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Over the last twenty or so years I have seen the development and sophistication of political ground games and their GOTV efforts. Previous to this century it was pretty much attempt to organize volunteers into phone banks, drop lit teams and have drivers available to take disabled to the polls on election day. Early voting was the occasional absentee voter who had to submit a statement or affidavit attesting to their inability to vote on election day where in many states the absentee vote was counted only if the race was close much like provisional ballots. All this has changed where now GOTV is not a four day race, but a month-long marathon often encompassing more than half the electorate in a state.

In 1992, 2000 and 2004 I worked in WI on their GOTV efforts which in Racine County was mostly managed by the AFL-CIO instead of the Democrats or the Presidential campaigns. I went to a union hall and sat in a phone bank and called from lists asking if they were going to vote and if they needed assistance. There were few canvass teams and most of them were simply drop lit teams fanning out to Democratic rich voting areas. In 2006 I was a rookie precinct committee-person and was folded in with a State Legislative candidate and Governor campaigns and was given walk and phone lists where again the objective was simple and call Democrats to encourage them to vote on Tuesday.

In 2007 and 2008 I was a volunteer lead with the Obama campaign where suddenly there was a science or discovery of a science in GOTV efforts. What they did was first seek to identify volunteers at numbers undreamed about to use for over a month in 2008. Even then we had phone bank teams but there were canvass teams that were deployed in the final month. First we concentrated on all D's and identified U's and R's who had PMV (permanent mail in voter) and then as the election weekend came closer we started working sporadic and lazy Dem's until the early vote season was over.

McCain and the Republicans were overwhelmed by a new model. The Republican ground game model is entirely the purview responsibility of the RNC through the State Party organizations. This is a top-down approach where the RNC hires firms like Strategic Alliance to create contracted field operatives. Their database is primarily voter files that are then augmented by four other private databases of conservative groups that identify demographics like NRA, white evangelical voter lists, Tea Party rallies, etc. This model is still in place today. In 2008 it resulted in the following: These figures are summarized below as looked into by Nate Silver:

 

One of the more interesting questions posed on this year's exit polls was whether the voter had been contacted by the Obama and McCain campaigns personally about getting out to vote. Unfortunately, the exit poll consortium did not ask this question in all states, but it did in a dozen or so competitive states

% of Voters Reporting Direct Contact from Campaigns

State  Obama   McCain   Gap
NV     50%     29%      21%
CO     51%     34%      17%
IN     37%     22%      15%
VA     50%     38%      12%
PA     50%     39%      11%
IA     41%     30%      11%
FL     29%     20%       9%
NC     34%     26%       8%
MO     44%     37%       7%
OH     43%     36%       7%
WI     42%     39%       3%
WV     29%     31%      -2%
The Obama campaign had a superior contact rate in 11 of the 12 battlegrounds; the only exception was West Virginia. Wisconsin was also relatively close, perhaps because Obama redirected its legion number of Illinois-based volunteers from Wisconsin to Indiana a couple of weeks in advance of the election.
So 2012 the Obama Team upped the ante and improved their developing science two-fold again. This time I see that their contact rate will exceed 75%, possibly more and multiple times in most cases. Details after the jump over the squiggle waves.

   

The summer of 2011 I got my first invite to an OFA (Organization for America) in Colorado commencing the beginning of the political season and the ground game. OFA had hired a State Director and about a dozen Field Organizers where they would seek to develop volunteer leaders and teams, mostly doing two things, recruiting more volunteers and making direct internal polling into specific targets. This of course was all setting the foundation for now, the GOTV season but there was much work to do beforehand.

Summer and fall moved into winter as there was just call banking after call banking but unbeknownst to many a volunteer they were probing the market for Unaffiliated, Sporadic or Lazy Dem's and closet D's registered as Republicans. More and more volunteers were identified for now and the future. And this leads me to explaining the biggest difference between the D's and R's approach. Democrats have a coordinated and integrated online and decentralized database called Vote Builder, the brain child and legacy of Howard Dean. Vote Builder is actually two parallel databases running side by side, one a voter file replicating the government's voter file and then the campaign voter file as developed by campaigns; Presidential, Fed candidate, statewide, district, county and even precincts. Each campaign purchases a license where they import data about voter contact files and intel and then after the election it is uploaded into the master database. Therefore voter files are updated and integrated so that a state legislator candidate can use updated data just like the presidential campaign, but not each others campaign intelligence. The Republicans do not have this and don't have the culture to integrate a distributed network system and still a central database.

