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Leading Off:

GA-Sen: The waiting is over for Georgia Democrats. Nonprofit founder Michelle Nunn, who has reportedly been considering a bid for Senate for several months, just told local political maven Jim Galloway that she will file paperwork to run on Tuesday. Nunn has never sought office before, but as the daughter of former Sen. Sam Nunn, she sports a famous name and, thanks to her charitable work, has a broad network of connections (even going as far as the Bush family).

With Republicans locked in what is sure to be a nasty, multi-way primary battle, Nunn will also have time to raise money and make an effort to define herself before her opponents can. And while she has a lot to prove, it seems like she may have some political skills: In her interview with Galloway, for instance, she astutely noted that Georgia's refusal to accept Medicaid expansion under Obamacare meant that 25,000 veterans were being denied medical coverage. Make no mistake about it: Georgia is still a red state, and this will be an incredibly difficult contest. But things are trending the Democrats' way here, and if the stars align, Nunn might just be able to pull off an upset.

Senate:

AK-Sen: No wonder GOP Lt. Gov. Mead Treadwell only released his second quarter fundraising numbers several days after the filing deadline, in an end-of-the-week news dump. In May and June, he pulled in just $170,000, with only $130,000 in the bank. Compared to 2010 Republican nominee Joe Miller, that was awesome, though, since Miller raised only $18,000, though he has $320,000 on hand. But as you'll recall, Democratic Sen. Mark Begich took in almost $1 million during the quarter and has double that figure in his war chest.

HI-Sen: Not sure if this will be much of a difference maker, but Al Gore has endorsed Sen. Brian Schatz in the Democratic primary over Rep. Colleen Hanabusa. If Gore were to hold a fundraiser, though, that could be pretty big.

KY-Sen: It looks like things may in fact get interesting in the GOP Senate primary in Kentucky. Hedge fund manager Matt Bevin, whose potential interest first bubble up all the way back in February, is reportedly set to enter the race on Wednesday. It seems like a sure bet, though, since he's already started reserving TV time according to those same reports, and what's more, Sen. Mitch McConnell immediately started attacking Bevin, calling him "an East Coast con man."

Bevin's family is indeed from the northeast, but he's lived in Kentucky since 1999. As jj32 points out, Rand Paul had been a Kentucky resident for 17 years when he won his Senate seat in 2010, so the carpetbagger claim may not carry much weight. The real question is just how wealthy Bevin is, and how much of his personal money he's willing to put into the race. If he's prepared to go in big, and if he gets help from the likes of the Club for Growth, Bevin could put a real scare into McConnell, who seems to upset movement conservatives just by drawing breath. But even if Bevin doesn't make a huge impact, anything that drives McConnell further to the right and forces him to spend money he'd rather save for a general election is good news for Democrats.

NJ-Sen: We finally have a TV ad from a Democratic Senate candidate not named Cory Booker. Rep. Frank Pallone is on the air with a spot that's nowhere near as slickly produced as Booker's, featuring a lot of quick cuts and noisy background chatter while a narrator mentions that he's the "son of a cop" who "steered President Obama's healthcare reform" through Congress. Booker, too, has a new ad, in which he rattles off his list of priorities ("equal pay for equal work," "raising the minimum wage").

Oddly enough, a new conservative super PAC run by a former Americans for Prosperity staffer is also playing in the race. The American Commitment Action Fund says they're spending $100,000 on web ads to attack Booker over his record as mayor of Newark. Not sure what the point is, though. They could give me half that sum to tell them not to bother. I mean, are they hoping that a more liberal candidate gets the Democratic nomination?

Gubernatorial:

CO-Gov: State Sen. Greg Brophy kicked off his campaign for governor last week, making him the third Republican to do so. He joins Secretary of State Scott Gessler and ex-Rep. Tom Tancredo for the right to take on Gov. John Hickenlooper next year.

