Skip to main content

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner
Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here.
Leading Off:

CA-15: Holy simoleons! Rohit "Ro" Khanna, a former Deputy Assistant Secretary at the Commerce Department under Barack Obama's administration, just filed a truly wild fourth-quarter fundraising report. He pulled in an amazing $1.2 million in a single quarter, without self-funding—and without even really declaring whether he's seeking office or not! Khanna lives in Fremont and could conceivably mount a primary challenge to Dem Rep. Pete Stark, but in his FEC filings, he's refusing to say what district he's running in or even what year.

How about the money, though? Well, Khanna is tapping into the large Indian community in the U.S., which has raised a ton of cash for other Indian-American congressional hopefuls in recent years, like Ami Bera in California and Manan Trivedi in Pennsylvania. It also helps that none other than Nancy Pelosi attended a recent fundraiser which netted a cool $440K in a single night. (He's also been getting assistance from Gov. Jerry Brown and former cabinet secretary Norm Mineta.) Pelosi's involvement also tells us something, since it's hard to imagine her supporting a challenge against Stark in the primary, so she must be expecting Khanna to wait until the seat is open, perhaps next cycle.

Khanna did once try to oust a sitting incumbent Democrat, though: Back in 2004, he ran against the late Tom Lantos in CA-12, losing 74-20 (PDF), though he raised just a fraction of what he's already taken in this year. If and when Khanna does pull the trigger on a run, it will likely set off a massive primary battle with Senate Majority Leader Ellen Corbett, who has also long been eyeing this seat but might not wait until 2014.

4Q Fundraising:

MA-Sen: Sen. Scott Brown (R): $3.2 mil raised

MA-06: Richard Tisei (R): $305K raised (in 7 weeks)

NC-Gov: Gov. Bev Perdue (D): $1.3 mil raised, $2 mil cash-on-hand (for last 6 months of 2011)

NY-Sen: George Maragos (R): $1 mil self-loan

WI-01: Rob Zerban (D): $220K raised

Senate:

HI-Sen: Republican ex-Gov. Linda Lingle was just endorsed in her Senate bid by the State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers (aka SHOPO), the local police union.

MA-Sen: This makes me really love Elizabeth Warren. Mother Jones' headline, complete with pics: "Elizabeth Warren Stands Outside Fenway, in the Cold, Shaking Hands."

MD-Sen: Um, it's a little late to be taking a "second look" at the Maryland Senate race, seeing as how the filing deadline is on Wednesday. Nevertheless, Republican Eric Wargotz, who got a whopping 36% of the vote against Barbara Mikulski in 2010's Senate race, and who said in November that he wouldn't run against Ben Cardin for Maryland's other Senate seat, is re-evaluating. He says the Democratic primary challenge to Cardin from state Sen. C. Anthony Muse may provide an opportunity for him, presumably either in the form of a Muse victory or a banged-up Cardin. (David Jarman)

NE-Sen: After a bunch of reports over the weekend (such as this one and this one) suggested that Rep. Jeff Fortenberry would be a late entrant into the weak GOP primary field, RPR's Nathan Gonzales updated to say on Monday that Fortenberry will not, in fact, run after all. I also don't think anyone had expected Lee Terry to run for Senate, but with Fortenberry bowing out, Terry also felt compelled to chime in that he's not going to make the race, either.

Meanwhile, former Dem Sen. Bob Kerrey sounds a bit more serious than he did before, saying he's visiting Nebraska (he currently lives in New York City) to explore a comeback bid in the wake of Ben Nelson's retirement. Three other Dems have also said they're interested in running, but it sounds like they'll all defer to Kerrey if he gets in: former Lt. Gov. Kim Robak, state Sen. Steve Lathrop, and Univ. of Nebraska regent Chuck Hassebrook.

Finally, Robynn Tysver of the Omaha World-Herald also makes a good point: Nebraska's unusual election laws require incumbents to file to run by Feb. 15, whether they're seeking re-election or another office. This would affect guys like Lathrop and also GOP Gov. Dave Heineman, who has been doing his best to pretend like he might go for it. But non-office holders like Kerrey have until March 1 to submit their paperwork. So like a golfer shooting second off the tee, Kerrey will be able to judge the roll and bounce of the fairway before he has to make up his mind. (David Nir & David Jarman)

NJ-Sen: In response to news that state Senate President Stephen Sweeney is gearing up for a U.S. Senate run in 2014, a spokesman for Sen. Frank Lautenberg says his boss "will be prepared to meet any potential challenge." Sweeney could conceivably challenge Lautenberg in the primary then, when the incumbent will be 90 years old. I'd have figured Lautenberg would finally consider retirement, but given that he gladly un-retired back in 2002 when Bob "The Torch" Torricelli went down in flames, then showed no interest in leaving the stage when he was up for re-election in 2008, perhaps I really shouldn't be betting against old Frank.

TX-Sen: Another seemingly against-type endorsement for former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee: This time he's backing Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst in the GOP Senate primary in Texas. Not long ago, he gave his support to Tommy Thompson in the Wisconsin Senate race, but at least the two of them were fellow governors. Dewhurst, a sort of mainstream business conservative, doesn't seem to fit the Huck mold, but maybe Huckabee's trying to broaden his base of support for a possible second presidential run in 2016.

UT-Sen: The infamous "clown car" dynamic (where a slew of challengers pile into a primary with the goal of taking out a weakened incumbent, but only wind up cancelling each other out and letting the incumbent survive) seems to be kicking into gear in Utah's Senate race, where Orrin Hatch just drew a second GOP primary opponent. Three-term state Rep. Chris Herrod of Provo joins Hatch and ex-state Sen. Dan Liljenquist, apparently trying to carve out space on the ultra-right as he's one of the state's main immigration hawks. Think back to Bob Bennett's demise, though: The clown car problem in the Beehive State may be diminished by Utah's unique nomination process, where an activist-dominated convention can winnow the field before the primary or even deliver a winner outright. (Of course, Hatch has learned from Bennett's mistakes and has worked to earn back into the Tea Partiers' good favor, so Hatch presumably has better odds of surviving the convention.) (David Jarman)

VA-Sen: Hardcore social conservative state Del. "Sideshow" Bob Marshall has been teasing us for more than a year about getting into the GOP primary in this race (which, of course, at this point looks like an easy stroll for George Allen... unless Marshall gets in). But he may, just may, be getting serious about this: There are now reports that he's starting to collect signatures to get on the primary ballot. (David Jarman)

WI-Sen: If anyone else was still thinking about competing against Rep. Tammy Baldwin for the Democratic Senate nomination, that window of opportunity looks like it's on the verge of closing. On Monday evening, retiring Sen. Herb Kohl gave his backing to Baldwin, who is the only prominent Dem in the race.

