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Senate:

CT-Sen: EMILY's List finally endorsed Susan Bysiewicz — a seemingly overdue move which had me wondering if her weak fundraising was giving EMILY pause. Note, though, that they only added her to their "On the List" list, not their full-blown "Recommended" slate.

MA-Sen: The entire Massachusetts congressional delegation just put together a (rather nice) "It Gets Better" video, which you can see at the link… the entire delegation save Scott Brown, that is.

Gubernatorial:

LA-Gov: On the "Democrats still have no remotely plausible challenger to Bobby Jindal" front, the New Orleans Times-Picayune reports that businessman John George, who had previously filed for an unnamed "statewide" office and had lent himself $10 million, has since cancelled the loan — and isn't returning reporters' phone calls. Even if state Sen. Rob Marrioneaux (the only name still in the mix) gets in, I can't possibly see this one being competitive.

NC-Gov: Some fundraising numbers out of North Carolina: Dem Gov. Bev Perdue raised $1.3 million in the first six months of the year and has the same amount on hand. Former Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory, Perdue's opponent in all but name, pulled in "just under" $1 million and has $940K in the bank.

House:

AR-02, AR-04: Two Democrats in two different races are declining to run for Congress. In the 2nd, former Vic Snyder chief of staff David Boling says he won't challenge GOP freshman Tim Griffin next year. And in the 4th, Chris Thomason, chancellor of the University of Arkansas Community College at Hope, says he won't seek the open seat being vacated by retiring Rep. Mike Ross. According to a piece by Dave Catanese, at least some local Democrats had thought Thomason was best name.

CA-51: Former state Sen. Denise Ducheney says she's interested in running for Rep. Bob Filner's very-probably open seat. (Filner is running for mayor of San Diego next year, but I'm still not entirely certain if he can seek re-election as a fallback plan in case he doesn't advance to the November mayoral run-off.) Fellow Democrat Juan Vargas, who primaried Filner several times, has already said he's running, and interestingly, Vargas replaced Ducheney in the state Senate after she was term-limited out.

IL-08: "Mom loves me more!" "No, she loves me more!" That's what the current slapfight in the IL-08 Democratic primary is starting to sound like — though I guess in this case, there are two mommy stand-ins. Dem Tammy Duckworth cited some nice things that former Reps. Melissa Bean and Debbie Halvorson had to say about her, and then kinda-sorta accused Raja Krishnamoorthi of suggesting they had endorsed him, even though they're both saying they love all their children equally plan to remain neutral. Krishnamoorthi fired back, saying he never made any such claim — but pointing out that Bean donated to his campaign. I just hope the rest of the primary isn't this dumb.

IL-14: The Club for Growth just threw their backing to Republican freshman Joe Walsh — a pretty serious snub for fellow GOP first-termer Randy Hultgren, since they endorsed Walsh in the new 14th. That's nominally Hultgren's district, but Walsh (currently in the 8th CD) almost certainly has to run there in order to have any chance at continuing his political career.

MI-07: Dem ex-Rep. Mark Schauer, who beat Tim Walberg in 2008 only to lose a rematch last year, says he won't try to win his old seat back. He cited several reasons for declining to run, including the fact that his hometown of Battle Creek was moved out of the 7th CD in redistricting (and into MI-03, held by GOP frosh Justin Amash).

NV-02: Democrat Kate Marshall is out with two new ads in the special election, what I believer are her first of the campaign. They've got strong production values, and I like them both. One is a positive spot touting her accomplishments, and even though it touches on "gotta cut spending" themes which ordinarily make me groan, I think it's pretty well done. The second one, hitting Mark Amodei for raising taxes, is even better. Take a look:

NY-19: Does cardiologist outrank ophthalmologist? I sure hope so! Rich Becker, a town councilman in Cortlandt (in Westchester County) who is also a heart doctor, says he is preparing to challenge freshman GOPer Nan Hayworth — who, as it happens, is also an eye doctor. David Freedlander of PolitickerNY also mentions several other possible Dem names who are in the mix: LGBT activist Sean Eldridge (husband of a Facebook co-founder); Westchester County legislator Mike Kaplowitz; former Democrats Abroad head Margo Miller; and Wappingers Falls (pop. 5K) Mayor Matthew Alexander.