Now it is summer time 2012 and now I am canvassing door to door in my current precinct which I the co-chair committeeman. We had a reorganization in the county and they reduced by more than half the number of precincts essentially making them larger, ours grew by double and a half. Essentially there are 900 D's, though 711 are considered active, meaning recently registered or updated or have voted in the last three years. There are also a 950 Unaffiliated (600 active) and 750 Republicans (575 active), it is a big precinct and one of the best voting Democratic precincts in the county. I volunteered to walk for both the state legislator candidate and OFA and both had entirely different walk lists or targets.

The House District candidate running for re election knocked on all active Dem's, passed on inactives, and ID'd U's and R's from his own intelligence. His knocks were simply drop some literature and ask for the vote and support. OFA's targets were Sporadic Dems (voted in 2008), inactive Dem's registrants or active D's with lapsed PMV or non PMV status, Unaffliateds in D homes, women U's under 50 years old and women R's under 35. Also our knock was to seek to re up a voter registration if ID'd an Obama leaning or Obama supporter. All active Dem's were already called seeking volunteers or inviting to Pres speeches.

As October approached they had identified who were those whom they were going to target immediately to GOTV, sporadic D's, lazy D's, U's and R's where they sent out their now flush with volunteers to knock on doors. PMV voters were targeted as were non PMV to go early vote. Phone banking was to call for volunteers on active D's who had voted or intended to vote. See the difference.

Now in my precinct I see volunteer canvassers every evening, they have about twenty door knocks. In turn I have dovetailed out of the OFA effort and am helping the State Legislator candidate but I am calling all D and identified U/R voters who have voted yet in precincts not covered. Finally this weekend I concentrated on my precinct where there were still 102 PMV votes outstanding even though 83% D's have turned in. Only about 68 doors many are two voting families or some have students or military. But here is an anecdote.

As I was talking to a male in the house on the phone about his son's PMV vote, there was a door knock for his wife, she was a U he was a D, had voted but his son had a PMV ballot out as he was in the military which is why I was calling. He answered the door where the OFA volunteer asked for his wife where they inquired if her Mail in ballot was not in yet. He laughed and said wow your on the phone and at my door at the same time!  They didn't had his son's name on their list but had the intel that he was active duty, I didn't, and he told us all that the ballots were mailed in.

This is ground game and it is GOTV but the OFA model is far more scientific. OFA has called in the past from our inactive registration still on the books in WI. They called for volunteers for our 21 year old son and 24 year old daughter. They called for my wife and of course me. I had a union man stop by the house and I am an official.

Finally chew on this, Friday's early vote totals;  Source, how many are those sporadic, lazy dem's above 2008?

Ohio
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 29 percent
Republicans: 23 percent

Colorado
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 35 percent
Republicans: 37 percent

Florida
Votes: 4.3 million
Democrats: 43 percent
Republicans: 40 percent

Iowa
Votes: 614,000
Democrats: 43 percent
Republicans: 32 percent

Nevada
Votes: 702,000
Democrats: 44 percent
Republicans: 37 percent

North Carolina
Votes: 2.7 million
Democrats: 48 percent
Republicans: 32 percent

Originally posted to RWN on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 12:41 PM PST.

Also republished by Community Spotlight.

Poll

How many has vote early and contacted by OFA or RR

38%243 votes
0%0 votes
34%219 votes
0%6 votes
11%72 votes
0%2 votes
13%86 votes
0%2 votes

| 630 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Saw on MSNBC last night (28+ / 0-)

    OFA has contacted, in person, a full 40% of voters. I believe that was a combo of door knocks and phone calls, but that number is insane.

