Skip to main content

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner
Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here.
Leading Off:

PA-Gov: Here's an interesting turnaround: A couple of years ago, it seemed like John Kasich and Scott Walker were the Midwestern Republican freshman governors whose days were numbered, while Rick Snyder and Tom Corbett had evaded most of the scrutiny and were out of the crosshairs. Well, those positions have certainly been reversed over the last year or so, and if you needed to see some numbers to go with that slice of conventional wisdom, Public Policy Polling is out with some preliminary Pennsylvania data which backs that up.

Corbett's approvals are down to 38/52 overall; he was at 33/44 in PPP's last pre-election poll, so while he has better approvals, he's nevertheless further underwater this time. He also fares rather sketchily against potential Democratic opponents in hypothetical 2014 head-to-heads. The only one he outright loses to is ex-Gov. Ed Rendell, but that's largely because Rendell is the only Dem with name rec (47/43 favorables) that matches the incumbent's.

The more important number here may be 42, which is the threshold that Corbett never breaks against any of the other candidates—a bad place to be if undecideds are going to break in the Dems' direction. (A quick glance at the crosstabs confirms this. For instance, in the Corbett/Rob McCord matchup, 30 percent of the "not sures" are Democrats, but only 15 percent are Republicans.) Here's the full array of names:

• 40-46 vs. ex-Gov. Ed Rendell

• 42-42 vs. AG Kathleen Kane

• 41-37 vs. ex-Sec. of Environmental Protection John Hanger

• 41-35 vs. Treasurer Rob McCord

• 41-38 vs. Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter

• 41-34 vs. Rep. Allyson Schwartz

• 42-36 vs. ex-Rep. Joe Sestak

• 41-29 vs. businessman Tom Wolf

(Corbett trailed Generic Dem 47-37 in that early November poll; Generic D didn't get tested this time.)

The timing of this poll is particularly interesting, given Corbett's recent role initiating a lawsuit challenging the NCAA over its sanctions of Penn State's football program, in the wake of the Jerry Sandusky scandal (something that we tore into on Friday). In terms of political merit, though, the lawsuit isn't weighing Corbett further down: PPP finds that 52 percent of the state's voters support the lawsuit, while 34 percent are opposed. That's because 62 percent of respondents think the sanctions against PSU were too strict, with 27 percent saying "about right" and 8 percent saying too lenient.

Of course, that's seen through the lens of athletic partisanship: Of the 49 percent of respondents who are Penn State fans, they support the lawsuit 63-23. The 51 percent who are non-Penn State fans oppose the lawsuit 45-41. (Political partisanship seems to weigh on how voters see the lawsuit as well, though: For instance, among Obama voters, the lawsuit has 15/65 approval, while among Romney voters, it has 42/33 approval.)

Nevertheless, the case doesn't seem to be a big difference maker for Corbett's fortunes: Despite the suit, his overall approval numbers for how he's handled the Penn State situation are still only 27 approve and 50 disapprove. And bear in mind that Corbett's numbers didn't start to tank with the Penn State scandal, but began to fall earlier than that, with the draconian round of education cuts that he pushed. The fact that his disapprovals have continued to get worse since November suggest that—even if the lawsuit, by itself, is a political plus for him—it doesn't look like litigation will be that much of a life preserver for him on the whole. (David Jarman)

Senate:

MA-Sen: An interesting tidbit from UMN: "It has been more than 50 years since a state has held three Senate elections in three consecutive years or four Senate contests over a five-year span." Massachusetts, though, is on track to do just that, assuming John Kerry is confirmed as Secretary of State. Of course, a big part of the reason for this streak is that few states conduct Senate specials in odd-numbered years, with most waiting to fill seats at the next regularly-scheduled (even-year) general election.

MT-Sen: This sounds like good news for Dem Sen. Max Baucus (which is why I'm filing this under "MT-Sen"): Former Republican Rep. Denny Rehberg, who just lost last year's Senate contest to Jon Tester, says he's done with politics after a thirty-year career. Rehberg claims that before he entered the race against Tester, he'd decided he'd either seek higher office or retire from Congress altogether—though I guess he got door no. 2 via door no. 1, the worst of all possible worlds.

