Three new polls released Saturday by USAction and our partner Project New America show President Obama leading in key states that will help decide Tuesday’s election.
In Iowa, President Obama leads Gov. Mitt Romney 47 to 44 percent. In Ohio, Obama leads 49 to 45 percent. And in Wisconsin, Obama leads 48 to 42 percent.
All three polls were commissioned by USAction and Project New America and conducted by Grove Insight. Each poll was in the field Thursday, Nov. 1 through Friday, Nov. 2, reached 500 likely voters and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. The three polls each used professional interviewers and included cell-phone-only households.
More information on each of the polls below the fold.
The Iowa poll found that Obama has a narrow edge when respondents were asked which candidate has a concrete plan to move our country forward – 43 to 41 percent. Obama’s advantage grows when asked which candidate will work to rebuild the middle class economy – 45 to 39 percent. And when asked “You can’t really believe what he says,” respondents say this phrase applies more to Romney than to Obama, 41 to 35 percent.
As is the case in some other battleground states, Obama is leading among those who already have voted – 59 to 33 percent. And in Iowa, there is a pronounced gender gap. Obama leads among women, 49 to 40 percent, and trails among men, 45 to 49 percent.
In Ohio, the Grove Insight poll found Obama increasingly gaining an advantage in the key issues that could decide this election. By a margin of eight points – 49 to 41 percent – voters view Obama as the candidate with a plan to move this country forward. Also by eight points – 50 to 42 percent – respondents see Obama as the candidate who will work to rebuild the middle class economy.
The controversy surrounding Romney’s “jeep” TV ad may be hurting Romney, the survey found. Ohio voters believe Romney is best described as the candidate who “you can’t really believe what he says” (45 to 38 percent.)
Finally, as is the case in Iowa, Obama has built a strong lead among those who already have cast ballots – 56 to 39 percent, evidence that the President’s ground game is working.
The Wisconsin numbers perhaps harbor the worst news for Romney. Obama leads by 8 points when asked which candidate has a concrete plan to move our country forward – 46 to 38 percent. He leads by 10 points when asked which candidate will work to rebuild the middle class economy – 47 to 37 percent. And in a state fatigued by politics, respondents choose Romney when asked, “You can’t really believe what he says,” 43 to 34 percent.
And in Wisconsin, a sharper gender gap exists than elsewhere. Obama has a whopping 20-point lead among women – 56 to 36 percent – and trails by eight among men, 40 to 48 percent.
USAction is continuing to poll through the weekend in battleground states.
A memo summarizing the Iowa results is here. Ohio results are here. And Wisconsin results are here.
Cross-posted at USAction.