    •  understand that stat and the targeting science (7+ / 0-)

      A significant number ID'd as Republican as always voting in R primaries or other intel so don't bother, but then there are demographics, age, sex, ethnicity and where.  

      They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither safety nor liberty~Ben Franklin

      by RWN on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 12:59:07 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Good will. (16+ / 0-)

      Even if these folks are R's who will never vote for the president, a cheerful friendly volunteer can create good will for the president as he begins his second term, and perhaps for a downticket candidate that they might have never considered voting for.

      We often don't know how far the ripples will travel when we drop a pebble into a lake. I've had quite a few nice conversations with Republican voters who, at the end thanked me for what I was doing, even if we disagree.

      We just never know...

      © grover


      So if you get hit by a bus tonight, would you be satisfied with how you spent today, your last day on earth? Live like tomorrow is never guaranteed, because it's not. -- Me.

      by grover on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 06:30:36 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  FYI from the NYTimes just now-Repub GOTV (4+ / 0-)

      For candidates in tight races, the effort to get voters to the polls was both frantic and delicate.

      On Long Island, volunteers for Randy Altschuler, the Republican challenging Representative Timothy H. Bishop, a Democrat, called voters to make sure they knew that the election was still taking place and to offer rides. But every conversation began with a question about whether the voters needed help.

      “It’s really a totally different script,” said Diana Weir, Mr. Altschuler’s campaign manager.

      Many barrier-island voters forced from their homes seemed to clutch at the chance to vote as if it were a memento salvaged from the flotsam of their pre-storm lives.

      Yes, things are terrible all over. But, things are not terrible all over too- (Jon Carroll)

      by csuchas on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 07:40:46 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  and we are still calling voters today on Election (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      TheDuckManCometh

      Day. PA has  no early voting so I have been calling since 10 am this morning.  At this point, we are just reminding people to vote and see if they voted yet today. It is going very well.

      Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

      by wishingwell on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 09:33:48 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  The Obama ground game started (21+ / 0-)

    over a eighteen months ago. A year ago this past spring we started reaching out to supporters one on one, started having house parties to ID more volunteers. All this prep made it easier to develop our neighborhood teams and team leaders so that when the general started we were already running at full speed

    The 47% also "pay all the taxes that are legally required and not a dollar more" but when Romney does it he thinks it's a virtue, while when they do it, he thinks they are deadbeats.

    by jsfox on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 12:59:41 PM PST

  •  I was amazed by the ground game (18+ / 0-)

    in my small Iowa town (pop <1000), I went over there yesterday to make some calls to a neighboring town. I made about 100 calls, and I got past my introduction once (She made a plan to vote though, so that was a win!), people are REALLY tired of hearing about the election. My personal experience with the call list was nerve wracking and discouraging, I think if I had gotten start with it before everything got over saturated, it would have been better.

    Anyways, Whole I was over there, there were canvassers coming and going the whole time, the place was hopping. I was super impressed with how well organized it was. I have nothing but respect for the people who give their time to this effort, every time someone knocks on my door or calls my number I make sure to thank them for their hard work and let them know I appreciate the effort even though, as I now know first hand, it is not always pleasant.

    "Ruin comes when the trader, whose heart is lifted up by wealth, becomes ruler" - Plato, Republic

    by sixeight120bpm on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 03:45:59 PM PST

    •  At the very very (16+ / 0-)

      least, you DOUBLED your own personal vote today.  With a margin of victory that may come down to a few votes, you may have provided the WINNING vote.

      Thank you.  Thanks for your work.  I'm sorry it was discouraging but you might give a shot tomorrow at precinct walking, doing GOTV door knocks.  It isn't discouraging at all, just a lot of folks not home in the daytime.  AND they are only sending you to voters who support us but havent voted yet, so it is received as more of a public service.

      Still enjoying my stimulus package.

      by Kevvboy on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 04:35:11 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  I can just personally say (11+ / 0-)

      that I was so thankful for volunteers who just started making calls and canvassing.  I've been working with the same core team of volunteers since April and we're plum wore out, not just with the process but with each other.  I canvassed with two new volunteers yesterday and worked with a bunch of phone bankers today, and their enthusiasm and fresh input really helped.  I get it that people are sick of the phone calls and visits, but there are plenty of people who still love to see us and talk to us, and there's plenty we can still do to educate voters on the ballot and down-slate candidates.

