There was some worry that the freshmen class of Democrats who won an impressive number of victories in 2006 against Republican incumbents could be top targets this year. In fact, these Democrats were considered the most vulnerable of all the Democrats(which doesn't say much in this Year of Judgment for the Republican Party). One district where Democrats should start feeling even more confident about keeping is Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District.
In 2006, John Yarmuth snatched the district from the hands of former Representative Anne Northup. Northrup, a five-term Republican incumbent, lost her district by 3 points. Just 3 points. 51%-48%. Today, according to SurveyUSA, Anne Northup's position has hardly improved. John Yarmuth's standing in their hot-off-the-burner report has increased 6 points to 57%, while Anne Northup's support has withered down to 40%. That's an 8 point drop for Northup, and a pretty good indicator that she really is the underdog in that race.
It's a race that some, including SurveyUSA, consider to be a barometer for other House races. They conclude that self-identified Republicans make up 33% of the sample, which is the same percentage they found in their final round of polling in 2006. However, while Democrats were previously represented by a whopping 54% of the population, they are now represented by 60%.
Scratch one Democratic incumbent off of the "vulnerable" list.