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8:31 AM PT: CA-07: Ex-Rep. Doug Ose, who had been considering a run since at least March, finally entered the race to take on freshman Democratic Rep. Ami Bera on Tuesday. He joins unsuccessful 2012 GOP Senate nominee Elizabeth Emken, though another Republican, Igor Birman, who is chief of staff to Rep. Tom McClintock, says he'll get in on Thursday.

9:20 AM PT: NH-02: New Hampshire Republicans have finally landed an actual candidate for something next year. As expected, former state Sen. Gary Lambert has decided to run against freshman Rep. Annie Kuster in the state's 2nd Congressional District. Lambert is a Marine and an Iraq vet, but he only served a single term in the Senate, so he doesn't have much of a profile.

9:42 AM PT: MA-Gov: With ex-Sen. Scott Brown no longer an option, Republicans managed to snag their most prominent remaining candidate for governor, 2010 nominee Charlie Baker, who just announced a second bid on Wednesday. Baker served as a state cabinet official in the 1990s, then left to become CEO Harvard Pilgrim Health Care for a decade. Republicans were very excited about his chances the first time he sought the governorship, but after he lost to Gov. Deval Patrick by a 48-42 margin, he was heavily criticized for running too far to the right.

This time, Baker will have the advantage of pursuing an open seat, but if the massive red tide of 2010 wasn't enough to propel him to victory then, he'd have to both work extremely hard and get very lucky to win in what's shaping up to be a more neutral year.

9:55 AM PT: MT-Sen, MT-AL: Former state Sen. Corey Stapleton has confirmed that he'll run for the House instead of the Senate, a move you can read in two ways. One is that Rep. Steve Daines is about to enter the Senate race himself, hence other hopefuls would prefer to make way for him (and take a higher-percentage shot at his House seat) rather then get smushed in a primary. The other is that Daines is still unsure about a Senate bid (or is just trying to maximize his leverage) and so Republicans are trying to induce him to run by clearing the field.

It's certainly hard to say. But if Daines were such a sure thing for Senate, then why not announce already? Indeed, Stapleton claimed on Tuesday that Daines's staff "indicated" to him that Daines was going to run for Senate, which prompted the Daines camp to reiterate that their guy is "taking his time to think about it." That says to me there's a non-zero chance Daines might just stay put.

10:06 AM PT: NYC Comptroller: With less than week left to go before Tuesday's Democratic primary, Quinnipiac's new poll still shows an incredibly tight race for comptroller. Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer barely edges former Gov. Eliot Spitzer, 47-45. A week earlier, the race was tied at 46. A recent Siena poll (the one with the very long field period) had Spitzer up 15, but another survey from Penn Schoen Berland had him ahead by just 3.

11:39 AM PT: RI-Gov: Facing a long string abysmal poll numbers, Gov. Lincoln Chafee announced on Wednesday that he would not seek a second term next year. While the announcement is being portrayed in some quarters as a Big Deal, the reality is that Chafee, who recently switched his affiliation from independent to Democrat, would have had a very hard time winning his new party's primary, and his departure doesn't alter the playing field very much.

State Treasurer Gina Raimondo and Providence Mayor Angel Taveras are both likely to run, and both are well-funded—and much more popular than Chafee. A PPP poll taken early this year, before Chafee's party change, showed him taking just 22 percent in a hypothetical primary, while Raimondo led with 35 and Taveras was close behind with 19. Even if some Democratic voters have since warmed to Chafee on account of his new party membership, that's a pretty lousy place to start, and he evidently recognized that.

With Chafee gone, Taveras and Raimondo will likely battle it out for the Democratic nomination, with the former pitching himself as the progressive choice and the latter a more business-y type. Republicans don't have much of a shot here, just thanks to Rhode Island's dark blue demographics, but Cranston Mayor Alan Fung and 2010 nominee John Robitaille might make a go of it.

11:46 AM PT: TX-30: Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson, who at the age of 77 had faced your typical retirement rumors, just announced that she'll seek re-election. Johnson handily fended off two challengers in last year's Democratic primary, though one of them, ex-state Rep. Barbara Mallory Caraway, is trying again. However, she only took 18 percent in 2012 and isn't likely to pose a serious threat to the incumbent.

11:56 AM PT (Darth Jeff): OH-Gov: Tea Party groups are mad as hell at GOP Governor John Kasich over his support for expanding Medicaid and they’re not going to take it anymore. Tom Zawistowski, a Tea Party leader who lost a bid for state party Executive Director to a Kasich ally, is leading an effort to dump Kasich one way or another. Zawistowski and his various Tea Party allies plan to back Libertarian Party candidate Charlie Earl if no one rises to challenge Kasich in the primary. In true Tea Party form, Zawistowski doesn’t care if his machinations hurt the GOP’s chances, with him declaring, “John Kasich is going to lose in 2014. We don’t care who else wins.” Let the Cat Fud fly!

12:06 PM PT: MI-11: At long last, accidental Rep. Kerry Bentivolio has received the sort of primary challenge you'd expect him to get. Well-connected local attorney David Trott, who was put forth by a number of Republicans last year as a possible write-in after ex-Rep. Thad McCotter's extraordinary ballot access implosion, just announced that he'll seek to unseat the reindeer farming, Santa-impersonating Vietnam and Iraq veteran in the GOP primary.

The tea partying Bentivolio lucked into his seat in Congress in 2012 because he had actually filed paperwork to run against McCotter, leaving him as the only Republican candidate on the ballot after McCotter's petitions were shown to be fraudulent. Bentivolio may be best known for once saying in a deposition that "I have a problem figuring out which one I really am, Santa Claus or Kerry Bentivolio." I'm going to guess the GOP establishment isn't going to make an effort to prop him up.

12:16 PM PT: OH Ballot: A new poll sponsored by a group supporting marriage equality indicates that Ohioans may not yet be ready to repeal their state's constitutional amendment prohibiting same-sex unions, though some activists are pushing for a ballot measure to do just that. The survey, conducted by the nonpartisan Public Religion Research Institute and paid for by the Evelyn and Walter Haas Jr. Fund, finds 51 percent opposing a repeal versus 45 percent in favor.

However, support for marriage equality is a bit higher, with 47 percent both supporting and opposing the idea. That suggests there's a group of voters who are reluctant to amend the state constitution, even to support something they believe in. If the ballot effort does go forward, reaching out to this cohort will be critical.

12:27 PM PT: HI-Sen: Environmental issues have long been a central focus for Sen. Brian Schatz, so earning the Sierra Club's endorsement in the Democratic primary isn't unexpected for him. But it's worth mentioning because Sierra spent some legitimate coin on independent expenditures last cycle, $1.7 million all told. That includes $150,000 to help another Hawaii Democrat win a primary last year, now-Rep. Tulsi Gabbard.

12:42 PM PT: NYC Mayor: With just days to go ahead of Tuesday's Democratic primary, City Council Speaker Christine Quinn is joining former Comptroller Bill Thompson in going negative on front-runner Bill de Blasio. In a new TV ad, Quinn tries to undermine de Blasio's argument that he's the "true progressive" option in the race with two separate attacks. First, the narrator says that de Blasio "took over $50,000 from slumlords on his own list of the city's worst landlords."

Then the spot features a clip of de Blasio himself saying, "You can't eliminate the basic police tactic of stop-and-frisk because it is a valid policing tactic," before cramming in a quick positive on Quinn. I'd have led with the de Blasio footage and run that exclusively, because he's both tried to portray himself as the candidate most hostile to stop-and-frisk while simultaneously taking a nuanced position on it. Indeed, in his own ads, de Blasio carefully says he'll end "a stop-and-frisk era that targets minorities"—not end stop-and-frisk altogether.

Of course, Quinn doesn't support ending stop-and-frisk, either, but this is politics, and trying to make your opponents pay for nuance is standard procedure. Quinn just doesn't seem to want to go for the jugular, but given de Blasio's recent surge in polling and the very short amount of time left, it probably doesn't matter.

12:49 PM PT: Thompson also has a new ad, touting his support from teachers (and their unions), including his own daughter.

12:58 PM PT: NH-01: State Rep. Pam Tucker says she'll challenge Democratic Rep. Carol Shea-Porter if ex-Rep. Frank Guinta decides against a rematch. But remember that New Hampshire isn't like other states, where a sitting state representative might actually be considered a good get for a congressional race. The state House has a mammoth 400 members, meaning each serves only 3,300 constituents on average. As Wikipedia notes, if Congress operated on the same ratio, it would have 99,000 members.

1:07 PM PT: CO Recall: One should always view early voting numbers with a measure of skepticism, since it's hard to say in advance if they actually mean much. Sample sizes can be misleadingly small, and if one party or the other has focused heavily on Election Day turnout, early voting can either make things look more gaudy or gloomy than they actually are. That said, you never really want to trail in the early ballots, so it's at least nominally good news for state Sen. Angela Giron that registered Democrats have out-voted Republicans three-to-one in the first three days of early voting, ahead of Tuesday's recall.

But the outcome is still very much unknown, particularly since there's been no public polling of either this race or state Sen. John Morse's. What's more, the NRA just dumped another $250,000 into the recalls, so they're fighting this one out to the very end.

