On August 13, NBC's First Read issued rankings of 64 seats they consider most likely to change party (No. 1 = most likely to shift). I have listed these districts first. I then added 31 districts cited by other analysts as possibilities for party changes (some of them pretty remote).
I have annotated the list with information from other sites, including: incumbent's share of the district vote in 2008 (or 2009/2010 special elections), where applicable; Cook's Partisan Voting Index (i.e., district's proclivities in recent presidential elections); ratings by Cook Political Report (CPR), Election Projection (EP), and Rothenberg Political Report (RPR); and any available recent polling results. There are footnotes and abbreviations, which are explained in a legend at the bottom (continues below the fold)...
There are, of course, additional rating outlets, such as Real Clear Politics, Congressional Quarterly, Center for Politics/Crystal Ball, and the New York Times. I have links to these sites (and others) at the bottom of my report.
My reading of all the information suggests that, if all the polling is accurate and the current results hold up until November -- a big if -- then the Democrats may well hold onto their U.S. House majority narrowly. With no further ado...
- TN-6 (D-Open-Gordon retiring; PVI: R+13)
CPR: Likely GOP; EP: Strong GOP Gain; RPR: GOP Fav.
- LA-3 (D-Open-Melancon running for Senate; PVI:R+12)
CPR: Likely GOP; EP: Mod GOP Gain; RPR: GOP Fav.
- LA-2 (R-Cao; 2008: 49.6%, PVI: D+25)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak DEM Gain; RPR: DEM Fav.
- DE-AL (R-Open-Castle running for Senate; PVI: D+7)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Gain; RPR: Lean DEM
"DE-AL: John Carney (R) 48%, Michelle Rollins (R) 32% (Public Policy Polling-D)"(a)
- AR-2 (D-Open-Snyder retiring; PVI: R+5)
CPR: Likely GOP; EP: Strong GOP Gain; RPR: GOP Fav.
"Republican Tim Griffin holds a seventeen-point lead (52-35) over Democrat Joyce Elliott"
http://www.dailykos.com/...
- NY-29 (D-Open-Massa retired; PVI: R+5)
CPR: Likely GOP; EP: Mod GOP Gain; RPR: GOP Fav.
- NM-2 (D-Teague; 2008: 56%, PVI: R+6)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Lean GOP
- OH-1 (D-Driehaus; 2008: 52%, PVI: D+1)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Lean GOP
"OH-01: Steve Chabot (R) 51%, Rep. Steve Driehaus (D) 41% (Polling Company-GOP)
OH-01: Steve Chabot (R) 51%, Rep. Steve Driehaus (D) 39% (WeAskAmerica-GOP)"(a)
Chabot 47-45 (Ayres, McHenry, & Associates-GOP) (d)
- IN-8 (D-Open-Ellsworth running for Senate; PVI: R+8)
CPR: Lean GOP; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
- MD-1 (D-Kratovil; 2008: 49%, PVI: R+13)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Lean GOP
- KS-3 (D-Open-Moore retiring; PVI: R+3)
CPR: Lean GOP; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Lean GOP
- IL-10 (R-Open-Kirk running for Senate; PVI: D+6)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Hold; RPR: Toss
"Democrat Dan Seals has a lead (43-40) over Republican Bob Dold" (We Ask America-GOP)
http://www.dailykos.com/...
- OH-15 (D-Kilroy; 2008: 50%, PVI: D+1)
CPR: Toss; EP: Mod GOP Gain; RPR: Lean GOP
"OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 46%, Rep. Mary Jo Kilroy (D) 41% (WeAskAmerica-GOP)"(a)
Stivers 49-44 (Ayres, McHenry, & Associates-GOP) (d)
- HI-1 (R-Djou; PVI: D+11)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Hold; RPR: Toss
"HI-01: Rep. Charles Djou (R) 50%, Colleen Hanabusa (D) 42% (Tarrance for the Djou campaign)"(a)
- VA-2 (D-Nye; 2008: 52%, PVI: R+5)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
"a new poll shows Republican businessman Scott Rigell leading U.S. Rep. Glenn Nye, the Democratic incumbent, 41-35 (Public Opinion Strategies-GOP)"
http://hamptonroads.com/...
- VA-5 (D-Perriello; 2008: 50%, PVI: R+5)
CPR: Toss; EP: Mod GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
"Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello 58% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA."
http://www.surveyusa.com/...
