I have created an epic map for the NY Democrats to draw if they regain control...can anyone say mid-decade redistricting. This map would ensure 24 democrats and 3 republicans in the delegation. I was able to pack all of the upstate ny republicans into 2 districts and 1 long island district (Peter King's district still leans toward GOP, but its winnable). The GOP would only have 2 guarenteed seats.
upstate ny
With Kathy Hochul’s upset win, I have drawn an improved map with some additional adjustments in Westchester. This map should give the democrats a 9-2 edge in the upstate delegation. I have drawn almost every freshman republican out. Although some democrats are weaker, they should still be able to win their districts. Ann Buerkle cannot win the new Syracuse-Ithica district, so she will have to decide whether to run in the 4th against Tom Reed (R) or the 6th against Richard Hanna (R). Basically, the old 24th, 25th, and 29th are now the 6th, 5th, and 4th respectively. Bill Owens (D) and Kathy Hochul (D) are greatly strengthened. New York is losing 2 seats. I effectively eliminated Nan Hayworth (R) and Chris Gibson (R) from the map (old 19th and 20th). All 8 democrats will have a district to run in, while only 2 of the 5 republicans will have districts to run in. Plus a new democrat or Dan Maffei (D) can win in the new Syracuse-Ithica district. I not only knocked out 3 republicans, but the democrats will gain a seat. Downstate, I kept many of the districts about the same, but with some changes to make another Hispanic majority district in the Bronx. I also made Michael Grimm’s (R) Staten Island district more much more democratic. I also weakened Peter king (R).
Upstate New York:
1. Buffalo [Kathy Hochul (D)] (red) = Obama 54.1%, McCain 44.4% (was Obama 46%), likely D
2. Buffalo [Brian Higgins (D)] (blue) = Obama 54.5%, McCain 43.9% ( was Obama 54%), likely D
3. Rochester [L. Slaughter (D)] (purple) = Obama 58.3%, McCain 40.5% (was Obama 68%), safe D
4. Elmira [Tom reed (R)] (lime) = Obama 45.5%, McCain 53.0% (was Obama 48%), safe GOP
5. Syracuse [Ann Buerkle (R)] (orange) = Obama 59.0%, McCain 39.2%, (was Obama 56%) likely D
6. Rome [Richard Hanna (R)] (teal) = Obama 45.7%, McCain 52.5% (was Obama 50%), safe GOP
7. Schenectady [Bill Owens (D)] (orange) = Obama 54.4%, McCain 44.0% (was Obama 52%), likely D
8. Albany [Bill Tonko (D)] (lime) = Obama 57.1%, McCain 41.3% (was Obama 58%), safe D
9. Binghamton [M. Hinchey (D)] (indigo) = Obama 56.2%, McCain 42.2% (was 59%), likely D
10. Middleton [Eliot Engel (D)](red) = Obama 56.5%, McCain 42.7% (was Obama 72%), likely D
11. Westchester [Nita Lowey (D)](teal) = Obama 56.8, McCain 42.3%, (was Obama 62%) likely D
http://twitpic.com/...
New York City:
12. Bronx [J. Crowley (D)](purple) = Obama 74%, McCain 25.4% (was Obama 79%), safe D
13. Bronx [J. Serrano (D)] (green) = 56.2% hispanic, Obama 91.7%, McCain 8.0% (was Obama 95%), safe D
14. Manhattan-Bronx [C. Rangel (D)] (orange) = 60.4% hispanic, Obama 92.2%, McCain 6.6% (was Obama 93%), safe D
15. Manhattan [J. Nadler (D)] (light blue) = Obama 87.4%, McCain 11.7% (was Obama 74%), solid D
16. Manhattan-Queens [C. Maloney (D)] (pink) = Obama 74.8%, McCain 24.3% (was Obama 78%), solid D
17. Staten Island-Brooklyn [M. Grimm (R)] (teal) = Obama 54.2%, McCain 45.1% (was Obama 49%), leans D
18. Brooklyn [Y. Clarke (D)] (red) = 52.7% black, Obama 83.3%, McCain 16.3% (was Obama 90%), solid D
19. Brooklyn [E. Towns (D)] (lime) = 55.4% black, Obama 88.0%, McCain 11.7% (was Obama 91%), solid D
20. Brooklyn-Queens [Valazquez (D)](indigo) = 45.3% hispanic, Obama 82.6%, McCain 16.7% (was Obama 86%), safe D
21. Queens [G. Ackerman (D)] (blue) = Obama 70.4%, McCain 28.9% (was Obama 63%), solid D
22. Queens-Brooklyn [A. Weiner (D)] (yellow) = Obama 57.0%, McCain 42.2% (was Obama 55%), solid D
23. Queens [G. Meeks (D)] (red) = 50.6% black, Obama 87.5%, McCain 12.2% (was Obama 89%), Solid D
24. Nassau [C. McCarthy (D)] (lime) = Obama 58.0%, McCain 41.4% (was Obama 58%), solid D
25. Nassau-Suffolk [P. King (R)] (pink) = Obama 48.1%, McCain 51.1% (was Obama 47%),likely GOP
26. Suffolk [S. Israel (D)] (blue) = Obama 56.0%, McCain 43.4% (was Obama 56%), likely D
27. Suffolk [T. Bishop (D)] (green) = Obama 52.0%, McCain 47.9% (was Obama 51%),likely D