1:29 PM PT: VA-LG: We always knew that a guy like E.W. Jackson could never be silenced. But the incendiary minister (and GOP lieutenant governor nominee) isn't just determined to preach his own message at all costs. According to a new report in the Washington Post, he's insisted on keeping his campaign totally independent from the state Republican Party, spurning all offers of assistance:

Jackson has refused the party's nuts-and-bolts logistical help, choosing not to tap into resources that include the GOP's trove of voter data and more than 40 field offices around the state, according to four Republican operatives. [...]

Jackson has taken a pass on all of that, according to the four strategists. When Jackson volunteers call voters or canvass neighborhoods, the strategists said, they work off the campaign's own compilation of names, numbers and addresses instead of the party's expansive database of likely Republicans, independents and Democrats.

It's a virtually unheard-of forfeiture of resources for a statewide candidate. Jackson's team does not coordinate with the party, which has its own army of volunteers knocking and dialing on behalf of the entire ticket, which can lead to duplication of effort, the strategists said. Instead of using phone banks set up in the party's "victory offices" around the state, Jackson callers ring voters from home phones.

One of these anonymous operatives thinks that Jackson is "laying the groundwork actively to blame somebody else—the establishment—for losing." That wouldn't surprise me in the least, but then again, outsider candidates always blame "the establishment," rather than their failure to connect with voters, for their failure.

1:41 PM PT: CA-Gov: USC has a new online poll (PDF) focused mostly on education that also includes some toplines on hypothetical gubernatorial matchups next year. The survey, conducted jointly by one Republican and one Democratic pollster (MFour and Tulchin, respectively), finds Dem Gov. Jerry Brown leading ex-LG Abel Maldonado 42-21, Assemblyman Tim Donnelly 43-21, and businessman Neel Kashkari 44-15. Obviously this methodology is yielding some very high undecideds and probably needs to be refined.

1:56 PM PT: VA-Gov: Republican Ken Cuccinelli and Democrat Terry McAuliffe are both out with new ads in the Virginia governor's race. Cuccinelli's is a minute-long spot devoted to his successful efforts to free Thomas Haynesworth, who was wrongly convicted of rape and served 27 years in prison. McAuliffe's attacks Cuccinelli for proposing one of "the most extreme divorce laws in America" that would have eliminated no-fault divorce.

2:03 PM PT: AK-Gov: Byron Mallot, who has a long resume that includes a number of different elected and appointed positions, says that he'll run for governor next year, making him the first Democrat to do so. His most prominent role was probably as executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund, a state-owned corporation funded by oil revenues that is best known for distributing annual dividend checks to state residents. (The dividend reached a high of $2,000 in 2008.) That sort of makes Mallot the real-life equivalent of Santa Claus. Nice try, Kerry Bentivolio.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (8+ / 0-)

    Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

    by David Nir on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 06:00:14 AM PDT

  •  Last night's NY-Mayor debate (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, kleinburger, LilithGardener

    Kinda felt like bizarro Republican debate... It pretty much boiled down to "I'm the most liberal candidate!" "You're wrong, I am!"

    Gay suburbanite in NJ-11

    by interstate73 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 06:04:25 AM PDT

    •  Democrats are guilt of that too (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LilithGardener, Gygaxian, Berliozian

      There has been a more recent trend of Democrats wanting the most liberal candidate nominated, just as Republicans have been trying to get the most conservative. We just haven't had any Ken Buck, Christine O'Donnell, or Sharron Angle types. The closest I can think of is Album Greene, but his primary win was not based on ideology.

      I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

      by OGGoldy on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 06:30:30 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I didn't catch any of the debate (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, Gygaxian

      But I heard the BdB crushed it. Is that an accurate assessment in your eyes?

      I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

      by OGGoldy on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 06:31:56 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Quinn, Thompson didn't gang up on Deblasio? (0+ / 0-)

      you'd think they'd do that

      "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

      by KingofSpades on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:29:09 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  They both ran lackadaisical campaigns (0+ / 0-)

        Before DeBlasio, when they were in first and second for months, and even after Weiner entered and briefly took first place, their campaigns were never negative, low key affairs. It's enigmatic.

        (-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", libertarian socialist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

        by Setsuna Mudo on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:01:15 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  It's weird (0+ / 0-)

          Because Quinn has an outsized personality, which can cross the line to abrasive, and yet she allowed herself to kind of fade into the background and so quickly.

          Was it really Weiner's implosion that just collapsed her support?  In hindsight, it's obvious her support wasn't as solid as it appeared, but it's crazy how much of, and how quickly, it scattered to other candidates in recent weeks.

  •  VA-AG (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    aamail6, Gygaxian

    Does anyone have any idea what is going on in this race? I have heard next to nothing about it. Cooch is Cooch, and Jackson is Jackson. But that is about the only kind of thing I have heard out if the state this year. Anyone have a finger on the pulse of the AG race?

    I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

    by OGGoldy on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 06:33:59 AM PDT

    •  There's usually not much oxygen for the downballot (12+ / 0-)

      races, but it's even more true this year, with the continuing drip of news on the Star Scientific scandal. There's really been no news about the race that I've heard. I still think Obenshain will outperform Cuccinelli, but I don't know if he can do well enough to win if McAuliffe wins the race by 5-6 percent.

    •  I said something similar to Johnny... (6+ / 0-)

      ...in a thread just a day or two ago, that Herring should win if TMac wins by at least 5%.

      Deeds came within a hair of knocking off McDonnell in the '05 A.G. race, all thanks to Kaine's late surge that resulted in a 5% win over Kilgore.  That was when Deeds was clearly an inferior candidate to McDonnell.  Here, Herring is not inferior to Obenshain, so Herring should hew closer to TMac.

      Also, I've long had the view that Obenshain ends up underperforming Cooch, based on geography.  Obenshain is from the Shenandoah, not a lot of votes there, so he has no natural appeal to any swing voters in the urban crescent.  But Herring is from swingy Loudoun and should overperform there compared to his ticket-mates.

      Still, right now Cooch seems more troubled than Obenshain......but I'm still guessing in the end, Obenshain drops and underperforms current expectations.

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:08:19 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Curious (0+ / 0-)

      Has there ever been an effort at any time to move to even-numbered years for elections?  Not that wed want it (what will we talk about in off years then :-)) but just curious if anyone has ever tried.

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:28:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Dunno (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        I know that the reason NJ has them when they do is because they used to have a single, three-year term for governors. Then it got extended to four, though if they'd just waited one more cycle before doing it, it would have lined up with the presidential elections.

      •  There's no way it would ever get through (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone, jncca

        the House of Delegates. Off-off-year elections benefit Republicans, so they'd never agree to moving state elections to even-numbered years.

        •  Well I did say try (0+ / 0-)

          I'm sure changing it has no chance.  I was just wondering if there had ever been a push to do it anyways.  

          Quite an interesting history behind how the dat got set and changed over the years from what I just read, way better then us boring even-year election states.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 09:41:41 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  MA-GOV: Baker announces (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, walja
    Republican Charles Baker is planning to formally kick off a campaign for governor on Wednesday with a video released on the Internet and through social media.
    http://www.ctpost.com/...

    http://www.charliebaker2014.com/

    •  I've wondered why Jane Swift (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bjssp, WisJohn, JohnnyBoston

      never attempted a political comeback...it's not like the MassGOP has a deep bench.  I know she was unpopular back in the day, but was she that toxic?

      Born, raised, and currently reside in PA-3 (where ladyparts medicine is tantamount to Pearl Harbor and 9/11); college in the old OH-10; graduate school in the old OH-17

      by JBraden on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:49:35 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Chair of the OR state house revenue committee (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Berliozian

    says legislators should put their own marijuana legalization measure on the ballot.

    [Phil] Barnhart, D-Eugene, chairs the House Revenue committee, which would likely be charged with sorting out how the state would tax legal pot.

    “We have the best shot of actually getting it right as compared to somebody writing an initiative and if we don’t do this it’s very likely that there will be an initiative on the ballot,” Barnhart said.

    link

    ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

    by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 07:42:37 AM PDT

  •  Australian Federal Election (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    WisJohn, Gygaxian

    Well with three days to go at least this is encouraging for Labor. ReachTEL has the Coalition leading 52-48% after preferences, down from 53-47%.

    And I haven't dug through the Liberal Party's Youtube channel until this morning, but I found this very interesting attack ad the party has been airing. The ad in question ties Kevin Rudd to the scandal plagued NSW Labor Party and the ad ends with the tagline, "Labor still stinks."

    That ad in question is probably only being aired in NSW. The tagline "Labor still stinks" sounds like the ad is tying Federal Labor to NSW Labor.

    The Republican party is now an extreme right-wing party that is owned by their billionaire campaign contributors. - Bernie Sanders

    by ehstronghold on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:08:22 AM PDT

  •  MD-Gov (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Skaje, walja, Christopher Walker

    Charles Lollar, a businessman and Marine Corps Reserve officer, has officially declared for the Republican primary for the Maryland gubernatorial race.  Ordinarily he wouldn't rank consideration above Some Dude (his electoral history consists of being the sacrificial lamb against Steny Hoyer in 2010) but there has been some interest in the MD GOP in having him as their nominee over somebody like David Craig since Lollar is black; former candidate Blaine Young pretty much outright said that this was why he was endorsing Lollar.  

