USA Today Thursday morning online edition. I'll use Jon Saraceno's numbers again this week for perspective. Team with the asterisk beats the spread.
Teams: My Game Winner mov [USA Today spread](Saraceno mov)
AFC/NFC divisional match-ups
PIT @ SF*: SF 5 [2](3)
CIN*@ STL: CIN 12 [9](11)
CLE @ AZ*: AZ 8 [7](3)
BAL @ SD*: SD 8 [BAL 1.5](BAL 4)
DET @ OAK*: OAK 2 [1](4)
GB* @ KC: GB 16 [14](25)
NE* @ DEN: NE 7. [4.5](14)
NYJ*@ PHI: NYJ 3. [PHI 1](PHI 3)
CAR @ HOU*: HOU 11 [6.5](4)
JAC @ ATL*: ATL 14. [11](21)
Divisional match-ups
MIA*@ BUF: MIA 4 [BUF 1](BUF 3)
WAS@NYG*: NYG 9 [8](4)
TN* @ IND: TN 8. [6.5](10)
Conference match-ups
DAL*@ TB: DAL 10. [6.5](20)
NO* @ MN: NO 10 [7.5](21)
SEA*@ CHI: SEA 3. [CHI 4.5](CHI 8)
Since we're at the end of the regular season and some teams will sit first string players in the fourth quarter if they're ahead, margins of victory are difficult to predict. Computer and I didn't do too well last week trying to beat the spread; so I gave computer most of this week off and decided to adjust winners/scoring, relative to 'perceived stake in the game'. I also adjusted mov's for teams with a scoring average of 28+ ppg or -19 ppg.
And since the computer is a computer and doesn't care enough about super-ugly road losses this season, or marquee-player injuries, or player suspensions, I have adjusted for those as well (though I'm not counting Roethlisberger out for the SF game).
These spreads and picks are, by the way, provided purely for your amusement and enjoyment. Good luck to you this weekend as we head into the holiday bowl and playoff seasons.