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The senate races in 2014 do not, initially, look that good for Democrats.  First, there are are more Democrats than Republicans running (20 seats are now D and only 14 are now R). Second, many of those 13 are in strongly Republican states, while some of the 20 are in states that are not that strongly Democratic.

It doesn't look good.

But look closer. Here are the 13 Republicans who are (or at least might be) running for re-election (the 14th is now held by DeMint, who will be replaced by another Republican soon):

Jeff Sessions (AL)
Jim Risch (ID)
Saxby Chambliss (GA)
Pat Roberts (KS)
Mitch McConnell (KY)

Susan Collins (ME)
Thad Cochran (MS)
Mike Johanss (NE)
Jim Inhofe (OK
Lindsey Graham (SC)

Lamar Alexander (TN)
John Cornyn (TX)
Mike Enzi (WY)

12 of the 13 voted to protect rapists

12 of the 13 voted against a UN treaty on rights of the disabled

All 13 voted against middle class tax relief

8 of 13 voted against extension of payroll tax holiday and unemployment insurance

9 of 13 voted against FDA food safety modernization

I put them under the magnifying glass below the Kos croissant.

Lamar Alexander (TN) - voted to protect rapists; against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief;  voted against extension.
Saxby Chambliss (GA) - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against food safety
Thad Cochran (MS) - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against extension; against food safety
Susan Collins (ME) voted against middle class tax relief;
John Cornyn (TX) -  voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against extension; against food safety

Mike Enzi (WY)  - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against extension
Lindsey Graham (SC) - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against food safety
Jim Inhofe (OK) - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against extension; against food safety
Mike Johanss (NE) - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against extension;  
Mitch McConnell (KY) - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against food safety

Jim Risch (ID) - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against extension; against food safety
Pat Roberts (KS) - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against food safety
Jeff Sessions (AL) - voted to protect rapists; voted against UN treaty; voted against middle class tax relief; against extension; against food safety

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Comment Preferences

  •  Time to put the screws to em (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    plf515, historys mysteries

    Let's go Ashley Judd!

  •  Could Susan Collins face a primary challenge (9+ / 0-)

    from the right? Maybe the Maine tea party folks will do us a favor and nominate an unelectable wing nut.

      •  Also Lamar Alexander & Saxby Chambliss (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Judge Moonbox, plf515, HeyMikey, Yosef 52

        They're also "squishy moderate" (at least compared to the GOPs current incarnation of fire-breathers)

        •  Chambliss vs. Tea Party speculation in GA. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          plf515

          I'm starting to read speculation about who from the even-farther-right will run against Chambliss. Names bandied about:

          * Karen Handel--former GOP gov candidate; former Fulton County CEO; former Komen Breast Cancer honcho ousted for being public embarrassment.

          * Chip Rogers--former GOP state legislative leader; recently made national news for hosting, at the GA capital building, a seminar for GOP legislators on the Obama/UN Agenda 21 mind-control threat. (Not making that up.)

          * Herman Cain. Yes, really.

          Chambliss will surely win against any Dem. So I'm hoping for huge Tea Party asshole to take down Chambliss. (I think. Gotta be careful what we wish for.)

          "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

          by HeyMikey on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 10:53:23 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  I thought Cain said he wouldn't run? (0+ / 0-)

            202-224-3121 to Congress in D.C. USE it! You can tell how big a person is by what it takes to discourage them. "We're not perfect, but they're nuts."--Barney Frank 01/02/2012

            by cany on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 03:56:21 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  I hadn't seen that. I dunno. (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              cany

              If he doesn't run, the odds go down that Georgia will end up a laughingstock. (Again.)

              "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

              by HeyMikey on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 04:28:08 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Here ya go, per TPM. (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                HeyMikey

                linkie

                Eric the Red (per Salon) isn't running either (think of the family!), and Allen West is out as he has said he's not (per Huffpo) interested in returning to GA.

                202-224-3121 to Congress in D.C. USE it! You can tell how big a person is by what it takes to discourage them. "We're not perfect, but they're nuts."--Barney Frank 01/02/2012

                by cany on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 06:14:25 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  Plenty of nutballs left here. (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  cany

                  Thanks! So it appears some of the more outrageous candidates are sitting it out. But the GOP has a deep bench of outrageous here in GA. The second string is warming up...

                  "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

                  by HeyMikey on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 06:43:53 PM PST

                  [ Parent ]

    •  It's entirely possible (2+ / 0-)

      I'll start looking at individual races soon.

    •  I can't stand her. (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Rosalie907, plf515, madhaus

      At least with the others, they are repugs through and through.  Collins acts like a holier then thou "moderate" then backs repug obstruction when she has a chance to really BE a moderate.

      I hope for two things:  A tea-bagger primary challenger and a solid Dem for the general election!

    •  More likely (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      madhaus

      She could go the way of Snowe, her mentor, and leave.

      If I were a Senate Democrat, I'd be mounting a full court press on both Collins and Lisa Murkowski to switch parties.  They don't belong with the GOP. I'd offer them senior committee status, maybe the chair Collins at least would occupy ifshe was part of the Reality Party.  Maine's election results--overwhelmingly Democratic--ought to be giving her pause, and Alaska is more close than most people think, and would be very competitive if national Democrats actually took the trouble to campaign there.

      The Obama administration must recruit top tier Democrats to run in all GOP-held Senate seats, giving them positions in the administration as a consolation prize if they lose.  That's how it's done.

      Because if we hold the majority in 2014, we will SURELY get to 60 in 2016.

      The Romney Campaign: Most expensive mid-life crisis in American history.

      by AdmiralNaismith on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 02:35:20 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Except for ME, those are all deep red states (4+ / 0-)

    Prospects don't look good for replacing any of them with a Democrat. I would be more focused on holding the 20 Dems' seats.

