just posted, a new player in the tracking poll, which can be seen here.
A few quick comments
Obama leads among likely voters 49-48
on Medicare 53-41
on taxes 53-42
women's issues 52-39
terrorism 47-46
international affairs 49-46
those last two could change after tonight
is more honest and trustworthy 49-40
take it for what it is worth.
Some additional info in update beneath the squiggle
on who won last debate, Obama by 49-28 and 16 thinking a tie and the rest no opinion
on changes in opinions about candidates after two debates
Obama 15% better opinion 18% worse
Romney 37% better opinion 19% worse
self identification as to party
Dem 34
Repub 29
Independent 33
other 3
don't know 1
Observation: Obama really hurt himself with first debate, and has not fully regained what he lost, and he won't. But he has not hurt himself enough YET to realistically put him jeopardy in the electoral college
UPDATE at this link discussing the poll, I found this oddity:
In the seven states designated as “toss-ups” by The Washington Post plus Ohio, it’s Romney 52 percent to Obama’s 46. That six-point margin is not a statistically significant edge given the sample size, but a reversal from where things have been, paralleling shifts in state polling over the past few weeks.
I have a hard time believing a national sample having Obama up by 1 would have him down by 6 in the battleground states, except we should note that it is a cumulative, and if they have lopsided figures for FL & NC and have Obama behind in VA, it is in theory possible while Obama would still be leading in enough states to win 270+ electoral votes.
Not placing any weight on this poll. It has no track record. I want to see more crosstabs. But it is another data point, and it will probably be included by those who accumulate.