Democrats had a huge day in Florida yesterday.
Here are the early voting numbers from yesterday. These do not include mail-in ballots.
Dems 145,170 (48.61%)
Reps 105,948 (35.48%)
Inds 47,219 (15.81%)
Including all the absentee stats so far, here are the numbers to date:
Dems 658,434 (41.00%)
Reps 684,744 (42.64%)
Inds 262,516 (16.35%)
Before in-person early voting started, we were trailing the Republicans by about five percentage points and about 80,000 ballots I believe. In one day, Democrats have nearly wiped out the entire Republican advantage. By tomorrow, we should be at least tied. By the end of Monday, we should move ahead.
Here are the final voter registration statistics for the close of the 2012 elections:
Dems 4,781,978 (40.07%)
Reps 4,245,991 (35.58%)
Ind/Oth 2,906,477 (24.35%)
Democrats have a registration advantage of 535,987
Here is what the numbers looked like in 2008
Dems 4,722,076 (41.98%)
Reps 4,064,301 (36.13%)
Inds 2,461,247 (21.88%)
Democrats in 2008 had a registration advantage of 657,775
So our margin has shrunk by about 120,000 but that's not enough to just hand Florida to the Republicans. The fact remains that we still have a huge voter registration advantage and if we show up, we win.
Here's a very significant trend in our favor since 2008: the greater Hispanic community is shifting to the Democrats.
Here were the numbers in 2008 among Hispanics:
Hispanic Republicans: 445,526
Hispanic Democrats: 513,252
Here are the current numbers among Hispanics:
Hispanic Republicans: 476,488
Hispanic Democrats: 644,878
I think we can safely say that the greater Hispanic Community is tilting toward the Democrats in Florida.
Here was the demographic breakdown of registered voters in 2008:
White, not Hispanic (69.11%)
Black, not Hispanic (13.06%)
Here is the current demographic breakdown:
White, not Hispanic (66.53%)
Black, not Hispanic (13.57%)
Even if we don't win this time around, Florida is going to be a severe uphill climb for Republicans in the future. No wonder they are trying to suppress Democratic turnout.
Here is a link to the early voting stats: http://miamiherald.typepad.com/...
Here is a link to the Florida registration stats: http://election.dos.state.fl.us/...