Skip to main content

U.S. House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) (L) looks on as House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) speaks to the media on the
#Gof8 #NoAmnesty #Gangof8 Bill passes Senate. 70% of Republican Senators voted NO, which in House means NO momentum for Amnesty, even w/BS.
Thirteen of 46 Republicans voted for the Senate's immigration reform, and yes, that's not a majority of the chamber's Republican members. If we had a similar breakdown of the vote in the House, the bill would pass easily. But House conservatives are demanding that Speaker John Boehner apply the "Hastert Rule", which means that nothing will come to the floor unless it has the support of a majority of the Republican caucus.

Boehner has long agreed to apply the Hastert Rule to the House bill, but had remained mum on any conference bill (the group of House and Senate members who get together to hash out a final bill). There was a growing fear from conservatives that Boehner would back some conservative version, but would then betray them when the conference bill came back allowing a free vote. This morning he clarified that even the conference bill would be subject to the Hastert Rule.

Thus, the prospects are suddenly dimmer ... assuming Boehner isn't lying to his caucus. Or maybe he thinks he's telling the truth, but could change his mind later on as people ask him to choose between the death of his speakership, or the death of his party. It would suck to be labeled "the guy who killed the GOP", particularly if the establishment lines up a cushy million-dollar K-Street golden parachute for him.

That's why conservatives will fight to prevent anything from happening. No bill means no conference report means no chance for Boehner to ratfuck them.

Ultimately, it'll come down to whether enough Republicans want to stay in the electoral ballgame, or whether they're content to relegate themselves to permanent minority status.

Originally posted to kos on Thu Jun 27, 2013 at 02:45 PM PDT.

Also republished by LatinoKos and Daily Kos.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site