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Rasmussen has its most Ras-like day in ages (wait till you see the Marco Rubio SURGE!), while a host of other pollsters are chiming in with numbers about tomorrow's electoral battles. There are also a smattering of campaign stories of note, both in races on tomorrow's fight card and beyond.

All that, and more, comprises a bursting-at-the-seams Election Eve edition of the Monday Wrap.

THE U.S. SENATE

CA-Sen: Campbell scaling back ad buys in final weeks of campaign
Hard to know if this is a sign of a campaign with supreme confidence, or a campaign in financial turmoil (or...perhaps...both). But Senate frontrunner Tom Campbell sharply scaling back his paid media campaign as the clock winds down on his primary bid. Campbell is planning to be off the air this week, and he has also curtailed his closing ad buy by about 25%. This is in sharp contrast to his opponent, Carly Fiorina, who is expected to be on the air through the June 8th primary.

CT-Sen: Blumenthal subject of brutal NYT profile
The potential damage from this might be overstated, but it is hard to fathom how: according to the New York Times, Democratic Attorney General Richard Blumenthal was at a ceremony in 2008 honoring veterans when he said the following:

"We have learned something important since the days that I served in Vietnam. And you exemplify it. Whatever we think about the war, whatever we call it -- Afghanistan or Iraq -- we owe our military men and women unconditional support."

Which would have been a fine statement to make, had Blumenthal actually served in Vietnam. Unfortunately, as the NYT reports, he did not. Blumenthal copped to having "misspoke." Unfortunately for him, the NYT uncovered several instances where similar statements were...well...misspoke. It is a fairly unsparing analysis, to be sure.

IL-Sen: Internal poll hints at Giannoulias comeback
In a clear effort to change what had become a growing narrative, the campaign of Democratic nominee Alexi Giannoulias is touting a new internal poll showing him tied with Republican nominee Mark Kirk (44-44). The campaign also made clear that their internal numbers from two weeks ago had their man down by six points. The takeaway the campaign is eager to push: Giannoulias has weathered the big storm of his campaign, and is still well-positioned to hold this seat for the Democrats. Indeed, the troubles with the Giannoulias' family business were problematic for the campaign, but it was probably best that it happened in April, rather than October. If said bounce has really occurred, Giannoulias is probably in stronger position than many pundits would suspect.

KY-Sen: New poll suggests that Rand Paul is pulling away
As I wrote earlier today on DK, Kentucky's GOP Secretary of State, Trey Grayson, is ripping Fox News for what he perceived as a bias in favor of his Senate primary opponent, Rand Paul. Part of his animus might stem from a new poll in his race which suggests that Grayson is going down to a substantial defeat tomorrow. The PPP poll, released this weekend, had Paul with an eighteen-point lead (52-34) over Grayson. Unfortunately, there was no new polling of the (infinitely) more competitive Democratic primary, where Orange to Blue candidate Jack Conway is deadlocked with state Lt. Governor Daniel Mongiardo.

PA-Sen: Final Q poll in Pennsylvania confirms Dem toss-up
Quinnipiac offered their final poll in the Keystone State, and they confirmed what everyone else had already suspected: the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is too close to call. The Q Poll gives challenger Joe Sestak a statistically insignificant lead of a single point over incumbent Arlen Specter (42-41). Two amazing statistics for a race with this high a profile: on the eve of the election, one in six voters are still undecided. What's more, a significant number of Specter and Sestak voters (25% of those who have made up their minds) were still persuadable at this late stage of the game. In an interesting twist, MSNBC's First Read noted that the Specter campaign was hoping for some last minute campaign assistance from the President, but that the White House will be instead sticking to their original schedule. As it happens, that original schedule sends Obama to stump in Youngstown, Ohio. Youngstown, for those who are not well versed in geography, is not terribly far from the state border between Ohio and...Pennsylvania.

WA-Sen: Grumbling about Rossi's intentions intensifies
Ah...another week, another new prominent GOPers calling on Dino Rossi to essentially shit or get off the pot in the state's potentially competitive U.S. Senate race. This time around, the aggrieved party is Clark County Commissioner Tom Mielke, who is a supporter of state Senator Don Benton. The interesting twist to this story is that even one of Rossi's supporters admitted that the time Rossi can afford to spend vacillating on the race is running short: "I think Dino probably has to make a decision here and let people know within a week or so, or the milk is going to sour."

THE U.S. HOUSE

HI-01: Trio of ex-governors make clear Democrats still fighting
The conventional wisdom (based, in no small part, on the DCCC's decision to pull resources from the race) is that the Democrats have given up on the special election ending this week in Hawaii's 1st district. That does not mean that local Democrats, however, are content to throw in the towel. Three former governors (John Waihee, George Ariyoshi, and Ben Cayetano) are railing against the election of Republican Charles Djou, arguing that the GOP standard bearer will walk in lock step with the national GOP, and has not make clear what he will do if elected.