Gubernatorial:

NC-Gov: This sure is a strange way not to run for governor: Dem state Rep. Bill Faison, who has insisted for some time that he isn't planning a primary challenge to Gov. Bev Perdue, is nevertheless going up on the airwaves with an issue spot lamenting what he calls the state's "jobs crisis." It has some of the weakest production values I've seen in a while, though (you can watch it at the link), and of course, there's no word on the size of the buy.

UT-Gov: Utah's other clown car just got a little more clown-stuffed on Monday as well. David Kirkham, who's billed as the "leading tea party activist in the state" (and apparently its leading fan of significant digits) has said he's "99.99%" certain to get in the race. It's likely that, at this point, Gov. Gary Herbert is more vulnerable in a GOP convention and/or primary than Orrin Hatch; Herbert is considered "moderate" by Utah's skewed standards and ticked off the red-meat crowd with his support for a guest worker program for immigrants (meaning he could, a la Bob Bennett, not make the cut for the primary if he finishes third or worse at the convention). Kirkham joins ex-state Rep. (and 2010 UT-02 loser) Morgan Philpot and current state Rep. Ken Sumsion in the RINO hunt. (David Jarman)

House:

AZ-04, AZ-01: Big news out of Arizona, where GOP freshman Paul Gosar announced over the weekend that he'll seek re-election in the redrawn 4th CD, rather than the 1st, where he serves at present. Most of Gosar's current territory remains in the 1st: Only about a third of the new 4th is made up of people he currently represents. But the 4th is very red, and the 1st seems to have been made a bit bluer. Gosar was also facing a pretty serious challenge from the woman he beat last cycle in the 1st, ex-Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick.

In the 4th, however, he'll have to deal with a primary fight. Pinal County Sheriff Paul Babeu is already in the race and has been raising some decent cash, plus he brings a somewhat prominent public profile to the race. They might also be joined by state Sen. Ron Gould. (Babeu's campaign wouldn't comment directly on the development, but criticized Gosar for making his announcement on the one-year anniversary of the deadly Tucson shooting which also badly wounded Rep. Gabrielle Giffords.) While ordinarily you might be thinking a multi-way primary field would help Gosar, given how much of this turf is new to him (plus the fact that the 4th is just simply an enormous district, geographically speaking), I think this race could be wide open, at least as far as the Republican nomination is concerned.

(Also, as something of an aside, for everyone who thought New Jersey's Steve Rothman wasn't being a team player when he decided to run in NJ-09 instead of NJ-05, note that the 9th contains the majority of Rothman's current constituents, and that the 5th is already GOP-held. Gosar, by contrast, is switching out of a district that houses most of his constituents purely to save his hide—and is putting the 1st at even greater risk of turning into a Democratic pickup. Plus, I'd argue that Gosar had a much better chance to hold the 1st than Rothman would have had trying to pick up the 5th. So if I were a Republican, I'd be pretty pissed at Gosar right now… except I'm not, so of course I'm delighted.)

In any event, the Gosar switch had been anticipated for some time, so the news isn't especially surprising. It also helps explain why some Republicans had already reportedly been looking at the seat in the 1st in case Gosar bailed. The Arizona Capitol Times mentions two: former state Rep. Bill Konopnicki and Arizona Corporation Commission Chairman Gary Pierce. (The Corporation Commission is the state's equivalent of a public utilities commission.) The Arizona Republic mentions another: ex-state Sen. Jonathan Paton, who was the establishment favorite for the GOP nod in Gabby Giffords' old AZ-08 last cycle. (Paton lost to Tea Party favorite Jesse Kelly, who in turn was narrowly beaten by Giffords.)

CA-26: We've got our first confirmed Republican in the field to replace long-time Rep. Elton Gallegly, who announced his retirement this weekend in the face of a redrawn, much-bluer district. It's Ventura County Supervisor Linda Parks, who has a mavericky reputation (and may in fact run as "no party preference," which is possible under California's new Top 2 primary system). Also widely considered likely to enter—though no comment from him yet—is Republican state Sen. Tony Strickland, which would set up something of a grudge match, as Parks won her post by defeating Strickland's wife, then-Assemblywoman Audra Strickland.

One other potential GOP candidate who sounds interested is Simi Valley city councilor Glen Becerra. On the flipside, Ventura Co. DA Greg Totten has taken his name out of circulation. (It's worth noting that a Tony Strickland run here would open up his state Senate seat, which might vacuum up a lot of the local GOPers lower on the totem pole than him.) Democrat and fellow Ventura County Supervisor Steve Bennett is probably the overall favorite here now, though, given the new district's lean. (David Jarman)

CA-44: I'm surprised this member-vs.-member Dem primary hasn't attracted anywhere near the same number of public endorsers from the California delegation as the nearby Berman/Sherman tussle, as it seems like a much easier choice: Janice Hahn, or the ethically-troubled, bad-headline-generating Laura Richardson. John Garamendi is the second House Dem from California to weigh in on the race Monday; he and Grace Napolitano both back Hahn. Roll Call's writeup also reminds us of a Hahn internal poll from back in August, which had Hahn leading Richardson 47-26 in a two-person race. (That's suddenly relevant, seeing as how Assemblyman and third-wheel Isadore Hall recently dropped out.) (David Jarman)

CO-07: Not to be deterred by the damage that the Pete Coors Senate campaign of 2004 did to the family name (to say nothing of the damage caused by a hundred-plus years of putting out a crappy product), another member of the brewing dynasty is contemplating a run for office. This time, it's Joe Coors, Jr. (Pete's older brother), who's reportedly about to kick off a run against Democratic Rep. Ed Perlmutter in the Dem-leaning suburban 7th. (David Jarman)

IL-08: Another big get for Tammy Duckworth: She just secured the backing of the SEIU's Illinois Council, which has considerable resources it can bring to bear in a race like this. Meanwhile, Duckworth's opponent in the Democratic primary, Raja Krishnamoorthi, announced the endorsement of state Sen. Michael Noland. Ordinarily, state legislative endorsements aren't exactly a major deal, but Noland's a fairly big player, and more important, he's from the city of Elgin in Kane County, which is demographically quite different from the base in Schaumburg & DuPage that both Raja and Duckworth are drawing from.