MN-Gov: Rather unusually, Gov. Mark Dayton has taken to providing voluntary quarterly reports on his campaign fundraising; Minnesota law, it turns out, doesn't require gubernatorial candidates to make any public disclosures until next year. None of Dayton's Republican opponents have followed suit, so that means we don't really have any direct basis of comparison for the $217,000 Dayton says he raised in the last quarter. Notably, though, that sum doesn't include any of Dayton's considerable personal wealth, and he has promised not to self-fund this cycle. (Last time, he spent almost $4 million of his own money on the race.) Dayton also adds that he has $230,000 on hand.

VT-Gov: Lt. Gov. Phil Scott is the only Republican holding statewide office in Vermont, but he says that "chances are pretty minimal" he'll seek a promotion next year. After a narrow win in 2010, Democratic Gov. Peter Shumlin cruised to a 20-point win in 2012, so Scott's reluctance is quite understandable.

WI-Gov: In a new interview, Winnebago County Executive Mark Harris says he expects to decide on whether to challenge GOP Gov. Scott Walker by Labor Day. So far, Democrats don't have a candidate in the race.

House:

AR-02: Little Rock School Board President Dianne Curry, who is currently running for lieutenant governor, says she might switch races and instead challenge GOP Rep. Tim Griffin instead. Curry told Roll Call she'd talked to EMILY's List, but it sounds like discussions are at a very preliminary stage.

FL-09: Version 2.0 of Rep. Alan Grayson seems to be a decidedly different incarnation than the first, since he no longer seems to be interested in making headlines for the kind of incendiary remarks that once turned him into such a polarizing figure. Rather, says Dave Weigel, Grayson has been quietly convincing Republicans to support amendments that promote libertarian-ish values that Democrats can also get behind, getting many added to larger bills in committee. One, for instance, prohibited homeland security funds "from being used in contravention of the First, Second, or Fourth Amendments."

Weigel argues that Grayson has become unusually effective at this sort of thing, and says he's "getting... closer" to the title of "[t]he congressman who's passed more amendments than any of his 434 peers," but I'm not sure there are any statistics to compare Grayson's efforts to. And of course, most of his amendments are very narrow in scope and may not have a whole lot of practical impact. But with a GOP-controlled Congress, getting anything passed has to be considered an achievement for a Democrat—and these outreach efforts certainly represent a major turnaround for Grayson in particular.

IA-01: State Rep. Pat Murphy just secured the endorsement of the local branch of AFSCME, which has 40,000 members in the state and which DesMoinesDem describes as Iowa's largest union. The group also endorsed Democrats in Iowa's three other congressional races, but the 1st is the only one with a contested primary.

NY-07: One surprising line in our second quarter House fundraising roundup belonged New York City Councilman Erik Dilan, who raised $107,000 despite having gone quiet after his loss in last year's Democratic primary to Rep. Nydia Velazquez. But Dilan, who is termed out of the council this year, is indeed considering a rematch, despite his 58-35 drubbing. A Dilan advisor thinks Velazquez won't be able to spend as much this time (though that's not clear why), and he waves away any argument that the downfall of Vito Lopez, the disgraced former head of the Brooklyn Democratic Party and a patron of Dilan's, will diminish Dilan's chances. Consider me skeptical, though.

Other Races:

SD Mayor: In the event that San Diego Mayor Bob Filner resigns due to the serious sexual harassment scandal that threatens to end his career, SurveyUSA tested some hypothetical matchups between candidates who might run in a special election. The two strongest, as you'd expect, are 2012 mayoral runner-up Carl DeMaio, a Republican who is now running for Congress in CA-52, and former Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher, a one-time Republican who ran as an independent last year, finishing third in the primary, but who has since become a Democrat. In a direct head-to-head, Fletcher edges DeMaio 42-41, while each dominates against lesser-known candidates in other matchups.