    Lollar has no experience in elected office, has only lived in the state a few years, and is also from an area of the state that gives him less of a natural base (Charles County in southern Maryland), so unless the GOP is going to nominate him entirely on the perception that his race will provide an advantage (or neutralize Anthony Brown's perceived advantage) he doesn't seem to have much to bring to the table in a general election.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    •  He says he wants to (4+ / 0-)

      "reach out to Democrats", but his Tea Party-ish rhetoric of the past makes that completely unconvincing, even if he adopts a more moderate tone.

      Unless, that is, "Look! I'm black!" counts as reaching out to Dems, and Senator Michael Steele can tell you how effective that is statewide.

      37, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

      by Mike in MD on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:40:40 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  GOP really hurts itself with these tokens (5+ / 0-)

        For all the racism in the conservative ranks, they still love to trot out tokens as shields, and this is yet another example.

        And it only hurts them with people of color, instead of helping with anyone.

        Michael Steele actually was one of the rare few smart choices ideologically by the GOP for a candidate, but of course he also is a bad candidate for other reasons, namely his uncontrolled mouth.

        But trotting out Lollar with no political resume for the biggest job in the state is classic GOP tokenism.  He actually wasn't a bad choice for a U.S. House race, his resume on its face is good for that.  But no one is going to see this guy on the merits as someone capable of governing the state.

        The GOP almost always picks people of color who are either ideologically extreme, or have no resume for the office sought.  Or both.  And this just proves they're not actually serious about inclusion.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:52:19 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  True but... (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          KingofSpades, jncca

          While I certainly agree with your points on tokenism, I don't see where the GOP "trotted him out" her, Lollar simply announced his candidacy. If anything I would think the establishment would be more supportive of Craig, an actual County Exec who has shown he can win an election in a Democratic area. And if I remember correctly Lollar was a RedState favorite in 2010 so that tells you pretty much where he sits on the sanity spectrum.

  •  If you wonder why your President isn't home (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gabjoh, Setsuna Mudo, KyleinWA

    It's because he's busy screwing up our traffic and our news. (You can take him back now.)

    19/Sweden/Wonk. Prefers discussing opinions to having them. Learning by doing.

    by Tayya on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:26:19 AM PDT

  •  KY-Sen: Heh-heh, oh Brad Dayspring: (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    rdw72777, DCCyclone, jj32, Gygaxian, JBraden

    "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

    by KingofSpades on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:28:00 AM PDT

  •  Another BS hit on Stringer (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, Paleo, bumiputera

    First it's trying to make him seem like he supports pedophiles, now it's his brief opposition to creating sex offender registries.

    I've always held that sex offender registries are misguided and offer people a false sense of security.  Not to get too far into policy, but if anyone votes against Stringer because of this, they're letting fearmongering and Republican "tough on crime" bullshit influence their vote.

  •  CO RECALL: Dems outvoting GOP 3-1 (7+ / 0-)

    in early voting in the Senate district of Angela Giron.

    No info on Morse's district, and I guess this might not mean anything. I think GOP led the Dems in early voting for the 2012 presidential race right?

    link.

  •  HI-Sen (9+ / 0-)

    To absolutely no one's surprise, the Sierra Club endorses Schatz.  If you are on the senator's email list like I am, you know that it's basically non-stop environmental advocacy.

    Hanabusa still sends out frequent emails about ending the sequester (her main issue at the moment).  I'm interested to see if Syria shows any further distinctions between the candidates.  Contrary to my expectations, Hanabusa is sounding quite opposed to attacking Syria.  Schatz sounds neutral at the moment... "Congress needs to debate this", etc.

  •  Kookogey Won't Challenge Alexander After All (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen

    Yesterday, it appeared Kookogey was interested in challenging Lamar Alexander, despite not going through the process. Today, he's saying he won't do it at all, knowing that a divided field makes it harder to take him out. We've got a rare moment of political intelligence from these guys, it seems.

    There's been no formal word from Knox County Mayor Tony Burchett, although as the article notes, he didn't attend the "Beat Lamar" forum recently held in Nashville.

    "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

    by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 09:20:50 AM PDT

    •  interesting (0+ / 0-)

      I'd been wondering about that because in the article yesterday he said he was leaving the forums because he is a non-candidate. I guess they misunderstood that.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:45:33 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  NC-Gov: McCrory pouting (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    BKGyptian89, KingofSpades

    http://www.wral.com/...

    After the Senate overrode McCrory's two vetoes this morning, McCrory scolded lawmakers and announced that he would effectively override their override... saying his administration would not enforce the two laws that were passed against his will.

    The bill that relaxes immigration laws was passed over McCrory's veto with wide bipartisan support, winning 39-5.  The bill that institutes mandatory drug tests for welfare recipients passed over McCrory's veto 34-10, again with bipartisan support.

    •  I'm disappointed to see (13+ / 0-)

      Democrats supporting shitty legislation like this.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:12:27 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Have NC Democrats hit bottom yet? (0+ / 0-)

        If not, consider this insurance. From what I read above, it's nonsense, but it's politically palpable nonsense, like those campaigning to freeze or even cut the salaries of lawmakers during an economic downturn, as if it's going to make a big difference. I mean, it was going to pass anyway, right?

        "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

        by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:16:38 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Pretty much yes they have (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          bjssp, Christopher Walker

          in the senate we hold all of one seat that Romney won and where the Republican statewide ticket won on average last year, yet we won it by 6% as an open seat at the same time. In the House we could fall a little farther though that would take some serious turnaround by state Republicans which is just not happening.

          I would imagine that a lot of Democrats were voted for it because of the optics and how it's likely to get struck down, but it's disgusting to see them voting for something that is pretty flagrantly unconstitutional and where the cost savings are self-defeating.

          •  Oh, yeah, it's a terrible vote, but (0+ / 0-)

            kind of an obvious one.

            "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

            by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:26:06 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  It's ridiculous legislation (0+ / 0-)

            what's more it's very easy to debate the badness of the bill. Democrats need to try standing up for some principles and actually bringing those underlying principles, which are not unpopular among the general public (actual savings, cost effectiveness, discrimination, etc), and have open debates on these sorts of issues.

            "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

            by ArkDem14 on Thu Sep 05, 2013 at 11:03:32 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  I'm confused by the eVerify bill (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          bjssp

          Are there really that many people in NC desperate to get seasonal agrcultural jobs paying minimum wage and offering back-breaking labor and unhealthy side effects (particularly those working tobacco).

          I guess the theory is lower supply of cheap labor raises labor, but I just am not sure the supply would ever be there for a reasonable price.  

          God knows I never want to go back to farming.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:26:56 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Yes (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            bjssp, Stephen Wolf, ArkDem14

            NC has the fifth largest migrant farm worker population in the US:

            http://www.ecu.edu/...

            Another interesting angle on the e-verify bill:  McCrory sided with the county sheriffs by vetoing this bill.  The sheriffs are strongly opposed to it because they say it would make law enforcement more difficult.  I wouldn't be surprised if McCrory is thinking about 2016, when he could face AG Cooper.  The sheriffs love AG Cooper, so anything McCrory can do to gain the sheriffs' favor or prevent them from taking sides is a positive for him.

            •  Is it wrong to think (0+ / 0-)

              this makes it easier for firms to use illegal labor?

              "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

              by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:06:16 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

            •  I read it wrong (0+ / 0-)

              So the veto made it so the background check could be extended, right, so that more undocumented workers could likely work here.  And the the over-ride over-turned that.

              I got confused and thought the opposite was happening, that the GOP legislature was voting to ensure a longer wait period, not a shorter one.

              my head hurts.

              "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

              by rdw72777 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:29:41 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

      •  Almost all of the Democratic caucus (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        gabjoh, JohnnyBoston, ArkDem14

        supported the drug testing bill the first time, with the only exceptions being uber-liberals like Ellie Kinnaird (who resigned last week).

        On the vote to override, some Democrats like Josh Stein and Martin Nesbitt changed their votes and stood with the governor.  Some Democrats stood with the Republican legislators in overriding the bill, though.

        The idea for drug testing welfare recipient polls very well, which is probably why Democrats are inclined to support it.  McCrory makes a good argument, though, that it is cost-ineffective to administer drug tests to that many people when only a tiny percentage of them test positive, according to data from the state of Florida.

        •  Cost effectiveness be damned (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          JGibson

          We'll save money by doing this....said every fire-breathing conservative who posts some idiotic drool on their Facebook page every day about standing behind someone in line at a grocery store who uses food stamps but has an iPhone.

          I miss the days when math still mattered, or more particularly, arithmetic.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:25:29 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  One irony of all (0+ / 0-)

            the fire breathing about people receiving benefits who also have an iphone is that this alleged situation is one that the more Libertarian ideology supports: if you're going to give people money, give them a check instead of food stamps or something, because they know how to spend it best and increase their own utility. Of course, the system isn't exactly like that now, and even if it were, it might make things worse if our objective is to help people, in the sense that it'd make benefits a bigger target. But still, aren't the these guys always harping on making government smaller and/or more efficient?/somewhat sarcastic.