NC-08: D'Annunzio nabs celebrity endorsement of the year
Normally, endorsement ads are not worthy of inclusion in the Wrap. This one, however, is too good to pass up, especially if you are a NASCAR fan. Far-right candidate Tim D'Annunzio has a new ad out featuring one of the greatest names in NASCAR...nay...sports history. Sadly, it is not Dick Trickle. It is, instead, the immortal Lake Speed who is extolling D'Annunzio in a new television ad as a good Christian who will uphold Constitutional principles.

OR-05: Public poll says NRCC-backed Bruun not endangered tomorrow
Late last week, the excellent Kari Chisholm at Blue Oregon had wind of an internal poll circling around showing establishment GOP pick Scott Bruun in deep trouble in this swing district against little-known retiree Fred Thompson. A poll out over the weekend from SUSA should calm nerves over at the NRCC. They show Bruun up by over twenty points. In a bizarre bit of polling fun, however, they have Bruun up 52-30 with people that have already voted in Oregon's vote-by-mail system, with 18% undecided. Um, how could people that have already voted be undecided?!

PA-12: Final PPP poll rates special election a pure coin flip
On the weekend before the special election to replace the late Democratic Rep. John Murtha in southwestern Pennsylvania, PPP released their final numbers on the race. The result? As close to a pure coin flip as you are likely to see. They have the Republican (Tim Burns) leading the Democrat (Mark Critz) by a point (48-47). They also, however, have slightly more Democrats undecided than Republicans. There seems to have been some movement in Critz's direction, however. Whereas polls taken two to three weeks out gave Burns a narrow lead, the polls in the past several days have ranged from this one-point Burns lead to a Critz lead ranging as high as six points.

SC-02: Miller releases internal poll...showing him down 15
This one also comes via the crew at Swing State, and it makes very little sense to me, I'm afraid. The campaign for Democrat Rob Miller has released internal polling data showing them down 49-34 to incumbent Republican Joe "You Lie!" Wilson. They explain away the margin, in part, by pointing to a 91%-34% edge in name recognition. But what is the merit in pointing out that an incumbent you came within eight points of beating in 2008 is now fifteen points ahead of you in 2010? Furthermore, what is the merit in reminding people that you have spent over a half million dollars (only about a hundred thou less than you did in the entire 2008 cycle) and still only have 34% name recognition? This is one campaign release I am not totally grasping, to be sure.

THE GUBERNATORIAL RACES

CA-Gov: New poll conflicts with Poizner surge meme
Well, maybe all this talk of a Meg Whitman implosion in the GOP primary for California Governor is a bit overblown, or maybe it is a return to her flooding the zone with TV ads that has shaken the race up. Whatever the cause, a new poll from M4 Strategies for a small business PAC finds Whitman leading opponent Steve Poizner by a slightly reduced, but still comfortable, seventeen-point margin (49-32). The poll also finds little upside for Poizner, whose favorability spread (39/34) is far worse than that of Whitman (55/27). Perhaps that explains Poizner's new approach: he is now essentially accusing Whitman of being a porn distributor. Watch the YouTube associated with the link. It is very much worth it.

NV-Gov: Gibbons looking at bad polls in final month of campaign
It has not been a particularly stellar past week for Nevada's incumbent Governor, Republican Jim Gibbons. Not only was he the subject of one of the most unflattering political profiles in recent memory (more on this later), but his polling numbers are also in deep trouble. The same Mason-Dixon poll that had Sue Lowden in deep trouble last week also showed Gibbons circling the drain, down 18 points to challenger Brian Sandoval (45-27). North Las Vegas Mayor Michael Montandon is sitting at 6% of the vote.

NM-Gov: New poll shows Domenici progeny well back in GOP primary
When we last left GOP gubernatorial candidate Pete Domenici Jr., he was sleepwalking his way through the state GOP convention in March, coming in dead last among the five candidates present. Apparently, that drubbing did not extract the lead from his hindquarters, as a new poll taken for the Albuquerque Journal has Domenici the younger a distant third in the state's GOP gubernatorial primary. Former state chairman Allen Weh leads with 31% of the vote, trailed closely by Dona Ana County DA Susana Martinez, who sits at 30% of the vote. Domenici barely breaks out of single digits, sitting on 10% of the vote.

OR-Gov: New poll hints at possible upset tomorrow?
A great grab by Crisitunity over at SSP: a poll by Lindholm Research (no...I have never heard of them, either) has a potential shocker in the state's GOP primary. The poll has little-known former state Treasurer nominee Allen Alley (29%) actually beating NBA baller Chris Dudley (26%), with the rest of the field well behind. A cautionary note: this poll did have nearly a third of the electorate still undecided.

PA-Gov: Final pre-election polls still say Corbett v. Onorato
As the days leading up to the primaries in the Keystone State dwindled down to one, the polling picture in the state's two gubernatorial primaries remained essentially unchanged, with Democrat Dan Onorato in the high 30s, trailed by a trio of challengers, while Republican state AG Tom Corbett easily leads Sam Rohrer. The final Q Poll in the race did not even bother with a Corbett-Rohrer trial heat (Corbett had a forty-plus point lead last week), but it did poll the Dems, finding Onorato out in front with 39% of the vote. The trio of Anthony Williams, Jack Wagner, and Joe Hoeffel were huddled in the 9-11 point range. Amazingly, on Election Eve, a third of the voters were undecided.