I'll never really understand that kind of decision-making (if you want to quit, why would you willingly take on more?), but anyhow I'm sure Rehberg, only 57, will have plenty of lucrative opportunities in his future. He started off his career as a lobbyist, after all, and he was attacked repeatedly in 2012 for calling lobbying an "honorable" profession. Now he can follow his own advice: "If I had been smart I would have said, ‘nope, no, I think I’ll stay out of the political arena and go into lobbying.'" Yet despite all his flaws, Rehberg would have been a tough opponent for Baucus, so I'm more than happy to say... seeya!

NJ-Sen: Looks like Cory Booker is giving up on the whole "politely waiting for Frank Lautenberg to retire" idea. Newark's mayor said on CNN on Monday morning that New Jersey's 88-year-old senior senator has "got a decision to make," which is the kind of statement that's so obvious that you only make it if you're trying to kick someone in the rear. While Booker initially tried to give off the impression that he was going to accord Lautenberg all the time and respect in the world, a recent story in Buzzfeed (mostly based on blind quotes) indicated that the Democratic establishment is pissed at Booker for jumping the gun. So perhaps Booker figures that if the egos he was trying to stroke are ticked off anyway, he might as well start tapping the accelerator and seeing what happens.

NM-Sen: Here's another ex-Republican member of Congress who's also saying "no mas": Heather Wilson, who lost Senate bids in 2008 (in the primary) and 2012 (in the general), after representing New Mexico's 1st District for five terms. Once again, I'm slotting this—like the MT-Sen bullet above—under the "Senate" heading, simply because Democrat Tom Udall is up for re-election in 2014, and if Wilson were going to run again, I figure that would be her most likely option. But she ain't, and it's not clear that New Mexico Republicans have much of a bench. Lt. Gov. John Sanchez, maybe?

Gubernatorial:

CT-Gov: This is fun. Last week, when I saw that 2010 GOP gubernatorial nominee Tom Foley—who's been considering a rematch practically since the moment he lost—said in a new interview "I would have had the best chance of winning if I had a woman as a running mate," I knew things weren't going to end well. For one, that kind of naked "I know how to get women's votes! I'll tap a woman as my no. 2!" calculation not only doesn't work but is just as apt to backfire (see Sarah Palin). But more cutting, I figured, would be the response of Mark Boughton, Foley's actual LG nominee. Foley did make sure to call Boughton an "excellent" candidate, but that didn't seem to appease him:

Trust me Tom, not having a woman on the ticket was the least of your problems...

@MayorMark via rowi for Windows Phone

It's only January of 2013 and already the 2014 cat fud is flying. I know that Dem Gov. Dan Malloy's had his ups-and-downs, but lately his approvals have been improving, and I'm having a hard time seeing Foley doing better than his 2010-powered 6,404-vote loss.

MA-Gov, -Sen: Steve Grossman, this is your only warning! Massachusetts' Democratic state treasurer says he's "leaning strongly" toward a gubernatorial run... which means that unless and until I hear a clear "yes" or "no" from him in the future, this'll be the first and last time I write about his plans in the Digest—all these tea leaves are making me allergic. Grossman is also apparently thinking about the Senate special election expected later this year, but really, man, time's just about up for getting into that contest. In a previous interview about his political future, Grossman said, "I consider myself to be a fairly decisive person." Good! Now please stick to that.

In any event, while plenty of other names loom, the other candidate most likely enter the race is Lt. Gov. Tim Murray, who said on Monday that he does not have a timetable for an announcement. So into the Grossman bucket you go, buddy! We'll see you both when you've got something concrete for us.