OR-01: Kari Chisholm does yeoman's work recapping yesterday's madcap series of events surrounding David Wu's resignation announcement. Of chief interest to DKos Elections Readers will be the names of possible candidates who could get in on both sides. For Democrats, nothing much has changed: Brads Avakian and Witt are still running, and state Sen. Suzanne Bonamici is still thinking about it. On the GOP side, I'll just quote Kari (who should be on your daily reading list if he's not already):

2010 nominee Rob Cornilles, Tea Party activists (and 2010 candidates) John Kuzmanich and Doug Keller, business owner Rob Miller, state Reps. Katie Eyre Brewer and Shawn Lindsay, and Molly Bordonaro (the 1998 nominee and former Ambassador to Malta). Sen. Bruce Starr reiterated his March decision not to run.

Meanwhile, Taegan Goddard suggests an awful possibility: "Could this be the new district Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH) is looking to run from?" Oy.

PA-03: Back in March, Dem ex-Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper, who lost in 2010 after a single term, said she was considering a rematch with freshman GOPer Mike Kelly, and had even spoken with the DCCC. The National Journal recently checked in with her, and she's saying pretty much the same thing: that she hasn't "completely ruled it out or jumped back in." She doesn't sound too excited to me, though I wonder if she'll stick to her previously-announced quasi-timetable (she said she didn't want to wait until the fall to announce).

WA-01: State Rep. Marko Liias, someone who seems well-liked by progressives, said he's made up his mind about whether to seek Jay Inslee's open seat… but won't announce his decision until the end of this week.

Grab Bag:

Voter Suppression: The good guys score a win: North Carolina's GOP-controlled state legislature failed to over-ride Gov. Bev Perdue's June veto of a voter ID bill. All Democrats in the House voted to sustain the veto.

Redistricting Roundup:

FL Redistricting: While there are a lot of pathetic Democratic state legislators out there when it comes to redistricting, I'm not sure there's anyone in Congress more awful than Corrine Brown. She's still fighting Florida's "Fair Districts" amendments in court, and just held a breakfast fundraiser "[c]ause I have to pay my lawyer fees." Fortunately, there were "few visible contributors," according to the Orlando Sentinel.

IL Redistricting: This is amusing, bordering on idiotic. Illinois Republicans, as expected, filed suit against the Dem-passed congressional map, alleging it violates the rights of Latinos (something at least theoretically cognizable before the law)… and Republicans (an "injury" almost certainly not remediable under the Supreme Court's jurisprudence). You can read the actual complaint here (PDF); while it doesn't cite any caselaw (complaints typically don't), plaintiffs allege that their first and fourteenth amendment rights have been violated as Republicans. Good luck with that. (If you're interested in more on this legal issue, check out the case of Vieth v. Jubelirer.)

UT Redistricting: After conducting hearings around the state, it sounds like the GOP isn't going to try for the "pizza pie" plan, which would have cracked Salt Lake City into all four of Utah's congressional districts. But Republican State Senate President Michael Waddoups has a different plan, which you can see here: a district which keeps SLC intact but jogs to the rural west with an almost airstrip-straight dog-leg. Local Democrats sound unhappy, but it may be that the GOP is trying to draw an ideal district for Jim Matheson, to dissuade him from running for Senate or governor. Of course, they could just be trying to give Matheson what they think will be a difficult district.

WV Redistricting: We haven't been able to find a copy of the map yet, but Dem state Sen. Herb Snyder is proposing a new congressional plan which would put veteran GOPer Shelley Moore Capito in the same district as Republican frosh David McKinley. The map apparently has "the favor of Senate Majority Leader John Unger." Click a link for a description of the plan.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  The IL suit is interesting (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TofG, MichaelNY

    Here's what I think it comes down to:

    1. As you indicate, the political gerrymandering claim is a nonstarter. PA Dems fought and lost that battle ten years ago.

