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This isn't an important "diary" and today's a big day so I'll keep this super short. I'm just dying to know if Nate will be posting his prediction like he did last time?

Or is he only keeping the probability map up that he has on 538 now?

If you know, please tell me so I don't have to refresh 5,000 times today!

Thank you!!!

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Comment Preferences

  •  Yes, it's over at 538 dot com (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    realwischeese

    Obama chance of re-election 91.6%. Ohio better than 91% as well as late polls have come in showing momentum for the President.

    Romney economics: Feed our seed corn to the fattest pigs and trust them to poop out jobs.

    by blue aardvark on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 08:36:12 AM PST

  •  I was curious (0+ / 0-)

    if he'd release a final conclusion, THIS IS MY PREDICTION post also. But I don't see why it would differ appreciably from today's model. The only judgement call he really needs to make is Florida, and if I were him, I'd just say "I predict a recount."

    Proud supporter of actually prosecuting rape, even if it requires extradition!

    by zegota on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 08:37:55 AM PST

  •  Tiny but across-the-board degradation 10am ET (0+ / 0-)

    All the states I'm following, including the phony Republican expand-the-map states showed decline from late Monday to 10 am this morning. Probably just some rounding tweaking, since some of these states didn't even have late polls.

    COL -0.2
    IOW -0.1
    NV -0.2
    NH -0.2
    OH -0.2
    VG -0.2
    WI -0.1
    NC -0.2
    FL -0.3
    PA -0.2
    MI -0.2
    NM -0.1
    OR -0.2
    MIN -0.2

    Just in case, everybody make one more phone call. Try to find one more acquaintance to take to the polls.

  •  wingnut Scott elliot called it for Obama (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SuWho

    The site is election projection.com, he always calls elections almost on the nose. He has been screaming about the polls all year but he just posted his final projection and said as a sad conservative Obama is going to be re-elected.
    He has Florida going to Romney but VA to Obama.I am now convinced Obama will win pretty easily.

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