KY-04: Roll Call's Joshua Miller has a good backgrounder on the brewing GOP primary in the open 4th CD, with interesting details on the various candidates in the race so far (and those likely to join).

MA-04: Here's one additional detail about Democrat Joseph P. Kennedy III that sure makes it sound like he's going to run for Congress: On Feb. 1, he's moving to the city of Newton, a key town in the 4th CD which might even be described as the heart of the district. (Previously, as you've probably heard, Kennedy said he'd form an exploratory committee to look at a bid for Barney Frank's open seat.)

Meanwhile, at least three Democrats who had been looking at the race now say they're not going to run: Brookline Selectwoman Jesse Mermell, former Brookline Selectwoman Deborah Goldberg, and state Sen. Cindy Creem. While Creem said she made her decision before Kennedy started talking about the race, Goldberg specifically cited his interest as a reason for her lack thereof. So it's starting to look like we're already seeing Kennedy clear the field.

ME-01: Republican state Senate Majority Leader Jon Courtney promised a decision about whether he'd challenge Dem Rep. Chellie Pingree "soon after Thanksgiving," but that obviously didn't happen. (For that, my metric would be "Do you still have leftovers in your fridge from Turkey Day?") Jonathan Riskind of the Portland Press Herald did check in with him, though, and now Courtney is saying he's "not moving in that direction. It is probably pretty unlikely." A major reason he cited is the fact that Pingree recently married billionaire hedge fund manager Donald Sussman, which means she now has access to unlimited funds for her re-election. (Pretty ironic, if that's the right term, for a former head of Common Cause!)

MS-01: I don't think Rep. Alan Nunnelee will have too much to worry about in the GOP primary, but he is getting an opponent from the teabaggish right who has at least served in office before: former Eupora Mayor and Circuit Judge Henry Ross. I would point out, though, that Eupora is a town of about 2,000 people. Plus, the primary is quite soon—March 13—so Ross doesn't exactly have a lot of time left.

NE-02: Glenn Freeman, a former chair of the Douglas County Republican Party and a one-time aide to Sen. Chuck Hagel, became the third challenger to enter the Republican primary against Rep. Lee Terry. I'm not getting the sense that Freeman has a lot of juice, which means that he probably only adds to the clown car effect and should help rather than hurt the "moderate" Terry.

NY-10: It's finally official: Assemblyman Hakeem Jeffries, who's been laying the groundwork for a while for a Democratic primary challenge to long-time seat-filler Ed Towns, will be announcing his campaign kickoff this weekend. Towns has survived many primary challenges in this dark-blue district before, though, and Jeffries may yet have to worry about getting clown-carred by one of NYC's biggest clowns, City Councilman Charles Barron, who is already in the race. (David Jarman)

NY-24, NH-01: These two districts ordinarily have nothing to do with each other, but they're bound by the theme of presidential endorsements. On the one hand, Richard Hanna just gave Jon Huntsman his first congressional endorsement, which might seem like an open invitation for a teabagger primary challenge, but not out of character given Hanna's status as probably the most moderate member of the GOP freshman class and his archetypally Rockefeller Republican upstate New York district. On the other hand, Frank Guinta, maybe the most-watched House member this weekend thanks to the New Hampshire primary, seemingly chickened out and decided not to endorse anyone.

One other related side note: Mike Memoli reports seeing NH-Gov candidate Ovide Lamontagne at a Huntsman house party on Sunday. That may just be a courtesy call more than an open show of support, but it's still a weird bit of repositioning for Lamontagne, who re-emerged from oblivion and came within a hair's breadth of becoming Senator in 2010 by hitching his wagon to the Tea Party, to be hanging with Huntsman. Guess he has the general election in his sights, though he still has a Republican primary of his own to get through. (David Jarman)

OR-01: The DCCC may well use that full million-plus dollars in ad space that they reserved for the Jan. 31 special election, at the rate they're going (despite polling suggesting the race is a layup... or at least a lightly contested jump shot... for Suzanne Bonamici). They pumped in $197K in independent expenditures late last week; Roll Call's Kyle Trygstad reckons the total D-Trip expenditures are now nearly $700K. Meanwhile, hot on the heels of her endorsement by ex-AG Dave Frohnmayer last week, Bonamici also scored a big endorsement from another keeper of the flame of Northwest-style moderate Republicanism: the editorial page of the state's paper of record, the Oregonian. (David Jarman)

PA-01: As much as we at Daily Kos Elections like to get steamed about redistricting intrigue, trading accusations about gerrymandering usually doesn't have much resonance on the actual campaign trail. Well, that's not stopping Bob Brady's Democratic primary opponent, retired judge Jimmie Moore, who's now launching attacks on Brady based on his complicity in passing the GOP's redistricting map (which passed over some reservations within the GOP caucus, thanks to crossover votes from Brady allies in the Democratic legislative caucus—though Republicans themselves provided the final margin). (David Jarman)

PA-11: Ordinarily, when someone identified in the media as "activist" enters a race, it's a clear Some Dude indication. Gene Stilp, who announced for the Democratic primary on Monday, however, seems like he's well-known enough that he might have some staying power: He was one of the leaders of the efforts to fight the controversial legislative pay raise of 2005 that still rankles a lot of hides today, became known for driving a large pig-shaped bus around the state (yes, there's a picture at the link), and narrowly lost a state House race to a Republican incumbent amidst 2010's red tide. However, conventional wisdom would still probably favor Bill Vinsko, an attorney who's already garnered some labor support, for the Dem nod to take on GOP frosh Lou Barletta. (David Jarman)

PA-12: Rep. Jason Altmire just rolled out the now-standard boatload of endorsements from local elected officials, much like Rep. Mark Critz did in December. (The two, of course, have been mashed together in a single seat and will face off in the Democratic primary.) Keegan Gibson of PoliticsPA says that at least a couple of names are from Critz's end of the district, rather than Altmire's:

The mayor of Lower Burrell is a current Critz constituent (LB is Altmire's home town). Monroeville (whose mayor is also on the list) was not in either district before or the newly merged one now, but its suburbs are.