Grab Bag:

Blogtopia: Mazal tov to Daily Kos Elections' own Joseph Vogas (aka Trowaman), who just became a staff writer at the seminal Texas political blog Burnt Orange Report. Vogas's community membership dates back many, many years, to the toddlerhood of the Swing State Project, and his insights on the Lone Star state have always been valuable. You can bookmark him at his new digs—where he'll be focusing on elections, natch—right here, and you can also find him on Twitter at @Trowaman.

Counties: Here's a simpler version of that crazy Sporcle quiz that wanted you to name all eleventy billion counties in the United States. This one just wants you to name the top 200 by population, and it even gives you the largest city in each county as a hint. In some big suburban counties, though, the largest city can often be quite small and anonymous, so it doesn't always provide a huge tip.

EMILY: EMILY's List has added six new candidates to their lower-tier endorsement level: Alma Adams (NC-12), Staci Appel (IA-03), Erin Bilbray (NV-03), Pam Byrnes (MI-07), Emily Cain (ME-02), and Elisabeth Jensen (KY-06). Appel, Bilbray, and Byrnes likely have their primaries to themselves, but Adams, Cain, and Jensen will all face contested Democratic nomination battles.

NRCC: The NRCC has added nine more names to its "Patriot Program," which is designed to help vulnerable incumbents, bringing the total list to 20. Here's the latest batch, in alphabetical order:

Dan Benishek (MI-01), Mike Grimm (NY-11), Bill Johnson (OH-06), Tom Latham (IA-03), Gary Miller (CA-31), Tom Reed (NY-23), Scott Rigell (VA-02), Keith Rothfus (PA-12), and Lee Terry (NE-02)
There are no real surprises: All of these candidates either sit in swingy districts and/or faced difficult races last year. It also rectifies two surprising omissions from the NRCC's initial rollout, Miller and Benishek. And unlike last time, when all but one candidate were freshman, only one incumbent is a first-termer here, Rothfus, who may face a rematch from ex-Rep. Mark Critz.

Pres-by-LD: We're adding Virginia, which will hold elections in November for its lower house, to our pres-by-LD database.

Summary Detailed Calculations
State CD LD (Upper) LD (Lower) CD LD (Upper) LD (Lower)
VA X X X Pres.; Sen. Pres.; Sen. Pres.; Sen.
Virginia presents an interesting test case, since its two chambers were drawn by different parties: the Senate was drawn by Democrats (after a veto by GOP Gov. Bob McDonnell), while the House was drawn by Republicans. This difference is potentially useful in separating the effects of geography and gerrymandering. While Obama received 51.3 percent statewide, the median Senate District is only 50.0 percent, despite the fact that Democrats crafted the lines. But the Republican-drawn House has a median district that gave Obama just 48.3 percent; that 1.7 percent difference is largely attributable to the different mapmakers (some of it will be attributable to minor factors, e.g., district size).

Even though Democrats only hold 32 seats of the 100-seat House, Obama actually won 47 HDs. There are 16 Republicans sitting in Obama-won HDs (largely in Northern Virginia), though Democrat Joe Johnson holds a 68 percent Romney district in Southwestern Virginia. (Johnson, however, is retiring and Democrats don't even have a candidate on the ballot to replace him.) Interestingly, the line between Dem-held and Republican-held HDs is higher than we've seen in other states, at 54.5 percent Obama (Johnson's HD-04 is the only Dem-held seat on the other side of the line).

Democrats hold 20 seats in the 40-seat Senate. (Therefore, since Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling is a Republican, Republicans control the chamber. Die-hard electioneers will remember Democrat Edd Houck's painfully narrow loss in 2011 in SD-17, a swingy seat that voted for Romney but also Tim Kaine.) Obama won 21 districts, but Republicans hold two SDs that voted for Obama. Offsetting that is Democrat Phil Puckett who holds a 67 percent Romney seat (again in Southwestern Virginia). The line between Democratic and Republican seats sits again, around 54.0 percent Obama (with Puckett's SD-38 being the only exception).