  •  Correction (6+ / 0-)

    14 Republican seats are up in 2014 now, thanks to DeMint's resignation. There will be an appointment immediately, a special election in 2014 to fill out the remainder of his term, then the seat is up again in 2016. In a perfect-storm situation, this COULD mean that too-extreme teatards win primaries for both South Carolina Senate seats and hand over completely unexpected wins. I'm not predicting it will happen, but given what we've seen in Indiana, Delaware, Missouri, Alaska, and Colorado (just at the Senate level) it's entirely possible they could pick someone capable of losing, and do it twice.

    NH4JL DIT '04, NHDP DIT '08!

    by realnrh on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 09:41:33 AM PST

  •  Democrat Seats (5+ / 0-)

    Would have loved if you listed them also.  Additionally, we'll need to start letting voters in these states know about their votes ASAP and continue to do so until Nov 2014.  McConnell also fillibustered his own bill on the Senate floor!  This has never been done before.  

    Never be afraid to voice your opinion and fight for it . Corporations aren't people, they're Republicans (Rev Al Sharpton 10/7/2011)

    by Rosalie907 on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 10:52:27 AM PST

    •  That will be a different diary n/t (0+ / 0-)
    •  The 20 Dem seats (0+ / 0-)

      SAFE DEM:

      Rhode Island--Reed
      Massachusetts--Kerry
      New Jersey--Lautenberg
      Delaware--Carney
      Virginia--Warner
      West Virginia--Rockefeller
      Illinois--Durbin
      Michigan--Levin
      Iowa--Harkin
      New Mexico--Udall
      Montana--Baucus
      Oregon--Merkley

      Unless there are retirements, none of these are going anywhere.  Iowa, Virginia and West Virginia are the ones that are not solid Dem, but the incumbents are popular.

      Likely/Leaning Dem

      New Hampshire--Shaheen
      Colorado--Udall
      Minnesota--Franken
      Louisiana--Landrieu

      Depends on the opponent. Landrieu is as popular in her state as Harkin and Warner are in theirs, and I'd have called her safe except that it's Louisiana. Franken ought to be fine now that he's gotten in and proved himself, but I'll be cautious because it went down to the wire in Obama's wave. And NH isn't safe because it has swung so widely in the past couple of cycles. From solid Dem in 2008 to solid GOP in 2010 to solid Dem again in 2012.  An off-year election can be a problem.

      Tossup:

      Arkansas--Pryor
      North Carolina--Perdue
      Alaska--Begich
      South Dakota--Johnson

      These are the ones to really watch for, especially if Johnson retires. NC swung our way in 2008 and then swung back. We need to fight for every inch of the state.  Begich gives the Dems an excuse to finally, finally fight for the state. And Pryor may go the way of Blanche Lincoln no matter what we do--Arkansas has become such a conservative sewer that I'm almost tempted to drop it entirely. Almost.  

      But note that, if we lose all four of those, and only those four, we still have the Senate majority, and in 2016 the only real contests on the map will be held by republicans, and there will be MANY of them.  60 seats after 2016 is almost a sure thing, if we just keep our losses down in 2014.

      The Romney Campaign: Most expensive mid-life crisis in American history.

      by AdmiralNaismith on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 02:57:00 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  In case it is not clear ... DeMint's seat will (0+ / 0-)

    be filled by appointment until a special election in 2014, to determine who will hold the seat until its natural re-election cycle in 2016. That is, SC Governor, Nikki Haley will appoint a placeholder until the special election in 2014. (I know you know, plf!)  Thus, there will be three chances for a Democratic pickup in two years. I know that is not promising in and of itself, but the problems Republicans are having with the Department of Revenue hacking will only grow. And, they are going to be attached to ALL Republicans, not JUST Nikki Haley. The event happened because Republicans are so deeply invested in government working BADLY. Obviously that is most easily achieved when they control (and should be accountable for!) EVERYTHING, as is the case in the state of South Carolina. It isn't that government works badly. It is that REPUBLICAN-administered government works badly. There are possibilities in the state of South Carolina that have not been there since Ernest Hollings retired.

    There are many many stories about the DOR hacking in SC. Here is just one.

    Awareness about the magnitude of problems this will cause to the citizens of South Carolina is slow in building. Even the media is not yet singing this tune in full cry. But between now and 2014 there is a fair amount of time. A good thing.

    Nikki Haley's approval is already in the toilet, without people having a real sense of the magnitude of the problems all citizens will face: a lifetime of serious identity theft risk, for all dependents, too. The state has spent $12 million to provide a year of free credit monitoring for citizens, but ... the problem and the great risk will last a lifetime. A lifetime of very intense vigilance required, with the stress of ever-present and unrelenting risk. Once citizens gain a fuller appreciation of the true magnitude of the problem, Haley's approval will suffer more. But so will the approval of ALL Republicans, since the failure is synonymous with Republican governance.

    "The opposite of war isn't peace, it's CREATION." _ Jonathan Larson, RENT -9.25, -8.82

    by BeninSC on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 02:41:38 PM PST

  •  Sincerely Hope Ashley Judd doesn't Run (0+ / 0-)

    That would seriously be the Democratic equivalent of putting up a Todd Akin or Christine O'Donnell.  Anyone remember when Nick Clooney (George's dad, a TV host) ran for Congress and got slapped down in a seat more Democratic than the state as a whole?  A "Hollywood liberal" would have no chance of winning trust me.  McConnell barely beat that disgusting crook Bruce Lunsford last time around, this is too big an opportunity to whiff.  

     

    Take care of all humanity as if they were your brothers and sisters.

    by skidrow on Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 05:44:44 PM PST

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