PA-18: Well, that was quick. Just days after suggesting that ex-state Rep. Ralph Kaiser could plausibly run against GOP Rep. Tim Murphy, PoliticsPA managed to get him on the horn and the answer is a flat "no." Kaiser said he'd considered the race when Murphy was still considering a Senate bid (and that he'd even been recruited by the DCCC), but once Murphy decided to seek re-election, Kaiser lost interest. (P.S. Check out the awesome caption at the first link.)

TN-04: One domino has already fallen in the immediate aftermath of the release of Tennessee's new congressional map, where one of the biggest actions was moving Rutherford Co., home of Murfreesboro, into the formerly mostly-rural 4th. After briefly saying over the weekend that he wasn't ruling out a run here, state Sen. Jim Tracy (who narrowly lost the TN-06 GOP primary to Diane Black in 2010) said on Monday that he would not make a bid. Lou Ann Zelenik, the Tea Party standard-bearer in the TN-06 2010 GOP field, also said that she wouldn't join the field. (Black had also been concerned that these two might seek a rematch in the 6th, which is why she wanted Rutherford—and thus these candidates—out of her district entirely.)

The big GOP name here, though, is state Sen. Bill Ketron, who is widely expected to run here since he directly had a hand in reconfiguring this seat to his liking. Earlier reports indicated he'd decide on Monday, but Ketron said he's still thinking about it (though he did say he "feels a calling" to the race). Lost in all this is that there's still a GOP incumbent here, Scott DesJarlais, one of the many random teabaggers who got swept into office in 2010 without having previously made any friends in the local establishment. The not-yet-entrenched DesJarlais (from near Chattanooga) may be at a disadvantage here seeing as how the district's center of gravity is now in Murfreesboro, and so he's already up with radio ads introducing himself to new constituents. (The Dems already have a state senator on deck here too, Eric Stewart, though this is a pretty red district on paper.) (David Jarman)

WA-01: Call me Ishmael... Larry Ishmael. The Republican who in 2006 and 2008 failed to catch the white whale that is Jay Inslee is picking his harpoon back up for another campaign, this time in the open and reconfigured 1st. This ensures that the GOP will have almost as crowded a field as the Dems in this race's Top 2 primary, where 2010 WA-02 loser John Koster and 2010 WA-01 loser James Watkins are already in. Ishmael is at least one step up from Some Dude: He used to be president of the Issaquah School Board. (Although, on his campaign's bio page, notice the lengths he goes to, to avoid saying which school board he served on... Issaquah isn't in the 1st, though now he lives within the 1st's bounds in Redmond). (David Jarman)

Grab Bag:

Special Elections: Johnny Longtorso is back with a trio of races taking place on Tuesday:

Connecticut HD-24: This is a Dem-held seat in parts of New Britain and Newington; the candidates are Democrat Rick Lopes, a former New Britain alderman, Republican Peter Steele, an executive assistant to a former New Britain Mayor, and independent Thomas Bozek. Bozek is a former conservaDem state Senator who lost to Donald DeFronzo twice in 2002: first, DeFronzo beat him in a primary, then he switched parties and ran as a Republican in the general... and lost again, 54-46. But wait, that's not all: He lost to DeFronzo a third time in 2008, by a 69-31 margin.

Minnesota SD-59: An open Dem seat in Minneapolis, this one should be no trouble for the DFL to hold. The Democratic nominee is Kari Dziedzic (note to Kari: never run as a write-in), a former Paul Wellstone aide and communications director in the Hennepin County Attorney office. The Republicans have nominated college student Ben Schwanke.

Minnesota HD-61B: Remember when Jeff Hayden was elected to the State Senate? This is his House seat, an uber-safe Democratic district in Minneapolis. The DFL nominee is Susan Allen, a tax and tribal law attorney. If elected (and that's pretty much a certainty), she'll be the first Native American woman to serve in the Minnesota state legislature. Oh, and she's a lesbian. How's that for diversity? Her opponent is independent Nathan Blumenshine, who's a carpenter and former volunteer for now-Sen. Hayden and is running on a left-wing platform.

Redistricting Roundup:

CA Redistricting: Democratic consultant Jason Kinney, who writes at the site California Majority Report, utterly demolishes Republican claims that their proposed referendum to overturn the new state Senate map is "almost certain to qualify" for the ballot this fall. In fact, quite the opposite: The bottom line is that in a preliminary review, too few signatures turned up valid, based on historical trends. A complete (and expensive) examination of all petitions must now be undertaken, but with the past as a guide, things look very bad for GOP hopes. Click the link for Kinney's detailed analysis.

CA Redistricting: One question that's often puzzled me is why California doesn't "nest" two Assembly districts inside each of its Senate districts, like most states with a 2:1 ratio of upper chamber to lower chamber seats do, instead opting for a completely different tangle. The conservative Rose Institute has an interesting piece out arguing that even if there was a strong desire to do so, there probably wouldn't be a way to draw a "nested" map that complied with the VRA, because it wouldn't result in enough Hispanic-majority seats to represent the population as a whole. (I sense a cool map-drawing project here for the many DRA enthusiasts at our site....) (David Jarman)

MN Redistricting: The judicial panel hearing Minnesota's redistricting lawsuit (necessary because the GOP-held legislature showed no interest in reaching any kind of deal with Dem Gov. Mark Dayton) just heard oral arguments last week and plans to release the state's new congressional map on Feb. 21.

TN Redistricting, TN-09: Wowza. Rep. Steve Cohen, the only Jewish congressman in Tennessee history, says that nearly all the Jewish voters and Jewish institutions in his 9th District would be moved into the 8th under the legislature's proposed new map. Cohen doesn't seem to think this is part of any nefarious plot to divest him of part of his base, but rather that the GOP was doing a favor for Republican Rep. Stephen Fincher in the neighboring 8th, by giving him a swath of well-to-do East Memphis for the purposes of enhancing his already-considerable fundraising operation. Who knows whether any changes will actually happen, but Bartholomew Sullivan in the Memphis Commercial Appeal reports that Republican state Senate Majority Leader Mark Norris "said he spoke with Cohen… and said he told Cohen he would look into the matter and try to help resolve it."