While the Senate isn't even up for election this year, control of the chamber, paradoxically, is. A change in the Lt. Gov's seat could swing control, and three members of the Senate are running for statewide office. (Democrat Ralph Northam in SD-06 is running for lieutenant governor, while Republican Mark Obenshain in SD-28 and Democrat Mark Herring in SD-33 are facing off for attorney general.) Fortunately, this means Democrats can retake the chamber if Northam win the LG slot, and Democrats hold Northam's 57 percent Obama district. (If Herring were to win the AG slot, Democrats would also need to hold his NoVA SD that gave Obama 59 percent. Should Obenshain win, it's difficult to envision his 60 percent Romney SD becoming competitive.) (jeffmd)

Site News: If you visit Daily Kos Elections on your mobile device, you can now access us using Daily Kos's stripped-down mobile interface (rather than via the full-blown site) by bookmarking m.dailykos.com/blogs/elections.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  MD-Gov (7+ / 0-)

    Anthony brown picked up another slew of endorsements, including Senate Pres. Mike Miller. Also a large contingent of legislators from PG county and the entire Charles County Commission.

    •  "The train is leaving the station" (0+ / 0-)
    •  That's unfortunate (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Gygaxian, leema

      He's had an unremarkable career as Lt. Governor. Any Democrat is going to be a huge favorite, and I'd much rather see a strong liberal like Heather Mizeur (donate via ActBlue) in the State House.

      •  I don't have anything against him, per se (0+ / 0-)

        But I dont understand the POV that he is the only democrat in the state that is ready to lead. Maryland's lt gov has basically no duties. They head up task forces that the governor puts them in charge of. They may have a little sway in the general assembly (as a former Majority Whip, Brown may have more sway than some others maybe) but have no formal role. All of Brown's accomplishments have basically been things that O'Malley handed to him to give him something to run on in 2014.

      •  I get the impression . . . (0+ / 0-)

        . . . that Mizeur is running now so as to raise her profile. She won't win this time around, but I'm betting she'll emerge victorious in one of the next election cycles.

        30, chick, Jewish, solid progressive, NY-14 currently, FL-22 native, went to school in IL-01. "Soylent Green . . . Soylent Green who need Soylent Green Are the luckiest Soylent Green In the world . . ."-- D.S. Cohen

        by The Caped Composer on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 10:22:25 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Win Ken. or Georgia Senate seat and the Democrats (5+ / 0-)

    are just about guaranteed holding the senate.

    "They will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the American economy. The full faith and credit of the United States of America is not a bargaining chip."

    by TofG on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:08:15 AM PDT

  •  Mara Liasson confidently predicted this morning (11+ / 0-)

    that the GOP will retake the Senate in 2014, though she suggested the Democrats just might have a glimmer of hope.

    Didn't mention once the profound revulsion GOP overreach has produced in NC, didn't talk about Begich's fundraising advantage, and simply forgot to mention the open seat in GA!

    Ah, bringing her fair and balanced style into the hallowed halls of NPR...

    When the union's inspiration /Through the workers' blood shall run /There can be no power greater /Anywhere beneath the sun /Solidarity Forever!

    by litho on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:08:27 AM PDT

    •  Mara must have been invited to (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      JBraden, The Caped Composer

      a GOP cocktail party some time ago and at midnight, she thought she'd have to leave swiftly lest her carriage revert to a pumpkin and she back into the girl of cinders.

      But behold, she hid in the pantry of the GOP kitchen -- and nothing happened at the stroke of twelve.  Emboldened, she emerged the next day a sycophant for the Republican Party.  

      And she has scrubbed no floors ever since.  

    •  And no mention of Georgia. (6+ / 0-)

      Notice: This Comment © 2013 ROGNM UID 2547

      by ROGNM on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:22:18 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Classic Inside-the-Beltway Speak. (6+ / 0-)

      Once again, they're all talking to themselves. And unfortunately, "public radio" is passing it on to the rest of us as if Inside-the-Beltway conclusions were news, not conclusions.

