Electoral Vote Projection
The purpose of this post is to track and report the combined averages and trends of several leading and credible Electoral Map predictions week by week. National polls are useless in projecting the voting outcome in November. The only thing that determines who will be our next President is the outcomes state by state, which directs outcome in the Electoral College.
Data for the combined graphs comes from Huffington Post, Real Clear Politics, Washington Post, CNN, and the New York Times.
This a weekly post. The raw data is below the fold.
As of July 28,
2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
Solid |
Leans |
|
Leans |
Solid |
270 Need
to Win |
Obama |
Obama |
Toss Up |
Romney |
Romney |
Huffington Post |
211 |
79 |
57 |
0 |
191 |
Real Clear Politics |
142 |
89 |
116 |
115 |
76 |
Washington Post |
196 |
41 |
95 |
36 |
170 |
CNN |
196 |
51 |
85 |
47 |
159 |
New York Times |
185 |
32 |
115 |
48 |
158 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average |
186 |
58 |
94 |
49 |
151 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
of Toss Up |
|
|
|
Has |
Needs |
Needed |
|
|
Obama |
244 |
26 |
27.35% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Romney |
200 |
70 |
74.79% |
|
|