TX Redistricting: The U.S. Supreme Court heard oral arguments yesterday in the Texas redistricting case over court-drawn interim maps that were intended to be used for the 2012 elections. (As you doubtless will recall, the SCOTUS rather stunningly blocked implementation of those maps last month, so now the justices have to figure out exactly which maps will get deployed.) Michael Li has some thoughts on what transpired, and since he's such a succinct writer, I don't usually like trying to summarize him when he opines on legal matters, so I'd encourage you to click through and read his post yourself. I also want to recommend two other reactions that Li links to: Rick Hasen's and Lyle Denniston's. And if you're inclined, you can read a transcript of the hearing here (PDF).

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 05:00 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  unsurprisingly (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, itskevin, MichaelNY

    my little survey I posted last night, the approvals of Obama went further down once I posted a link on the main page, but they were still overall much more approving than not.  Only Taxes and the Budget Deficit had a plurality on somewhat disapproving, and views on Afghanistan were very evenly divided.

    Unsurprisingly just about every DKEer said Gay Rights were "Very Important".

    Surprisingly, more than 90% said they're Democrats, all the rest were not members of a party.  I'd have thought there'd be a bit less Democrats, more diversity.

    I changed by not changing at all, small town predicts my fate, perhaps that's what no one wants to see. -6.38, -4.15

    by James Allen on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 05:25:49 AM PST

  •  Dziedzic (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, James Allen, MichaelNY

    I imagine that name is pronounced somewhat similarly to the famous (for its spelling) California desert settlement of Zzyzx...

  •  Jerry Lewis and Wally Herger to retire? (4+ / 0-)

    This allows David Dreier to run for CA-31 if he'd like to, which is good new for Republicans in my opinion, and Herger's ~53% McCain seat should be safe R.

    http://www.flashreport.org/...

    http://www.redding.com/...

  •  Wally Herger retiring (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, sapelcovits, MichaelNY

    and has endorsed State Sen. Doug LaMalfa to succeed him.
    http://www.redding.com/...

    27, Male, MA-08 (hometown MI-06)

    by bumiputera on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 05:59:41 AM PST

  •  First NH votes counted (6+ / 0-)

    Dixville Notch and Hart's Location (both tiny) traditionally cast their votes at midnight. neither have good bellwether records, but here are the results anyway (note that these are ballots, not %s):

    Dixville Notch: Romney 2, Huntsman 2, Gingrich 1, Paul 1

    Hart's Location: Romney 5, Paul 4, Huntsman 2, Perry 1, Gingrich 1

    Also, in Dixville Notch Obama got 3 votes, meaning he got a plurality of all votes cast. ;)

    21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

    by sapelcovits on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 06:09:35 AM PST

  •  CA-31? Jerry Lewis may be retiring too (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, BENAWU, MichaelNY

    http://www.humanevents.com/...

    With the well-placed "Flash Report" breaking the early news on the West Coast, GOP Reps. Jerry Lewis and Wally Herger will soon declare that they are not running again.  Lewis, past chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, came to Congress in 1978 and Herger, senior GOP Member of the House Ways and Means Committee, was first elected in '86

    "I hope; therefore, I can live."
    For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

    by tietack on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 06:13:29 AM PST

  •  John Liu is giving out (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, jncca, MichaelNY

    too many thank-you notes personally. This is deeply suspicious, according to the Times.

    Ok, so I read the polls.

    by andgarden on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 06:16:08 AM PST

    •  When it rains, it pours. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, MichaelNY

      The press is really slicing him to pieces.  A day doesn't seem to go by when they uncover something else small but that adds to the drip of negative reporting.  I've been a fan of is and he was who I planned to support but after too many stories like this http://www.nypost.com/... I'm seriously considering whether I want to switch to either Stringer or DiBlasio.

      Still a long way off to 2013 but he's starting to look like damaged goods.  Which is too bad since I think he's been doing an excellent job as comptroller.  But the blame for this falls squarely on his shoulders.  He cut too many corners in his campaign and thought no one would notice.  They have.

  •  Regarding Pa-01 (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, oceanview, MichaelNY

    and the idea that charges of complicity in gerrymandering don't echo on the campaign trail: they may not impact the general public but I think they may have greater impact in a primary and specifically on the activists you need to run a campaign. I don't know the lay of this district. But I think his full-throated and aggressive support of a the horrific gerrymander of Ohio and his smear of Democrats in the legislature for fighting for a fairer deal nailed shut the coffin on Dennis Kucinich's political career. It's on life support now anyway, with the district having been made more friendly to the incumbent he was pitted against by the GOP, Marcy Kaptur (he didn't mind THAT — he seemed to presume that of course HE would prevail) and a dynamic young candidate on his home turf to poach Cleveland-area votes.

    Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07. http://www.ewaynepowell.com/

    by anastasia p on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 06:38:19 AM PST

  •  The Khanna story is bizarre (5+ / 0-)

    I've never heard of him.  I'll ask around my Indian-American Demoratic circles, but his name has never been mentioned before...although my circles are all tied to eastern/central politics, the West Coast crowd is its own community.  Getting those kinds of heavy hitters involved is shocking, there have been plenty of good declared candidates in competitive races over the years who don't get that kind of love.  How does he do it?  And $1.2M without a declared district is beyond shocking.  I have no idea what to make of this.  Like I said, I'll ask around and see what I can find out.

    43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 06:39:22 AM PST

    •  Maybe he's just quite determined and willing (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, DCCyclone, dc1000, MichaelNY

      to use his relatively high status to his advantage. Whatever the case, it's impressive and quite heartening to see. If nothing else, it should serve as a reminder to Democrats that resources are out there and that preparing for a fight is definitely possible.

      •  I'm very familiar with Indian-American money &... (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Setsuna Mudo, MichaelNY

        ...it's unheard of for a Congressional candidate to raise that kind of money.  And this guy is doing it without a declared district!  I've been personally involved in some Indian-American campaigns, including for Congress, and even with guys dedicated to call time it doesn't flow this easily.

