Just stopped by 538 and noticed that if you use the competitive states filter in the State-by-State Projections column, Wisconsin, Ohio and Nevada no longer show up. Nate has them all as Safe Obama. The chance of winning %s: Ohio at 92. Nevada at 94. Wisconsin at 97. Winning those 3 has been my go to path for several months now. If Nate is right and the 237 that almost everybody agrees is already locked for Obama holds up, well you do the math. I come up with 271. But, I will still be GettingOTV in Colorado tomorrow.