Skip to main content

Or, you could call this "What will a 50-state strategy buy?"

Utah, Idaho, Wyoming, Alaska and Nebraska.  That's it.  And even Nebraska gave one of its electoral votes to Barack Obama.

According to the Gallup poll out today, only these 5 states have a statistically significant majority who self-identify as Republicans.  Stunning, just stunning.  As a former Republican myself, I could certainly see this coming as every rational, intelligent and moral person was pretty much driven screaming from the party.

Ten more states are toss-ups.  So much for the permanent Republican majority, I guess!

The map pretty well says it all:

Photobucket

All told, 29 states and the District of Columbia had Democratic party affiliation advantages of 10 points or greater last year. This includes all of the states in the Northeast, and all but Indiana in the Great Lakes region. There are even several Southern states in this grouping, including Arkansas, North Carolina, and Kentucky.

What does that leave our Republican friends?

In contrast, only five states had solid or leaning Republican orientations in 2008, with Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, and Alaska in the former group, and Nebraska in the latter.

The most balanced political states in 2008 were Texas (+2 Democratic), South Dakota (+1), Mississippi (+1), North Dakota (+1), South Carolina (even), Arizona (even), Alabama (+1 Republican), and Kansas (+2 Republican).

Here's what Gallup, the most respected (or recognized, at least) pollster in the country has to say about the results:

The political landscape of the United States has clearly shifted in the Democratic direction, and in most states, a greater proportion of state residents identified as Democrats or said they leaned to the Democratic Party in 2008 than identified as Republicans or leaned Republican.

As recently as 2002, a majority of states were Republican in orientation. By 2005, movement in the Democratic direction was becoming apparent, and this continued in 2006. That dramatic turnaround is clearly an outgrowth of Americans' dissatisfaction with the way the Republicans (in particular, President George W. Bush) governed the country.

Sorry for the dearth of commentary, but the picture is worth a million words.  Simply stunning!

Center-right country?  Yeah, right!

And the required notices per Gallup policy:

Copyright © 2008 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved. In addition, the date of the survey, margin of error, and sample size shall be reported.

Results are based on telephone interviews with 355,334 national adults, aged 18 and older, conducted in 2008 as part of Gallup Poll Daily tracking. For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±1 percentage point.

The margin of sampling error for most states is ±1 percentage point, but is as high as ±4 percentage points for the District of Columbia, Wyoming, and North Dakota.

Update:  See Droogie's take on the topic and vote for the reddest state!

Update 2: Nate at fivethirtyeight.com says the five states represent 2% of America's population.  There's your .02 cents worth!