WI-Gov: GOP primary turning ugly well in advance of primary
This has to be the best news Milwaukee Mayor (and likely Democratic nominee) Tom Barrett has seen in months. Former Congressman Mark Neumann, in his bid for Governor, is attacking his GOP opponent, Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker. Neumann's complaint is that Walker is working "part-time hours" as County Executive in order to devote more energy to the campaign trail. If the war of words between these two escalates this early (the primary is not until September 14th), it could be a very good sign for Barrett, who will be the beneficiary of the early and amplified mudslinging.

THE RAS-A-POLL-OOZA

What the polling fest from Rasmussen today lacks in depth, it more than makes up for in focus. Yes, folks, Ras is back to being Ras as we kick off the week. If you think the idea of Bill White going from contender to also-ran in a very quiet month is a bit strange, wait till you see how Marco Rubio went from underdog to betting favorite in little more than a week.

Well, I suppose that people could be that pissed about the Crist campaign not issuing refunds to GOP contributors. Doubtful, though...

FL-Sen: Marco Rubio (R) 39%, Charlie Crist (I) 31%, Kendrick Meek (D) 18%
TX-Gov: Gov. Rick Perry (R) 51%, Bill White 38%

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Mon May 17, 2010 at 07:50 PM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Did Rich Blumenthal destroy his candidacy today?! (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rolfyboy6, shpilk, MJB, pademocrat, shigeru

    Lying about serving in Vietman?! Did we just lose CT?
    http://www.ctmirror.org/...

    Take the fight to them. Don't let them bring it to you. - Harry S Truman

    by jgoodfri on Mon May 17, 2010 at 07:55:33 PM PDT

    •  The Article Tracks Comments Back.... (7+ / 0-)

      to 2003. It is a brutal article. Just brutal.

      "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
      Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
      Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

      by Steve Singiser on Mon May 17, 2010 at 07:57:10 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Ugh. Can we have Dodd back??? (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Rolfyboy6, shigeru, StuHunter

        I was worried about Blumenthal's charisma and possibly being another Coakley if he took this race for granted...  

        This is much worse than Coakley's indifference.

        "If these Republicans can't stand up to Rush, how can they stand up to the Iranians?" - Redmond Barry

        by xsonogall on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:05:00 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Keeping Tabs? (0+ / 0-)

          is anybody keeping a chart of how Rasmussen is doing with it's predictions on all of these races as they come to fruition? Id love to to be able to show that Right-wing shill Scott Rasmuseen was full of shit for all these primaries so he can't influence the fall elections...

        •  Blumenthal (0+ / 0-)

          Its likely another Democrat-like congresswoman Rosa DeLauro, or Ned LaMont who primaried Lieberman in 2006 could run- I feel they are far better candidates then Blumenthal ever was.

    •  yikes, what a maroon (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      pademocrat, shigeru, xsonogall
    •  We should, that's for sure. What an asshole, (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Rolfyboy6, pademocrat, shigeru

      really. And this guy is one of our top candidates? This is a sad day for the Democratic Party.

      I'm in the I-fucking-love-this-guy wing of the Democratic Party!

      by doc2 on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:03:52 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  How is Alpert polling against McMahon? (0+ / 0-)

      I mean, seriously, Senator McMahon?  FML

      "If these Republicans can't stand up to Rush, how can they stand up to the Iranians?" - Redmond Barry

      by xsonogall on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:15:25 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Nope. Tomorrow Blumenthal will be (13+ / 0-)

      surrounded by veterans and will give a news conference response.

      http://www.theatlantic.com/...

      "Unlike many of his peers, Dick Blumenthal voluntarily joined the Marine Corps Reserves in 1970 and served for six months in Parris Island, SC and six years in the reserves. He received no special treatment from anyone."

      Previewing a campaign event tomorrow, Myers wrote that "Dick has a long record of standing up for veterans. Tomorrow, veterans will be standing up with Dick."

      Blumenthal will hold a news conference tomorrow. He will be flanked by veterans.

      He will be fine.

      Besides this was oppo research provided to the NYT by the McMahon campaign.  If she was smarter she would have dropped this a week or two before the election NOT 6 MONTHS.  Blumenthal has time to get over this especially if he does that news conference surrounded by veterans.

      Linda McMahon, a Republican, is claiming that her campaign's research team provided the New York Times with the tip that led to the story.

      Jim Manley: "Republicans are making love to Wall Street, while the people on Main Street are getting screwed."

      by Drdemocrat on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:22:26 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Thanks. High-quality comment :) (0+ / 0-)

        And man, I hope you're right.

        Take the fight to them. Don't let them bring it to you. - Harry S Truman

        by jgoodfri on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:23:35 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  That's The Part I Don't Get, Drdemocrat.... (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        askew, Drdemocrat

        Why the Hell, if it is true that McMahon was the one that had this oppo research, would she use it now? It just doesn't make any sense. This is something you drop in October, don't you?

        "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
        Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
        Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

        by Steve Singiser on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:24:56 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Can you diary this? (0+ / 0-)

        So it wasn't a lie that he served in Vietnam?