            "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

            by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:29:33 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Most aren't Libertarian (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              James Allen

              Most are of the "Im the smartest person ever" variety and "everyone else is too stupid to understand my genius" vintage.  

              But whatever helps them pass the time in the Walmart check out line....

              "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

              by rdw72777 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:47:41 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  I know lots of people are like that. (0+ / 0-)

                But even the smarter ones, who should recognize the contradiction, don't often do it.

                "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

                by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:21:41 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Probably why I left my hoem town (0+ / 0-)

                  You as well, I'm guessing.

                  "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                  by rdw72777 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:42:58 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  I live in New York, where there are plenty (0+ / 0-)

                    of pro-government Republicans.

                    "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

                    by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:58:38 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

    •  Wow, did not expect that kind of relationship. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bjssp, psychicpanda

      "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

      by KingofSpades on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:24:47 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  75 Percent Say Polls Are Biased (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    BeloitDem

    How they are biased, though, isn't clear.

    This reminds me of the polling that indicates the public is very concerned about the deficit, but doesn't want to address it through spending cuts or tax increases.

    Of course, perhaps this polling from Kantar is biased in some way, so...

    http://politicalwire.com/...

    "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

    by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 09:58:54 AM PDT

  •  NYC Comptroller Q: Stringer 47-45 (5+ / 0-)

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:05:49 AM PDT

  •  Former Sen. Rod Grams in hospice care. (6+ / 0-)

    http://www.twincities.com/...

    Grams served a single term in both the House and Senate, and ran in and lost in MN-08 in 2006

    Gay farm boy, 21, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -5.88, -3.64, 2012 Daily Kos Elections Pick'Em runner-up.

    by WisJohn on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:19:31 AM PDT

  •  RI Gov: Chafee not running (15+ / 0-)

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:15:22 AM PDT

  •  My next project/set of diaries (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Darth Jeff

    Now that jeffmd and Darth Jeff are compiling presidential and 2012 downballot results by legislative district, I'm expanding what I did for North Carolina to other states where the data is available and comprehensive. Already I've done all the numbers for Arizona where I've calculated 2010 numbers in addition to what the Jeff's have done, and Colorado where the state apparently had 2008/2010 senate and 2010 tresurer and UC regent. As was the case with the NC diaries, the forthcoming ones will statistically analyze the relationship between state legislative race performance, Obama's performance, and downballot statewide election performance by district to see what patterns emerge or don't. I'll also hopefully have plenty of neat maps. Colorado should be first up next week after the recalls.

  •  Numbers on Those Being Denied ObamaCare (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen

    There's a nice bit of policy analysis at this link for those who are interested, but leave that for the policy thread and instead focus on just how many people this will likely affect. It's not at all clear how they are distributed, but if they aren't packed into areas that we already control, I don't see why this wouldn't make a very effective message for 2014 and even 2016. And even if they are concentrated in areas that we already control, not all of them will be there. Anything that adds to our total will help, and I have to think there are a lot of downscale, center-right or even conservative voters who would be open to hearing our case on this.

    "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

    by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:37:01 AM PDT

    •  That's for legislative races. For governor's races (0+ / 0-)

      in states like Texas, it seems like a no brainer to make this a central part of the campaign.

      "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

      by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:41:18 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  This argument, sadly, will be good for Kasich (0+ / 0-)

      I don't want 4 more years of him.  But it's an effective argument for him being "bi-partisan" and pushing for expansion and may help dig into what should be Democratic strength on the issue.  Sigh.

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:43:39 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  That's true, but at least (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        JBraden

        he's right on the merits. I'm less concerned with a Republican benefitting if hundreds of thousands of people will get some additional security.

        "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

        by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:22:53 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  NYC-MAYOR: Weiner gets in argument with (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gygaxian, WisJohn

    with voter who called him a scumbag.

    I wonder if he finishes lower than Liu.

    link.

  •  PA-GOV: Schwartz rolls out shale tax plan (9+ / 0-)

    Plan here; Keystone Politics reax:

    As Schwartz notes, a 5% severance tax would be in the middle of the pack for gas-drilling states. It is less than the severance tax rates in Texas (7.5%) and Oklahoma (7%), and the same as West Virginia’s rate.

    So this would not in any way push drillers out of Pennsylvania. It would simply collect the same rate on gas production as many other states – perfectly reasonable for “the Saudi Arabia of natural gas” to use Tom Corbett’s phrase.

    On the conference call announcing the position, Schwartz admirably rejected savvy political reporters’ insistence that the severance tax won’t pass, or that Republicans will get any political traction by pointing at the plan to characterize her as a “tax and spend liberal.”

    She replied that she would contrast her position with Senator Scarnati and the Republicans’ position that we should raise taxes on middle class Pennsylvanians, rather than gas companies, to pay for our state services. Congresswoman Schwartz welcomed a debate between those who want to protect energy companies’ taxes from going up, and those who want to protect middle class families from tax increases to pay for education and other priorities.

    I’ll admit to pounding the desk when I heard that. As I’ve been saying for a long time, this is the strongest argument for a severance tax. ...

    [Disclosure reminder: I serve as counsel to the Schwartz campaign, though nobody told me to post this.]
    •  Is it possible for her to pitch this tax (0+ / 0-)

      as a replacement for something else, like part of a sales tax or something? That might be political gold for her.

      "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

      by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:34:39 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Based on what I can tell ... (0+ / 0-)

        Schwartz states: "A 5 percent tax would generate an estimated $612 million this budget year and $737 million in 2014-15, according to the nonpartisan Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center."

        That's about a month's worth of sales tax revenue: per the Dept of Revenue: "Sales tax receipts totaled $761.4 million for August [2013], $21.5 million above estimate. Year-to-date sales tax collections total $1.6 billion, which is $21.5 million, or 1.4 percent, more than anticipated."

        •  Well, without going too much (0+ / 0-)

          into the policy specifics, you could probably sub in that revenue from shale taxes for a small cut in the sales tax, or perhaps a very targeted cut on something like milk or clothing or whatever. Make it so that it would have a clear even if not necessarily huge difference in the lives of an average voter, you know?

          "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

          by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 01:01:07 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Basically, it looks like Schwartz (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Adam B

          could make this small net benefit if she wanted to sub in one tax or another, however it's done, although maybe it's better politically to propose to put a lot of the money towards education or something.

          "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

          by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 01:02:41 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  the money will be needed, (0+ / 0-)

            if she can get such a measure passed, the revenue might be dwarfed by the costs of repairing damage to the ecosystem or by the expenses incurred in litigation related to the practice.

            I wouldn't pledge it away, if it were my policy idea.

            The political value of proposing it is to set a contrast with the current Republican administration, and to increase enthusiasm for her candidacy among voters worried by fracking.  

            A Republican is a person who says we need to rebuild Iraq but not New Orleans. - Temple Stark

            by Christopher Walker on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 02:37:26 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  The Giron & Morse recalls in Colorado (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Christopher Walker, abgin

    Gun laws are going to be a factor in some races in 2014. Do you know your state's firearms laws?

    Firearms Law and Policy published our first diary last week. We are planning to walk all across the country, state-by-state, and will dedicate a diary to a survey of each state's gun laws. Sound interesting?

    If you would like to write about gun laws in your state please send a Kosmail to LilithGardener.

    Introducing a new Group: Firearms Law and Policy - Glossary of Resources

    Please drop by, say hello, and check out our Glossary of great links to law and policy resources.

    To join and write for us Kosmail LilithGardener.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    To advocate effectively for repeal or passage of firearms legislation we must first know and understand current law and policy, and how both are implemented, where we live. There is enormous variability across the country; the relative utility/relative risk of firearms is different on a 500 acre ranch in Montana than for a 1000 square foot apartment in New York. State and local laws reflect that diversity. We will discuss firearms law and policy with an emphasis on the many historical ethics and ideals of Western Civilization, as opposed to what are currently known as "Libertarian" ideals.

    This group is also a study group; a place to learn and discuss which gun regulations are constitutional restrictions in this post-Heller environment. (A law degree is not required). With Congressional gridlock likely to impede any useful national legislation, progress will have to be made at the state and local level.
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Please note: We are not a subgroup of the Daily Kos RKBA group and do not agree with their foundation premise, but hope they will share their insights into state and local laws that work.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    To join us send a message to the Firearms Law and Policy Group.