    •  Just got back from GOTV (4+ / 0-)

      in rural area of small town Iowa.

      It was amazing--these people were generally very enthusiastic and a good number of them thanked me for working and being out this late (7:#0  pm local time, but after dark, and on country roads I did not know.)

      I'd guess, since this was a pretty red county, that the Dems really appreciated the contact as an affirmation, and hadn't had much of it yet.

      Democrats promote the Common good. Republicans promote Corporate greed.

      by murasaki on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 09:00:04 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Today, Election Day, having a great experience (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      sixeight120bpm

      calling here in PA.  People are very friendly and voting today or had all ready voted.

      Now when I called Nevada and Florida this past weekend, most of them had voted and were more abrupt as they are getting bombarded with calls and ads for a year now.

      But anyone who wants to call PA today as polls are open until 8 pm Eastern time, feel free to as I am finding a lot of friendly people.

      The thing is in PA , it is only in the last week that we have had TV ads and robocalls...so people are more patient here with us than say a state that is oversaturated with ads for months now and calls.

      Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

      by wishingwell on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 09:37:31 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Yes we started calling voters late summer (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      sixeight120bpm, AreDeutz

      summer and everyone was so nice for the most part...the earlier we call a voter, the more open they are to getting phone calls.

      Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

      by wishingwell on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 09:39:06 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Excellent diary RWN. (12+ / 0-)

    Very informative and detailed analysis. This is important for our side to know moving forward... I think among other factors, it's why Obama succeeded where Kerry failed. Our advantage over Republicans here will only last so long, I imagine, because at some point they'll start adopting the same tactics. We have to keep innovating.

    The Rapture will be cancelled due to budget cuts. -- Bill in Portland

    by brooklynliberal on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 04:32:13 PM PST

  •  Did a hundred door knocks (29+ / 0-)

    in Monroe County, Florida, today, in one of our rare poverty-stricken neighborhoods.  (Stock Island.)  I swayed two ladies who were trending toward Romney to go vote for Obama and to do it today.  I reminded a few people who had forgotten.  I told a few who didn't know where their polling place was.  And I convinced the son of a man who said he was "too old to vote" to go vote in his place, at least.

    So for me it was a good day.

    Still enjoying my stimulus package.

    by Kevvboy on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 04:33:30 PM PST

  •  No one called me (16+ / 0-)

    I live in non-swing GA

    but I sure did get a TON of emails!

    I am doing GOTV in Atlanta tomorrow.  Wanted to go to Florida, but my Hubby in out of town (he voted early!) and I can't leave the kids overnight.  :-(

    •  Honestly (6+ / 0-)

      they wouldn't be able to devote human resources to phonebanking a non-swing state - thank you SO MUCH for doing the GOTV tomorrow!  We will turn Georgia blue yet.

      Too bad you can't just pack the kids in the car and take them down to Florida tomorrow, just to give them a taste of how important their mother thinks democracy is.

      Still enjoying my stimulus package.

      by Kevvboy on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 05:33:04 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  I am doing phone banking from home, Jeannie (0+ / 0-)

      because of health issues , much easier for me to stay at home at this point, and it is going great.   OFA 's page for making phone calls it is so easy to follow, very easy in fact.  I love it. That might work for people who cannot be out there canvassing.

      Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

      by wishingwell on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 09:43:21 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  I'm done (10+ / 0-)

    I voted, I canvassed, I did data entry, and I brought food to the campaign office.  Oh, I also partied.  I left the campaign office at 5:00 tonight and tomorrow I will be a poll worker for about 12 hours.  I can't say I was impressed with the OFA lists this year.  We contacted the same people over and over until they either begged us or threatened us to STOP.  Now, at the end of October, we started calling people who haven't been contacted since 2008.  Today I entered data from one list and found out that at least half the people were duplicates and triplicates on THE SAME LIST.  I had three different responses in many cases.  So I'm worn out and glad it's over.