        I don't know what to think anymore.  Blumenthal as a candidate never really inspired me like a Sestak/Halter did, so to be honest if this ended up giving us a different candidate (more progressive/charismatic), I wouldn't have minded at all.

        If we're stuck with Blumenthal, then I hope we get out in front of this story.  If McMahon did give the faulty evidence, then I hope this backfires big time.

        "If these Republicans can't stand up to Rush, how can they stand up to the Iranians?" - Redmond Barry

        by xsonogall on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:43:40 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  No, He Did Not Serve *In* Vietnam... (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Mr Teem, MJB

          He served in the Marine Reserves during the time period in which the Vietnam War took place.

          Both the NYT account and Blumenthal's statement assailing the NYT seem to agree on this.

          "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
          Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
          Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

          by Steve Singiser on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:56:39 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Should he be Senator? (0+ / 0-)

        That's the better question.  At least according to the NYTimes, the man is completely dishonest and does not deserve to represent Connecticut in the U.S. Senate.  Shame on him.

    •  We can hope he did. Alpert looks like the real (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      shpilk

      deal, but had been blackballed by the CT dem establishment. A good link here:
      http://merrickforachange.com/

      To the teabaggers "May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that ye were our countrymen." Sam Adams

      by shigeru on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:25:48 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  You know, I was disgusted at first but the more (0+ / 0-)

      I think about it I kind of like this guy. He's got balls. Claiming he fought with the Marines in 'Nam, publicly, takes real balls (in addition to demonstrating a complete lack of judgment and an ethical center). This guy is one bad-ass Democrat.

      I'm in the I-fucking-love-this-guy wing of the Democratic Party!

      by doc2 on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:31:47 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  On being an era vet (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Mr Teem, loblolly

        (reposted from another thread)

        Let me explain something to you all here.

        I'm what's known as "an era vet".  That is, I was in the military during Vietnam, but did not go "in-country".  One thing all of us era vets are extremely, ridiculously careful about is to always be absolutely clear that we are era vets, not Nam vets.  The era vet has long since internalized the correct ways of phrasing our service so there can never be any question of claiming to be something  we aren't, which is Nam vets.  It's a matter of thanking our lucky stars, and it's a matter of respect for those so much like ourselves that DID have to go there.  And that's a line no era vet with a scrap of integrity ever allows to get blurred.  Ever.  As a matter of honor.

        We who have been nothing shall be all. This is the final struggle. ~E. Pottier

        by ActivistGuy on Tue May 18, 2010 at 12:08:12 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Makes sense. Anything else would be like (0+ / 0-)

          lying. I hate this guy.

          I'm in the I-fucking-love-this-guy wing of the Democratic Party!

          by doc2 on Tue May 18, 2010 at 05:02:55 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  My husband is an era vet (0+ / 0-)

          He volunteered, and after basic training, was sent to Korea, not Vietnam. It was a dangerous place- they were on the DMZ, and they were the first line of defense if the North Korean army decided to invade S. Korea. However he always makes it very clear that he is a Vietnam era vet, not a Vietnam vet.

          Good thing we've still got politics in Texas -- finest form of free entertainment ever invented.- Molly Ivins

          by loblolly on Tue May 18, 2010 at 05:44:54 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Blumenthal (0+ / 0-)

      He most likely has

      but I feel he is an old retread- here in Connecticut we are lucky to have a very strong Democratic party- that somehow has been immune to the problems other regions nationally are having.

      The state has become as liberal as Vermont- and more liberal then Massachusetts. Must be a smart electorate.

      the state Democratic Central Committee had considered before Blumenthal Congressmen/woman Chris Murphy, Rosa DeLauro- all outstanding candidates, but also Ned La Mont who primaried Lieberman in 2006, and the dynamic mayor of Stamford, Dan Molloy. Here in Connecticut we have e a wealth of very smart and attractive Democrats- who I thought where ALL better then Blumenthal from the very beginning.

      All these candidates would defeat the GOP likely nominee- the former World Wrestling Federation CEO Linda McMahon

    •  Never trust a man with the Boehner tan. (0+ / 0-)

      Although I prefer Dick's more native american reddish look than Boehner's Agent Orange.

      I still can't see us electing Vince McMahon's wife, but if Simmons beats her in the primary, Blumenthal is in big trouble.

    •  Probably did (0+ / 0-)

      Blumenthal is toast

      did we lose Connecticut?
      Unlikely

      The Dems here have a plethora of excellent candidates that will defeat the likely republican- former World Wrestling Federation 'Moll' Linda McMahon

      Ned Lamont- Rosa DeLauro to name a few.

  •  Blumenthal (6+ / 0-)

    That's awful.  He should be ashamed of himself.

    •  Think about what lack of judgment telling (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      SamHamilton

      such lies over the years entails (not to mention just how wrong it is). Seriously, I would not trust this man.

      I'm in the I-fucking-love-this-guy wing of the Democratic Party!

      by doc2 on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:05:04 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  When is the CT primary? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bythesea, shigeru

      Is it too late to start campaigning for Alpert hard?