      Shame on NPR for squandering its franchise!

      2014 IS COMING. Build up the Senate. Win back the House : 17 seats. Plus!

      by TRPChicago on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:33:42 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  All the "pre season" talk is predictable (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      JBraden

      2014 will equal 2010, especially in terms of turnout. The War on Women, obstruction of Immigration Reform and VRA will are "fads" that Progressives will get bored with by November '14.

       I hope they keep thinking that for another 15 months or so.

      When you are right you cannot be too radical; when you are wrong, you cannot be too conservative. --Martin Luther King Jr.

      by Egalitare on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:41:05 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  That's Not What Liasson Said (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Ajax the Greater

      Liasson did not predict a Republican Senate takeover in 2014. She went through recent history about how Republicans did not do nearly as well as they could have in 2010 and 2012 and talked with a Republican operative who said they had learned their lessons and a Democratic operative who said that incumbents usually win.

      She made the unremarkable conclusion that Republicans are likely to win seats but would have to come close to running the table to claim the majority. She concluded with the historical trends that the president's party usually loses seats in midterms and incumbents usually win, which are in conflict this cycle.

      There was mention of the Kentucky contest, but no mention of Georgia--possibly because the piece may have been prepared before Nunn announced.

      •  Questions of interpretation (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Possiamo

        I heard a Democratic operative say "we're playing defense," a Republican operative crow about the strong possibilities of a Republican takeover, and an "objective" observer (Larry Sabato) speculate that Republican chances for a takeover were good.

        I heard Liasson mention 'Republican mistakes" in 2010 and 2012, along with a strong suggestion that the party had learned from those mistakes and would be able to overcome them in this cycle.

        I did not hear Liasson catalog any examples of Republican overreach nor did she mention the strength of any of the Democratic Senators representing red states.  Completely absent from her piece was the possibility Dems might pick any current Republican seats.

        Yes, she acknowledged that Republicans might not reach the goal.  However, the overall tone of the piece was that they should be able to.

        When the union's inspiration /Through the workers' blood shall run /There can be no power greater /Anywhere beneath the sun /Solidarity Forever!

        by litho on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 10:46:36 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Not An Interpretive Question (0+ / 0-)

          Liasson did not make any prediction. Nowhere in the piece did she do so. Perhaps it's worth listening to again.

          The piece did go over how Republicans blew opportunities in 2010 and 2012. The piece did mention how incumbents usually win (which obviously favors the incumbent Democrats). The piece did say there's a shot at Kentucky as a possible pick-up. Again, it didn't mention Georgia probably because Nunn had only just announced her candidacy.

          Sabato said that the Republicans stood a very good chance to gain seats, but did not say whether they'd win enough to get a majority.

          I thought the "overall tone" did not pick a side. In any case, there is nowhere where she makes a prediction, let alone a "confident" one. Liasson concludes the piece by saying that at this moment it seems Republicans are almost certain to pick up seats but would need to come close to running the table to gain the majority. And this conclusion seems completely uncontroversial to me.

    •  She is still on Fox right? (0+ / 0-)

      I would expect that she would say such a thing. The pundits also predicted that the Republicans would be in control of the Senate right now. They lost seats when they should have gained.

      Right now, and it is still quite early, I do not see the Dems losing more than 2 seats. In fact, I think they might gain a seat.

      The politicians may be bought, and the system corrupt, but it is our duty to fix these things.

      by sebastianguy99 on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 10:53:07 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Be ok with me if there was a (9+ / 0-)

    Democratic U.S. Senator from Georgia.  

    Be even better if there were two.  

  •  Strong Candidates Who Aren't Afraid To Speek (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Remediator, Possiamo

    That's one part of the equation.

    Also more women!!!

    And finally, build that war chest!!!!!

