The 3-judge panel in San Antonio has finally released the new maps for the Texas Congressional delegation. You can see the detailed map on theTexas District Viewer website, it is plan C220 (select Plans > Base > Plan Type: Congress > Category: All > PLANC220 Federal Court Proposed Congressional Plan).
This author does not like that he has been drawn into Ron Paul's old district (now TX-34), which will be a safe district for Rep. Blake Farenthold unless he gets primaried. The dividing line between the safe-blue 27th and 34th is on my back fence. Grrr. Maybe I should run for Congress.
UPDATE #1:
Here's the Congressional Map:
Also on Friday the Court also released maps for the state Senate (S164):
…and the state House (H302):
UPDATE #2:
Thanks to Kinak for the direct links.
UPDATE #3:
Thanks to Michael Li.
Here are the court’s orders on the interim congressional map, interim state Senate map, and interim State House map.
Here are the reports from the state’s RedAppl system showing election results for statewide candidates in each of the new congressional districts under Plan C220 from 2008 and 2010.
Here are the reports from the state’s RedAppl system showing election results for statewide candidates in each of the new state house districts under Plan H302 from 2008 and 2010.
UPDATE #4:
Thanks to David Nir/Darth Jeff: The major changes in this map are in the Rio Grande Valley, the DFW Metroplex, and around San Antonio/Austin.
The 23rd contains less of south-side San Antonio and less Democratic areas of El Paso County—this is good news for GOP Rep. Francisco “Quico” Canseco, but he's still in a tough D+1 district.
Austin is now split 3 ways instead of 5 thus Lloyd Doggett gets his 25th district back.
The 27th district is restored to a compact Corpus Christi-Brownsville based district, but current Rep. Blake Farenthold gets moved into Ron Paul' old very GOP friendly district. Currently only former Nueces County Democratic Party Chair Rose Meza Harrison has announced for the seat.
The major change in the Dallas-Forth Worth is the creation of a Fort Worth/Arlington based 33rd, which should be Dem-leaning as well. The racial demographics are unclear at first glance, but should at least be somewhat Hispanic-influenced.
The heavily Hispanic areas removed from the 23rd are placed in the new suburban San Antonio 35th District, which should be a solid Dem-leaning Hispanic majority seat.
Bottom line is 23 GOP seats, 12 Dem seats, and a whopping 1 swing district.
|
|
|
2008 |
2010 |
Avg PVI |
|
City |
Current Rep |
McCain |
Obama |
PVI |
Perry |
White |
PVI |
State |
|
|
55.4% |
43.6% |
R+12 |
55.0% |
42.3% |
R+13 |
R+13 |
1 |
Tyler |
Gohmert-R |
68.8% |
30.5% |
R+38 |
66.1% |
31.5% |
R+35 |
R+37 |
2 |
Houston NE |
Poe-R |
64.9% |
34.4% |
R+31 |
63.3% |
34.9% |
R+28 |
R+30 |
3 |
Dallas N |
Johnson-R |
61.4% |
37.4% |
R+24 |
63.7% |
33.6% |
R+30 |
R+27 |
4 |
Paris |
Hall-R |
69.6% |
29.4% |
R+40 |
64.0% |
33.0% |
R+31 |
R+36 |
5 |
Palestine |
Hensarling-R |
62.6% |
36.5% |
R+26 |
59.5% |
37.6% |
R+22 |
R+24 |
