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I have not done a diary in seven years.  However, with all the panic and freakouts as of late, I feel compelled to once again venture into the diarying waters.  My message is simply this: There is no need to freak out.  I'm not being "delusional" as some of the pearl-clutching "realists" would say.  I am looking at the facts as they are. More below the orange squiggle.

Let us look at the facts as they stand now:

1) Obama did not bring his "A" game to Denver on October 3, and it showed.  Obama first experienced a modest decline, which became more precipitous as the worrywarts, Eeyores, and Debbie Downers, on DK and elsewhere, seemingly bought into the narrative the corporate media had been pushing (i.e. "This is a game-changer.  ANYTHING can happen now".)

2) At the Vice Presidential debate in Danville, KY, Vice President Biden stopped the bleeding by forcefully rebutting Representative Paul Ryan's talking points, and he did it with a smile.  The polls began to stabilize.

3) Five days later, the two presidential candidates met at Hofstra University in Hempstead, NY, and Obama clearly cleaned Mitt Romney's clock.  Polls began to reverse in Obama's favor somewhat, with the exception of the mercurial Gallup poll.

Yet what do I see here on DK, a lot of people having the Prez's back, to be sure ... but also a lot of Chicken Littles screaming that the sky is falling.  Let me be clear ... the sky is not falling.  There is one bad poll for Obama, and it is clearly an outlier.  Obama and his team have anticipated that the election will be close all this time.  I'm sure they liked last month's numbers. I'm equally sure that they believed they would not hold.  They know that there's a segment of the population that is willfully ignorant of this President's accomplishments for whatever reason.  Obama is holding up very well in the swing states, including that all-important state of Ohio.  That, including Iowa, Wisconsin, and Nevada, will give the President a victory.  What is more, it's become clear that the president of the Suffolk poll was talking through his hat when he said that Florida, Virginia, and North Carolina were now clearly going red.  While that may be the case with NC, it's become clear that FL and VA are tossups again.  Not good news for Team Romney.  I believe that the President's ground game and GOTV efforts are vastly superior to those of Mitt Romney.  It is all a matter of getting out the vote.

I am reminded of what King George VI said during the dark days of the London Blitz.  His sage words still resonate today: "Keep Calm and Carry On."  This is what we need to do, maintain our composure and get out that vote!

Poll

What should Kossacks do?

78%37 votes
17%8 votes
4%2 votes
0%0 votes

| 47 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (16+ / 0-)

    "Valerie, why am I getting all these emails calling me a classless boor?"

    by TLS66 on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 04:18:07 PM PDT

  •  Why hasn't polling momentum shifted (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gooserock

    back to Obama if his 2nd and Biden's debate were so successful?

  •  Excellent diary, thanks for this !!! We can do (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TLS66, RonV, cmeneer, Farkletoo

    this, it is all about the ground game now and making sure those new voters indeed vote as well as getting sporadic voters to the polls.

    Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

    by wishingwell on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 04:25:09 PM PDT

  •  In my mind (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    cmeneer, Supavash, greengemini

    Obama should be annihilating Romney in the polls. Things are too close and it frankly makes no sense to me. I really don't feel like waiting through another nail biter on November 6. I am hoping Nate Silver has Obama up to win in the 75% range soon and stays that way. Then I can rest easy. Getting out the vote is my main focus right now.

    Please proceed, Governor .....

    by TomK1960 on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 04:27:49 PM PDT

    •  As I said (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wishingwell

      a lot of people are willfully ignorant of the President's achievements.  We can guess why for many of these people. Think of it, how many times has the Birhter/Kenyan/Muslim malarkey (thanks, Joe Biden, for that word!) been debunked, and still people believe it and even trumpet it on FB?

      "Valerie, why am I getting all these emails calling me a classless boor?"

      by TLS66 on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 04:33:23 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  This is what we are up against as seen in (5+ / 0-)

    comment that I seen  in The Obama Diary:

    Charles Todd is on NBC news touting the Dem “enthusiasm gap”. I so hope they have to eat those words and that books will be written about this Big Fail. They showed lots of clips of the beach football game with Romney and staff against the press—–good time was had by all. Todd even came back to it later with more film clips and to say that Miss Ann scored a TD and all were whooping it up with her. It was sickening. And then here’s Gregory saying something about “America’s standing in the world” and how Willard is really “going to take the fight to President Obama in tomorrow night’s debate”. Todd/Gregory are blatantly partisan in their reporting, no shock to any of you I know, but it is deeply disturbing.