      "If these Republicans can't stand up to Rush, how can they stand up to the Iranians?" - Redmond Barry

      by xsonogall on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:05:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The nominating converntion is this weekend (0+ / 0-)

        I'm not sure there is a formal primary.

        "I have come here to chew bubblegum and kick ass... and I'm all out of bubblegum."

        by mark louis on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:07:06 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Yeah, there is (0+ / 0-)

          In August, I believe.

        •  What does that mean, "nominating convention?" (0+ / 0-)

          The party leaders select the nominee?

          Can they take this into account please?  This is very bad.

          Is Alpert next in line?  

          "If these Republicans can't stand up to Rush, how can they stand up to the Iranians?" - Redmond Barry

          by xsonogall on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:13:46 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I have no idea (0+ / 0-)

            I don't know anything about the CT nominating process.  And I would think if Blumenthal drops out, and that's a big if, Chris Murphy would be the desired replacement.

            "I have come here to chew bubblegum and kick ass... and I'm all out of bubblegum."

            by mark louis on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:15:49 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Here's the deal (0+ / 0-)

            In CT, a candidate must get at least 15% of the delegates to qualify for a primary.  Failing this, the candidate can collect signatures to force a primary.  In 2006, for example, Lieberman won at the Democratic convention, but Lamont got 33% and therefore went to primary.

            I very much doubt anyone other than Blumenthal will emerge with more than 15% of the delegates.

            Republicans just try to block anything Democrats and science have to say.

            by Russells 10 on Mon May 17, 2010 at 09:48:38 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  So the story is... (0+ / 0-)

              ...we need someone else to come out with more than 15% of the delegates to challenge Blumenthal, should this thing blow up bigger, right?

              "If these Republicans can't stand up to Rush, how can they stand up to the Iranians?" - Redmond Barry

              by xsonogall on Mon May 17, 2010 at 10:27:57 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

            •  Alpert being shut out is horrible. (0+ / 0-)

              I've met Alpert once, and my wife twice. He's enthusiastic, personable, and knowledgeable. He says the right things about issues that I care about. (And I'm speaking as a disaffected Republican.) During the one televised debate that I'm aware of, he wiped the floor with Blumenthal. It's a shame that there haven't been more--I just don't know enough about Blumenthal, other than he'd be preferable to Linda Linda.

              Regrettably, he's been shut out of the process as everyone runs to crown Blumenthal. Being blackballed from several town DTCs, it's unlikely he's going to be able to get 15% of the delegates. My impression from the last time we spoke with him* is that he wasn't going to try to force a primary. But, if this story takes hold this week--well, circumstances change plans all the time.

              * Our town's DTC did invite both Blumenthal and Alpert to speak--Alpert came; Blumenthal sent a two sentence regret.

    •  Well beyond awful. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      SamHamilton

      Well beyond being ashamed.

      Disgusting.
      Unacceptable.
      Repugnant.

  •  Ras just called me (5+ / 0-)

    here in AZ.  They won't like my answers!

    www.tapestryofbronze.com and www.haikudiary.com

    by chloris creator on Mon May 17, 2010 at 07:57:09 PM PDT

  •  Just out of curiosity... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Steve Singiser, esquimaux

    Is there any major legislation that bears Specter's name, or that he was instrumental in the passage of during his almost 30 years in the Senate?

    Or will he be most remembered for the "magic bullet" theory?

    •  Not legislation, but he has been pretty (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Trix

      good when it comes to increasing NIH funding, I believe. I think this is partially why he got Michael J. Fox's endorsement.

      •  Also brings home some inportant bacon, if not (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        loblolly

        actually on the hoof, at least in results.

        Had a hand in not closing Philly Navy Yard and now business are moving there. TastyKake just opened a new state of the art plant there.

        Progressives will win when the country becomes Progressive.

        by auapplemac on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:24:14 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Alexi took Kirk's best shot and is still standing (9+ / 0-)

    I'm a bit surprised, actually.

    Also, I saw a poll that said Obama's approval is off the charts in Illinois, which should help Alexi when obama campaigns with him.

    •  Yeah, in independent polls (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Bush Bites, Losty, KingofSpades, flhiii88

      Kirk has definitely gained from the bank issues, but it doesnt seem like he has really surged the way I expected. Not sure he has even been above 50% in any poll. I think Alexi certainly has chance if he focuses on the issues, particularly Wall Street reform, which Kirk voted against in December, and will have to vote on again.

    •  And we have to back him without regret. (4+ / 0-)

      No "could haves" and "Should haves".

      Cold hearted orb/That rules the night/Removes the colours From our sight/Red is gray and/Yellow white/But we decide/Which is right/And/Which is an Illusion

      by KingofSpades on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:13:46 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  you do realize.... (0+ / 0-)

        ....every time you say this it is an implicit admission that Alexi is a lousy candidate.  If it were otherwise then we would all be behind him without your hectoring.  Great candidates have no trouble inspiring voters, lousy candidate are lucky if voters have stromg stomaches.

        We Glory in war, in the shedding of human blood. What fools we are.

        by delver rootnose on Tue May 18, 2010 at 03:10:33 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  It's foolish not to back someone, (0+ / 0-)

          AFTER the primary because you think they are a "lousy" candidate.  That ship has sailed.

