In the North Carolina's Senate race (polling history), Kay Hagan has now taken the lead for the first time since an early May Rasmussen poll. She is ahead 42% to 39% in PPP's latest poll, with 5% for Libertarian Chris Cole. Dole led 49% to 40% and 4% last month, suggesting that her votes have now gone in the undecided column.
In the presidential match-up (polling history), it's 45% McCain and 42% Obama - the same margin as a month ago as NC continues to be a pick-up opportunity for Dems.
Check out all the day's polls (and there are a lot, including two from Florida) at Campaign Diaries.
The poll contains an internal to suggest that the Senate numbers are not just an outlier: More than 60% of voters say they have seen the DSCC's ads against Dole, and Hagan leads by 6% among that group alone, suggesting that Democratic attacks against the incumbent Republican are proving remarkably effective. It is rare to have such clear polling indication as to the success of an ad campaign. (Note that this race has been surprisingly variable based on ads, as Dole jumped up to a lead in late May after an ad blitz.) Now Hagan still has to capture the voters that have left Dole, as it is the Republican that fell (-10) rather than the Democrat who rose.