    One thing I have heard from the Romney campaign is that Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats.  I sure haven't seen that.  I haven't seen any Republican canvassers anywhere, only sporadic Romney signs, and I haven't heard any enthusiastic Republican conversations.
    Democrats, on the other hand, well, we've been all over the place and you can't shut us up.

  •  What we need (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    peregrine kate

    is a "permanent" national DNC central web site for every US county, and every election, every year.

    Info on candidates, proposals, and other issues (voting issues, etc) aggregated by the county DNC, and consistently updated.

    I am not aware of such a centralized site, with all the info in one place.

    This site should include all DNC contact info county by county, and ballot "cheat sheets" in advance - email alerts and GOTV alerts and contacts.

    Just a thought.

    If not us ... who? If not here ... where? If not now ... when?

    by RUNDOWN on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 05:58:45 PM PST

    •  Oh dear (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ColoradAnne

      That sounds like a bad idea. Aggregating that information would be a nightmare and would necessarily be constantly out of date. The information would have to be vetted up through several layers and that would take time- possibly on the order of months. Lack of vetting would make for an inconsistent mess. Participation by counties would probably be pretty spotty at that.
      Leave the local on-the-ground information to the locals, and let organizations like ballotopedia and votesmart do the heavy lifting to aggregate other election info.

      I would prefer that the DNC invest in the Votebuilder infrastructure (since buggy software makes organizers cranky when it crashes)

      •  Are you serious? (0+ / 0-)

        A problem? A nightmare? Checked the news lately?

        Amazon.com was a "nightmare" when it started too.

        Don't think this needs to be updated to the 21st century?

        Well, you can bet the GOP will.

        If not us ... who? If not here ... where? If not now ... when?

        by RUNDOWN on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 07:37:54 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  One thing I wonder: how to contact voters without (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wasatch

    irritating them? I got a really odd call from a self-identified Obama volunteer out of LA who ended up insulting the state I live in (it's Texas, and so somewhat understandable) making really weird comments about Stepford wives, etc.

    But even without loose cannon callers, how to talk to contrarian voters who really don't want to be called? Has anybody done any work to find out the percentage of voters who are alienated rather than encouraged by tactics such as these?

    •  that's really odd (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wasatch, plumbobb, v2aggie2, wishingwell

      Why would the Obama campaign be doing GOTV efforts in Texas?

      I wonder if that really was an Obama campaign caller, or just some crackpot Republican dirty trickster?

    •  That is odd as there is a script to follow on (0+ / 0-)

      the Obama website. I have been making callls here in PA and in other states like Nevada and Colorado. I follow the script and I am super nice and pleasant.  

      This person deviated badly from the script and I am sorry that happened to you.  That person needs to stick closer to the script. I may not read the script verbatim but I surely do not talk about their state at all..just giving htem info about their polling location and remind them to vote.

      Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

      by wishingwell on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 09:46:38 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Do you know what, if any, effect donations (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MPociask, Ckntfld, MKS

    do to the voter profile?

    We (but especially my husband who declines to declare) are usually inundated with calls, although we have voted Dem for years and years.

    This year, we moved to a new state, so we should have been ripe for contact. But we haven't heard from OFA at all.  Our move was from WA (blue) to CA (deep blue).

    I'm guessing that our early donations somehow flagged us as a "don't bother; these folks are on our side" household.

    I kind of miss all those robocalls from Bill.  It was always kind of fun to hit my answering machine and hear "Hi, this is Bill Clinton."  

    By the way, apropos of nothing (or everything, indicating how thoroughly efficient the Dem and OFA effort has been)

    GOP registration drops below 30% in California
    By Hannah Dreier/ Associated Press
    Posted:   11/03/2012 01:02:23 AM PDT

    SACRAMENTO -- California has reached an all-time high of 18.2 million registered voters, while the number of registered Republicans has fallen below 30 percent, signaling a worrisome decline for the state's minority party, officials said Friday.

    In its final update before Tuesday's general election, the secretary of state's office said the number of registered voters has increased by 950,000 since the 2008 presidential contest. Officials attribute that surge in part to the state's new online registration system, which helped many young, Democratic-leaning Californians sign up to vote this fall.