          Rather, you should ask yourself what kind of Senator he would make.  Those are two separate issues.

          Look at his stand on the issues and compare them to Kirk's:  Kirk voted against Wall Street Reform, Alexi backs it.  Kirk supports DADT, Alexi has initiated a petition calling for its immediate suspension.  Alexi supports repeal of DOMA, and supports full equal same-sex marriage, not some "domestic partnership" substitute (unlike Obama or even Quinn) and has the courage to come out publicly on this issue before the election (even though it may hurt his election prospects--perhaps in your words helping to make him a "lousy" candidate) as a matter of principal.  Alexi supports HCR and adding a public option. Kirk does not.  The list goes on and on.

          It doesn't require a "strong stomach" to vote for Alexi, just a sound mind (if you actually support progressive issues).

          Moerover, even Quinn is behind in the polls, perhaps more than Alexi, and he is a sitting governor running against a right-wing nutcase.  But then I guess you would lament that he is a "lousy candidate," too, requiring a "strong stomach" to vote for.

          All candidates in Illinois are facing a strong headwind this year, not just Alexi.  His recent pollings, not just the internal one, are actually quite encouraging.

          •  If you are from... (0+ / 0-)

            ....Illinois you know that campaign promises last about a nanosecond after the election is over.  On;y past actions indicate future votes here and Alexi has very little to back his words up with.

            We Glory in war, in the shedding of human blood. What fools we are.

            by delver rootnose on Wed May 19, 2010 at 12:19:12 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  OK .. who exactly is (0+ / 0-)

    This Alpert, and why do I have a sudden crush on him?

    "America has enormous economic difficulties right now, and incrementalism and career politicians is what's got us into this mess," Alpert said. "And the only way we're going to get out of this mess is by something big and bold.

  •  Tom Campbell scares the crap out of me... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rolfyboy6, Steve Singiser

    I think he might be able to actually give Boxer a fight. I really hope that Carly! can get the tea-bagging wind at her back and pull this one out.

    •  Boxer will win. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Rolfyboy6, v2aggie2

      Jim Manley: "Republicans are making love to Wall Street, while the people on Main Street are getting screwed."

      by Drdemocrat on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:23:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  She will have a cakewalk if... (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Rolfyboy6, Pd

        the nominee is Fiorina.

        She will be in for a battle if it's Campbell.  Fortunately, she's an excellent campaigner, but still.  I'd rather she have the cakewalk.

      •  That's part of the attitude (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Frameshift

        ...that really scares me. It kinda reminds me of the "no Republican will win in M.A." attitude.

        The thing is, I remember Tom Campbell from back when he was a congressman. He is whip smart, fairly reasonable (for a Republican), and he knows how to win a general election in a Democratic district. He's already got the support of a lot of "moderate" voters I know who would never pull the lever for Carly!

        If he wins in the primary, Boxer is going to need to roll-out a serious political campaign and if we rest on the "she'll win, just like always" attitude, we may lose one of our best progressive champions in the senate.

        •  You don't have to worry about that with Boxer (0+ / 0-)

          Barbara is one of the really organized politicians and is very willing to kiss every group in sight.  I think even the bears get her Holiday cards.

          Heh, last time she kissed the police lobby seven months before the election and then kissed the progressives three months before the election.  She's managed to represent just about every faction rather nicely too with judicious support for the saner measures that the various groups wanted.  Plus, she's a hot campaigner on the CA rubber chicken circuit. Watch her kiss them in Hollywood and down on the ranch.  She has a great staff too and they do (and have done) constituent service well.

          "It's too LATE to stop now!" - John Lee Hooker

          by Rolfyboy6 on Tue May 18, 2010 at 12:49:12 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  OK .. DICK (9+ / 0-)

    5 deferments and this BULLSHIT convinced me you are an asshole ..

    http://www.nytimes.com/...

    But an examination of his remarks at the ceremonies shows that he does not volunteer that his service never took him overseas. And he describes the hostile reaction directed at veterans coming back from Vietnam, intimating that he was among them.

    In 2003, he addressed a rally in Bridgeport, where about 100 military families gathered to express support for American troops overseas. "When we returned, we saw nothing like this," Mr. Blumenthal said. "Let us do better by this generation of men and women."

    At a 2008 ceremony in front of the Veterans War Memorial Building in Shelton, he praised the audience for paying tribute to troops fighting abroad, noting that America had not always done so.

    "I served during the Vietnam era," he said. "I remember the taunts, the insults, sometimes even physical abuse."

    Like that other DICK that got 5 deferments, you're done.

    Ugh.

    Show some class, and bow out: now.

  •  So... (0+ / 0-)

    What smartie out there can tell us what happens in CT if our nominee is disgraced? Can we substitute someone else? Is there someone else who can realistically win?

    I'm in the I-fucking-love-this-guy wing of the Democratic Party!

    by doc2 on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:07:08 PM PDT

  •  guns, art, porn? sounds like a weekend in Vegas (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    esquimaux, Bush Bites

    “When Meg Whitman joined eBay, the company sold everything from guns to genuine paintings by famous artists for five bucks to hardcore pornography,” the announcer says in the 30-second spot. “Whitman cleaned up the site. No more guns. No more fake paintings. But pornography? Whitman started a separate division that only sells porn. Under Whitman’s leadership, the porn site became one of the largest on the Internet.”