        43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 07:13:33 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  Khanna ran as the anti-Iraq War candidate (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone, MichaelNY

        against Lantos since Lantos was one of Bay Area Representatives to vote for the war. I thought I read so diaries here or stories about his candidacy.

        •  I know Ro (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          even did some phone banking for him when he did run against Lantos...was supporting Ro's anti-war status against Lantos.  I wouldn't call him a friend, but we'd recognize each other and during all my interactions with him, I felt that he is a nice guy.

          But I've shifted out of the local politics for a year or two and totally lost track of the guy.  As a matter of fact, I was wondering about where he went recently...and this answers my question!

          He's a young guy.  Smart, lawyer, motivated with business interests and progressive values.  Haven't gone yet to read what he's got on his website, but I would support him again.  

          Heck, if candidate with anti-war, progressive values had the balls to run a Quixotic charge against Lantos in "the" days, he isn't afraid to take a few hits and stand up for what he believes...so good for him.

          "If I can't change the world, I'll change the world within my reach" - Catie Curtis & Mark Erelli

          by Heather in SFBay on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 01:51:20 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  I dug into the list (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, DCCyclone, MichaelNY

      And he really doesn't seem to be accessing a single company or industry, though its tech heavy (duh).  Physician.attorney/executive/finance professionals all seem to be a big occupation for donating, which again isn't a huge surprise.  

      It looks like he got around $95K from Homemakers too, and a quick check seems to show that some of his supporters are maxing out through spouses as is often the case.

      So nothing fishy, which is nice.  But the whole "unknown district" is odd.

  •  Bizarre Bain strategy by Romney rivals (6+ / 0-)

    I absolutely love the Bain-centered cat fud, but this is a major fail IMO by Romney's rivals.  I can't imagine rank-and-file Republican voters responding favorably to attacks on Romney over Bain.  They just don't think like we do.

    I don't know, maybe Newt et al. found these attacks polled well or worked in focus groups?...but I doubt it, these other campaigns are not that organized.  Santorum admits he doesn't even have a pollster.

    So I think these guys are just taking a shot in the dark, going after something that hasn't been tried before on the GOP side to attack Mitt.  They might be thinking to themselves "well the health care thing isn't working, and neither is anything else."  But what's stupid about that is that they didn't even really try to wage a sustained attack on all that other stuff.  They've half-assed it the whole time.  A sustained barrage on so many other things could work, had it been done earlier.  But now they are just grasping at straws.

    And yet, they are truly helping us.  Swing voters are skeptical of campaign attacks, they resist them and it takes a lot of work to get them to buy into a narrative.  But like jurors in a trial, swing voters are more easily persuaded by statements against interest...so when you have a candidate's own fellow partisans attacking him on something for the primaries, that makes it easier to get swing voters, too, to buy in later when it counts.

    43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 06:45:05 AM PST

    •  They are probably thinking of a splintered (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, DCCyclone, MichaelNY

      base and having one or two parts respond to give them a victory, somewhere. Or maybe Kevin Drum is right when he says that Newt will do whatever it takes to build himself up, even if it means torching others and destroying the party in the process. Perry's not too bright, so it makes sense he'd follow because it seems easy.

      For us, it really is incredible. They are quite literally doing our dirty work for us, launching almost unfair attacks against him that will become part of his image. We get the benefits without having to lift a finger, without our nominee sacrificing one of his biggest assets, his nice, reasonable guy image, for a small benefit.

      •  Phony response by Team Mitt (4+ / 0-)

        Mark Murray of MSNBC/First Read reports that Romney's people say this gives them a "head start" in dealing with this stuff.

        That's so much wishfulness on their part.

        They're treating this as something ephemeral with a passing shelf life, rather than something that shapes a lasting image of Romney.  But even if they're right, it makes no difference if Bain gets highlighted now or in May, either way the issue would expire from voters' minds long before the election.  And if they're wrong like I think they are, then this potentially damages Mitt's public image as it keeps coming up again and again.

        43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 07:18:15 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  20 Years Ago That Was True..... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, itskevin

      ....now the Republican Party base is made up of the very people most likely to have lost their jobs by Mitt Romney or his lookalikes.  This may not necessarily be the case in New Hampshire, but by and large I think the country music-listening Tea Party types would have a major problem with Willard's Bain Capital history.  

      •  I'd be pretty surprised if (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        " the Republican Party base is made up of the very people most likely to have lost their jobs by Mitt Romney".  Even in 2010, the Republicans lost the under-100k crowd and won the over-100k crowd according to CNN's national House exit poll:

        http://www.cnn.com/...

        Now, Republicans did well among all white people, including white people making under 50k.  But that's a very different thing than "the very people most likely to have lost their jobs by Mitt Romney", and again, I'd need a lot of evidence to be convinced of that.  (And Republicans did better among over-50k whites than they did among under-50k whites.)

        Republicans did indeed do better among whites who are not college grads than they do among whites who are--although they easily win both groups.  As Tim Noah points out, classifying people with "some college" is tricky, and I think that's the key to explaining this:

        http://www.tnr.com/...

        But overall I think that Republicanism is correlated with income.

        26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

        by Xenocrypt on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 08:45:05 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Oh, and (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          Democrats won "Yes" in "Anyone in Household Lost a Job in Last Two Years?".  Republicans won "No".  Republicans did win "Worse" on "Family Financial Situation", but again, that's not the same thing as "most likely to have been fired by Mitt Romney".

          26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

          by Xenocrypt on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 08:50:09 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

        •  The Trendline Is Hard To Deny..... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          jncca

          I read Tim Noah's article but it seems like he's splitting hairs.  Sure, there are a lot of small business owners among the whites "with some college" demographics, but as the blue-collar territory on the map keeps slipping away from us (first the rural South, then Appalachia, then southwest Pennsylvania, and at least in 2010, pretty much every remaining working-class bastion left in the Rust Belt), I don't think we're doing ourselves any our favors by bending into a pretzel denying where things are going.  

          While it's a challenge for our party, it's an even bigger challenge for the Republicans, being more dependent every day on the votes of the people it considers freeloading parasites who "pay nothing in taxes" and is overpaid, dead-weight with more financial security than it deserves in a dynamic economy.  It's gonna be fascinating to see how the GOP maintains a coalition of plutocrats and Wal-Mart employees.