House:

IL-14: This is a little thin, but hey, I'll take it: Crain's Chicago Business reports (based on, it seems, little more than "buzz," "talk," and "speculation") that ex-Rep. Joe Walsh might seek a path back to Congress via Illinois' 14th Congressional District... currently occupied by fellow GOP Rep. Randy Hultgren. If that sounds disturbingly familiar, well, it's because Walsh spent a good chunk of 2011 running against Hultgren in the primary after their districts were mashed together by Democratic mapmakers. But Walsh, rather surprisingly, changed gears opted to seek re-election in the remnants of his own district, the 8th, even though it was far too blue for him to have a prayer. (He may have done better than Mitt Romney, but Tammy Duckworth still beat him by 10 points.)

Reportedly, Walsh switched races because John Boehner offered to back his play against Duckworth to the tune of $3.5 million, a promise that seemed impossible to believe at the time, to avoid a showdown with Hultgren. (Oddly, though, Walsh did wind up getting millions in outside help from a the conservative Now or Never PAC, but it still wasn't enough.)

Now, though, Walsh is a free agent and faces fewer institutional obstacles if he were to throw down against Hultgren once more. During the brief lifespan of their first tangle together, things got very nasty very quickly, so I'm sure we'd get to sit back and enjoy some hellfire if this matchup came about. Anyhow, be on the lookout for a possible announcement from Walsh on Wednesday, though he's being coy. Here's hoping!

MS-04: Among the most offensive votes against Hurricane Sandy relief funds last week belonged to GOP Rep. Steven Palazzo, and Tom Kludt at Talking Points Memo explains exactly why. Not only was Palazzo's hometown of Biloxi devastated during Hurricane Katrina in 2005, and not only was the region the recipient of massive amounts of federal aid, but Palazzo himself lobbied for more federal money at the time, in his capacity as Deputy Director of the Biloxi Housing Authority! I mean, up here in the tri-state region, we figured we practically invented the very notion of chutzpah—but evidently, Rep. Palazzo has a lot more to teach us. So, buddy, when ya visitin'?

Other Races:

Special Elections: We already have our first legislative special elections of the new year! Johnny Longtorso, naturally, has the scoop for Tuesday's races:

California SD-04: Newly-elected Republican Rep. Doug LaMalfa resigned this seat in anticipation of winning a seat in the House of Representatives. The candidates are Assemblyman Jim Nielsen, a Republican, and three-time Assembly candidate Mickey Harrington, a Democrat. Nielsen came close to winning the seat outright in the primary; he got 49.8 percent to Harrington's 27.7 percent.

Georgia HD-21: This is an open Republican seat north of the Atlanta metro area. The candidates are three Republicans, Brian Laurens, Kenneth Ashley Mimbs, and Scot Turner (all business types, apparently, and Turner lost the primary for this seat in July), and one Democrat, Natalie Bergeron, an attorney. This one will go to a runoff if nobody wins a majority.

(There are also a couple of specials for Georgia Senate seats, but one is an R-on-R affair, and one is five Republicans and a Libertarian.)

Mississippi HD-59: This is an open Republican seat in Rankin County. The race is officially nonpartisan, but Scott Allen, a trucking company owner, Bradley Lum, a former college baseball player and law student, and Brent Powell, a real estate agent, are all Republicans. Benny Hubbard, an insurance company owner and Army reservist, doesn't have a party listed on his website.

Grab Bag:

FreedomWorks: The lunatic FreedomWorks saga has become so bizarre I'm no longer going to try to summarize it, so if you want the latest, head on over to Mother Jones (which scored a copy of the proposed book contract they say triggered the meltdown) and Media Matters (which is touting an exclusive interview with Dick Armey in which he rags on his former organization for paying Glenn Beck a million bucks a year to do nothing).

House: This is verging on "not DKE territory," but I figure it's worth highlighting before it fades into the history books. Roll Call reports that the comically inept "coup" to oust Boehner (or, it seems, merely force a second ballot on the speakership vote) was actually larger than first thought. Organizers knew they needed 17 defections in order to prompt a second round of voting but wanted 25, as an insurance policy. Apparently, one member got cold feet at the last moment, leading this haphazard coalition to break apart on the House floor. (In the end, only 10 Republicans voted for someone other than Boehner, and two didn't vote at all.) Jonathan Strong has more details on the whole embarrassing episode at the link.