    2. The hispanic district claim may have legs, but probably only to the extent that the 4th is found to be a racial gerrymander (i.e., under the 14th Amendment). It will be difficult for them to require the establishment of a second hispanic majority district unless they can demonstrate that voting is racially polarized in a way that it pretty clearly just isn't in Chicagoland.

    Ok, so I read the polls.

    by andgarden on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 05:40:48 AM PDT

  •  Corrine Brown (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GradyDem, bumiputera, jncca, MichaelNY

    is simply the epitome of a self-serving politician, and she's also a pathetic fundraiser and a pathetic campaigner who manages to wildly underperform her district's generic lean year after year.

    Between her and Alcee Hastings...Florida African Americans could do better.

    "If people doled out nutkickings where they are deserved, the world would be a better place." -Marcel Inhoff

    by ArkDem14 on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 05:49:17 AM PDT

  •  I knew this was coming. (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, Alice Olson, ArkDem14, MichaelNY
    The second one, hitting Mark Amodei for raising taxes, is even better.

    Honestly, it irks me that Kate does this because the 2003 tax deal was only a faint shadow of what Nevada really needed to do to finally bring about fiscal sanity. But since Amodei now wants to embrace the TEA-nuts, I can't begrudge her too much for pointing out the obvious in his hypocrisy.

    •  Won't the "raising taxes" thing bring out (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      all the folks who want higher taxes?

    •  It's a fairly idiotic line of attack, (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      because raising taxes is sometimes the right thing to do, but I understand why it appears: it's cheap, easy, and more often than not, it's actually true. I don't like it, but much like the attacks for being a career politician or something similar, I've learned to live with it.

      •  It's a very smart line of attack, (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        because while people know in the abstract raising taxes is sometimes the right thing to do, that never translates to refusing to be at least a little bit persuaded by this line of attack.

        You can't go wrong attacking someone for raising taxes.  I say that sadly.  And it doesn't always work well enough to earn a victory.  But at least you can't go wrong trying.

        43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 07:31:40 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  It's idiotic in the sense that it makes governing (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          harder than it needs to be. I'd rather our candidates try for any other line of attack.

          However, you are talking about the politics. I definitely agree, and thought I indicated as much, above, but perhaps not.

  •  Final NC maps were approved last night (4+ / 0-)

    by the GOP-led General Assembly.

    State lawmakers approved voting districts for congressional and legislative races Wednesday night that could set the state's political course and shape policy debates for the next 10 years.

    Democrats protested that the districts, some with bizarre shapes, divide cities and neighborhoods so black and white voters can be segregated.

    North Carolina has a long history of redistricting lawsuits. All debates on redistricting are recorded by court reporters. Republican responses to questions and criticism were restrained. They repeatedly described their maps as "fair and legal."

    Gov. Bev Perdue cannot veto redistricting plans, but all three maps must be approved by the U.S. Department of Justice or a federal court panel before they can be used in the 2012 elections.

    http://www.newsobserver.com/...

    'Fair and legal'? Right

    Final Congressional Map:
    http://www.ncga.state.nc.us/...

    Redistircting details:
    http://www.ncga.state.nc.us/...

    "America will never be destroyed from the outside. If we falter and lose our freedoms, it will be because we destroyed ourselves." — Abraham Lincoln

    by bear83 on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 06:47:39 AM PDT

  •  OR-01: preview of GOP strategy (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    liberte, MichaelNY

    from Kari's link per GOP state chair Allen Alley

    But the other possibility is that Democrats take blame for “allowing” Wu to keep his job, despite years of weird behavior, said Allen Alley, chairman of the Oregon GOP.

    “The Democratic Party knew this was going on and they let the guy get elected,” Alley said. “They’re going to have to tell the electorate why they’re not responsible for it in any way, shape, or form, and I think that’s going to be hard.”

    It'll be important to keep that message from gaining traction, to focus on Ryancare, high tech issues, etc.

    "I hope; therefore, I can live."
    For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

    by tietack on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 06:54:38 AM PDT

    •  How can you blame people like Witt and Avakian (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jncca, tietack, MichaelNY

      who were running against him for "allowing" him to keep his job?  This is a nonsensical attack.