    Once you leave the womb, conservatives don’t care about you until you reach military age. Then you’re just what they’re looking for. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. -GC

    by cobaltbay on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:12:50 AM PDT

  •  NJ (3+ / 0-)
    I mean, are they hoping that a more liberal candidate gets the Democratic nomination?
    I know that I am hoping a more liberal candidate gets the nomination. I wish Holt had more financial support. He may not be the better candidate, but he would be the better senator.
  •  Sign me up! (8+ / 0-)

    Here's one good Georgia Dem ready to work.  Somebody Please Please Please pm me contact info for her campaign manager.  There's no time like now to get started, who can I talk to?

  •  San Diego Mayor Bob Filner (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Amber6541

    His behavior is so bizarre - could he possibly have a brain tumor?
    Were there similar complaints against him while in Congress?
    If so, seems they would have been broadcast during his campaign last year.

    "Tax cuts for the 1% create jobs." -- Republicans, HAHAHA - in China

    by MartyM on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:31:53 AM PDT

    •  Well not towards women as far as I know (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MartyM

      The guy was with the Freedom Riders in the 60's and did a lot of commendable things for civil rights and liberal causes over many decades.  But he is also know for and disliked by many for his "in your face" attitude.  Unfortunately I do think he might be going downhill mentally.

  •  Purple Georgia (4+ / 0-)
    I never saw a Purple Georgia,
    I never hope to see one;
    But I can tell you, anyhow,
    I'd rather see than be one.

    What stronger breast-plate than a heart untainted! Thrice is he arm'd, that hath his quarrel just; And he but naked, though lock'd up in steel, Whose conscience with injustice is corrupted. King Henry, scene ii

    by TerryDarc on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:36:55 AM PDT

  •  Yay. (11+ / 0-)

    As a Georgian, I'm excited about the possibility of progressive change we have with Nunn! The governor of Georgia-a Republican conservative-is as regressive as they come. (This fact becomes plain on many levels, including his use of the phrase "ghetto grandmothers" as well as his recidivistic efforts with respect to our state-wide educational fund, the HOPE scholarship.)

    •  Fact Deal was a Democrat (6+ / 0-)

      And we actually used to have "Democrats" like him, Ralph Hall, Strom Thurmond and Rick Perry makes me kinda happy the Party has changed as much as it has.

      Hey you, dont tell me theres no hope at all Together we stand, divided we fall.

      by marcvstraianvs on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:52:03 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I'm excited, too. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      sebastianguy99

      I'm in Cobb County.

      Nunn will have to get a little lucky. If the GOP nominates someone crazed like Paul Broun, she may be able to pull it off.

      "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

      by HeyMikey on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 08:40:25 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Cobb County? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        HeyMikey

        Whoa, you must really be in the minority as a Dem in that area-- isn't that Gingrich country? And, historically, isn't that where the infamous Leo Frank case took place? And I remember reading an article about some anti-gay ordinance enacted there back in the 90's, and a quotation from the article stuck with me: a random person being interviewed joked that Cobb was an acronym for County Of Biased Bigots!

        30, chick, Jewish, solid progressive, NY-14 currently, FL-22 native, went to school in IL-01. "Soylent Green . . . Soylent Green who need Soylent Green Are the luckiest Soylent Green In the world . . ."-- D.S. Cohen

        by The Caped Composer on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 10:36:33 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Cobb County is Atlanta suburbs (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          HeyMikey

          While Republicans have it now, that is going to change within the decade possibly.  It is far less lily-white than it used to be and has the state's third or fourth largest university in Kennesaw State University (my alma mater).  While it is the home of the likes of Bob Barr and Phil Gingrey, it's also the home of Roy Barnes.  Obama got just under 43% there.

          •  Yep. And... (0+ / 0-)

            One of the 4 county commission districts (mine) has been in Dem hands for 3 terms in a row--due to significant minority population in this district.

            Of course I don't think the Dems were even close with the other 3 seats, in overwhelmingly white districts.