WATN?: Looks like Ed Martin is failing upwards—or at least, sideways: After losing a race for the House in 2010 (against good ol' Rusty Carnahan) and another race in 2012 (for state attorney general), the attorney and tea partier narrowly ousted the incumbent chair of the Missouri GOP, David Cole, and will now assume the top spot himself. Cole had almost unanimous establishment backing, but after the miserable year suffered by state Republicans, Martin managed to edge him out. We'll see if Martin's particular brand of crazy will harm his party, but it may not matter, given how red the state ordinarily is. And Martin certainly doesn't lack for energy, but if he does well in his new job, he'd probably be the first tea party insurgent to be successful in such a position.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 05:00 AM PST.

Also republished by Pittsburgh Area Kossacks and Daily Kos.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  Michael Nutter. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, itskevin

    For some reason it never occurred to me that the current Mayor of Philadelphia would be a strong candidate for governor. He is very popular in the Philly suburbs, which probably explains why he polls well against Corbett.

    I doubt Nutter will take the plunge, but there are many other great candidates we could nominate.

    http://www.snappac.org/ Students for a New American Politics!

    by redrelic17 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 05:17:13 AM PST

  •  Dan Malloy (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    While Dan Malloy's approvals might be improving that can be attributed to his response to the Newtown shootings.  By the time the election rolls around, I expect him to be in a much different place.  Malloy's close victory was due in large part to an aggressive get out the vote drive funded by the state's labor unions.  A tax increase that hit not just rich folks but also lower and middle income people combined with a concession package for state employees has left a bitter taste in people's mouths when it comes to Dan Malloy.

    37, male, NY-14 (born), NJ-9 (raised), MA-1 (college), CT-1 (now)

    by kalu on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:31:37 AM PST

  •  Corbett is losing Central PA voters (5+ / 0-)

    That's why he's polling poorly.

    The Penn State fiasco and his non-involvement in Sandusky's prosecution have left a bad taste in people's mouths in a normally dull, gray, conservative portion of the state.

    He's being hammered by the Harrisburg Patriot, for God's sake. That paper is usually as useless as they come.

    Of course he's hated in Philly and surrounding burbs for his voter suppression efforts.  He couldn't even suppress votes competently.

    I agree with the comments above re Sestak. On paper and in pictures he looks great, as a candidate he sucks.  He did come close against the sociopath Toomey but his campaign generally sucked.   He never got Pennsylvanians outside of Philly and the burbs to really know who he was.

    Sadly PA Dems have a history of fielding bad candidates.  Casey is the exception due to his name recognition.  If he ran Corbett would be toast.

    •  Don't you think that had something to do with (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      stevenaxelrod

      Toomey's tremendous funding advantage?

      He never got Pennsylvanians outside of Philly and the burbs to really know who he was.
      I don't get this idea that Sestak was a bad candidate. PA voters didn't consider Toomey a sociopath, and he ran a terrific campaign. That does not mean Sestak - who almost beat Toomey - ran a bad campaign and "sucks."

      Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

      by MichaelNY on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:45:07 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Toomey did have a lot of Citizen's United money (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        BKGyptian89, terrypinder, Aquarius40

        and that pushed him over the top by depressing what should have been an overwhelming pro-Sestak vote in Philly and the surrounding counties. Sestak could and should have overcome this by defining Toomey as the nut case he is. He didn't do that.  Nor did he define himself.  He's not constitutionally  (small c) suited to campaigning. He's stiff and somewhat arrogant.

        •  Nah (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Dartagnan, MichaelNY, Adam B

          it was just 2010, it was a pro-GOP wave.  Sestak was handicapped and not much he could do, heck he won Philly by the same vote margin as casey in 2006 or Rendell in 2002.  