    That system was seen as a threat to the California Republican Party, which has struggled to retain members, let alone add them. The secretary of state announced that Republicans now make up 29.3 percent of the state's electorate, compared with 31.4 percent in 2008.

    This appears to be the lowest ebb for the party since records have been available
    .

    http://www.thereporter.com/...

    Great diary. Tipped and recd

    © grover


    So if you get hit by a bus tonight, would you be satisfied with how you spent today, your last day on earth? Live like tomorrow is never guaranteed, because it's not. -- Me.

    by grover on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 06:22:07 PM PST

    •  I don't think it makes a lot of sense to (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      v2aggie2, wishingwell

      use GOTV resources in noncompetitive states, either blue or red.

      We're in Texas and haven't be contacted by OFA either.

    •  I think most of us are phonebanking from home (0+ / 0-)

      or OFA offices to battleground states or in my case, my own state of PA. I wonder if it is because you are n now in deep blue state.

      Have your been contacted by CA Democrats for other candidates running for state or local offices?

      Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

      by wishingwell on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 09:49:13 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  The most interesting thing... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell

    ...is there was a diary a few days ago about how a Romney robo-call to someone regarding not turning in an absentee ballot was regarded as creepy and intrusive, and then the situation in this story.

    Is this the difference between having real people do it, and paid robots like Romney?

  •  California here, the only contact I get is for (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell

    local races.  I am lucky though because I have a Progressive running against a Democrat.  An embarrassment of riches.

    "I watch Fox News for my comedy, and Comedy Central for my news." - Facebook Group

    by Sychotic1 on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 06:45:27 PM PST

  •  Phonebanking from CA (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mightymouse, Alibguy, Ckntfld, MKS, wishingwell

    I phonebanked for Obama this morning from Menlo Park, CA. I did this 4 years ago using a paper phone list and my cell phone. This time, it was using an OFA laptop that dialed for me. While most Ohio people were nice, they clearly are tired of people calling. I doubt Romney's people have anything close to this.

    •  I am calling from California too! (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wishingwell

      From the Marin Office though, not the Menlo Park one. Yeah, the computer calling system is really efficient. I actually was the training captain for computer calls in Marin. We got a bunch of people on that system.

      For more election analysis and redistricting maps, check out my blog http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/ CA-2 (former CA-6) College in CA-37

      by Alibguy on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 08:59:47 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Called from the Marin office today too (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wishingwell

        I did the 3 to 6 shift. Mostly PA with  a few NV. The office was packed, energetic, and very positive. My favorite was a gentleman telling me  both he and his wife were voting for Obama. He just wished he could vote for him 500 times!

        Liberalism is trust of the people tempered by prudence. Conservatism is distrust of the people tempered by fear. ~William E. Gladstone, 1866_

        by Ckntfld on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 10:22:01 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  That sounds like a great call! (0+ / 0-)

          Yeah, I had a good one too and we had a quotes wall for good quotes during calls. The office was super packed though.  Thanks so much for stopping by to make calls there!

          For more election analysis and redistricting maps, check out my blog http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/ CA-2 (former CA-6) College in CA-37

          by Alibguy on Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 11:03:00 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  I am calling in PA today as we have no early (0+ / 0-)

      voting and people have been so nice.  If you want, you or others can call PA from the Obama website. They are less bombarded by calls except for the past couple of days. We just got ads this week and calls starting this weekend.

      Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

      by wishingwell on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 09:50:57 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  racine native? left for good (sniffle) in '03 (0+ / 0-)

    washington park (go panthers!!); mostly grange & ~16th w/tours of duty in Sturtevant & Union Grove

    to republicans rape is "God's will" but homosexuality is somehow a "choice". republican yahweh is a dick.

    by bnasley on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 07:44:20 PM PST

  •  I voted (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell

    early and with contact, though it was way last year.  However, I dropped my landline six months ago and I am assuming the campaign didn't have my cell number.  The bonus to this is I got ZERO campaign calls from anyone.  Yep, I have been chortling for a few months now as everyone around me complains.  Now my mailbox and email is another story...

