An interesting point was made by Obama campaign guru, Messina, in a conference call to reporters today. It addresses a concern I've had about EXACTLY HOW our stellar early voting numbers make it tough for the Lords of Rancid Snot to overcome our nascent advantage.
Yes, I understand that we're kicking ass on the GOTV front, but I've been wondering, is it enough? Is it enough to beat back the (assumed) higher turnout of Knuckle Draggers With Soulless Eyes on Election Day?
Looks like the answer for NV, IA and NC is "yes" according to their own number crunching.
According to Messina, the Decaying Vessels of All That is Evil would need to get between 54% and 60% on election day to overcome our early vote advantage in those three states. He didn't break it down by state, but it's a good thing to know. He concluded that it would be very difficult for the Lying Hogs of Poo Mountain to reach those numbers, which implies they're confident in what their own data tell them.
Messina didn't mention other battlegrounds, which may mean something or may mean nothing. I do recall someone mentioning on Daily Kos that Count Flatula would need to pull in around 60% in OH to overcome our advantage there, but I can't vouch for that.
Messina also said he has a lot of CO election experience. What he sees makes him confident they'll win there too.
Listen to the whole thing here. A lot of campaign-speak, but some gems, to be sure.
http://thepage.time.com/...
I'd love to see a breakdown, by battle ground state, of what % RobotDick needs to pull in based on Dem's early voting performance. I'd do it if I were a numbers guy, but I made my ATM pin (my birth year) + ten, consequently stranding a couple thousand bucks.
GOTV! BRING A FRIEND TO THE POLLS!