          The Burbs just swung hard right in 2010's, but they've since swung back to normal.  Bucks and Chester are probably a bit more GOP now than 10 years ago, but MontCo is the key for the future.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 07:33:56 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  Sestak > Casey (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, Aquarius40, stevenaxelrod

      Let's be honest here, Casey isn't a great candidate, he coasts on his last name.  Sestak ran a better campaign in 2010 than Casey has ever run in any of his races.

      Dems don't need a miracle to take down Corbett, just slightly-above average events (including the candidate selection) for 2014.  When you look at how dreadful 2010 was the baseline for improvement in 2014 paints a pretty clear picture.  

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:51:22 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Nail on the head (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, stevenaxelrod

        Even today most Pennsylvanians wouldn't rate Toomey badly.  He's toned himself down quite a bit.  Only those truly in the know recall him as the Club for growth guy and all his past.

        Toomey/Sestak was actually 2 pretty good candidates/campaigns, but no one was paying attention because it was a wave.  

        I remember election night actually thinking Sestak had eeked it out, then those York/Lancaster results kept coming in at 70%+ for Corbett and realizing Sestak couldn't overcome that.

        "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

        by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:53:39 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  Casey does coast on his name recognition (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, Adam B, terrypinder

        But the operative word is "coast." He's still got a plaintive, down-to-earth manner that appeals to many conservative Pennsylvanians. He hasn't faced a real challenge which would require him to break that out. Tom Smith gave him a little concern towards the end but Casey still won without (I think) planting a single yard sign in all of Delaware, Montgomery and Philadelphia Counties, or even bothering to campaign in the suburbs.  One "Tea Party Tom" commercial in those areas did the trick for Casey.

        •  Not sure I understand the point (0+ / 0-)

          Casey is just not a great candidate.  take away his last name and I doubt he ever wins an election after high school.  He's exceedingly unremarkable and being a moderate Dem from Scranton wouldn't have gotten him far.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 07:40:29 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  I just don't think PA voters think he's (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            as bad a candidate as you do.  He projects trustworthiness more than any other candidate I've seen in PA for a long time.  He has no personality but that doesn't matter to Pennsylvanians.

            •  Youre absolutely right (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Dartagnan, MichaelNY

              No doubt PA will elect him until he dies (and since he's still relatively young that could be a long time).  

              "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

              by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 07:53:26 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

    •  Corbett's funding of the Penn State litigation (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, Dartagnan, Aquarius40

      is the low point of a governor whose had enough failures to put together a feature-length lowlight film.  As opposed to a highlight film, of course.

      This litigation will end badly.  The Plaintiffs will lose on summary judgment.   Applying Corbett's high standards to this outcome, he'll considered it a victory if he can keep the case alive beyond election day.

      As has been noted by other posters here, there is a lot of mud to be slung at Corbett in his campaign finance history with Sandusky's non-profit employer, thereby raising questions about why Sandusky wasn't prosecuted earlier in this case.  Democrats shold have a field day with this.

      Electin failures can occur anywhere.  WI, MI, OH, my beloved 4th District in Kentucky.  But PA sure got a doozy with Corbett.

  •  I tend to agree (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    What exactly did Sestak do that was so bad?  

    I think beating Corbett is going to be tough to beat, but it's going to be a close race (I know that's counterintuitive).  

    I see whoever runs being able to actually win Allegheny County (it takes an awful Dem to lose Allegheny), and I see much bigger margins for the Dem candidate in places like Delaware County.  And I believe most any Dem can keep Corbett under 70% in Berks/York counties, which are just insane numbers when you think about it.

    McCord and Sestak would do better in the Philly burbs than Onorato, and Kane would do better in NEPA.  They all have a conceivable path.  I wonder what Nutter as a Lieutenant Guv nominee could do to help turnout in Philly, which would be key, though I doubt Nutter runs for anything in 2014.

    "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

    by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:43:27 AM PST

  •  Somebody said this a couple of days ago (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    that PADEMS can possibly get the trifecta in 2014. Im starting to believe thats now a reality.

