I am not writing this in anyway to discredit Nate Silver because he was the go to guy for me back in 2008. His work is remarkable and he usually gets it right. Anyhow, since he has become a part of NYT I've been falling away from him because he seems to get caught up in the MEDIA spin as well where when he was at 538 he gave it to you straight from the hip. In being turned off by this as of late I'm now a devout follower of Professor Sam Wang at Princeton Consortium. In case anyone didn't know Professor Wang was 1 EV off in the 2008 Presidential Election and has done very well with the Wisconsin recall and the 2010 take over of Republicans in the House. Sam gives you detailed information without the SPIN and FEAR. He fared better than Nate Silver as well as others in 2008. I would ask that you visit his site to get a better perspective on this year's Presidential Election and where we are heading going into NOV 6th.
TOO MUCH FEAR AND LOATHING IS NEVER ANY GOOD.
http://election.princeton.edu/....