So in just under 24hrs from NOW we will start getting results in for the 2012 Election. It will be underway, ballots cast, counted and reported!
24hrs from NOW? You ask. It's barely Monday morning!
Yes every Election two very small towns in New Hampshire "Harts Location" and "Dixville Notch" cast and count their ballots at exactly midnight Tuesday morning. New Hampshire has a weird fetish about being "first in the nation" and these two small towns (communes really) take it to the extreme.
Combined they have a total population of 54 people. So it's easy to see why these two places rush to be the first to report. Because they can! The News Media likes to try and read the tealeaves with these small towns as if the results of one or two mountain communities can somehow predict the mindset of the masses.
I prefer Nate Silvers poll averaging computer model personally. Today he has Obama at 83.6% chance of winning. Down only 0.8% from his high water mark in the aftermath of Romney's Forty Seven Percent tape. In order for Nate Silvers model to be wrong, virtually every single poll released since the end of may would have to been systematically biased in favor of the President and then suddenly biased for Governor Romney immediately following the first debate, only to return to being systematically biased for President Obama since then.
I don't buy it.
Don't get me wrong I never underestimate the Democrats ability to lose an election. But there is a real chance Romney will be smoked on Tuesday Night. Maybe not by as much in the popular vote.
But certainly in the Electoral College.
Have a safe, successful and GOTV filled next couple of days everyone.