    Moderate Progressive, Born in Cairo, Raised in NY-11, Living in NJ-13.

    by BKGyptian89 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:45:28 AM PST

  •  The Sandusky scandal itself has everything (6+ / 0-)

    to do with the earlier education cuts since the Governor used the scandal as a tool to get at the PSU President.

    This is the entire reason Curley and Schultz were indicted, to get at Graham Spanier. Why? Curley for one, as an athletic director, is not a required responder to allegations. Scultz is, as vice president overseeing the police force. The prosecutor's were almost certainly trying to get these two men to give up Corbett's political enemy, Graham Spanier, because Spanier, as a family counselor with expertise in child abuse, is a required responder. He has to report allegations of child abuse (which is why Spanier in the past has done his absolute best not to hear such allegations, as in the case of the former student and Biology professor in Maryland; the victim asked Spanier if he could send him an audiotape of the professor admitting his abuse, and Spanier basically told him to keep the tape).

    So, it's really hard to separate the political fight over budget cuts (i.e. Spanier's threat to close down satellite campuses) with the Sandusky scandal when the governor was well versed in the scandal for years prior.

    There are two kinds of people in this world. The kind who divide the world into two kinds of people, and the kind who don't.

    by upstate NY on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:45:49 AM PST

  •  AG (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, askew

    Kathleen Kane is the best candidate the Dems could nominate.

    •  Electorally I agree (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      But she had an easy road in 2012 and ran against a nobody.  I know we all want to give her campaign accolades for the result but the guy the GOP rallied around was a no-name from the middle of nowhere, which was odd.  The GOP had usually had a better track record with AG nominees.

      Now her campaign team should be highly sought after by everyone in the primary, as they did a great job beating Murphy outside Philly, which is probably where the battle in a contested primary will be won and lost.

      Kane actually has nothing to run on yet.  Also, I think even I could exploit her as an opportunist, as the entirety of her 2012 campaign was "a prosecutor, not a politician."  That ad campaign really writes itself.

      Was anyone else surprised at how poorly Allison Schwartz polled?

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:58:31 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  She won't run (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, Cederico

      She just won election as AG. It would be too soon.

  •  Ohio 2014 (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, abgin

    @ZekeJMiller

    "    Strickland: “Today, I am announcing my decision not to seek election as Governor of Ohio in 2014."   "

    Since Strickland is not running, who are the leading candidates the Dems can nominate?

  •  If Corbett doesn't like those poll numbers (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    abgin, jncca

    he can close his eyes.

    I'll always be...King of Bain...I'll always be...King of Bain

    by AZphilosopher on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 09:01:57 AM PST

  •  Nutter would get about 12% outside the cities (0+ / 0-)

    Corbett is a disaster but I never buy this 'can't break 42 percent' riff. His challengers can't break the upper 30s, and it's not all 'name recognition' either.  

    My former rep Joe Sestak ran statewide against Toomey and lost pretty badly; of course that was the 2010 calamity.

  •  MT-Sen (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    The news about Rehberg not running again is great indeed.  Sen. Baucus has horrible approval ratings 35% to 54% in MT and even with all of Rehberg's baggage...he would have been a tough opponent.  Sen. Baucus will likely end up not having a tough challenger especially since he already has ammassed over 3 million bucks in his campaign warchest.

    NM-Sen is good news too.  Former Rep. Heather Wilson was the one somewhat strong GOPers who might have given Sen. Tom Udall a contest.   She lost this year 51% to 45% to now Sen. Martin Heinrich....running better than Mitt Romney in former swing state NM.

    •  Rehberg received 45% of the (3+ / 0-)

      vote in both of his US Senate bids. With all due respect, regardless of how we Montanans may feel about Baucus, it's unlikely Denny 'would have been a tough opponent.'

      •  Baucus' numbers have improved (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        over the past couple years, though, correct?

        Age 23. Voting in NJ-03. Lived most of life in NJ-01. Had Rush Holt represent me during my undergrad years and am now represented by Frank Pallone in my grad school.

        by KingofSpades on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:27:58 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site