    SUMMARY of GUN LAWS - The Law Center for the Prevention of Gun Violence


    ALABAMA KENTUCKY NORTH CAROLINA
    ALASKA LOUISIANA OHIO
    ARIZONA MAINE OKLAHOMA
    ARKANSAS MARYLAND OREGON
    CALIFORNIA MASSACHUSETTS PENNSYLVANIA
    COLORADO MICHIGAN RHODE ISLAND
    CONNECTICUT MINNESOTA SOUTH CAROLINA
    DELAWARE MISSISSIPPI SOUTH DAKOTA
    DST OF COLUMBIA MISSOURI TENNESSEE
    FLORIDA MONTANA TEXAS
    GEORGIA NEBRASKA UTAH
    HAWAII NEVADA VERMONT
    IDAHO NEW HAMPSHIRE VIRGINIA
    ILLINOIS NEW JERSEY WASHINGTON
    INDIANA NEW MEXICO WEST VIRGINIA
    IOWA NEW YORK WISCONSIN
    KANSAS NORTH DAKOTA WYOMING

    "They did not succeed in taking away our voice" - Angelique Kidjo - Opening the Lightning In a Bottle concert at Radio City Music Hall in New York City - 2003

    by LilithGardener on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:47:28 AM PDT

  •  Think you mean RI-Gov (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:51:56 AM PDT

  •  Phila-Mayor-15: Don't call it a comeback (yet) (0+ / 0-)

    Or maybe Philadelphia Magazine got bored:

    According to the behind-the-scenes power brokers that I’ve spoken to, members of the local business community are underwhelmed by the current pool of potential candidates, which includes, among others, folks like State Senator Anthony Williams, former District Attorney Lynne Abraham, socialite Dana Spain, and previous mayoral loser Tom Knox. And so they’re setting their sights on Rendell, who could legally make a bid since Philly’s mayoral term limits only prohibit more than two consecutive terms.

    Pretty much everyone agrees that if Ed Rendell runs for mayor in 2015, Ed Rendell will be Philadelphia’s next mayor. But does Rendell actually want the job he vacated in January 2000?

    I reached out to Rendell on Wednesday morning to find out. His assistant, Kirstin Snow, responded, explaining, “He’s away this week but said respectfully he has no comment.”

    And ICYMI, last week's Ed Rendell: Hitchhiker story is a gem.
    •  What, no Milton Street <n/t> (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      okiedem

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:03:36 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  When is the FL Pres by LD graph comming out? (0+ / 0-)

    NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

    by BKGyptian89 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:04:36 PM PDT

  •  So I've spent much of the afternoon (9+ / 0-)

    trying to remember who the guy who ran against Sherrod Brown last year was, and all I can come up with is "Wesley Crusher." Thank you for that, Sao :P

  •  I almost feel sorry for John Kasich... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    JGibson

    but I just can't. I guess the best thing you can say about him is that there are a cornucopia of far crazier people who could be where he is. He's probably the sanest Republican in Columbus, which is scary.

    •  It would be highly amusing if Kasich (6+ / 0-)

      managed to push through the Medicaid expansion and ended up losing, either in a primary or a general, which gave whomever runs on our side a pretty solid chance at victory. Best of both worlds, no?

      "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

      by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:25:46 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Shouldn't it read "expanding Medicaid" at the top? (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Darth Jeff, jj32, Setsuna Mudo

    "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

    by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:24:01 PM PDT

  •  Sisi frenzy (0+ / 0-)

    I wish these pics were a joke, but unfortunately they're real. Especially the wedding pic, with the bride and her maids. I just find that one crazy.

    https://twitter.com/...

    https://twitter.com/...

    NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

    by BKGyptian89 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 12:31:57 PM PDT

  •  According to HuffPost, Boehner out as Speaker (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gygaxian, KingofSpades

    after 2014

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

    Hopefully, this induces him to cooperate with Obama more

  •  Speaking of Ohio and Medicaid expansion (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bjssp, Darth Jeff, LordMike

    there is a nascent effort to try and get the issue of expansion on the ballot in Nov 2014, given the legislature is dragging its feet on the issue, delaying their return to session by a month(to October).

    It's quite possible something does happen in the legislature, and that is still the goal of the people trying to get this on the ballot. But I would hope it would boost Dem turnout if it did make it to the ballot in Nov 2014.

    •  Maybe... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jj32

      ...but Kasich, post primary, could co-opt the effort and endorse it (remember that expansion was his idea) nullifying any benefit it would have for Fitzgerald.  I can see Kasich running ads in blue areas of the state asking voters to vote yes on Medicaid expansion and making him loo all statesman-like.  

      It's probably better to wait until 2016 and use it to drive up presidential turnout.

      GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

      by LordMike on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 02:06:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Michigan (0+ / 0-)

      Ohio's neighbor to the north just go through pushing the medicaid expansion through.  It took us a year, and it was very messy, and it's still not totally unresolved.  Just about every interest group (and many Republicans) wanted an immediate effect vote they didn't get.  It's been absolutely wild.  This was the only time I ever saw Snyder legitimately pissed at Republicans.  Obamacare has made some strange bedfellows.  Just look what happened in Arizona.

  •  NYC-Top Dog: Will Quinn's and Thompson's ads (0+ / 0-)

    be enough to bring BdB down? Did he surge too early?

    What's Q-Pac's record on NYC polls, by the way?

    19/Sweden/Wonk. Prefers discussing opinions to having them. Learning by doing.

    by Tayya on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 01:00:14 PM PDT

    •  Surge too early? (8+ / 0-)

      Well, Quinnipiac may not have the greatest track record, but by all accounts, de Blasio is still surging, and the primary is on Tuesday. Right now, the battle is for second place. I'd be surprised if that changed in the next few days.

      Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

      by David Nir on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 01:13:14 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Doubt it (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      tk421, bumiputera, ArkDem14

      Quinn would have to pull off one of the toughest things in politics, going from solid frontrunner to huge underdog to victory. I'm having a hard time coming up with examples of this occurring. Truman? He was never a solid frontrunner in 1948. Harry Reid in 2010? Maybe.

      Thompson has always struck me as a B+ candidate, solid but uninspired, could get lucky but definitely not a first-rater. I have a basic idea of Quinn's profile and de Blasio's, but Thompson just doesn't have the same kinds of selling points.

      I think at this point it looks like de Blasio's risk paid off. All the other candidates assumed the ideology that's ruled NYC for about 35 years wasn't going anywhere, and all they had to do was to offer a few user-friendly tweaks for liberals to get into power. de Blasio has challenged the basic assumptions of it, and its worn-out present messenger. That's why he's winning, and for any of the other candidates to try to beat him this way would likely come off as insincere. I suppose John Liu has done something similar, but considering he was hit with ethics troubles pretty much the second he entered office but didn't let that stop his meticulously plotted ascent, that wasn't ever going to happen.

      •  McCain fits that description pretty clearly. (0+ / 0-)

        Arguably John Kerry does as well (2004), though less so than McCain who seemed like "next in line" in 2006-early 2007 before looking totally irrelevant by the summer-fall of 2007.

  •  California has secessionists too (5+ / 0-)
    Siskiyou County supervisors, hoping to spark another attempt to create the State of Jefferson in southern Oregon and northernmost California, voted Tuesday to begin the process of seceding from California.
    link

    I'd prefer them to be under the boot of politicians in Sacramento.

    ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

    by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 01:08:11 PM PDT

    •  JE-ALL: State of Jefferson (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, ArkDem14

      http://www.latimes.com/...

      Interesting that the talk includes including Humboldt county in this group.  If they stretch too far south and west with the breakaway group, they'll get a blue state... although their basic goal would be achieved.

      If ever there was an area that gets absolute zero political consideration it is northeast CA.  They are a tiny drop in the bucket population-wise, and don't even have anything in common with any other part of the state, red or blue.

      If only this would happen, we could get a half dozen blue states out of CA and end the filibuster nonsense and easily control the Senate for the longterm.

      Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

      by tommypaine on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 01:42:45 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Would this knock Oregon down to 4 districts? (0+ / 0-)

      Or keep it at 5? And would it take 1 or two from California?

      25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

      by HoosierD42 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 02:28:09 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Assuming Jefferson was complete, that is. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

        by HoosierD42 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 02:36:26 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  ah (0+ / 0-)

          not a safe assumption. Some of the others might be foolhardy enough to, but I doubt Jackson would even in their wildest imaginations, and that's the biggest population center. Coos either.

          It could drop us down to 4, but then we would likely be able to fairly easily draw a 4-0 map. All of the counties went for Romney and all but one for McCain, and most are pretty damn Republican.

          ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

          by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:17:10 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  according to 2010 numbers (0+ / 0-)

          it reduces us by a little more than 553,250 people.

          ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

          by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:22:33 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Probably one from California and one from (0+ / 0-)

        Oregon. Both of them would be Republicans and the state as a whole would likely be represented Republican senators.

        Unfortunately, it would also likely leave behind enough conservative territory to make us lose a district to Republicans in Oregon.

        E.G. it'd be a net loss in both the House and Senate, even as our position in Oregon's Senate seats would likely improve.

        23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

        by wwmiv on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 02:37:12 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  we might concede them one (0+ / 0-)

          but I think something like this could get us 4-0.

           photo sansjefferson_zps026de594.png

          yellow (5th) being Jefferson.

          I'd need to run the numbers, though. The 2nd would be close to even, the 1st and 3rd would be more conservative than now, I'm wondering about the 4th, though.

          ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

          by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:37:28 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  If Jefferson were to exist (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            James Allen

            it would be hard for me to imagine by what logic people in CA's Mendocino and Humboldt counties would opt in, while OR's Malheur and Harney (and virtually everything else in east OR) would opt out.