Originally posted to Red no more on Wed Jan 28, 2009 at 11:39 AM PST.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Ed in Montana, Angie in WA State, buffalo soldier, Joe Bob, BrooklynBoy, tmo, VJMeagher, Sean Robertson, Chi, Peace JD, Rayne, raatz, SarahLee, Trendar, Better Days, glitterscale, 2pt5cats, Bob Love, scrape, greenbird, bosdcla14, Emerson, karlpk, dengre, Shockwave, wu ming, donna in evanston, Andrew C White, Stein, eeff, Mnemosyne, marjo, sobermom, lilorphant, MarkInSanFran, freespeech, Ruth in OR, silence, kissfan, Dumbo, eyeswideopen, Worship Your Toaster, opinionated, Justina, bronte17, JSCram3254, Slacker Gal, missLotus, powerplay40, cskendrick, wonkydonkey, sfgb, PBnJ, roses, peraspera, sgilman, skertso, kanuk, nargel, whenallthestarsarefallingdown, Miss Blue, Torta, exconservative, BruinKid, ornerydad, oceanview, Spindizzy, chrisfreel, librarianman, Zain, navajo, lirtydies, OldYellerDog, PresentMoment, byebyeblinkie, SneakySnu, TexDem, SlowToAnger, oldjohnbrown, xoRfl, grannyhelen, Nina, bloomster, wdrath, NYFM, defluxion10, TX Scotia, joliberal, betson08, Greg in TN, papercut, kiss my left behind, sarakandel, Liberaljentaps, Anna Luc, alizard, Democratic Hawk, bwintx, djtyg, smartgo, WisVoter, Lefty Mama, tomjones, CanYouBeAngryAndStillDream, xyz, TexasLefty, rickeagle, ganymeade, pat208, thereisnospoon, wolverinethad, charlesaugust, sawgrass727, Gowrie Gal, WCFoster, davidkc, luvmovies2000, ExStr8, bloomer 101, Tarindel, radarlady, 3goldens, Tinfoil Hat, m16eib, revbludge, skidrow, Pym, stlawrence, arnott, InsideScoop, jhutson, ZappoDave, ajsuited, Valtin, TN yellow dog, boofdah, majcmb1, Pam from Calif, DeeDee001, Old Hippie, rlochow, bluemanredtex, blue jersey mom, lasky57, wiscmass, serrano, Cory Bantic, jj24, Spathiphyllum, empathy, Arsenic, jct, Land of Enchantment, Sister Havana, simplicio, noweasels, begone, lgmcp, skywriter, Mother Mags, martini, third Party please, SoniaS, gwilson, suz in seattle, Icy, Do Tell, cas2, Sam the Wolfdog, 417els, ferallike, rmwarnick, BlueInARedState, emeraldmaiden, Themistoclea, andydoubtless, Left Coast Lib, Kimball Cross, HoundDog, Samwoman, The Wizard, Lefty Coaster, goodasgold, tecampbell, global citizen, Tanya, gatorcog, njheathen, plf515, armadillo, CTLiberal, el cid, Dinclusin, RussTC3, doinaheckuvanutjob, middleagedhousewife, Pilgrim X, CA Nana, Clive all hat no horse Rodeo, means are the ends, RantNRaven, kurt, Blicero, duha, Hedwig, Temmoku, AllanTBG, markthshark, Nulwee, Aaa T Tudeattack, DBunn, Abraham Running For Congress When I Turn 25, bear83, YoyogiBear, out of left field, Randall Sherman, ibonewits, asilomar, Fredly, Haningchadus14, Loudoun County Dem, dogdad, oscarsmom, dmh44, moodyinsavannah, LV Pol Girl, WeBetterWinThisTime, gloriana, EdSF, moosely2006, Allogenes, HeartlandLiberal, noofsh, Jimdotz, Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle, deepeco, mystic, Strabo, Kyle the Mainer, kingyouth, mauro7inf, Junglered1, RokkiBlueboa, Moderation, Bridge Master, Wreck Smurfy, kailuacaton, TDDVandy, JML9999, TomP, Empower Ink, chicago minx, gizmo59, Send Rahm a Cheesecake, trivium, 123man, MKinTN, MissyH, fayeforcure, alkalinesky, rogerdaddy, Spruce, revm3up, mconvente, Clio2, left turn, Hippokleides, oolali, Boisepoet, ScottyUrb, shanay, Aureas2, bythesea, Wes Opinion, Sharon Wraight, Archangel, beltane, Greasy Grant, adamfromsd, kjboy27, Lujane, mayim, Haplogroup V, smartdemmg, geomoo, pademocrat, bluesheep, Missys Brother, Jeff Y, rubine, Punditcrat, mofembot, noddem, Gemina13, mommaK, bakenjuddy, Abra Crabcakeya, a night owl, xysea, DixieDishrag, BYw, BlueGenes, dont think, magicsister, Ellinorianne, rhutcheson, watercarrier4diogenes, greenpunx, maggiejean, hpg, Bule Betawi, multilee, McGahee220, Texanomaly, rsmpdx, Are We There Yet, Discipline28, booboo08, Stranded Wind, Tuscany, Partisan Progressive, Tara the Antisocial Social Worker, velvet blasphemy, StuHunter, AmericanAlien, SciVo, mrchumchum, fastpathguru, Daily Activist, langstonhughesfan, Mercuriousss, Virginian in Spain, followyourbliss, Texas Revolutionary, elziax, Framlingham, mksutherland, badger1968, kw7777777, obscuresportsquarterly, hyper, kevinpdx, deutschluz, Keith Pickering, Joeytj, IreGyre, Ibis Exilis, elropsych, ArthurPoet, GWinkler, FundaMental Transformation, azadmanish, joehoevah, susan in sc, Larsstephens, lompe, Just Bob, Lazar, Fairy Tale, Its the Supreme Court Stupid, Carl Brutanananadilewski, TruthandTrust, YellerDog, MariaWr, Alec82, awcomeon, marabout40, buymorebacon, Sand in Florida, The Jester, robertacker13, imamish, BP in NJ, Blue Blood, amk for obama, fidellio, Big Danny, citizen31, chrome327, Crabby Abbey, wvmom, mscharizmaa, Ronald Singleterry, LeftyAce, atxcats, lostmypassword, 2questions, BonnieSchlitz, RJP9999, Klaus, ctlrick, pixxer, HartfordTycoon, Mariken, axel000, Jaimas, swansong50, Urtica dioica gracilis, roystah, kissmygrits, Freddy Bear, cocinero, Ilikepie, HylasBrook, Vega, Front Toward Enemy, mysticlaker, Valerie8435, Olon, firemage, m00finsan, AtomikNY, BlueHead, Nicci August, FightingRegistrar, Chris Hawthorne, tresgatos, barflyer, Aprognosticator, thethinveil, Haf2Read, KDuffy, Escamillo, green plum, 36chambers, Vtdblue, IL JimP

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site