Colorado has 7 representatives: 5 Democrats and 2 Republicans. The only Vulnerable are Salazar (CO-3, D) is Markey's in CO-04 (D) and Perlmutter's CO-07 (D)
Connecticut has 5 representative, all Democrats. Vulberable is Himes in CT-04.
Delaware has 1 representative, a Republican, and it's a potential gain for the Democrats.
Sources:
House vote in 2008 from Wikipedia
VoteView (1 = most liberal, 447 = most conservative)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State (other stuff there too).
and my previous diaries.
FEC
and Steve Singiser's diaries here on daily Kos (which I checked for about a month).
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District: CO-01
Location This oddly shaped district includes metro Denver, southern suburbs like Glendale, south to Sheridan and Cherry Hills Village, and northeast in a stair step pattern map
Cook PVI D+21
Representative Diana DeGette (D)
VoteView rank 93/447
First elected 1996
2008 margin 72-24 over George Lilly
2006 margin 80-20 (against a Green)
2004 margin 73-25
Obama margin 74-24
Bush margin 2004 31-68
Current opponents Michael Deming
Demographics 30% Latino (49th place)
Assessment Safe. As of 7/21 DeGette has $110K COH, no info on Deming.
District: CO-02
Location Boulder, and points west, in the Rockies. Also the exurbs of Denver map
Cook PVI D +11
Representative Jared Polis (D)
VoteView rank 187.5/447
First elected 2008
2008 margin 62-34 over Scott Starin
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin NA
Bush margin 2004 41-58
Current opponents Stephen Bailey (R) and an independent
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Polis won easily in 2008, safe. As of 7/21, Polis has $180K COH, Bailey has little. Even a Republican poll found Polis up comfortably.
District: CO-03
Location Western Colorado (bordering UT), and east along the southern edge (bordering NM), includes Durango and Pueblo and Aspen map
Cook PVI R + 5
Representative John Salazar (D)
VoteView rank 207/447
First elected 2004
2008 margin 61-39 over Wayne Wolf
2006 margin 62-37
2004 margin 51-47
Obama margin 47-50
Bush margin 2004 55-44
Current opponents Scott Tipton
Demographics Relatively rural (39%, 95th place) few Blacks (0.7%, 23rd least) or Asians (0.5%, rank NA) but 21.5% Latino (69th most)
Assessment This is a Republican district, but Salazar, a moderate Democrat fits it. It'd be nice to have a more progressive rep, but better a blue dog than a red Repub. As of 7/21, Salazar has $1.2 million COH, Tipton about $170K. A recent Republican poll has it tied.
SSP rating: Tossup
My rating: Lean D
District: CO-04
Location Shaped like a backwards F, this is eastern CO (bordering KS and NE) and moves a bit west to Fort Collins (bordering WY) and the northwestern suburbs of Denver map
Cook PVI R + 6
Representative Betsey Markey (D)
VoteView rank NA
First elected 2008
2008 margin 56-44 over Marilyn Musgrave
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 49-50
Bush margin 2004 58-41
Current opponents Cory Gardner.
Demographics 23rd fewest Blacks (0.7%)
Assessment This is a Republican district; Musgrave was an awful person; this could be hard fought. As of 7/21, Markey has $1.5 million COH, Gardner has over $700K. A recent poll has Gardner up 44-41
SSP rating: Tossup
My rating: Tossup
District: CO-05
Location Central CO, including Colorado Springs map
Cook PVI R + 14
Representative Doug Lamborn (R)
VoteView rank 439.5/447
First elected 2006
2008 margin 60-37 over Hal Bidlack
2006 margin 60-40
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 40-59
Bush margin 2004 66-33
Current opponents Kevin Bradley
Demographics More veterans than all but 4 districts, and the 33rd most Republican district.
Assessment Lamborn, one of the most conservative members of Congress, has $131K COH. No info on Bradley. Safe.
District: CO-06
Location Exurbs of Denver, and a large area south and east of Denver map
Cook PVI R + 8
Representative Mike Coffman (R)
VoteView rank NA
First elected 2008
2008 margin 60-40 over Hank Eng
2006 margin 59-40
2004 margin 59-39
Obama margin 46-53
Bush margin 2004 60-39
Current opponents John Flerlage
Assessment This is a Republican district. As of 7/21, Coffman had nearly $500K COH, Flerlage had little. Safe.