            On the other hand, an inland Jefferson and a west-of-the I5 Oregon would make sense, especially if you add Del Norte, Humboldt and Mendocino to make a semi-Ecotopia.

            Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

            by tommypaine on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:52:46 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

      •  Population less than Wyoming (0+ / 0-)

        from the red counties in the map.  Only one congressional district.  Two if the pink counties are included.  You could easily, and most logically, make one CD a Dem one including Humboldt, Mendocino, Butte and Glenn counties.

        To gerrymander two red ones you'd have to separate Butte from Humboldt/Mendocino and also not include them with Jackson county on Oregon.

        Without a bizarro gerrymandering, one of the districts would probably be Likely D, and the other Safe R.

        Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

        by tommypaine on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 03:02:53 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  we almost have enough for 6 (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        SaoMagnifico

        I think it'd need to take a lot of us to drop us to 5.

        ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

        by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 03:23:01 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Josh Marshall at TPM... (11+ / 0-)

      Suggests that all the republican counties that are whining about being in blue states could form a 51st non-contiguous state and call it, "Whinyassistan".

      GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

      by LordMike on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 02:28:18 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  SFRC votes for Syria AUMF, 10-7 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    JohnnyBoston

    Yes votes: McCain, Graham, Flake

    No votes: Tom Udall, Murphy, Rubio and Barrasso.

    Apparently, Markey voted present.

    Politics of this are interesting for Rubio. He has seemed to counter the caution/isolationism/whatever you want to call it of Rand Paul, but he was a "no" here.

    •  It's actually pretty smart politics (0+ / 0-)

      Rubio can easily justify it by saying he didn't trust Obama to get it right in Syria, and it gets him some daylight from the superhawks without burning too many bridges. He definitely looks less like an "Amigo" after this.

      •  Yeah, a no vote is smart politics (0+ / 0-)

        If you vote no, and the resolution fails, it's bad news for Obama.

        If you vote no, and the resolution passes, but the action goes badly, then it's bad news for Obama

        If you vote yes, and the resolution fails, you probably end up with a primary challenge

        If you vote yes, and the resolution passes, and the action goes badly, you probably end with a primary challenge

        If you vote yes, and the resolution passes, and the action goes well....then I dont think anyone cares.  As we saw with Gulf war, and to a certain extent after the Bin laden raid, the public doesnt give even presidents credit for military victories for too long. So is a Rep or Senator going to benefit from a successful outcome in Syria?

        •  Not sure this is true in Republican primaries... (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          jj32, kleinburger

          Paul is going to have the anti-interventionalist vote so Rubio just kissed away MIC money without gaining many voters.  

          “I will be far more aggressive in my reporting from now. I am going to publish many more documents. I have many more documents on England’s spy system. I think they will be sorry for what they did.” -G.Greenwald

          by Jacoby Jonze on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 01:48:10 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  I think his vote is cowardly, but... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike

        ...will be inconsequential in 2015-16 no matter which way he voted.

        When both parties are deeply split on an issue, it doesn't really hurt either in primaries or in a general.

        For all the talk of TARP support hurting GOPers, I don't think anyone lost an election for voting for it, including in a GOP primary.  The closest I think might've been Robert Bennett, but I'm pretty confident his working with Ron Wyden on a hare-brained alternative health care reform plan was the thing that really hurt him, rather than TARP.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 07:56:55 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Corker rather than Graham (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jj32, itskevin, askew, DCCyclone, jncca

      Risch and Ron Johnson also against. Ed Markey a disappointment. This is a tough situation but that vote is poor form.

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 02:47:32 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Disappointed in Sen. Murphy... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, ArkDem14

      But everyone should vote their conscience, and I suppose that's what he did.

      Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 03:58:34 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I don't have a problem with this one (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone

        I do think you will find Democratic no votes are pricipled but more than a few Republicans end up against simply because Obama is president. But everyone should take a firm stand.

        "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

        by conspiracy on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:42:21 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  MT-SEN: Boehner is trying to keep Daines (3+ / 0-)

    in the House, I believe. He went to fundraise for him.

    I guess he could stay in the House because he would have little more seniority and would remain in the majority.

    Any news here on the Dem side? Seems to have been quiet for a long time.

    •  Heck if I know (0+ / 0-)

      what to make of this race.

      Daines will obviously be a shoo-in if he decides to stay in the House, but it's not like there are any Dems stepping up in the Senate race, despite Montana's relative friendliness toward Team Blue at that level.

      Obviously, the only thing giving Daines pause is the risk of becoming the next Rick Berg, but I'm not sure if Montana has a Heidi Heitkamp at this point.

      Born, raised, and currently reside in PA-3 (where ladyparts medicine is tantamount to Pearl Harbor and 9/11); college in the old OH-10; graduate school in the old OH-17

      by JBraden on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 07:46:07 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Seniority is a nothingburger (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, Christopher Walker

      Daines is a freshman!  Seniority will take a long time.  He'll have more power as a 1st-year Senator than as a 3rd-year Congressman.  And since the House seat is at-large, there's no change in geography or the voter universe.

      I'll be shocked if Daines doesn't run for Senate.  There's no reason for him to pass on it.

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 07:53:55 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Maybe seniority wasnt the right word (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        HoosierD42, Christopher Walker, jncca

        but if he is friendly with the House leadership, maybe he could leverage that for better committee assignments. And there is a better chance of the House staying GOP than the Senate flipping so he also stays in the majority.

        I think you are right, if I were him, I would probably run for Senate, but I can see the logic of staying in the House as well.

        •  Cornyn & McConnell can promise committtees, too (0+ / 0-)

          There's really nothing Boehner can promise that the Senate can't promise.  And the Senate GOP just needs him more, they need the seat, so they have more incentive to up the ante than the House does.

          45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Thu Sep 05, 2013 at 05:48:35 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  CA-Gov USC Poll (0+ / 0-)

    I really find it hard to believe that Maldonado and Donnelly will be clocking in at the same percentage as the primary gets closer.

    I think this 21% may be the absolute floor for a GOP candidate statewide.

    SIDENOTE:

    I'll be heading to Portland for a few days at the end of the month, anyone have any suggestions on what to do there?

    Swingnut since 2009, 22, Male, Democrat, CA-49 (home) CA-12 (college)

    by Ryan Dack on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 02:33:05 PM PDT

    •  It's because they're unknown (0+ / 0-)

      Maldonado's the only one who's run statewide before, and as we've discussed before, failed statewide candidates tend to fade away from the public consciousness.

      I doubt the GOP candidate would get under 35% under any circumstances, and is unlikely to get under 40% under most circumstances. Of course, there's going to be a big difference between Brown grabbing 55% of the vote and Brown grabbing 65%, under the latter case it will be because of a disastrous GOP opponent and there would likely be significant downballot effects. It's highly plausible that a Tim Donnelly candidacy would have such effects. Maldo or Kashkari would probably lose respectably and allow Joe Scarborough types to talk about the Republicans' diversity. And yet, I have a hunch that Donnelly is best positioned ideologically, and he happens to neither have campaign debt already, and is not now nor has he ever been the TARPmaster.

      •  I'd normally agree (0+ / 0-)

        BUT, Maldonado was the LT. Gov for almost a year.  It isn't a high profile job, but I'm assuming people have heard the name before.

        Both candidates are pretty damn weak, and II'm not even sure Maldonado will make it out of the top two primary.

        Swingnut since 2009, 22, Male, Democrat, CA-49 (home) CA-12 (college)

        by Ryan Dack on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 03:26:12 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  An appointed LG (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen

          Who served for about a year, and ran no TV ads in his re-election campaign. He has about as much visibility as a former candidate for city council, at least outside of the Central Coast.

          Best case scenario: Donnelly winning the two-spot with about 18% of the vote, after a brutal and bridge-burning contest with the other two. I wonder if Brown would even debate him.

    •  Maldo's camp is spinning the 42% for Brown (0+ / 0-)

      They say it's weak.  Of course, they ignore the 55% who approve of Brown in this poll.  But whatever, it's not like Abel has much material to work with.  

      23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-02 (resident).

      by Jeff Singer on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 03:05:36 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Do like the locals (0+ / 0-)

      Drink beer, ride a bicycle, make fun of Oregon State.

      Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

      by tommypaine on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 03:06:07 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Portland activities (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Ryan Dack

      Food suggestions:
      Pizza Oasis on Hawthorne
      Sizzle Pie on Burnside
      Potato Champion food cart
      Pine State Biscuit

      Check out:
      Hawthorne St (a low key haight-ashbury)
      Washington Park/Rose Garden
      Swan Island (if you're into strange industrial zones/an amazing view)

      •  Pine State may have some of the best (0+ / 0-)

        Southernish food in Portland but that's because there isn't really any authentic stuff.

        Also if you're gonna go, go at an off hour. Like 3-4 on a Saturday afternoon is one of the only times I don't usually see a line.

        ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

        by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:56:25 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  what specifically would you like? (0+ / 0-)

      I have tons depending on what you're interested in.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:53:57 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Regarding Portland right? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        I'm pretty into hiking, and was very disappointed to learn about Mt. Tamalpais in my last few weeks of undergrad (now that I mention it, I should probably remove my college CD since I graduated last May).  I did head up there once, and man was it beautiful.

        Anything like that would be awesome, some nice bars would be cool too (preferable for college age folk like me).

        Swingnut since 2009, 22, Male, Democrat, CA-49 (home) CA-12 (college)

        by Ryan Dack on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 05:05:32 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Hiking in Portland proper (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Audrid

          Mount Tabor and Forest Park are not bad. From Mount Tabor you can get a decent view of the area, and the reservoirs and some of the statuary/etc. up there is cool. In Forest Park many have a hard time believing they're in a city. It's a huge area on the west side, Tabor is smack dab in the middle of the east side. If you can venture further east you could try Powell Butte which also gives you a view of the area. Or further south is Tryon Creek, which I find pretty boring because it's just in the forests of Southwest, but it links up with my law school.

          Bars... so many. And it really depends on your taste. If you like Asian food and don't mind a little expense, Departure at the top of the Nines hotel downtown is trendy and has an amazing view of the city. Other west side cool bars include Teardrop and Driftwood Room (which is tiny).

          If you would like to try an Oregon brew pub, I think one of the most reliably good breweries in the state is Deschutes and they have a location in NW Portland, but they aren't a Portland brewery, they're based in Bend. Rogue has Portland locations on both sides of the river too, but they're based elsewhere in the state too. 5th Quadrant is good if you like a sports/family bar, but its barely in North Portland. Burnside Brewing is close in on the east side (Burnside divides north and south in Portland), and its classier but has good deals on Wednesdays and Sundays. Cascade Barrel Brewing caters to a niche market, making sour beers, but its top quality and some of their non-sours are good, and that's on inner east Belmont. My girlfriend only drinks sour beers so we've been there a bit.

          If you would like a non-dive bar to hang out in for a while, Dig A Pony is one of our favorites. It's a cool bar with cool bartenders and a good selection of beers on tap. It's in inner SE I think on Morrison. A bit further out on Belmont is Sweet Hereafter, which is also amazing, but they are a vegan bar, so if you want to eat something with meat don't expect to there. Both of those have good food. If you can go pretty far out east, I'd suggest Cruzroom on Alberta, though only if you can go early in the day, because service gets slow after its been open a few hours. They are a "taco lab" and have great infused liquors as well.  Rontoms is a little spendy but good, and its right on E Burnside, as is The EastBurn, and the Night Light Lounge is further south on Clinton, all are cool enough bars for a bit. Rontoms might be a little too cool (but a great patio), though, while EastBurn and Night Light have games. If you wind up on Hawthorne then Gold Dust Meridian is a decent bar.

          Some good dives might include Basement Pub, Star Bar, the Matador, Roadside Attraction, of which all but the Matador are on the east side, and its on Burnside, and the others I think are all within about 12 blocks of the river in Southeast.

          If you don't want to go all across town, but want a good Portland experience, I'd head to Belmont or Alberta and just walk down the street. There are plenty of places to get food, an assortment of bars, shops, and cafes as well. If you're on the west side, I'd go to NW 23rd and walk up it. And if you like Indian food, walk over to 21st where you can find Swagat, which most seem to agree is the best Indian food in Oregon. If you go to Alberta then you can get good (more traditional tacos) at Don Panchos at 20th, and also (not traditional) at the aforementioned taco lab and bar Cruzroom a bit further down. Alberta also has a tea shop, Townshends, which is awesome, and Belmont has the Tao of Tea, which is chiller.

          ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

          by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 05:52:51 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  Thoughts on Shirley Ringo's Run (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gabjoh, KingofSpades

    She stands no chance of outperforming Jimmy Farris in a significant manner and her decision to run also endangers her seat in the legislature. Since the inclusion of Benewah County into her district, elections will be perennially tossups there. To the shock of the IDP, we lost an open election even though we were running an impressive up-and-coming Coeur d' Alene (native american) candidate with significant pull in Benewah County. To be frank, many Idaho Democrats are delusional about the state of the party at the national level. This is not to disparage Larry Grant or other leaders as individuals but many are trapped in a mindset in which working class white Idahoans are still a sway-able Idaho constituency.

    I'm very glad to be living in Oregon...

  •  NC-GOV: Charles Meeker(D) considers a run (5+ / 0-)

    Meeker was mayor of Raleigh for a decade, declining to run for a sixth term in 2011.

    Roy Cooper would be our strongest candidate, but Meeker seems good too. He says he wont decide anything until after the 2014 midterms.

    link.

  •  WATN: Kathleen Falk has been appointed (11+ / 0-)

    a regional HHS director.

    As a regional director, Falk will serve as a key representative of Sebelius, working with federal, state, local and tribal officials on health and social service issues, like the Affordable Care Act's implementation.

    Region V is comprised of Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota.

    http://host.madison.com/...
  •  HI-Sen: Hanabusa picked up (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, askew, IndyLiberal

    5 private-sector labor union endorsments.

    The 13,000-member UPW was the largest of the endorsements.

    Others included the Hawaii Longshore Division statewide, Hawaii Laborers Union Local 368, Hawaii Masons Union Locals 1 and 630, the Hawaii Sheet Metal Workers Union Local 293, and the International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers Local 121.

    http://www.staradvertiser.com/...
  •  Judge shoots down Sharon Stover... (6+ / 0-)

    And her cynical argument against the ruling that Los Alamos County must license same-sex marriages as it would any other marriages. Pathetically, Stover is following the ruling but refusing to alter marriage licenses so they don't read "male" and "female", which other county clerks have done without prompting. Story here.

    Eight counties in New Mexico, including Grant County that is set to begin issuing licenses next week, have now agreed to provide marriage licenses to same-sex couples upon request.

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 03:56:49 PM PDT

  •  Rep. Walz picks up a challenger... (3+ / 0-)

    In ex-congressional son Jim Hagedorn, who has a veritable pedigree in uniquely Minnesotan political names. Story here.

    Jim Hagedorn, son of former Rep. Tom Hagedorn, R-Minn., will formally announce this afternoon that he will challenge four-term Democratic Rep. Tim Walz this cycle.

    Hagedorn, a former staffer to then-Rep. Arlan Stangeland, R-Minn., lost a bid for the 1st District in a Republican primary in 2010.

    MN-01 is a marginal seat, but Walz is entrenched -- one of four Minnesota congressmen to hold down a potentially tricky seat with surprisingly little effort, actually -- and the days of the elder Hagedorn are very long past (he served in Congress from 1975 to 1983).

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:11:33 PM PDT

  •  WI-Initiative. (4+ / 0-)

    I learned something today in my State and Local Politics class. The reason Wisconsin, once called the 'laboratory of democracy' because of progressive ideas and legislation, does not have ballot initiative, like Ohio and California do, is because back 100+ years ago, the German progressives in the Milwaukee area didn't want the tea-totaling, Scandinavian Lutheran progressives to vote prohibition into law. Absolutely fascinating.

    Yes, I am a tea-totaling, Scandinavian Lutheran, Bob LaFollette progressive.

    Gay farm boy, 21, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -5.88, -3.64, 2012 Daily Kos Elections Pick'Em runner-up.

    by WisJohn on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:30:54 PM PDT

  •  This James Allan (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gygaxian, Christopher Walker

    Bisenius is not me.

    The founder of a hedge fund with more than $3.2 billion under management was busted by police in Tigard, Oregon, for allegedly patronizing a prostitute, according to Tigard's police department.
    I read a tweet that he'd donated big to some local Republicans, though.

    ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

    by James Allen on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:39:36 PM PDT

  •  Charlotte's Hispanic Demographics (0+ / 0-)

    Can any DKEers from Carolina, maybe Stephen Wolf or psychicpanda elaborate more on the city's Hispanic population? I saw on Wikipedia that 13% of Charlotte's population is Hispanic/Latino. I'm just curious to specifically know what nationality are the Hispanics  moving in Charlotte, and in North Carolina general? Puerto Rican, Mexican, or what?

    NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

    by BKGyptian89 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 04:44:26 PM PDT

    •  According to the census (7+ / 0-)

      Mexicans are about 60% of NC's Hispanic population.  In Charlotte, there are more "other" - meaning, not Cuban, Puerto Rican, or Mexican - than any other Hispanic ethnic group.

      Duplin County has the highest percentage Hispanic of any county in NC, at 21%.

      •  Thanks for the info (0+ / 0-)

        So Im guess most of the Mexican migrants in North Carolina originally came to the state and worked for agriculture sector. Like tobacco mostly. And if most of the Hispanics in Charlotte are probably from South America then. Since most of them are "other" Hispanics.  

        NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

        by BKGyptian89 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 06:57:09 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  they could also be Dominican (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          wwmiv, jncca

          Salvadorean, Guatemalan...

          Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

          by sapelcovits on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:28:07 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  This^^^ (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            psychicpanda

            South Americans are really confined in large numbers to Florida, NYC, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Jersey.

