The results are in.
Even Zogby cant spin this one for mccain as only Indiana and WV remain in his column, and the rest go to Obama.
There are very healthy leads for Obama in
Virginia, and even, Ohio, and Nevada.
The storyline of this election, probably for Republicans:
Will West Virginia be their Firewall against a 400 Electoral vote victory for Obama?
heres the results:
http://www.zogby.com/...
UPDATE: ZOGBY REGULAR<NOT INTERACTIVE.</p>
Also, website is overwhelmed, as soon as I can get back in, ill post numbers.
Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/...
ABC: http://www.washingtonpost.com/...
Barack Obama leads John McCain in five of eight crucial battleground states one week before the presidential election, with McCain ahead in two states and Florida dead even, according to a series of Reuters/Zogby polls released on Monday.
Here are the states where Obama leads, with each state's Electoral votes shown:
Virginia
13
Obama
52.0
McCain
44.8
Other/Not Sure
3.2
Obama has a lead exceeding 20 points in the Washington, D.C. area, and a double-digit lead in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. That more than overtakes McCain's lead in the rest of the state. Obama also holds an 18-point lead among Independents and does slightly better among Democrats than McCain does with Republicans. McCain leads by 21 points among white voters and by 11 among those over age 65. Obama gets 94% of African-Americans, who comprise 22% of the sample.
Ohio
20
Obama
49.7
McCain
45.1
Other/Not Sure
5.3
A 16-point lead among Independents fuels Obama's lead in this critical state. He also has a small edge with both men and women, and is ahead among every age group. McCain leads by seven with white voters, but every African-American respondent is voting for Obama.
Nevada
5
Obama
48.2
McCain
44.0
Other/Not Sure
7.8
Obama is within two points of McCain among several groups that are McCain strengths in many states, such as whites, men and those over 65. Obama leads by 10 among women, 14 with Independents and eight with Catholics. McCain is ahead by 10-11 points with whites and those over 65, but Obama is up 12 with Independents.
Missouri
11
Obama
48.2
Obama
45.7
Other/Not Sure
6.2
Obama's 20-point leads in the St. Louis and Kansas City areas are balanced by similar McCain margins in the rest of the state. McCain leads with whites by 11 and those over 65 by 10. Obama counters with a 12-point advantage with Independents and by three with Catholics.
North Carolina
15
Obama
49.7
McCain
46.4
Other/Not Sure
3.9
McCain builds big margins in the western parts of the state, and Obama counters with the same in the east and the Raleigh-Durham area. Obama's lead comes from Independents who favor him by by 21 and his gender advantage (plus seven with women and even with men.) McCain is up by 27 with whites, so African-American turnout may decide who squeaks by in North Carolina.
Florida
27
Obama
47.2
McCain
46.9
Other/Not Sure
5.9
McCain is winning 16% of Democrats compared to Obama's 10% with Republicans. That is enough to offset Obama's 64%-25% lead with Independents. McCain's favorable showing with Democrats is reflected in his 55%-38% lead among those over 65. Whites choose McCain by 17, while Hispanics favor Obama by 16. Maximizing African-American turnout will be the key to a possible Obama win.
Here are the states where McCain leads,with each state's Electoral votes shown:
Indiana
11
McCain
50.2
Obama
44.0
Other/Not Sure
5.8
Independents favor McCain by 15. Their votes coupled with those of Indiana's Republican majority give McCain a six-point margin. McCain also leads with women and is within a four points of Obama with 18-29-year-olds.
West Virginia
5
McCain
50.3
Obama
40.4
Other/Not Sure
9.3
McCain is winning a very healthy 28% of Democrats and is up 16 points with Independents. He also is ahead in every age group.