Rob Hurt (R): 49, Tom Perriello (D-inc): 43(c)
- MS-1 (D-Childers; 2008: 54%, PVI: R+14)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
"MS-01 - Nunnellee internal has him up 8"(b)
- CO-4 (D-Markey; 2008: 56%, PVI: R+6)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: GOP Fav.
- PA-7 (D-Open-Sestak running for Senate; PVI: D+3)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Toss
"PA-07 - Huge internal poll lead for Meehan"(b)
- PA-11 (D-Kanjorski; 2008: 52%, PVI: D+4)
CPR: Toss; EP: Mod GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
"PA-11 - Big internal poll lead for Barletta."(b)
Lou Barletta (R): 52, Paul Kanjorski (D-inc): 41c
- FL-8 (D-Grayson; 2008: 52%, PVI: R+2)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
"internal from also ran Republican Todd Long shows Grayson down."(b)
- NY-24 (D-Arcuri; 2008: 52% , PVI: R+2)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
- MI-1 (D-Open-Stupak retiring; PVI: R+3)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
- NH-1 (D-Shea-Porter; 2008: 52%, PVI: EVEN)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
"Shea-Porter ahead in recent polling."(b)
- SD-AL (D-Herseth-Sandlin; 2008:68%, PVI: R+9)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt DEM
"SD-AL: Kristi Noem (R) 51%, Rep. Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) 42% (Rasmussen-GOP)"(a)
- NV-3 (D-Titus; 2008: 48%, PVI: D+2)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
"prospects have improved a bit for Titus in the past few months. The latest Mason-Dixon poll shows her edging out Heck 42 percent to 40 percent..."
http://www.lvrj.com/...
Titus 43-42
http://www.lvrj.com/...
- ND-AL (D-Pomeroy; 2008: 62%, PVI: R+10)
CPR: Toss; EP: Mod GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
Berg (R) 49%, Pomeroy (D) 46% (Rasmussen-GOP)
Berg (R) 53%, Pomeroy (D) 44% (Rasmussen-GOP)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...
- PA-3 (D-Dahlkemper; 2008: 51%, PVI: R+3)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Toss
"PA-03: Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper (D) 46%, Mike Kelly (R) 42% (The Polling Company--GOP)"(a)
Mike Kelly (R): 52, Kathy Dahlkemper (D-inc): 38(c)
- FL-24 (D-Kosmas; 2008: 57%, PVI: R+4)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Lean GOP
Craig Miller (R): 44, Suzanne Kosmas (D-inc): 41(c)
- NH-2 (D-Open-Hodes running for Senate; PVI: D+3)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
"NH-02 - Well-known Bass way ahead in polls"(b)
- MI-7 (D-Schauer freshman; 2008: 48.6%, PVI: R+2)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Toss
"Walberg internals have him up"(b)
Walberg 50-40 (Ayres, McHenry, & Associates-GOP) (d)
- TN-8 (D-Open-Tanner retiring; PVI: R+6)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Toss
"Tarrance Group (R) Tennessee CD-8 Fincher [R] 47% - Herron [D] 37% 08/10/10"
http://www.electionprojection.com/...
- TX-17 (D-Edwards; 2008: 53%, PVI: R+20)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
"Democratic Rep. Chet Edwards is a survivor, but he’s never been in a hole this deep. Multiple polls show him trailing by double-digits"
http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com...
- AL-2 (D-Bright; 2008: 50%, PVI: R+16)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Toss
- CA-3 (R-Lungren; 2008: 50%, PVI: R+6)
CPR: Lean GOP; EP: Mod GOP Hold: RPR: Lean GOP
- AZ-8 (D-Giffords; 2008: 55%, PVI: R+4)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Toss
- OH-16 (D-Boccieri; 2008: 55%, PVI: R+4)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Toss
"Republican poll showing big Renacci lead"(b)
Renacci 49-35 (Ayres, McHenry, & Associates-GOP) (d)
- AR-1 (D-Open-Berry retiring; PVI: R+8)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Toss
"Garin Hart Yang (D) Arkansas CD-1 Crawford [R] 41% - Causey [D] 40% 08/17/10"
"Talk Business Research Arkansas CD-1 Crawford 48% - Causey 32% 08/17/10"
http://www.electionprojection.com/...