    "...calling for a 5" deck gun is not parody. Not by a long shot." (gnaborretni)

    by annieli on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:08:54 PM PDT

  •  Why is Rossi taking so long I wonder? (0+ / 0-)

    Just genuinely thinking about it, or is he really not running.

  •  About Blumenthal (8+ / 0-)

    Here's his response:

    "The New York Times story is an outrageous distortion of Dick Blumenthal's record of service.  Unlike many of his peers, Dick Blumenthal voluntarily joined the Marine Corps Reserves in 1970 and served for six months in Parris Island, SC and six years in the reserves. He received no special treatment from anyone.  Dick has a long record of standing up for veterans. Tomorrow, veterans will be standing up with Dick."

    It should also be noted that Linda McMahon is taking credit for feeding the info to the New York Times.  I have to say, when I read the article, I thought it was a hit piece, but I'm probably in the minority.

    "I have come here to chew bubblegum and kick ass... and I'm all out of bubblegum."

    by mark louis on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:14:17 PM PDT

    •  It WAS A Hit Piece...However... (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      No Preference, BruinKid, pademocrat, cap76

      That doesn't change some basic problems.

      His statement is full of the proper types of outrage, but it doesn't go to the central part of the piece: did he portray himself as an overseas combat veteran?

      If the quotes are accurate, then he did. And that's the crux of the problem for him. The article acknowledged that he went into the Reserves, although it offers a motive for doing so (deferments ran out) than Blumenthal does not address in his statement.

      "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
      Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
      Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

      by Steve Singiser on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:20:36 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Did he though? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        askew

        He didn't reference any military action, didn't claim he fought in any battles.  Technically, he served during the Vietnam War.  That doesn't mean he's without fault.  Blumenthal has made a big mess for himself, and maybe he should drop out of the race, but I don't think it's impossible to overcome this.

        "I have come here to chew bubblegum and kick ass... and I'm all out of bubblegum."

        by mark louis on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:25:29 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Yeah, There Was One Quote That Jumped Out At Me. (0+ / 0-)

          "When we came back"....

          Now, unless he is talking about the commuter flight from DC to Hartford, he is most definitely trying to leave the impression that he was overseas.

          Best case scenario: there was a misimpression about his service, and he was complicit in keeping it alive.

          That might be survivable. But only "might."

          "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
          Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
          Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

          by Steve Singiser on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:28:39 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  He did join the Marines, not an easy peasy (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          KingofSpades

          service. Even boot camp must have been a bitch.

          Progressives will win when the country becomes Progressive.

          by auapplemac on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:30:22 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  The Article Says He Was A Marine Reservist.... (0+ / 0-)

            The issue isn't whether he was in the Reserves...that is plainly stated in the piece.

            The issue is whether he represented himself as an overseas combat veteran.

            The specific quotes attributed to the candidate would, except for those willing to parse the bejeezus out of them, be interpreted as statements intended to imply overseas service.

            "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
            Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
            Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

            by Steve Singiser on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:43:49 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Parris Island for basic training (0+ / 0-)

            Good thing we've still got politics in Texas -- finest form of free entertainment ever invented.- Molly Ivins

            by loblolly on Tue May 18, 2010 at 05:51:40 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  He probably did it to avoid Vietnam (0+ / 0-)

            That is as clear as the probable reason for George W. Bush's enrollment in the Air National Guard during Vietnam.

            I was approaching draft age then, and believe me, these things mattered. Guys avoided service in Vietnam through one stratagem or another. The bravest ones went to jail.

            What is extremely distasteful to me is his misrepresentation of what he did did in fact do.

    •  As For The McMahon Thing.... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      pademocrat, mark louis, KingofSpades

      Perhaps she did leak it, but if she did, she's a freaking idiot.

      Why wouldn't you sit on this until after he is officially the nominee?!?!

      I just don't get it. I know the convention is forthcoming and all, but...still. Damn, if you have something that good, why would you waste it in mid-May?

      "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
      Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
      Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

      by Steve Singiser on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:22:08 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  She's not the only one that knew this. (0+ / 0-)

        People on the inside of the political machine on both sides know all the weaknesses.

      •  She is also dumb too (5+ / 0-)

        This kind of stuff you leak a week or two before the actual election and you don't brag to the media that you did the oppo research.

        Now we all know that it was she who did the hit piece and since it was dropped 6 months before the election, Blumenthal has time to recover especially if he gives a news conference tomorrow surrounded by veterans like he is going to do.

        Jim Manley: "Republicans are making love to Wall Street, while the people on Main Street are getting screwed."

        by Drdemocrat on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:26:19 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  It would be a hit piece if those quotes (0+ / 0-)

      from Blumenthal's mouth aren't true. Did McMahon force him to say those things at gunpoint?

      Either he said them, or he didn't.

      What may pass for AG of CT is one thing, but dammit people knew about this on the inside the Democratic Party, and they let this guy step forward, anyway.