District: CO-07
Location More of suburban Denver, and a long strip eastward map
Cook PVI D + 4
Representative Ed Perlmutter (D)
VoteView rank 203.5/447
First elected 2006
2008 margin 63-37 over John Lerew
2006 margin 55-42
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 59-40
Bush margin 2004 48-51
Current opponents Ryan Frazier
Demographics Not unusual in what I track
Assessment This could be competitive - there's a reason all those Republicans are running in the primary. Still, Obama won easily, and, as of 7/21, Perlmutter has $1.3 million COH to Frazier's $250K.
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Likely D. Obama won big here, Perlmutter is the incumbent, and he has more money.
District: CT-01
Location Shaped like a backwards C, including Hartford and suburbs, running north to tha border of MA, and looping south and then west to almost form a circle map
Cook PVI D + 13
Representative John Larson (D)
VoteView rank 119.5/447
First elected 1998
2008 margin 71-26 over Joe Visconti
2006 margin 74-26
2004 margin 73-27
Obama margin 66-33
Bush margin 2004 39-60
Current opponents Ann Brickley
Demographics Not unusual on things I track
Assessment Safe. As of 7/21 Larson has $900K COH, Brickley has little.
District: CT-02
Location Eastern CT, bordering RI, MA and Long Island Sound, including Storrs and New London map
Cook PVI D + 6
Representative Joe Courtney (D)
VoteView rank 137/447
First elected 2006
2008 margin 65-32 over Sean Sullivan
2006 margin 83 votes
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 59-40
Bush margin 2004 44-54
Current opponents Janet Peckinpaugh
Demographics 31st fewest people in poverty (5.8%)
Assessment One close race, one easy victory. I won't say absolutely "safe" but it looks good. As of 6/30, Courtney has $1.5 million COH, Peckinpaugh has little.
District:CT-03
Location New Haven and areas around it map
Cook PVI D + 9
Representative Rosa DeLauro
VoteView rank 93/447
First elected 1990
2008 margin 77-20 over Bo Itshaky
2006 margin 76-22
2004 margin 72-25
Obama margin 63-36
Bush margin 2004 42-56
Current opponents Jerry Labriola .
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe. DeLauro has $70K COH, LaBriola about $50K.
District: CT-04
Location NYC suburbs - Stamford, Darien, Norwalk, Bridgeport, bordering NY and Long Island Sound map
Cook PVI D + 5
Representative Jim Himes (D)
VoteView rank NA
First elected 2008
2008 margin 51-48 over Chris Shays
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 60-40
Bush margin 2004 48-52
Current opponents Dan Debicella.
Demographics 30th richest district (median income = $67K)
Assessment Himes won a close one over the incumbent Shays. As of 6/30 Himes had nearly $2 million COH, Debicella about $500K.
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Lean D
My rating:
District: CT-05
Location Western CT, bordering NY and MA, but going inland to New Britain and Meriden map
Cook PVI D + 2
Representative Chris Murphy (D)
VoteView rank 142/447
First elected 2006
2008 margin 59-39 over David Capiello
2006 margin 54-44
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 56-42
Bush margin 2004 49-49
Current opponents Sam Caliguri
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment As of 6/30 Murphy had $1.5 million COH, Caliguri about $80K. Recent internal polls show very different pictures, either 50-44 for Caliguri, or 50-37 for Murphy.
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Lean D
District: DE-AL
Location Delaware.
Cook PVI D + 7
Representative Mike Castle (R) Retiring to run for senate
VoteView rank NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 62-37
Bush margin 2004 46-53
Current opponents Democrat: John Carney, Republican: Glen Urquart
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment With Castle out, this is a prime pickup opportunity In fact, Crisitunity at SSP ranks it the most vulnerable seat held by the Repubs. As of 8/25 Carney had $900K COH, Urquart has $194K but tons of debt. A recent poll has Carney up, 60-40; a Republican poll has it close.
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Likely D