- SC-5 (D-Spratt; 2008: 62%, PVI: R+7)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Toss
- WI-7 (D-Open-Obey retiring; PVI: D+3)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt DEM
"...a We Ask America [GOP] poll gives Republican Sean Duffy a decided edge over Democrat Julie Lassa to replace outgoing Congressman David Obey (D) in District 7"
http://www.electionprojection.com/...
"Sean Duffy leading 42-33 over Julie Lassa in WI-07." (We Ask America-GOP)
http://swingstateproject.com/...
- TX-23 (D-Rodriguez; 2008: 56%, PVI: R+4)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
"Republican internal had Rodriguez up."(b)
"Republican challenger Quico Canseco is out with an internal poll, via OnMessage, giving him a small lead over incumbent Dem Rep. Ciro Rodriguez. The poll gives Canseco a 43-37 lead, a turnaround from Rodriguez's lead of 48-45 in a Canseco poll from June."
http://swingstateproject.com/...
- NY-19 (D-Hall; 2008: 59%, PVI: R+3)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Tilt DEM
- FL-2 (D-Boyd; 2008: 62%, PVI: R+6)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Toss
"Southerland internal with him up 15."(b)
- WA-3 (D-Open-Baird retiring; PVI: EVEN)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt GOP
Herrera (GOP) 54-41 (Survey USA) (d)
- KY-6 (D-Chandler; 2008: 65%, PVI: R+9)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
"Big lead for Chandler in independent poll."(b)
- FL-25 (R-Open-M. Diaz-Balart vacating, to switch to district where L. Diaz-Balart retiring; PVI: R+5)
CPR: Lean GOP; EP: Mod GOP Hold; RPR: Lean GOP
- CA-11 (D-McNerney; 2008: 55%, PVI: R+1)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
- IN-9 (D-Hill; 2008: 58%, PVI: R+6)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Toss
"Young significantly down in his own poll."(b)
- IN-2 (D-Donnelly; 2008: 67%, PVI: R+2)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
"IN-02: Rep. Joe Donnelly (D) 53%, Jackie Walorski (R) 35% (Polling Company--GOP)"(a)
Donnelly 46-44 (Ayres, McHenry, & Associates-GOP) (d)
- NC-8 (D-Kissell; 2008: 55%, PVI: R+2)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
"PPP [D] showed Kissell ahead by 6."(b)
Kissell 49-32 (D-internal) (d)
- IL-11 (D-Halvorson; 2008: 58%, PVI: R+1)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Toss
"... a Republican poll has moved Republican Adam Kinzinger ahead of incumbent Democrat, Debbie Halvorson" http://www.electionprojection.com/...
(Kinzinger 51-40 at DKosa)
"Adam Kinzinger has an eye-popping twenty point edge in IL-11 (52-32) over Democratic freshman Debbie Halvorson" (We Ask America-GOP)
http://www.dailykos.com/...
- IL-14 (D-Foster; 2008: 58%, PVI: R+1)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Tilt DEM
"GOP state legislator Randy Hultgren has a more modest seven point advantage over Bill Foster (44-37)." (We Ask America-GOP)
http://www.dailykos.com/...
- PA-15 (R-Dent; 2008: 59%, PVI: D+2)
CPR: Lean GOP; EP: Mod GOP Hold; RPR: GOP Fav.
- WA-8 (R-Reichert; 2008: 53%, PVI: D+3)
CPR: Likely GOP; EP: Mod GOP Hold; RPR: Lean GOP
- WV-1 (D-Open-Mollohan lost in primary; PVI: R+9)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Toss
"A Democratic poll completed on August 2 gives Democratic nominee Michael Oliverio a huge 52%-36% lead over Republican David McKinley."
http://www.electionprojection.com/...
- AL-5 (R-Open-Griffith lost in a primary; PVI: R+12)
CPR: Lean GOP
- VA-11 (D-Connolly; 2008: 55%, PVI: D+2)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
"Fimian internal showing lead"(b)
- IA-3 (D-Boswell; 2008: 56%, PVI: D+1)
CPR: Toss; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: Lean DEM
"A partisan poll released by Victory Enterprises (R) this week gives GOP challenger Brad Zaun a 47%-36% lead over Democratic incumbent Leonard Boswell."
http://www.electionprojection.com/...
