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One recurring theme is that a lot of non-White people voted for Obama. But so did a lot of White people. After all, you can't win all of New England without getting a lot of White folk to vote for you.  I got to wondering what proportion of White voters voted for Obama in each state.

Simplifying assumptions I had to make some assumptions. I assumed that Obama won 95% of the Black vote in every state, and 75% of the non-White, non-Black vote in every state. These seem reasonable and modest changes in the numbers do not make big differences in the results

The table is below the Kos Croissant, and thanks to Palantir for help with the formatting.

In each row there is the state abbreviation, the proportion White, Black and Other (per the census) the proportion Obama won (as of yesterday), then my estimate of the Obama support that came from Blacks (05% of the proportion Black), others (75% times prop. other) and the remainder. Finally, the proportion of White voters who voted Obama.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       
State Prop white Prop black Prop other Prop Obama Black Obama support Other Obama support remainder White Obama support
MS 0.59 0.37 0.039 0.44 0.352 0.029 0.059 0.1
LA 0.626 0.32 0.054 0.41 0.304 0.041 0.066 0.105
AL 0.685 0.262 0.053 0.38 0.249 0.04 0.091 0.133
GA 0.597 0.305 0.098 0.45 0.29 0.074 0.087 0.145
OK 0.722 0.074 0.204 0.33 0.07 0.153 0.107 0.148
UT 0.861 0.011 0.128 0.25 0.01 0.096 0.144 0.167
SC 0.662 0.279 0.059 0.44 0.265 0.044 0.131 0.197
AR 0.77 0.15 0.08 0.37 0.143 0.06 0.168 0.218
WY 0.907 0.008 0.085 0.28 0.008 0.064 0.209 0.23
TX 0.704 0.118 0.178 0.41 0.112 0.134 0.164 0.234
TN 0.776 0.167 0.057 0.39 0.159 0.043 0.189 0.243
AK 0.667 0.033 0.300 0.420 0.031 0.225 0.164 0.245
ID 0.891 0.006 0.103 0.33 0.006 0.077 0.247 0.277
KS 0.838 0.059 0.103 0.38 0.056 0.077 0.247 0.294
NC 0.685 0.215 0.1 0.49 0.204 0.075 0.211 0.308
NE 0.861 0.045 0.094 0.38 0.043 0.071 0.267 0.31
KY 0.878 0.078 0.044 0.38 0.074 0.033 0.273 0.311
AZ 0.73 0.04 0.23 0.44 0.038 0.173 0.23 0.314
WV 0.939 0.034 0.027 0.35 0.032 0.02 0.297 0.317
SD 0.859 0.013 0.128 0.4 0.012 0.096 0.292 0.34
VA 0.686 0.194 0.12 0.51 0.184 0.09 0.236 0.344
ND 0.9 0.012 0.088 0.39 0.011 0.066 0.313 0.347
MO 0.828 0.116 0.056 0.44 0.11 0.042 0.288 0.348
IN 0.843 0.091 0.066 0.44 0.086 0.05 0.304 0.361
FL 0.75 0.16 0.09 0.5 0.152 0.068 0.281 0.374
NV 0.662 0.081 0.257 0.52 0.077 0.193 0.25 0.378
MT 0.894 0.004 0.102 0.42 0.004 0.077 0.34 0.38
OH 0.827 0.122 0.051 0.5 0.116 0.038 0.346 0.418
NM 0.684 0.021 0.295 0.53 0.02 0.221 0.289 0.422
MD 0.582 0.294 0.124 0.62 0.279 0.093 0.248 0.426
PA 0.819 0.108 0.073 0.52 0.103 0.055 0.363 0.443
CO 0.813 0.04 0.147 0.51 0.038 0.11 0.362 0.445
MI 0.789 0.142 0.069 0.54 0.135 0.052 0.353 0.448
CA 0.576 0.062 0.362 0.59 0.059 0.272 0.26 0.451
DE 0.689 0.214 0.097 0.59 0.203 0.073 0.314 0.456
IL 0.715 0.145 0.14 0.57 0.138 0.105 0.327 0.458
NJ 0.686 0.137 0.177 0.58 0.13 0.133 0.317 0.462
MN 0.853 0.052 0.095 0.53 0.049 0.071 0.409 0.48
WI 0.862 0.063 0.075 0.53 0.06 0.056 0.414 0.48
WA 0.773 0.036 0.191 0.55 0.034 0.143 0.373 0.482
IA 0.913 0.029 0.058 0.52 0.028 0.044 0.449 0.492
OR 0.836 0.018 0.146 0.54 0.017 0.11 0.413 0.494
NH 0.939 0.011 0.05 0.52 0.01 0.038 0.472 0.503
CT 0.776 0.101 0.123 0.59 0.096 0.092 0.402 0.518
NY 0.657 0.159 0.184 0.63 0.151 0.138 0.341 0.519
HI 0.247 0.016 0.737 0.7 0.015 0.553 0.132 0.535
ME 0.952 0.012 0.036 0.56 0.011 0.027 0.522 0.548
MA 0.804 0.066 0.13 0.61 0.063 0.098 0.45 0.559
RI 0.814 0.057 0.129 0.63 0.054 0.097 0.479 0.589
VT 0.953 0.01 0.037 0.67 0.01 0.028 0.633 0.664
Except for Hawaii, the states where Obama did best among Whites are all in New England.  One interesting thing is that two states that Obama won narrowly (CO and NV) have rapidly growing Latino populations. Another is that GA could easily be in play next time.
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