I've been worried about GotV since that's the one thing that could make the polls be off. Living on the West Coast makes it hard to volunteer. So seeing this tweet from Nate definitely was good:
New early voting stats in Ohio: Cuyahoga County = 35% of 2008 turnout so far. Rest of state = 24%. Similar to 2008. http://www.sos.state.oh.us/...
He goes into a little more detail in
his recent post:
The most recent figures in Democratic-leaning Cuyahoga County, home to Cleveland, suggest that about 236,000 votes have already been cast there, representing 35 percent of 2008 turnout.
In Franklin County, where Columbus is the largest city and which is the Democrats’ next best county in the state, early votes represent 36 percent of 2008 turnout.
By comparison, the early vote represents 21 percent of 2008 turnout in the other 86 counties in Ohio, combined.
In 2008 it was 39% in Cuyahoga, 44 in Franklin, and 22% elsewhere.
What makes this (and the data he gives for NV and IA) so important is that it's different data validating the polls. Romney's hope is that the polls are off. This is evidence that they're not.