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This is Part Two of my tour through the Potentially Competitive Senate Races in 2010.  Part One: Ohio Senate 2010 can be found here.  Today I am focusing on the Kentucky Senate Race.  Fresh off of a 53-47% win, Senator Mitch McConnell is heading back to the Senate.  His Junior Partner Jim Bunning may not be so lucky....

The Potential Candidates:

Dan Mongiardo: The Current Lt. Governor was the nominee back in 2004.  He outperformed Kerry and almost won this seat.  Mongiardo would be a strong candidate should he be convinced to run.

Crit Luallen: The State Auditor, she was encouraged to run against McConnell (if only) this year.  She may be able to energize the female vote in the way Hillary Clinton did in the primary.

Jack Conway: Lost a close(52-48%) race to Ann Northup back in 2002.  Now the Attorney General.

Todd Hollenbach: The State Treasurer has seemed to have evanded much notice for this race. He would, however bring credibility to the Democratic side.  According to his website he seems to be a strong supporter of education as a tool for advancement.  At first glance I really like him as a potential candidate.

Bruce Lunsford: Fourth Time's the charm?

John Yarmuth: I really like Yarmuth, but I don't know how he will play outside of Louisville.  Then again, do any of these Dems? (maybe Chandler or Mongiardo)

Ben Chandler:  Would be a great pick.  Might lose his House Seat.  Also, he may not want to give up his seat on Appropriations.

Greg Stumbo: Former Attorney General who gained credibility with his invesitgations of Ernie Fletcher.

Remember, this is our last cycle on offense.

Originally posted to liberal intellectual on Tue Nov 11, 2008 at 07:49 AM PST.

Poll

Who should be the Democratic Nominee for US Senate in Kentucky in 2010?

29%33 votes
20%23 votes
5%6 votes
1%2 votes
5%6 votes
7%9 votes
25%29 votes
1%2 votes
2%3 votes

| 113 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Crit Luallen (2+ / 0-)

    A fellow Centre College graduate. Go for it, Crit!

  •  I love this project, but, two things: (2+ / 0-)
    1.  Clean up the tags: KY-SEN is proper, and add in all the first names.  
    1.  Are we sure Bunning's running again?  How infirm does he seem?
  •  Not our last cycle on offense ever, I hope, (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    FightingRegistrar

    but it sure is true that we'll be playing some serious Senatorial defense in 2012.  Per Wiki, 22 Dem seats, plus Sanders and Lieberman up for grabs.  Only 9 Rep seats in play.  Really need to pad Dem majority in 2010.  

  •  Incumbent party typically loses seats in midterms (0+ / 0-)

    BUT...there are exceptions (Dems in 1934 and 1998, GOP in 2002).

    About Kentucky, I will say that it has hosted plenty of close Senate races, and all the recent ones (1984, 1998, 2004, 2008) have broken Republican in the end.

    To the broader picture: the GOP will defend 19 seats to the Dems' 16 (including the Biden special in Delaware). Of the Dems' 16 seats, only two are in states won by McCain (Arkansas and North Dakota), while six of the GOP's 19 (Florida, Ohio, Iowa, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire) are in Obama states. That itself means nothing, but it is a nice sign.

    Open seats will be the real question. We know Brownback (R) is out in Kansas, and Mikulski (D) may well retire in Maryland. If Inouye (D) retires in Hawaii, Gov. Lingle may pose a threat, amazingly since this is now the bluest state in the Union...Obama could probably save it as an open seat for the Dems, if his approval ratings remain high at home. Reid's approvals have dipped in Nevada but that state is turning blue and the GOP bench is weakening. Overall, we don't have a lot of weak seats, while the GOP has several obvious possibilities (Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, possible open seat in Iowa).

    The Republican Party is neither pro-republic nor pro-party. Discuss!

    by Nathaniel Ament Stone on Tue Nov 11, 2008 at 08:48:21 AM PST

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