(listed as Zaun 45-38 by DKosa)
Zaun 51-41 (Ayres, McHenry, & Associates-GOP) (d)
- AZ-5 (D-Mitchell; 2008: 53%, PVI: R+5)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
- AZ-1 (D-Kirkpatrick; 2008: 56%, PVI: R+6)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
- MO-4 (D-Skelton; 2008: 66%, PVI: R+14)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
"veteran Dem Ike Skelton in a tighter race in the 4th, leading Vicky Hartzler 45-42."
http://swingstateproject.com/...
Skelton 47-35 (Missouri State University) (d)
- MI-9 (D-Peters; 2008: 52%, PVI: D+2)
CPR: Likely DEM; EP: Mod DEM Hold
- OH-13 (D-Sutton: 2008: 65%, PVI: D+5)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
Sutton 43-41 (Ayres, McHenry, & Associates-GOP) (d)
- NY-20 (D-Murphy; 2009 special: ~50% , PVI: R+2)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
Scott Murphy (D-inc): 45, Chris Gibson (R): 40 (c)
Other Districts Possibly in Play (Not Listed in "First Read")
CA-45 (R-Bono Mack; 2008: 58%, PVI: R+3)
CPR: Likely GOP; EP: Mod GOP Hold; RPR: GOP Fav.
CO-3 (D-J. Salazar; 2008: 62%, PVI: R+5)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
"Republican Scott Tipton is touting an internal poll from Magellan, showing him with a 49-43 lead over Rep. John Salazar. Salazar says his own internals have him leading."
http://swingstateproject.com/...
CT-4 (D-Himes; 2008: 51%, PVI: D+5)
CPR: Likely DEM; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: Not listed
Jim Himes (D-inc): 46, Dan Debicella (R): 42 (c)
CT-5 (D-C. Murphy; 2008: 59%, PVI: D+2)
CPR: Likely DEM ; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
Chris Murphy (D-inc): 49, Mark Greenberg (R): 39 (c) (Greenberg lost primary)
FL-22 (D-Klein; 2008: 55%, PVI: D+1)
CPR: Likely DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
GA-8 (D-Marshall; 2008: 57%, PVI: D+2)
CPR: Toss; EP: Not listed; RPR: Tilt DEM
ID-1 (D-Minnick; 2008: 51%, PVI: R+18)
CPR: Lean DEM ; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
"ID-01 - Labrador down big in his own poll."(b)
IL-17 (D-Hare; 2008: Unopp., PVI: D+3 )
CPR: Likely DEM ; EP: Not listed; RPR: Not listed
"IL-17: Rep. Phil Hare (D) 33%, Bobby Schilling (R) 31% (Public Opinion Strategies for the Schilling campaign)"(a)
MA-10 (D-Open-Delahunt retiring; PVI: D+5)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
NC-11 (D-Shuler; 2008: 62%; PVI: R+6)
CPR: Likely DEM; EP: Not listed; RPR: Not listed
"NC-11: Rep. Heath Shuler (D) 45%, Jeff Miller (R) 44% (SurveyUSA)"(a)
NE-2 (R-Terry; 2008: 52%, PVI: R+6)
CPR: Likely GOP; EP: Mod GOP Hold; RPR: GOP Fav.
NJ-3 (D-Adler; 2008: 52%, PVI: R+1)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
"NJ-03: Rep. John Adler (D) 31%, Jon Runyan (R) 25% (Rutgers Univ)"(a)
"NJ-03 - Independent poll featured on front page shows Adler ahead."(b)
NJ-6 (D-Pallone; 2008: 67%, PVI: D+8)
CPR: Not listed; EP: Not Listed; RPR: Not listed
"Little cited a poll conducted for the campaign by National Research, Inc., showing Pallone at 40 percent of the vote and Little at 34 percent."
http://www.examiner.com/...
