I was staring at the electoral map and playing around to see if there is ANY possibility of the republican ticket winning the electoral college. To be frank, the possibility scares the hell out of me. I know Nate Silver's system says 70% chance Obama wins. But 30% is a high enough number to me to be very very scared of the possibility. More after the squiggly.
I know similar analyses have been done and looked at here in detail, but just wanted to share my 2 cents.
Let me go through the worst case scenario. NH, CO, FL, VA, NC, IA (say even Nevada.. even though that's not too close) all go to the republicans. I need some reassurance from the community here that we WILL win in Ohio (As that puts us over the mark). I know people here are very confident of the electoral college and that its all about the down ticket races. I hope that is true. But the polls are too close for the stability of my mental sanity.
Since I do not live in the US any more canvassing / phone banking are not very possible from my side. I feel left out and nervous. Please convince me that we will win. Also on a side note. I understand that its good to hear positive reinforcement and news of good polls. But I think it is very important to look at polls that are very bad for our side to know how hard a task it is going to be to win!
I know this is a short diary. I just had to share my nervousness.