          •  I think "base" means (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            The largest or most certain group of supporters.  And I think it's hard to deny that's a pretty well-off group on the Republican side.

            As "What's the Matter with Connecticut" points out, there's a difference between individual-level and region-level demographic correlations.  It also points out that, in the South, there remains a positive county-level correlation between income and partisanship.  I think many of the strongest Republican CDs in the South are fairly affluent.  Think about Bachmann's district in MN as well.

            And, as I think Noah suggests (or something similar) some of the areas you mention are also losing population.  So even if they get more Republican, their importance in the overall Republican coalition might not increase proportionally.

            Also, there's a difference between "white and didn't graduate from college" and "likely to be fired, pays no income tax".  Do you have any numbers on the latter group?  I'm trying to be accurate, not hair-splitting.

            26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

            by Xenocrypt on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 09:46:30 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

      •  Except no one knows these companies (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        It'd be different if these arguments actually resonated (like say huge layoffs at General Electric) but most of these companies are unheard of.

        While I get the painting the picture, its not like many steel mills or manufacturers of any kind avoided layoffs in the early 2000's.  Sure you can blame Mitt for these, but its just not a message that sticks.

        Also, I'm not sure who is being targeted.  I still think people have made up their minds.  I don't think Romney's soft supporters will be swayed much by hearing about 1,300 employees laid off at XYZ Manufacturing Corporation when we're talking about the need for millions of good jobs.  heck, Mitt can blame some of these layoffs on NAFTA if he wants.

        •  People Are Looking For Someone To Blame..... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          ....for their increasingly hardscrabble existence, and whether or not the case against Willard holds up substantively may not be relevant if he becomes a caricature of everything that's wrong.  It's a ploy worth trying as far as I'm concerned, even for struggling Republican primary challengers moving on to South Carolina.

        •  rdw, I agree w/you 100% on GOP side, but... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          ...swing voters and of course Democrats are very open to persuasion that what Romney did is a real problem and a reason to vote against him.

          Among Republicans, they will rationalize away his deeds.

          Partisan preference causes a lot of cognitive dissonance, whereby a Democrat with Romney's exact history in business would be skewered and distrusted by Republican voters as a predator.  If only Romney were a Democrat, these exact arguments about Bain would work with Republican voters.  So that's a big element here.  The Bain argument against Romney in its nature isn't a partisan argument, so whether it works depends on the party affiliation of the candidate.

          What clearly hurts Romney with Repubilcans is the stuff in his record that clearly is treasonous to conservative policy and ideology.  That, and the more personal issues of integrity and character that attach to his political history.  But these other GOP candidates are too stupid to realize that and hit him on those things.

          43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 11:35:36 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

        •  By itself, it's not going to kill him. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          But considering he's done a lot of work trying to present himself in an everyday person image, despite his platform favoring people like him (i.e. the very rich), it's not going to help.

    •  Agreed. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone

      I don't think the best way to convince Republicans that Romney is too liberal is to attack him from the left.  They are just reinforcing the Romney message that he is a businessman who is willing to make the "tough decisions" and won't be deterred by the "bleeding heart" liberals.  Plus who would Romney be firing?  Government emplyed "union" "hacks."  Call me foolish but I think that would be a popular position in a Repubican primary!

      •  Not Necessarily "From the Left"..... (0+ / 0-)

        The changing face of the Republican base requires the indulging of class resentment as the party has more Joe the Plumbers than Willard-style blue bloods at this point, at least outside of New England.  Professor Gingrich's play here is very much in the tradition of the country song "Shutting Detroit Down", written and performed by known right-wing clown John Rich, which taps the populist sentiments of people who consider themselves right-wing Tea Partiers even though it sounds like he's channeling FDR.

        Expect increased prevalence of this kind of ideological confusion amongst a party that has to win over steelworkers and Wall Street Journal editorial page readers in order to win elections.

  •  Ruh Roh Scott Brown raised $3.2mil, he's got (0+ / 0-)

    quite the war chest to go against Elizabeth Warren.

    How much has she raised and are MA voters starting to favor her over Brown yet?

    A house divided against itself cannot stand. Abraham Lincoln

    by YoungArizonaLiberal on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 06:50:20 AM PST

    •  It's far more important for him to raise (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, R30A, MichaelNY

      a lot of money than it is for her to do the same, I think. No doubt she can't fall that far behind, if she's even behind at all, before his money does give him an advantage. But given all that she has going for her already in a deep blue state like Massachusetts, would you rather be him or her?

    •  The last couple polls (a little dusty by now (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, itskevin, MichaelNY

      I think) had Warren a few to 7 points up on Brown. It's just a hard state for a Republican to hold a Senate seat. I don't know if even 32 million would be enough if Democrats turn out in high numbers. Having Romney as the nominee would not help us though.

      Hillary Clinton's Liberal Ranking http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/8/10/122232/619

      by tigercourse on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 07:22:55 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Actually (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        itskevin, Setsuna Mudo, MichaelNY

        I could see Romney on the ticket giving no help to Brown at all. Romney is pretty unpopular, and has flip flopped on every issue that got him elected in MA in the 1st place.

        •  He'd At Least Not Hurt Brown (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Setsuna Mudo, MichaelNY

          Brown would dread having to answer whether he would endorse Perry or Santorum or Gingrich for President. And Romney would likely at least crack 40% vs. Obama,  which means Brown would only need 10% ticket splitting instead of the 16-18% he'd need with one of those other three atop the GOP ticket.

          Stuck Between Stations : Thoughts from a bottomless pool of useless information.

          by Answer Guy on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 08:01:39 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Yup, Romney doesn't hurt Brown, but doesn't help (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            Romney is no help to Brown at all, except as a sigh of relief that someone crazy isn't the nominee instead.

            Brown is on his own and has his back to the wall.  I would bet right now his internals have him in a dead heat or worse.

            43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

            by DCCyclone on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 11:38:29 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

      •  I'll say about Brown what I said about Ben Nelson (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone, MichaelNY

        He can probably only win if he's significantly more popular than his opponent.  Which I doubted would happen for Nelson and which I doubt will happen for Brown.

