Big takeaways from the poll:
It's Barack Obama 48%, Mitt Romney 45% in SurveyUSA's penultimate tracking poll of the state of Ohio, unchanged from last week, and barely changed over the past month. 4 times in October SurveyUSA has polled Ohio for WCMH-TV in Columbus, and 4 times Barack Obama has led, though always inside of any survey's margin of possible error. Obama has never polled below 45%, Romney has never polled above 45%.
Voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot vote 56% to 40% for Obama. Voters who tell SurveyUSA they will vote on Election day vote 50% to 41% for Romney. Independents today break 48% to 37% for Romney. Romney leads today, as he has in each of the 4 polls, on which candidate would do a better job balancing the federal budget. Obama leads today, as he has in each of the 4 polls, on which candidate is more in touch with the average voter.
3 out of 3 polls show President Obama ahead with comfortable margins today. BFD!
Obama, 48-45 (SurveyUSA)
Obama, 48-45 (Grove Insight)
Obama, 49-45 (Zogby)
Make that 4 (tip to AtomikNY):
Obama, 49-46 (Pharos)
And 5 (tip to RichM):
Obama, 49-44 (Mellman Group)
Last 10 polls from RealClearPolitics:
Romney, 50-48 (Rasmussen)
Obama, 50-49 (Gravis)
Obama, 51-47 (PPP)
Obama, 46-44 (Purple Strategies)
Obama, 50-46 (CNN)
Obama, 49-47 (ARG)
Obama, 49-44 (Time)
Tie, 49-49 (Cincinnati Enquirer)
Obama, 47-44 (SurveyUSA)
Tie, 47-47 (Suffolk)
Who do you think is ahead in Ohio? Which colossal asshole is in that state two days in a row, pretending to have relief rallies? 10/13 polls showing Obama ahead, 2 polls showing a tie and 1 poll that was off by 4 points in Ohio in 2008 the only poll showing Romney ahead. I love our position.
SurveyUSA
RCP Ohio 2012
RCP Ohio 2008 (for reference and Rasmusseny goodness)