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Some good news today from PPP:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...

PPP's newest Virginia poll finds a pretty steady race with Terry McAuliffe leading Ken Cuccinelli 41-37. Those numbers are virtually unchanged from late May when McAuliffe had a 42-37 advantage. Libertarian Robert Sarvis, included for the first time, polls at 7%. His support is a reflection of voter unhappiness with both candidates. - PPP, 7/16/13
Now voters aren't thrilled about Terry McAuliffe (D), his approvals are 34/36 with 30% having no opinion about him.  But voters really don't Ken Cuccinelli (R) 32/47.  Here's a little more info:
The two candidates are tied with men, but McAuliffe leads based on his 7 point advantage with women. Cuccinelli's 75% of Republicans is slightly more than McAuliffe's 73% of Democrats, but McAuliffe makes up for that with a 7 point lead among independents at 40/33. McAuliffe leads with every age group except for seniors, where Cuccinelli has a 7 point advantage that's helping him to keep the race competitive overall. - PPP, 7/16/13
Democrats are also leading in other major races.  Lt. Governor nominee Ralph Northam (D) has a 7 point lead over E.W. Jackson (R) at 42/35 and Attorney General nominee Mark Herring (D) leads Mark Obenshain (R) 38-36.  Democrats also have a slight edge on the generic legislative ballot at 46/42.  The general election is Tuesday, November 5th.  If you would like to get involved with helping Democrats win big in Virginia, you can sign up with the Virginia Democratic Party:

http://www.vademocrats.org/

Or you can sign up with McAuliffe's campaign here:

http://terrymcauliffe.com/

Originally posted to pdc on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 10:50 AM PDT.

Also republished by Virginia Kos and The Democratic Wing of the Democratic Party.

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Comment Preferences

    •  More to the point, it's too small (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Vatexia

      Given the whole "gift-gate" scandal going on is killing Cucinelli, it should be much higher.  

      We really need the indictment in October as a reminder to people of how corrupt the Republicans are.

      Liberalism is trust of the people tempered by prudence. Conservatism is distrust of the people tempered by fear. ~William E. Gladstone, 1866

      by absdoggy on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 11:27:31 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  no it isn't - ordinary folks not yet paying atten (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Egalitare, surfbird007, Gordon20024

        and right now it is having far more effect on McConnell, on whom the main focus has been.

        Also worth noting - only age group that Cuccinelli leads is seniors, and DPVA is now going after him because of where he has been on SS and Medicare -  he tries to counter with a senior group that is supporting him, but that group is for privatizing SS etc.  Expect some of Senior support for Cooch to erode with the focus on that

        "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

        by teacherken on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 11:34:55 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Even if... (0+ / 0-)

          You wouldn't have to be paying too much attention to know what a nutbar E.W. Jackson is, and he's only seven points behind.

          •  most people not paying attention to him either (0+ / 0-)

            not at this point

            what attention there is for politics in Virginia has recently been sucked up by the issues around the Governor.  And since he is not on the ballot (we have no successive terms) it really has not yet bled over elsewhere.

            What you are seeing is differences around the margin on Jackson and Cuccinelli.  The AG candidate has other serious problems but so far they have gotten no attention.

            There will be a lot of outside money in Virginia this year, particularly since most people do not think it possible to defeat Christie.

            But McAuliffe can raise huge amounts of money.

            And he can bring in his buddies Billary.

            The edge is to the Dems, albeit it marginal.

            That will not really affect H of Delegates, b/c districts are so gerrymandered.

            "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

            by teacherken on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 02:24:12 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  Here in Hampton Roads - Cuccinelli leads (0+ / 0-)

          And I suspect in a lot of places outside northern Virginia.  

          It's an off-cycle election, sequestration is playing big and entirely blamed on Obama down here, and even most of the papers around the state are downplaying the scandals.

          I agree, won't heat up until after Labor Day anyway, but I still think McAuliffe needs help to put him over the top.

          Liberalism is trust of the people tempered by prudence. Conservatism is distrust of the people tempered by fear. ~William E. Gladstone, 1866

          by absdoggy on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 03:26:24 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  The enormity of the challenge cannot be... (0+ / 0-)

      ...overemphasized.

      1965.

      That was the last time a Democrat was elected Govenor of Virginia when a Democrat was POTUS.

      And he later changed parties and was elected Governor in 1973 as a Republican.

      When you are right you cannot be too radical; when you are wrong, you cannot be too conservative. --Martin Luther King Jr.

      by Egalitare on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 12:18:25 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Thanks. Let's hope it's a sweep./ (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gordon20024, VirginiaBlue

    Further, affiant sayeth not.

    by Gary Norton on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 11:10:01 AM PDT

  •  I think the lead is a bit small (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    VirginiaBlue

    This race is going to get nasty. The good news here is that McAuliffe is keeping his powder dry so he can whollop Cooch when (yes, when) he decides to go super-negative (which will be his only choice in about a month or so).

    The other good news is that the McConnell scandal is attaching to him somewhat.

    Finally, I would be surprised if the Big Dog doesn't show up late and offer some good old fashioned speechifying on behalf of his friend Mr. McAuliffe.

  •  What I'm taking away from this (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Vatexia, VirginiaBlue

    is that McAuliffe has such a slim lead because some people on the left are refusing to commit to him.  Think of the liberals who angrily stayed home in 1968 or voted third party in 2000 .. some of whom belatedly "came home" in the final days of those campaigns.  OTOH, it is good to see McA at least on the plus side of the ledger.  I'm also thinking (hoping) that the 22% who did not answer for either candidate are doing so because they're not yet paying attention, but will come the fall.  However, I also think part of the 22% are also disenchanted progressives who won't come home till the last minute.

    "Valerie, why am I getting all these emails calling me a classless boor?"

    by TLS66 on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 12:27:14 PM PDT

  •  That's it? 4 points? What else does McAuliffe... (0+ / 0-)

    need to to win?  Cuccinelli is a disaster.

    The most perfect political community is one in which the middle class is in control, and outnumbers both of the other classes. Aristotle

    by progresso on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 01:54:23 PM PDT

  •  Ya think women give Ds the edge? (0+ / 0-)

    Gee, can't imagine why that might be.

    What I don't understand is why senior women are the exception -- and among seniors, there are way more women than men.

  •  if McAuliffe can consolidate Democrats (0+ / 0-)

    he should be in good shape...he's only getting 73 percent of Democrats now, for some reason...

    •  My guess is the (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wdrath

      "True Progressives", the kind who stayed home in 1968 and voted Green in 2000 because they felt the Dem wasn't "pure enough".  The world would be in much better shape if Humphrey and Gore had been in the White House.

      "Valerie, why am I getting all these emails calling me a classless boor?"

      by TLS66 on Tue Jul 16, 2013 at 09:50:12 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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