices sake

    •  I like it (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MarketTrustee

      As long as he's still in office, why not impeach the bastard?  That would be unpredictable.  The media and the Bushies will say, "Why now! He's leaving." and the Dems could say, "because otherwise, we may never have a decent investigation of the whole scandal."

      Why not?  What can you lose?  The media LOVES conflict and this will generate friction, no dount about it.  Poor Dana Perino might be so flustered she'll miss her root touch up appointment.  

      -3.63, -4.46 "Choose something like a star to stay your mind on- and be staid"

      by goldberry on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 08:14:43 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  He can be impeached after he leaves (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        nupstateny, inHI

        If he were convicted, he would never be allowed to work in the federal government again. The trial would give the Senate powers to investigate they don’t have now. It’s a winner, but it won’t happen.

        It’s all over but the shouting. Until next fall, there will be many speeches, but no accountability. The fact is the Democrats don’t want scrutiny when it’s their turn, so they dance.

        •  You lost me at the last sentence (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Leo in NJ

          I'm not sure that "a pox on both your houses" is appropriate yet.  After all, if the amount of corruption was equal on both sides, we would have seen it by now and the GOP would be perp walking Dems every chance they could.  So far, the indiscretions have been fairly tame.  (except for Jefferson)

          I see no evidence that any Dem candidates have any intention of usurping powers like Bush has.  

          -3.63, -4.46 "Choose something like a star to stay your mind on- and be staid"

          by goldberry on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 08:28:57 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  They’d reign it in if it (0+ / 0-)

            were a problem to them. Trust me, there isn’t a person on the planet who wishes the Democrats would fight back more than me, but my lying eyes tell me to watch what they do and ignore their words.

            Clement will win confirmation without the support of the Democratic Presidential nominees or the truth about his role as manager of the stonewall will be ignored.

            It happens every time. I’d rather be realistic then allowed myself the inevitable disappointment again.  

            •  I hear ya' (0+ / 0-)

              I just prefer to not be cynical.  If I let myself believe the worst about everyone, I'd be so frightened I'd have to join a fundamentalist religion for relief.  

              Watch what they do for sure.  I think they have some strategy for letting all the #$%%pile up until the middle of next year and then release it on the GOP.  That MIGHT work but you can bet that Rove is already one step ahead and has figured out a way to turn this into an advantage.  

              The problem isn't that we are as bad as they are.  The problem is we don't know how to be assertive.  Truly.  There is a problem with wanting to be loved.  Republicans never worry about being loved.  They've learned that they can get what they want by being feared.  

              -3.63, -4.46 "Choose something like a star to stay your mind on- and be staid"

              by goldberry on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 08:42:00 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  If they want real love, (0+ / 0-)

                they’ll protect us. I’ve been politically active since before I could vote, but they’ve defeated me. I feel like Bambi in Bambi v. Godzilla.

                Every time I assume the worst, I’m right. Yes, the rhetoric comes, the explanations, but I can’t listen to it anymore, it makes me crazy.

                Worst of all, I’m barely angry anymore, just resigned. I hope, really and truly, that when this AG situation plays out you call me on the pessimism of my predictions today. I want to be happy about an outcome again. It’s been so long that I don’t even remember what it feels like.

            •  You don't "reign" anything in. (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Leo in NJ

              You "rein" it in.

              "we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex" Dwight D. Eisenhower

              by bobdevo on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 09:37:46 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

  •  Tipped for the Dem guerilla tactic suggestions. (4+ / 0-)

    Fight all the battles all the time.  Don't give your opponent breathing space.

    Of course, this presumes we intend to fight any battles.

    Nanotech can take CO2 and make diamonds & fresh air. Sheep are the new PIE LouLost.com

    by Crashing Vor on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 08:14:47 AM PDT

  •  to answer your question (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    goldberry, Hens Teeth

    "So, what was the deal you guys wanted with Kathleen Blanco before you sent in the National Guard and the real assistance?"

    i wrote about my personal theories here.  enjoy

    "Government, like dress, is the badge of lost innocence; the palaces of kings are built upon the ruins of the bowers of paradise." Thomas Paine, Common Sense

    by Cedwyn on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 08:18:13 AM PDT

    •  Yep, I thnk that's part of it (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Cedwyn, chigh

      I think it was a two pronged approach. 1.) To set precedent for federalizing the National Guard and 2.)As someone recently pointed out, to turn Louisiana red.  Karl used the federalizing thing on Blanco to put pressure on her.  Either way, she would have looked like a total failure.  If she gave into the pressure, it would have made her look incompetant in terms of handling an emergency in her state.  If she didn't give in, they just let NOLA continue to swing on the gibbet, the city gets ruined, the population of reliable Dem voters gets dispersed and she'll never run for another office for as long as she lives.  AND Mary Landrieu has a sword hanging over her head: vote wrong and there goes the money. The rednecks win.  Louisiana's electoral votes go into the R column in 2008.  
      Rove knew just how long to wait before he got that image of Honore riding to the rescue at the head of a NG batallion.  

      -3.63, -4.46 "Choose something like a star to stay your mind on- and be staid"

      by goldberry on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 08:25:01 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Wow...that fits my visceral reaction at the time (0+ / 0-)

    I just kept seeing these images of suffering and asking my fellow employees (in a decidedly red Oregon county)"Where is my 'Cigar-chomping, kick-ass general to move through this debacle'?"

    Ohh...he is waiting for the perfect time to ride in as commanded by Rove.

    How clear, low and appropriate for the Rovians. Pain and suffering for everyone but us and blame it on the opposition. Ugh....

    Beware the Will o'the Wisp.A lantern that leads to the edge of the chasm is not a true light...

    by portorcliff on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 08:58:46 AM PDT

  •  the Lieberman rumor (0+ / 0-)

    I just heard on Thom Hartmann the notion of Liberman being nominated for AG and (since he's a senator) sailing through to confirmation.  Then Jodi Rell (R) replaces him with a Publican, and we lose the senate with Darth Cheney's tiebreaking vote (unless the rules set up when this congress started don't allow for that, which is what I thought was the case).  All investigations in the senate stop cold, and confirmations become much much easier for the last 16 months of BushCo.

    If impeachment is off the table, so is democracy -- Teacher Ken, Kossack extraordinnaire

    by billlaurelMD on Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 09:29:01 AM PDT

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