    Conservatives are not necessarily stupid, but most stupid people are conservatives. John Stuart Mill

    by Micheline on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 04:30:57 PM PDT

  •  I'm still optimistic.. (4+ / 0-)

    Yeah not nearly as optimistic as a month ago..

    But OH, NV and WI look pretty good and that's enough to win. IA and NH also look solid. CO and VA more toss up..

    I'm really rooting for President Obama tomorrow night..

    The Gallup poll is an obvious outlier. Nate Silver has said so and he's said Gallup's track record is horrible when they have an outlier. So Gallup is wrong and everyone else is right..

    As a member of Courtesy Kos, I am dedicated to civility and respect for all kossacks, regardless of their opinions, affiliations, or cliques.

    by joedemocrat on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 04:38:21 PM PDT

  •  Well stated. Thanks. I'm calmer with pie. ;^) (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TLS66, ElizabethRegina1558

    Dance lightly upon the Earth, Sing her songs with wild abandon, Smile upon all forms of Life ...and be well.

    by LinSea on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 04:55:54 PM PDT

  •  This diary was current as of, say, (0+ / 0-)

    Thursday.

    It just isn't current anymore. It won't strike a chord with many of those readers it's intended to reassure. Why? It doesn't factor in, either the striking results of exit polls from early voting, or the remarkable proportion of registered voters who actually seem to be turning up at the polls. Granted, these aren't definitive sources of information, but most thoughtful people find them strongly suggestive, and they are increasingly themes in election coverage around here. They've helped to shape the consensus about the election on this blog, if there can be said to be such a thing, and your diary doesn't go near them.  

    It's here they got the range/ and the machinery for change/ and it's here they got the spiritual thirst. --Leonard Cohen

    by karmsy on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 04:59:00 PM PDT

  •  I think we are in good shape (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TLS66, EcosseNJ, ElizabethRegina1558

    People weren't acting like the sky was falling before the conventions and Obama is just right about in the similar place. Honestly, I wish the handwringers and the worryworts would just stfu. I mean I understand were a reality based community but the doom and gloom does absolutely nothing for enthusiasm. This is gonna be a close race no doubt. Just work hard and be confident our side will pull it out. That's it.

    •  My favorite quote. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      EcosseNJ, greengemini

      "Teach us to care and not to  care.
        Teach us to sit still."
                           --T. S. Eliot

      Facts matter. Joe Biden

      by kpardue on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 05:45:55 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Nice one (0+ / 0-)

      Also I'd say don't take all the polling at face value when confronted by nasty red R+1 results, again, look who is doing the polling and really can we please just try and skip the utter crap from Gravis Marketing and their fellow band of GOP twits and shills out for nothing more than shaping the bloody narrative and instead look to polling firms who do their job year in year out as often or not that is the gauge for where things are. When I see comments like "ach, poll says 49-48 Romney boo.."  Not really, it's not always bad news as the recent Florida one has shown us... I mean, 50-43 RVs in FL from CNN? GOTFV!

      Until Ras or Gallup spoils Monday with some crazy LV cack enjoy;

      RCP Average   
      10/7 - 10/20    --    --    47.1    46.9    Obama +0.2

      "Never trust a man who, when left alone with a tea cosy, doesn't try it on!!"

      by EcosseNJ on Sun Oct 21, 2012 at 06:51:55 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Remember (0+ / 0-)

    "Keep Calm and Carry on" was a message intended to be given if Britain had been occupied by the Germans. The equivalent situation for Democrats would be if it was November 7th and Romney was the President-Elect.

    We're not there yet. Still plenty of time to GOTV.

  •  Winning is the only thing (0+ / 0-)

    When it comes to this election (and nearly all others), the quote most famously attributed to Vince Lombardi rings true more than ever:  "Winning isn't everything..it's the only thing."

    Although the polls indicate that the race has tightened, I believe that, when it matters, the majority of voters will understand the importance of winning and show up to confirm President Obama as the only clear choice.

    We should win.  We must win.  We will win.

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