    Loyalty to petrified opinion never yet broke a chain or freed a human soul in this world--and never will. Mark Twain

    by whoknu on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 07:50:22 PM PST

  •  Great to read- thanks! (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mightymouse, cashblaster, wishingwell

    It's been great to read the posts from other Coloradans (I live in Boulder, despite my user name).  I also canvassed up in Racine and Milwaukee for Kerry in 2004, and canvassing now is a whole new ballgame.  That said, my experience canvassing this year hasn't been altogether positive, or particularly organized. It's good to hear that things are running more smoothly elsewhere.

  •  now up to about 650 doors (5+ / 0-)

    Knocked on in the past 5-6 days

    Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable. ~JFK

    by TheUrbanRevolution on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 10:14:15 PM PST

  •  At Nate Silver...92% chance of Obama win (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell

    Guru Nate Silver gives Obama a 92% chance of winning as of November 6, 2012...12:10 AM!

    Dr Wang at election.princeton.edu has Obama's odds of winning at 99.8! And Dr. Wang joked that if Romney upsets Obama in Ohio, he'll eat a large bug.

    We are clearly ahead.

    But GOTV until every single democrat
    s vote is counted.

    GOTV. As long as Democrats show up in the polls today, Obama wins, PERIOD!

  •  It's good in the margins (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell

    There are reportedly 7.7 million registered voters in Ohio. If canvassers knocked on every one of their doors, say that ultimately half are eventually contacted face to face--4 million (overestimate). Say that half again, 2 million, are potential Obama voters. I've heard that a face to face contact results in a 6% greater chance of turning out, so that would be 120,000 Ohio votes generated by GOTV.

    One thing I've noticed in canvassing my neighborhood--it's also a "visibility" operation in GOTV parlance. You're walking around with Obama buttons, t-shirt, clip board, flyers whatever and like-minded people driving past see you, wave. honk. etc. So I think it helps to maintain the level of buzz in an election.

  •  I wonder what will happen to this... (3+ / 0-)

    ...organisation after the election.  If they would only use it on legislative issues.

    We Glory in war, in the shedding of human blood. What fools we are.

    by delver rootnose on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 01:50:51 AM PST

  •  GOTV (0+ / 0-)

    Guru Nate Silver gives Obama a 92% chance of winning as of November 6, 2012...12:10 AM!

    Dr Wang at election.princeton.edu has Obama's odds of winning at 99.8! And Dr. Wang joked that if Romney upsets Obama in Ohio, he'll eat a large bug.

    We are clearly ahead.

    But GOTV until every single democrat
    s vote is counted.

    GOTV. As long as Democrats show up in the polls today, Obama wins, PERIOD!

  •  If the weather is not good... (0+ / 0-)

    Wear winter clothes and bring your umbrella.

    I know democrats GOTV in wheelchairs being pushed by the God blessed GOTV by Democrats.

    Do you want to see your vote in the winner's column?

    Nate Silver puts a victory for President Obama at a historic 92% over Romney.

    We will win if we turn out....PERIOD!!!!!!!

  •  I have not done much (4+ / 0-)

    this election.  Actually, not that long ago I wasn't even sure that I was going to even vote for President Obama.  But I have been making calls into Ohio, and I have had a few pretty cool experiences.

    One of my favorites was a call tonight to a man who was actually an immigrant from West Africa.  He told me that had already voted for President Obama, but he asked if I could please speak to his friend who was visiting him.  He said that he was trying to persuade his friend, but was not having any success.

    So this man with this amazing accent got on the phone and told me that he was undecided.  He was a new citizen, having emigrated from Senegal.  I actually think that being able to say that I had considered not voting for the President was a way to connect, and I talked to him about why I now support the President despite my earlier reservations.  By the end of the conversation he had committed to voting for President Obama, and he had a plan to do so after he finished working at 2:30 p.m. tomorrow.  It was very cool to be able thank him for his support for President Obama and for his coming from Senegal to become a US citizen.