        26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

        by Xenocrypt on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 08:27:34 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  Fourth Quarter Totals (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo

       for Obama?   Anyone know what he brought in?  And how does it compare to the official Republican war chest of Romney?  (Not including PACS, of course,  the totals of which we may know nothing).

  •  Cohen (5+ / 0-)

    I wonder if he's just trying to mess around with the Republican Gerrymander...

    I also found this rather incredible:

    Because the 9th District has lost 93,000 people relative to the ideal district size, "adjustments to the population had to be made."

    Riiiiggggghhhhtttttt....  That's why we took all the Jews out of your district, because it lost people.  Makes perfect sense!

    •  Perhaps this is an opportunity for a democrat (0+ / 0-)

      The current republican representing the 8th is considered somewhat of a joke--even by repubs.  He is a wealthy farmer from the rural part of the district.

      I could foresee a democrat from Memphis making a race of it in the general as a result of adding those Memphis city voters.

      Cohen would no doubt endorse and campaign for the candidate.

      The 8th, as I recall was about 51-49 McCain last go around, and the rural parts of the district have some vestige of that old time democratic heritage.

  •  New Jersey Assembly GOP leader dies (9+ / 0-)

    Not sure if this was posted last night or not, but the NJ State Assembly's GOP leader has died.

    The New jersey State of the State address schedule for today was postponed.

    http://www.philly.com/...

  •  How about the California congress critters (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, BENAWU, askew, jncca, MichaelNY

    Dropping like flies. 3 in 24 hours!

  •  AZ-01 Wenona Benally Baldenegro (0+ / 0-)

    I just want to point out that there is a Democratic primary contest in AZ-01. Wenona Benally Baldenegro is competing for the Democratic nomination. She diaries here at dKos at Wenona Benally Baldenegro.

    I'm all for getting a Dem elected in AZ-01 but let's also try to get a better Dem elected.

    A frustrated liberal/progressive living in a red district. I feel like a fish out of water.

    by gaardvark on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 07:40:55 AM PST

    •  Let's nominate someone electable please. (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      tietack, OGGoldy, sacman701, RoIn

      (-7.62, -6.31), Blood type "O", Democratic-socialist, social anarchist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

      by Setsuna Mudo on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 07:47:49 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Here here! (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Setsuna Mudo, RoIn

        Democratic candidates to fit their districts leads to majorities. Ideological candidates everywhere is the path to long-term minority status.

        •  Eh... (5+ / 0-)

          I think the problem with Baldenegro is more her fundraising than her ideology. I actually think that the importance of ideology of House candidates tends to get overplayed at DKE. It might matter in hot red districts in the South where Blue Dogs have a rapport with the public, but in most places voters are more concerned with the party and incumbency status of their candidate. Certainly matters for Senatorial races, but the fact is that most people don't really have the time of day to spend worrying about the policy positions of congressmen (notice how many right-wing Republicans were elected in the House in 2010). AFAIC, as long as you raise money, know how to run a campaign, and can adeptly tailor a message, you can be as progressive as you want in most of these swing districts. Only becomes a real problem when you're a douche about it like Grayson or Kucinich.

          "Every daring attempt to make a great change in existing conditions, every lofty vision of new possibilities for the human race, has been labeled Utopian."

          by xcave on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 08:17:29 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

        •  Not so fast (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Marcus Graly

          Wenona is a good match for this district - it has a substantial population of Native Americans and can certainly support a progressive member of Congress. She's not getting supported because I don't think she's a viable candidate - needs a bigger platform to jump off of, isn't fundraising as an amateur nearly as well as someone like Sheyman, and hasn't been able to convince national orgs that either of the two are going to change. But I still think she's a better fit for this district than Ann Kirkpatrick, and so to claim she's solely ideological is a bit of a stretch to me.

  •  CT-05: Himes Fundraising (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, sapelcovits, MichaelNY

    From email:

    I hope your new year is off to a great start!  I am writing to thank you for your generous support of my campaign for re-election. In 2011, almost 1100 of you sent in personal contributions. I will soon report over $400,000 raised in the last quarter of 2011, for a total of $1.3 million raised this cycle. Those facts demonstrate momentum and support that will make the RNCC and the various shadowy groups funded by the Koch brothers, Karl Rove and others think twice before committing their resources to Connecticut's 4th Congressional District.
  •  Dreier (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    itskevin, BENAWU, Setsuna Mudo, MichaelNY

    If he runs in CA-08, do the Teabaggers go after his sexual orientation?  This could be a nasty one, folks.

    NY-12 resident, lives across the street from NY-14

    by Bobby Big Wheel on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 07:47:24 AM PST

  •  Maryland and Cardin (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, sapelcovits, MichaelNY

    I'm ticked off by Cardin's support of PIPA and SOPA. But I'm definitely not voting to send anti-gay preacher Anthony Muse to the Senate either. There are some progressive legislators (no seats are up in either house so they all get a free shot; that's why you're seeing all these legislators in both parties running for Congress) I'd rather see on the ballot. Of course it'd be a longshot.

    And if Wargotz got crushed in the GOP wave year 2010 he has no prayer in 2012.

    Stuck Between Stations : Thoughts from a bottomless pool of useless information.

    by Answer Guy on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 07:53:35 AM PST

  •  Pete Stark? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    I used to like in Stark's district, and I liked him very much. As an added bonus, he's one of the few (only?) out atheists in Congress. I would rather see him retire than be primaried. Still, East Bay is very ethnically diverse, and a white dude as it's representative might be irritating some constituents there. I haven't liked in East Bay for a few years, but I remember Stark being very well liked. It might not be in Khanna's favor to try to replace him. Instead, I wonder if waiting a cycle then getting his endorsement would be a smarter move?

  •  re: WA-01, Ishmael (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    Just a small clarification...

    Larry Ishmael tells Darryl at HorsesAss.org that he's running as an independent, not a Republican.

    Not that it matters.  In our Top Two primary, he has as much chance of taking one of those coveted slots in the general election as, well, as I do (and I'm neither a resident nor a candidate in WA-01).

    grok the "edku" -- edscan's "revelation", 21 January 2009

    by N in Seattle on Tue Jan 10, 2012 at 11:02:33 AM PST

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site