I don't usually give political polls for 2012 that come out this early any credence. But the polls that I received from Myers Research have some very interesting information in them.
They do now what Nate Silver used to do before he went all corporate on us; that is they aggregate poll results.
As I said there are some interesting results. First, that every Republican currently running, or thinking about running for President; with the exception of Gov. Huntsman, their popularity is underwater, that is that their negatives outweigh their positives. Given that most of these people ran last time I find it hard to believe that not one of them has positive popularity. Second, Obama's handling of the economy and right track wrong track numbers are underwater too, yet no R is within 3.5 points of him; you would think that with those two indicators in the red it would give the R's a fighting chance. But that dose not happen. This seems to be a result of a total lack of gravitas on the Republican side. This is proven by the fact that a man (Donald Trump) who's two claims to fame are a reality television show, and the ability to rack up billions in real estate debt is now second choice of R primary voters. Third, R votes have soured on last months flavor of the month, Sarah Palin. Her favorability, unfavorability average in the last 5 polls is a frigid 33.4 - 55.0, which means she would need a miracle akin to the parting of the Red Sea just to get back to a mediocre level.
What dose all this information mean. That President Obama could be vulnerable to a candidate with mainstream economic credentials. Since mainstream is not a word that could remotely be used on the pygmies running for the R's, this may not be as big a problem for Team Blue as it was. These polls were completed before the killing of Osama, the question then becomes is the inevitable poll bump, temporary, or of a more lasting nature. I personally don't think it matters. As we get into 2012, more people with start paying attention to the election, and that D base voters will return to the fold; I think the elephants; barring a new entrant to the process, are beginning a slow roast to a HUGE loss next November.