    I think the lists are being winnowed down at this point, as I have had a lot of wrong numbers and people just not answering their phones (perhaps an unfortunate result of random Republican robocalls?).  But I have also talked to several undecided voters.  And I am happy to say that I have been able to convince a few to make a plan to vote for President Obama.  

    I am so grateful to the diarist and all the amazing people who never lost faith in President Obama.  I am in awe at the work that you guys have done.

  •  You are out of touch on the GOP game.. (0+ / 0-)

    First, the Republican ground game is not entirely the purview of the RNC.

    Romney has his own national ground game.

    And his big push is something called the "Election Day Task Force".  He has a poll watcher sitting in every precinct checking off names as GOP voters show up.

    I saw one this morning here in Illinois!  I was flabbergasted that they would bother in such a blue state.

    They have that list of likely GOP voters and will start calling or knocking on their doors this afternoon if their name isn't checked off.  This is a massive effort from what I've been reading.  One article (I believe) quoted 30,000 volunteers.

    And, not only do that have this effort on election day, they've been calling and canvassing for over a week.

  •  no-show Repubs (5+ / 0-)

    I just spent the morning poll watching for Elizabeth Warren in Massachuetss.  We were checking off identified Warren supporters as they came in to vote so we can call those who haven't later in the day.  We have been building this list of Warren supporters for a year canvassing by phone or knocking on doors.

    The Brown campaign didn't even turn up and someone who told me that she had volunteered to be a poll watcher for Brown was never contacted and given an assignment. My area supervisor held a training and emailed me daily with updates and reminders.

    Gone are the days when you can win elections with TV ads, lawn signs and rallies.  Hope the Repubs never find this out.

    •  Same thing in NC (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LearningCurve, Kansas Born

      Heavily democratic & African American district in Durham. There were 7 different canvassers from various local and state Democratic organizations. There are 2 election protection workers (incl. me) from OFA. We were told there would be a Republican Precinct observer. I even had her name. So far, she is a no show. A HUGE majority of registered voters in this precinct have already voted.

  •  No calls here, where things get redder and redder (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell, Kansas Born

    I think one of the problems with the Electoral College is just this. With no reason to contest TN, the national Dems don't waste their resources here. The state party has gone into a self-reinforcing decline, and the Republicans expand their empire even more -- guaranteeing that we will continue to be ignored, and continue to get ever more red.

    A national vote would force a 50-state campaign. It would encourage higher turnout, and Democrats in TN (or for that matter Republicans in DC) would not be left to flounder.

    Conservatives believe evil comes from violating rules. Liberals believe evil comes from violating each other.

    by tcorse on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 08:57:33 AM PST

  •  GOTV Lists for GOP in Illinois Suck (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell, dickensgirl

    We got a call from Illinois Republicans last night with a GOTV message for Romney.  WTF?  We've never voted GOP, give money only to Dems and can't imagine how they got our name.  Really, they're targeting us??

    Hope they didn't pay a lot for that list 'cause it sucked.  Of course, they can keep calling me if it prevents them from actually reaching any Republicans!  ;-)

    "You don't summit Bullshit Mountain unless you know your way around a turd or two." --Jon Stewart describing Fox News

    by JAM11 on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 09:13:04 AM PST

  •  Voted early for O; contacted x4 by R (0+ / 0-)

    I've been consistently voting Democratic for years (last Republican vote was for McCain - in the 2000 primary). I still had multiple calls from Romney campaign and none from Obama.

    This happened in Virginia in a county that leans R.

  •  Re Poll: I voted today in NY for Obama (0+ / 0-)

    There seems to be no category for voting on election day.

    I was not contacted by phone or email by OFA. Since I'm in NY, there may not have been much urgency about that. However, I have received gazilions of emails, have given money, etc., so OFA may regard me as a safe vote.

    I was contacted by both human and robo phone calls for my Dem Congressional candidate.

     

  •  GOP GOTV includes 1000 coordinated radio stations (0+ / 0-)

    and that may actually be their dominant GOTV force.

    This is a list of 76 universities for Rush Limbaugh that endorse global warming denial, racism, sexism, and partisan lying by broadcasting sports on Limbaugh radio stations.

    by certainot on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 03:25:02 PM PST

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