            "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

            by HeyMikey on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 12:27:40 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  Well we know the formula for a Dem win in Ga. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bluemeanies

      1. Run a very good, if not great, campaign.

      2. Earn at least 25% of the white vote.

      3. Generate strong turnout by non white voters.

      4. Stay away from the flag issue and alienating teachers.

      I think her dad can certainly counsel her well as to how to win.

      We should also expect that some of the things she says and positions she will take, will not go over well here at DK.That said, the Republican primary will force their nominee further right and leave Nunn a lane to victory straight down the center.

      She has already started to position herself as a "deficit hawk" and given her dad's background, I suspect she'll be "strong" on military and foreign policy issues, including veteran's issues.

      That she wasn't afraid to be seen with President Obama, or offer praise for Bush 41 tells me she understands the state and the challenge ahead of her. Let us hope the state and national party are up for this fight because it is more winnable than the Beltway
      CW would like us to believe.

      The politicians may be bought, and the system corrupt, but it is our duty to fix these things.

      by sebastianguy99 on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 10:23:58 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  voter id (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ajax the Greater

    By 2016 we should expect most red states will have voter id laws--and we need to get those ids.  Since this is a racially motivated poll tax type ploy, we should employ a strong antidote.
    Let's help people get gun licenses--good for voting--good for getting gun control passed, good for stopping Zimmerman types.  Hard for FOXNEWS to get pissy--an added bonus.

    Under capitalism, man exploits man. Under communism, it's just the opposite. John Kenneth Galbraith .

    by melvynny on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:50:51 AM PDT

  •  Michelle Nunn (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus, HeyMikey, sebastianguy99

    A friend was just grousing to me last night about the not ready for prime time rollout of Nunn's campaign, no Facebook page, minimal website, etc.  Sorta like Alison Laurie (?) in Kentucky.  Still time to get all that done while the Rethugs battle for title of craziest of them all.

    Reporting from Tea Bagger occupied America

    by DrJohnB on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:51:30 AM PDT

    •  We have 15 months to go. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DrJohnB, askew

      No one is going to win their 2014 race in 2013. There is much behind the scenes work to do. Both Nunn and Laurie should be lining-up heavy donors right now as they are going to need them.

      Both Kentucky and Georgia will be won or lost on the ground, not the internet.

      The politicians may be bought, and the system corrupt, but it is our duty to fix these things.

      by sebastianguy99 on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 10:30:28 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  GA & Nunn (6+ / 0-)

    "Nunn, 46, said she intends to make the nation’s finances and deficit reduction a key focus of her campaign, picking up where U.S. Saxby Chambliss leaves off. "

    Oh great!

    “It’s difficult for small businesses. I think there are things that are not working with ACA. That’s something that needs to be changed...”

    Oh great!

    "On gay marriage: Nunn said she agreed with the U.S. Supreme Court decision that left the definition of marriage to the individual states."

    Oh great!

    Nunn said: “Stanley McChrystal [the former commander of U.S. forces in Afghanistan] recently came out and said we can’t let only our military men and women, 1 percent of our population, carry the burden of securing the country. He’s called for a million young people to commit to national service. That’s not calling for federal funding. It’s talking about a private-public partnership. That’s one of the things I’ll be talking about.”

    Oh great! What could go wrong with a "private-public partnership?

    The things coming out of this woman's mouth seem to be very conservative. She also talks frequently about church. I am in Georgia. I liked her father. I would rather have somebody else. And if she wasn't Sam Nunn's daughter, would we even be talking about her? Haven't we learned about elected people because of their family names?

    Signature Impaired.

    by gttim on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 06:54:17 AM PDT

    •  IOW: A Blue Dog Nun? (3+ / 0-)

      Dollarocracy is not Democracy

      by leema on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 08:11:04 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  or it could be a Blue Nunn gone to the dogs? (3+ / 0-)

        sorry this is just so much fun to play with.