      Disgusting!
      Without honor.

      I'm repulsed by this guy.

      •  What about this quote: (5+ / 0-)

        "I served during the Vietnam era"

        Isn't this true?  He never said he saw combat, never said he performed some heroic act.  He used "we" the way most veterans do.  I'm not saying it's right, but he's not the first.

        "I have come here to chew bubblegum and kick ass... and I'm all out of bubblegum."

        by mark louis on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:30:09 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Weak. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MJB

          Very weak.

          This isn't a la carte, it's not a delicatessen.

          You either take the whole damn package, or none of it. Not one from column A, but none from column B.

          There's no obscuring the intent of these quotes.

          In 2003, he addressed a rally in Bridgeport, where about 100 military families gathered to express support for American troops overseas. "When we returned, we saw nothing like this," Mr. Blumenthal said. "Let us do better by this generation of men and women."

          At a 2008 ceremony in front of the Veterans War Memorial Building in Shelton, he praised the audience for paying tribute to troops fighting abroad, noting that America had not always done so.

          "I served during the Vietnam era," he said. "I remember the taunts, the insults, sometimes even physical abuse."

          •  He served in the Vietnam era, with "era" being th (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MeToo, loblolly

            key word.

            Cold hearted orb/That rules the night/Removes the colours From our sight/Red is gray and/Yellow white/But we decide/Which is right/And/Which is an Illusion

            by KingofSpades on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:42:00 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Looks to me that this is a generational quote (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            loblolly, KingofSpades

            Anyone from 1964 through 1975 is considered a Veteran of the Vietnam Era. He is contrasting what happened then compared to how much more sympathetic people are now.

            According to wiki about a third of total US Vets served in Vietnam. The U.S. Census Bureau (2004) reports there are 8.2 million "Vietnam Era Veterans". Of these 2.59 million are reported to have served "in country". (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vietnam_veteran)

            My husband just missed the era by months... He never left the states either, but I'd never think his service wasn't as a true Air Force Veteran- he was still in uniform for 6 years, not calling his own shots...

            There are plenty of ways to serve our country and our communities; some don't even require you to leave home. Much gratitude to those who serve.

            The day is coming when a single carrot, freshly observed, will set off a revolution. Paul Cezanne

            by MeToo on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:53:52 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  God, how I hate to use this comparison, (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MJB

          but Bush 'served in the Viet Nam Era' too. Can you get an inkling of how repellent it would be to hear Bush say these things?

          Just ugh ..

    •  The NYT has done similar hit pieces on other (0+ / 0-)

      NY Democrats, so I wouldn't be surprised. However, it still looks really, really bad.

  •  Actually, Hilary Clinton confirms that (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    shpilk, pademocrat, Losty

    she and Blumenthal faced sniper fire together at a Vietnamese airport, on the tarmac.

    Get that lying sack of shit out of the race.

  •  We all know how Republicans love a fresh face (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    coffejoe

    in their attempts to install a corporate spokes-model in the White House. Rand Paul 2012?

    "These old Wall Street boys are putting up an awful fight to keep the government from putting a cop on their corner." - Will Rogers

    by Lefty Coaster on Mon May 17, 2010 at 08:26:22 PM PDT

  •  Campbell's easy win over Fiorina. Even with Boxer (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    A Pseudonym

    Shame iCarly didn't win as she'd have been easy win for Boxer.

    Campbell is even with Boxer in the polls and as Kos noted in other diary, this a BAD year for incumbents.

    That's why Campbell is saving his money. He's got Fiorina beat and he's saving up for Boxer who looks vulnerable.

  •  I just want you to understand what CT means (4+ / 0-)

    If this story explodes on Blumenthal, kiss the senate goodbye and say goodbye to President Obama's agenda and say hello to Speaker Boehner and Senate Majority Leader Mitch Mcconnell.  

    Maintaining CT is absolutely key to holding the senate. We lose CT and all is lost.

    We need to circle the wagons behind Blumenthal no matter what you think of him. There is no alternative in the primary and the consequence of GOP control of Washington is too much to risk.

    If Clinton survived Monica, Blumenthal can survive this.

  •  WA Senate race (0+ / 0-)

    bear in mind we have a Top Two (runoff) for every office, except President, instead of a partisan primary.

  •  The money (0+ / 0-)

    behind some of these republicans must be great. How can Rubio be in the lead in Florida? Why isn't the DNC pounding the fact he wants to cut social security and has flip flopped on what age he wants to cut it off at from 55 to 45. With those over 50 losing jobs and the senior population down there it is amazing.

    How much pain have cost us the evils which have never happened. Thomas Jefferson

    by coffejoe on Tue May 18, 2010 at 12:08:00 AM PDT

  •  About that Ras poll in Texas gov. race (0+ / 0-)

    If you think the idea of Bill White going from contender to also-ran in a very quiet month is a bit strange, wait till you see how Marco Rubio went from underdog to betting favorite in little more than a week.

    WTF? This just doesn't seem possible.

    Good thing we've still got politics in Texas -- finest form of free entertainment ever invented.- Molly Ivins

    by loblolly on Tue May 18, 2010 at 05:57:28 AM PDT

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