A sobering read from Nate Silver this morning
Obama's chances are now 66% (down from 70% earlier this week and 85% pre-debate)
The case that Mr. Romney’s bounce is evaporating after his debate last week in Denver continues to look a bit thin...they do provide useful information about the day-to-day trend in the race, and so far they haven’t shown the sort of reversal that Democrats might have hoped for.
But although we do perceive some advantage for Mr. Obama in the Electoral College relative to the popular vote, I would caution our readers against thinking that it’s all that robust.
It is a sobering read. Nate Silver is not prone to hand-wringing and has been a steady voice of temperance of the past week - this hits like a punch to the gut.
Here is the zoomed in combined analysis from pollster/huff po