I just checked out Tradesports, where one can bet on political outcomes. Obama maintains his odds over McCain, which have been roughly 60-40 for months.
More interesting is the "market" for McCain's vice presidential pick. Romney had been the favorite for awhile, but today the numbers have shifted like crazy. Romney has gone down by 32 points, and other candidates have gone down as well, all to the benefit of one candidate.
Looks like somebody knows something, and wants to make money off it.
Tim Pawlenty now has 80% odds of being selected as McCain's running mate, up more than 55 points today
So it may be McCain-Pawlenty.
All I have to say is: Mcain-Pawlenty? No thanks, 8 years of Bush was more than p--lenty for me.