6 |
Dallas SW |
Barton-R |
54.3% |
44.8% |
R+10 |
52.3% |
44.5% |
R+8 |
R+9 |
7 |
Houston W |
Culberson-R |
56.6% |
42.5% |
R+14 |
54.4% |
44.0% |
R+10 |
R+12 |
8 |
Conroe |
Open |
73.5% |
25.6% |
R+48 |
70.8% |
26.8% |
R+44 |
R+46 |
9 |
Houston SW |
A. Green-D |
22.2% |
77.3% |
D+55 |
21.1% |
77.7% |
D+57 |
D+56 |
10 |
Austin N |
McCaul-R |
51.9% |
46.5% |
R+5 |
53.8% |
42.6% |
R+11 |
R+8 |
11 |
Midland |
Conaway-R |
76.0% |
23.0% |
R+53 |
72.6% |
23.9% |
R+49 |
R+51 |
12 |
Fort Worth W |
Granger-R |
64.9% |
34.1% |
R+31 |
63.2% |
33.4% |
R+30 |
R+31 |
13 |
Amarillo |
Thornberry-R |
76.9% |
22.2% |
R+55 |
71.7% |
24.6% |
R+47 |
R+51 |
14 |
Galveston |
Open |
57.3% |
41.9% |
R+15 |
56.1% |
41.7% |
R+14 |
R+15 |
15 |
McAllen |
Hinjosa-D |
37.4% |
61.9% |
D+25 |
38.8% |
59.6% |
D+21 |
D+23 |
16 |
El Paso |
Reyes-D |
32.4% |
66.6% |
D+34 |
35.6% |
62.4% |
D+27 |
D+31 |
17 |
Waco |
Flores-R |
65.9% |
33.2% |
R+33 |
60.4% |
36.3% |
R+24 |
R+29 |
18 |
Houston NW |
Jackson-Lee-D |
22.0% |
77.4% |
D+55 |
21.9% |
76.8% |
D+55 |
D+55 |
19 |
Lubbock |
Neugebauer-R |
71.1% |
28.0% |
R+43 |
67.9% |
28.2% |
R+40 |
R+42 |
20 |
San Antonio |
Gonzales-D |
40.4% |
58.5% |
D+18 |
40.2% |
56.9% |
D+17 |
D+18 |
21 |
Austin W |
Smith-R |
65.8% |
33.0% |
R+33 |
66.2% |
30.4% |
R+36 |
R+35 |
22 |
Fort Bend |
Olson-R |
58.6% |
40.6% |
R+18 |
58.3% |
40.1% |
R+18 |
R+18 |
23 |
Del Rio |
Canseco-R |
47.7% |
51.4% |
D+4 |
49.3% |
47.8% |
R+2 |
D+1 |
24 |
Dallas NW |
Marchant-R |
61.0% |
38.0% |
R+23 |
63.1% |
33.8% |
R+29 |
R+26 |
25 |
Austin S |
Doggett-D |
29.9% |
68.4% |
D+39 |
31.6% |
64.8% |
D+33 |
D+36 |
26 |
Denton |
Burgess-R |
63.7% |
35.4% |
R+28 |
65.1% |
31.5% |
R+34 |
R+31 |
27 |
Brownsville |
Open |
40.7% |
58.3% |
D+18 |
44.3% |
53.8% |
D+10 |
D+14 |
28 |
Laredo |
Cuellar-D |
40.7% |
58.6% |
D+18 |
39.9% |
57.9% |
D+18 |
D+18 |
29 |
Houston E |
R. Green-D |
37.2% |
62.0% |
D+25 |
32.1% |
66.3% |
D+34 |
D+30 |
30 |
Dallas S |
Johnson-D |
17.9% |
81.5% |
D+64 |
17.7% |
80.9% |
D+63 |
D+64 |
31 |
Georgetown |
Carter-R |
58.9% |
39.8% |
R+19 |
60.5% |
34.4% |
R+26 |
R+23 |
32 |
Dallas NE |
Sessions-R |
55.9% |
43.0% |
R+13 |
56.3% |
41.3% |
R+15 |
R+14 |
33 |
Ft Worth E |
Open |
36.8% |
62.5% |
D+26 |
37.0% |
60.6% |
D+24 |
D+25 |
34 |
Victoria |
Farenthold-R |
66.1% |
32.9% |
R+33 |
63.0% |
34.3% |
R+29 |
R+31 |
35 |
San Marcos |
Open |
44.4% |
54.4% |
D+10 |
45.2% |
51.4% |
D+6 |
D+8 |
36 |
Liberty |
Brady-R |
67.8% |
31.1% |
R+37 |
63.7% |
34.1% |
R+30 |
R+34 |
UPDATE #5:
After a weekend on comment the court revised the House and Senate maps this afternoon, now H302 and S164 respectively. The above links have been revised to reflect these changes (the images will remain the same). H302 tweaks districts in Harris County. I'm not sure what the Senate map changes yet.
UPDATE #6:
Coming demographic changes will endanger at least 4 GOP congressmen as the 6th (Barton), 7th (Culberson), 10th (McCaul), and 32nd (Sessions) will almost all be more competitive as more young hispanics reach voting age in the next decade.