        Dollarocracy is not Democracy

        by leema on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 08:22:41 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Sigh...but I'll vote for her anyway. (3+ / 0-)

          National service could actually be something we badly need. Unemployment is especially high among the young. If this is a politically acceptable way to get a jobs program, I'm for it.

          The rest--I'm discouraged to hear it. But I'd rather have a Blue Dog than a GOPer. The Blue Dog can probably be counted on at least 50% of the time to break a filibuster; the GOPer, almost never. That's the critical factor.

          "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

          by HeyMikey on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 08:44:36 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Well, this is the best we're going to get . . . (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      pademocrat

      . . . from Georgia right now. If she manages to pull off a victory and the state experiences the bluing trend that we're all hoping for, I have a feeling her positions will evolve over time. She's saying what she needs to say to win in Georgia at this moment in time. And, as HeyMikey said, a Blue Dog is better than a GOPer.

      30, chick, Jewish, solid progressive, NY-14 currently, FL-22 native, went to school in IL-01. "Soylent Green . . . Soylent Green who need Soylent Green Are the luckiest Soylent Green In the world . . ."-- D.S. Cohen

      by The Caped Composer on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 10:41:40 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Well what did you expect her to say then? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen

      You left out the part where she said the refusal of the Medicaid expansion was wrong. So she is taking the smart approach.

      The national service thing is straight from the Clinton-Miller-Nunn playbook I remember being fresh out of high school and hearing the same thing. This isn't new, but it is smart.

      On the issue of marriage equality, she supports it and says she supports it. I'd be worried if she was still evolving, but that isn't the case.

      As for the budget? When is the last time a successful Senate candidate from Georgia, of either party, did not run on being a deficit hawk?

      And I like that she isn't scared to be seen with President Obama. It tells me she isn't going to go out of her way to suppress her base. In fact, I expect her to be more comfortable with all of her base than her daddy ever seemed to be.

      The politicians may be bought, and the system corrupt, but it is our duty to fix these things.

      by sebastianguy99 on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 10:48:22 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Another blue dog...is the best case scenario. (5+ / 0-)

    This blog is practiced in the art of cognitive dissonance. You will support Nunn now and when she gets in the Senate after running a blue dog campaign and votes as a moderate you will blast her as part of the problem.

    This site was all for people like Tester and Webb that supported gun rights and then turned around and went hog wild on gun control and wondered why some Dems were selling them out.

    The first rule of government should be "Do no harm." The urge to act can frustrate the desire to help.

    by Common Cents on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 07:06:18 AM PDT

    •  Basic background checks (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      HeyMikey

      Something the overwhelming majority of Americans, even in red states support isn't "protecting gun rights."  It's pandering to those on the extreme right who won't vote for any Dem regardless.  It's practical and political stupidity.

    •  Methinks you are confusing . . . (0+ / 0-)

      . . . the DKE subsite with the Daily Kos main site. The elections subsite explicitly focuses on horserace politics and not on policy. Therefore, when a Blue Dog gets elected and makes some votes that we progressives aren't so happy about, we don't bellyache publicly about it here; we're too caught up in analyzing the chances of candidates in the next election cycle.

      30, chick, Jewish, solid progressive, NY-14 currently, FL-22 native, went to school in IL-01. "Soylent Green . . . Soylent Green who need Soylent Green Are the luckiest Soylent Green In the world . . ."-- D.S. Cohen

      by The Caped Composer on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 10:44:06 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Iowa House 2014 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus

    Finally finished my post looking at where the battleground Iowa House districts will be in 2014, based in part of the DKos elections compilations of Obama/Romney vote by state legislative district.

    Rs currently have a 53-47 majority. Iowa Ds left the House on the table in 2012, focusing almost all the resources on holding the Iowa Senate.

    Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.

    by desmoinesdem on Tue Jul 23, 2013 at 07:44:44 AM PDT

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