      "every time we start a pie fight a wingnut gets his wings"- MinistryofTruth -6.38, -4.15

      by James Allen on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 10:17:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  That message is a FAIL (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      tietack, MichaelNY

      The special will be between two candidates, and voters aren't going to be persuaded to hold Wu against the Democratic nominee.  The Democrat will swat it away easily by condemning Wu.  Scandal-plauged incumbents have resigned often in recent years, and never has the challenging party tried or succeeded in making the disgraced ex-Rep. a voting issue.  Even in Mark Foley's district, Dems picked it up in a strong Dem year only by a hair, even with Foley's own name still on the ballot!

      43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 07:35:31 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Jobless claims drop below key level: (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ArkDem14, askew, DCCyclone, MichaelNY

    why am I reminded of Bush promising to "fix" that budget surplus?  I'm thinking the House has new reasons to default the government:

    First-time claims for state unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week, dropping below the important 400,000 level for the first time since April, according to a government report on Thursday.

    Jobless claims dropped 24,000, to a seasonally adjusted 398,000, the Labor Department said.

    The drop below the 400,000 level that is normally associated with stable job growth will be welcome news for the economy after a recent string of weak data. Employment growth stumbled badly in May and June, with the increase in nonfarm payrolls totaling only 43,000.

    Economists had forecast that claims would fall to 415,000. The prior week’s figure was revised to 422,000 from 418,000.

    http://www.nytimes.com/...

    Avg. Medicaid cost to New Jersey: $1936 per child per year. Avg cost of helicopter commute for Governor: $2300 per hour. Guess which one Christie wants to cut back on?

    by Inland on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 06:56:53 AM PDT

    •  Slow recovery. very very slow (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, MichaelNY

      But, a recovery nonetheless.

    •  Was this unexpected? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      I surely didn't expect to see it, but it was definitely welcome, as long as it's not a blip.

      I've said this many times now, but I keep thinking back that argument from Michael Ettlinger, spread around by Ezra Klein, that the uncertainty over the debt ceiling was impeding hiring. I remember reading an article or two over the last few days, one of which may have been in The New York Times, that put forth a similar idea. And while it doesn't mean we are close to creating the number of jobs we need to bring full employment back to pre-recession levels quick enough (around 400,000 or 500,000 additional jobs per month, I'd guess), it's the difference between reelection and a lose for Obama or even a win and a blow out win. If we can in fact get job growth back up to around 200,000 jobs per month, it could also help to induce more hiring.

      I've actually suspected, or at least held out a remote hope, that one reason the debt ceiling talks have taken so long is that Obama has instructed his staff to try to work in a stimulus of some sort--the payroll tax cut extension or expansion, aid to the states, and/or the beginnings of some infrastructure spending. That last part would probably be particularly helpful, even if it only sent a signal to people that more money would eventually be pumped into the economy months down the line. Anything at this point is helpful, and perhaps that could nudge the numbers upwards, which would hopefully nudge the new numbers even higher.

      •  It was way below (i.e., better than) expectations (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        The consensus forecast was 415K, essentially unchanged from the previous week.

        We'll see if the sub-400 holds over time, but already the trend has been downward again for a month or more, and that's plenty good in its own right.

        This is one more reason Democrats will hold the line of demanding a debt limit hike through the election.  I do believe this political mayhem by the House ReTHUGS (yes they are THUGS) has badly rattled the business community nationally.  A li'l ol' shutdown threat doesn't bother them much, but extorting exorbitant ransom for a debt ceiling hike really is a nuclear bomb.

        Democrats are not going to agree to come back to this in 6 months.  When we have the likes of Dan Boren voting with Dennis Kucinich, you know we really are signaling a line in the sand that's inviolable.

        43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 07:40:57 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Businessmen have said this is impeding hiring. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          I've seen more than one article quoting people saying that this is making them very, very nervous, and for good reason. Hopefully,  as you implied, this will be a sign that these people are really that nuts, and that they can't be trusted to govern responsibly.

          That said, I am confident it will be resolved, if only on Sunday night at a very late hour. And if it is, I hope that it will allow things to pick up again. Perhaps it won't be reflected too much in the July numbers, but if not them, then in the August and September numbers.

