Skip to main content

Okay, Gallup reeeeeeally sucks.

For their final swing state poll, Gallup showed Obama and Romney tied among likely voters across the battleground.

Voters in the nation's key battlegrounds have become as enthusiastic and engaged in the 2012 presidential election as they were in the historic contest four years ago, and they finally have made up their minds about President Obama and Mitt Romney.

It's a tie: 48%-48%.

I hate to break this to you Gallup, but no, it wasn't "a tie" as you put it.
The poll was taken in the dozen battlegrounds most likely to determine the outcome in the Electoral College: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
A tie?  In those states?

Here are the actual results, taking into account the fact that hundreds of thousands of provisional, absentee, and overseas ballots (the sum total of which should benefit our side) are still being counted across battleground states:

Colorado - Obama +5
Florida - Obama +1
Iowa - Obama +5.5
Michigan - Obama +9.5
Nevada - Obama +6.5
New Hampshire - Obama +5.5
New Mexico - Obama +10
North Carolina - Romney +2
Ohio - Obama +2
Pennsylvania - Obama +5
Virginia - Obama +3
Wisconsin - Obama +7

So as we can clearly see, the battleground was not anywhere close to "a tie."  And Romney was never really ahead by 7 points nationally, as Gallup claimed.  That was absurd.  The last time a Republican won an election by 7 points nationally was in 1988, when George Bush won states like California, Illinois, and Pennsylvania.  

I wonder if the collective brains over at Gallup melted on Tuesday night as the election returns came in.  Either that, or just exploded.

http://www.usatoday.com/...

Poll

Gallup really sucks.

100%128 votes

| 128 votes | Vote | Results

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site