NM-1 (D-Heinrich; 2008: 56%, PVI: D+5)
CPR: Lean DEM ; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
NY-1 (D-Bishop; 2008: 58% , PVI: EVEN)
CPR: Lean DEM ; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
NY-13 (D-McMahon; 2008: 61%, PVI: R+4)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
"NY-13 - Internal poll for McMahon has him way ahead."(b)
NY-23 (D-Owens; 2009 special: 49%, PVI: R+1)
CPR: Lean DEM ; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
Bill Owens (D-inc): 41; Matt Doheny (R): 39 (c)
NY-25 (D-Maffei; 2008: 55%, PVI: D+3)
CPR: Likely DEM ; EP: Not listed; RPR: Not listed
"NY-25: Rep. Dan Maffei (D) 46%, Ann Buerkle (R) 37% (McLaughlin for the Buerkle campaign)"(a)
Dan Maffei (D-inc): 44, Ann Marie Buerkle (R): 41 (c)
OH-12 (R-Tiberi; 2008: 55%, PVI: D+1)
CPR: Likely GOP ; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: GOP Fav.
"OH-12: Rep. Pat Tiberi (R) 51%, Paula Brooks (D) 34% (WeAskAmerica-GOP)"(a)
OH-18 (D-Space; 2008: 60%, PVI: R+7)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
"OH-18: Rep. Zack Space (D) 43%, Bob Gibbs (R) 43% (On Message for the Gibbs campaign)"(a)
OR-5 (D-Schrader; 2008: 54%, PVI: D+1)
CPR: Lean DEM ; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
"Republican Scott Bruun has released a new poll taken for his campaign by pollster Bob Moore that claims to show him in a tight race with Rep. Kurt Schrader, D-Ore.
The survey shows Bruun with 41 percent of the vote to 38 percent for Schrader. That’s well within the poll’s margin of error of six percentage points."
http://www.nationalreview.com/...
"Hot on the heels of a too-good-to-be-true internal from Scott Bruun giving him a small lead a few days ago, Rep. Kurt Schrader hauled out his own internal from Lake Research giving him a pretty comfortable lead: 46-35."
http://swingstateproject.com/...
PA-4 (D-Altmire; 2008: 56%, PVI: R+6)
CPR: Likely DEM; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
PA-6 (R-Gerlach; 2008: 52%, PVI: D+4)
CPR: Likely GOP; EP: Mod GOP Hold; RPR: GOP Fav.
PA-8 (D-P. Murphy; 2008: 57%, PVI: D+2)
CPR: Toss ; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
Fitzpatrick 48-41 (Public Opinion Strategies-GOP)(d)
PA-10 (D-Carney; 2008: 56%, PVI: R+8)
CPR: Lean DEM ; EP: Weak GOP Gain; RPR: DEM Fav.
Tom Marino (R): 52, Chris Carney (D-inc): 37 (c)
PA-12 (D-Critz; 2010 special: 52.6%, PVI: R+1)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
Tim Burns (R): 44, Mark Critz (D-inc): 40 (c)
PA-17 (D-Holden; 2008: 64%, PVI: R+6)
CPR: Likely DEM ; EP: Mod DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
TN-4 (D-Davis: 2008: 59%, PVI: R+13)
CPR: Lean DEM ; EP: Not listed; RPR: DEM Fav.
"TN-04 - Republican internal had Davis up 11."b
VA-9 (D-Boucher; 2008: Unopp., PVI: R+11)
CPR: Lean DEM; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: Lean DEM
Boucher 52-39 (Survey USA)
http://www.surveyusa.com/...
WA-2 (D-Larsen; 2008: 62%, PVI: D+3)
CPR: Likely DEM ; EP: Not listed; RPR: DEM Fav.
WI-8 (D-Kagen; 2008: 54%, PVI: R+2)
CPR: Lean DEM ; EP: Weak DEM Hold; RPR: DEM Fav.
Ribble 49-39 (Ayres, McHenry, & Associates-GOP) (d)
Main Sources
EP: http://www.electionprojection.com (as of 8/19)
CPR: http://www.cookpolitical.com/...
RPR: http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com...
(a) http://www.dailykos.com/...
(b) http://swingstateproject.com/...
(also offers comments on believability of polls)
(c) http://swingstateproject.com/... (reporting GOP pollster Ayres, McHenry, & Associates’ results)
(d) http://www.dailykos.com/...
Other Sources:
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/...
http://www.cnn.com/...
http://www.cookpolitical.com/...
http://www.cqpolitics.com/...
http://elections.nytimes.com/...
http://en.wikipedia.org/...
http://www.nationalreview.com/...
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/...
(Really seems slanted to the GOP; many of the DEM toss-ups are rated by other outlets as more strongly DEM)
https://spreadsheets.google.com/...
http://swingstateproject.com/...