  •  I know these anti-tax commercials win (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    elections, but they sure do make for difficult governing.  How's the state supposed to operate if someone doesn't raise taxes?  I hate that our side goes along with this approach to winning.

    If we don't fight hard enough for the things we stand for, at some point we have to recognize that we don't really stand for them. Paul Wellstone

    by Alice Olson on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 06:59:20 AM PDT

  •  Good Mornin Wakeup Too.......... (25+ / 0-)

    A fiscal? conservative? family values? super duper patriotic? supper duper supporter of the troops and veterans? and a real real real good 'christian'? kinda guy!


    CCR:"If you're a torturer, be careful in your travel plans. It's a slow process for accountability, but we keep going."

    by jimstaro on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 07:01:13 AM PDT

  •  why Kucinich bashing? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TheUnknown285

    I can't understand why a progressive Dem site would bash Kucinich.  Makes no sense to me.

    If looks could kill it would have been us instead of him.

    by jhannon on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 07:03:29 AM PDT

  •  PA-03 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TheUnknown285

    Dahlkemper wants to "split the difference?" That's why she lost. She was too wishy washy as she nearly derailed the ACA. Her opponents said she did everything she didn't do, and she ran from her accomplishments.

  •  So the Club for Growth (5+ / 0-)

    supports Walsh, a deadbeat dad, over holier-than-thou Evangelical family man Hultgren. Great. They support assholes.

  •  Michele Bachmann downplays more. (0+ / 0-)
  •  Oh jeez.... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dc1000, MichaelNY

    Some local Democratic officials in Massachusetts are pissed the Elizabeth Warren chatter. It's not like these local officials have found any good candidates yet to take on Brown. Look at Setti Warren's campaign. He's already in debt.

    http://www.politico.com/...

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 08:33:04 AM PDT

    •  I'm sympathetic to the complaints (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      They call her a "Beltway creation," and I'd modify that only to add "netroots' with a "/" in front of "Beltway" since Markos et al. were first to float her name.  This is something I've always worried about.  I dismissed her out of hand when it was netroots chatter, but am willing to take her seriously when the national party is truly interested.  And I generally trust the national party, they're not always right but they mostly do a good job.  But it's fair to wonder and worry that she's being hoisted by outsiders on a party and its electorate that aren't interested.

      I haven't seen any reporting at all that anyone in Massachusetts wants her to run for Senate.  If there's excitement in-state, please give me a cite or link.

      43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 07:48:47 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  CA Redistricting: Final Draft Map Released! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dc1000, MichaelNY

    Here it is. I'll be on the lookout for more analysis, and I'm looking more closely at how SoCal will play out for us (especially with the CA-47 VRA controversy and Janice Hahn's new district).

    •  Oh lordy, today isn't a good day... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Xenocrypt, ndrwmls10, dc1000

      To be an incumbent in Southern California, unless your name happens to be "Loretta Sanchez". CA-47 looks to be spared, but Orange County now gets a coastal district that may pit Dana Rohrabacher against John Campbell... aka Crazy Teabagger vs. Crazy Teabagger. Meanwhile in LA County, Janice Hahn is now drawn into a VRA seat that Maxine Waters will probably run in, so she'll either have to bite that bullet (unlikely) or run against Henry Waxman in a district that snakes its way from Mid-City LA & Beverly Hills to Torrance & Palos Verdes! Donde los yikes!

      •  Correction: Waters gets another district... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        Hahn is actually drawn into the district that Laura Richardson and Isadore Hall look to be competing in. Still, it could make for an ugly primary... Either way. Does Hahn want to risk burning bridges with the local African-American community that so loved her father, or does she want to hope and pray Henry Waxman will give up the Beverly Hills to Santa Monica to Palos Verdes district for her?

        •  No way does Waxman step aside (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          dc1000, LordMike, MichaelNY

          I haven't seen the map yet, but what's with their insistence on connecting beverly hills to the coast of L.A. and not to Malibu in like every map?

          25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

          by Xenocrypt on Thu Jul 28, 2011 at 09:18:23 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

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