            If you look at North Carolinian congressional district data, you find that Central Americans outnumber as a % of Hispanics in all but a single congressional district South Americans as their % of Hispanics - Robert Pittenger - where they're both in the high teens.

            https://docs.google.com/...

            See columns U (Central Americans) and Y (South Americans) for % of Hispanics data.

            Dominicans are not prevalent in NC (that's column S). Neither are Cubans (P), but both Puerto Ricans (M) and Mexicans (J) are.

            The only district in which Mexicans are not the majority of Hispanics is Pittinger, but they are still the largest group at 36%. Only three other districts are less than 60% Mexican among Hispanics, those are Price, Jones, and Watt.

            For Price, Puerto Ricans and Central Americans are large groups.

            For Jones, Puerto Ricans are the only other large group.

            For Watt, Central Americans are the only other large group.

            All above data is in the form of percent of Hispanic population, not overall population.

            For all district data, you can look here:

            https://docs.google.com/...

            23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

            by wwmiv on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:42:47 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Maryland (0+ / 0-)

              Maryland also has a large number of South Americans, so may a few others that I'm forgetting.

              23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

              by wwmiv on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:45:10 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

            •  NC has the 6th highest Honduran population (0+ / 0-)

              of any state.  But that number is still only 30,000 statewide, not very significant.

              •  Is it a young and fertile group of Hondurans? (0+ / 0-)

                Not meant sarcastically, but that seems like a large enough number to grow fairly quickly if the population is young enough and having enough children to help in that process.

                "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

                by bjssp on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:06:52 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

  •  Alaska Senate Bill 21 repeal group... (5+ / 0-)

    Says the voter initiative to overturn Gov. Parnell's generous cuts to the state's oil production tax will be on the ballot after the Alaska Division of Elections certified the required number of signatures in each legislative district. No independent confirmation as of yet, at least that I've seen. Tweet here.

    PPP has found Senate Bill 21 highly unpopular, although that margin will likely shrink as Big Oil gears up to defend itself.

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 06:05:50 PM PDT

  •  First day working for a pollster (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DCCyclone, LordMike, sapelcovits

    pretty dang long, but got 4 completed surveys in 4 hours for our 25-minute long survey.

    "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

    by KingofSpades on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 06:58:55 PM PDT

    •  I'm guessing a good response rate? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, LordMike

      Response rates for live-call polling are down to the high single-digits; for robopolls, the low single-digits.

      Maybe the 35 minutes each hour consisted of a lot of failed calls, but it sounds like it might've been more productive than average?

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 07:46:30 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  A bit above average, yes. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone

        "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

        by KingofSpades on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:23:41 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  A lot of answering machines (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          DCCyclone

          We were polling NJ-Sen, NJ-Gov, the referendums, the NJ generic ballot, and some issues.

          "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

          by KingofSpades on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:16:45 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  UT-02: Keep your eyes peeled for an announcement (4+ / 0-)

    on this race on Tuesday of next week. There's nothing official yet, but we've got a candidate, according to a fellow I know in the Utah Dems who is heavily involved in a couple of campaigns and groups.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 07:33:24 PM PDT

    •  By which I mean, we've got State Sen Luz Robles (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ArkDem14, Christopher Walker

      as a candidate. She's making an announcement on Tuesday. Sorry if that was unclear.

      Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

      by Gygaxian on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 07:38:33 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Sacrificial lamb, right? (0+ / 0-)

        From what I can tell the UT-SD1 (Robles' district) is solidly Dem, and UT, while the second most Dem-friendly district in the state, is still 68-29 Romney, and 58-38 McCain.

        25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

        by HoosierD42 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:26:28 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Any candidate in Utah not named Matheson (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          HoosierD42, James Allen, jncca, JBraden

          Is more or less a sacrificial lamb.  But hey, the better quality candidates the better.

          Intelligence agencies keep things secret because they often violate the rule of law or of good behavior. -Julian Assange-

          by ChadmanFL on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 08:59:35 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Well, she's the strongest lamb we've got (3+ / 0-)

          And she would certainly be stronger than the sacrificial lamb candidate we had in 2012, but yeah, essentially she's got no chance. She's got a bit more name recognition, and might be able to raise a decent (for Utah) amount of money.

          Plus, she's not up for re-election in 2014 (2016 is her next state senate election), so why not? Also, she's Hispanic, and since a lot of our more successful candidates tend to be Hispanic these days, if she gets a decent result (for a Utah Dem in UT-02), she may be able to help downballot elections.

          And for goodness's sake, we can't just rely on Matheson for any Congressional or statewide elections. Might as well take the opportunity to get name recognition and practice, right?

          Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

          by Gygaxian on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 09:08:28 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  How is she as a candidate? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Gygaxian

        Any shot at taking that seat?

  •  IOC Likely To Give The '20 Olympics To Madrid (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoosierD42

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

    Can't say Im surprise when you look at the other two bidding cities in Instanbul (TUR) and Tokyo (JPN). Maddow just talked about on tonight's show.

    You got Turkey, which seems like a great choice in which it would had been the first time hosting the games. But only one problem, it shares a boarder with Syria. Which is like a power keg ready to explode. And also shares a boarder with Iraq.

    And Japan is still dealing with that nuclear disaster, that was cause by that tsunami a little over two years ago. Caused that radiation meltdown at the Fukushima plant. That just got worst today. Last time Japan hosted the games was the '64 Tokyo.

    So Spain is getting the games again for the first time since '92 Barcelona.

     

    NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

    by BKGyptian89 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 09:27:08 PM PDT

    •  Makes sense (0+ / 0-)

      While there is no regional "rule" at the IOC, Tokyo was unlikely to get it because Beijing was just two Summer Olympics ago. And the situation in Turkey, with both the unfortunate borders and the current uprising, particularly in Istanbul itself, against PM Erdoghan makes for an unattractive prospect.

      But the economics in Spain aren't great, with austerity running the country into the ground.

      25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

      by HoosierD42 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 09:55:21 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Turkey (0+ / 0-)

      Saw Rachel, and the whole thing about Turkey bordering Syria didn't make sense to me.  This is 2020.  We really think Syria's going to be in a civil war in 2020?

      I am really pulling for Istanbul, if as a means for continued development, alone.  Plus, the asthetics and location of the venues would be kick-ass. lol

      •  I was pulling for them too (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike

        It would had been great, the first ever  games in that part of Europe and the world. Old Constantinople. Plus I was being a little bias, cause I have some Turkish ancestry. But I think the knocks against them are valid, one they obviously can't control. They happen to share a boarder with a volatile state in Syria. But Erdogan's reactions to the protests earlier this year, was bad form, and most likely did them in.

        NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

        by BKGyptian89 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:52:05 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  The current politics in the cities/countries (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        jncca

        definitely affect the IOC's decision-making, for better or worse.

        25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

        by HoosierD42 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 10:54:06 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  It'll be either Tokyo or Istanbul (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      SaoMagnifico

      The arguments raised in favor of Madrid do make sense, but the current state of Spain's economy has given the IOC some pause, and its bid lacks the energy and excitement that the other two bids have.

      Geopolitics and where Syria will be seven years from now, the IOC has demonstrated flexibility with awarding the Games to countries with unruly neighbors or in unstable regions before. The 2014 Games are going to the Caucasus, while the South Korean province hosting the 2018 Games shares a border with North Korea. Need I say more?

      With Istanbul, there is a sense of history. Should it win, it will be the first Summer Games in a majority Islamic country, it will be the first games held on two continents, and it will be the first games hosted in a geographically Middle Eastern country. And after putting for unsuccessful bids to host the 2000, 2004, 2008, and 2012 Games, Istanbul has a lot of experience under its belt, and it has built up a lot of good will in that some of its proposed venues from its past bids are actually in place. And I personally think their 2020 bid, in terms of quality, is light years better than their previous attempts, and I would not be surprised if they are awarded the Games. A potential downside I see for them is that their bid concept is very expansive, with many venues spread out all over the city. The IOC has in recent years preferred compact bid concepts, as it is more cost-effective and better for athletes and spectators alike.

      Despite Istanbul's apparent strength, I think the momentum is with Tokyo. Tokyo's 2020 bid addresses most of the shortcomings of its failed 2016 bid, such as cost and an over-expansive bid plan. Their decision to renovate and reuse the original 1964 Olympic Stadium I think is a stroke of genius, as it essentially eliminated the $1.3 billion liability that building a new stadium in the middle of Tokyo Bay (as proposed in their 2016 bid) created and made many IOC members uneasy and question their 2016 bid's financial and logistical feasibility. Tokyo winning the 2020 Games would also most likely take Asia out of contention for the 2024 Games, leaving an epic slugfest between what are increasingly looking like strong bids from the USA, various European countries, Australia, and perhaps South Africa.

      That being said, I'm pulling for either Tokyo or Istanbul, with a slight preference for Tokyo. However, this is a situation in which I wouldn't mind who wins - Tokyo, Istanbul, or Madrid have all put forth technically excellent bids and have the makings to be excellent host cities.

      I'm more interested in who will be the next IOC president.

      28 • Gay Male • CA-35 (new) • Pragmatic • Progressive • Liberal • Democrat

      by BluntDiplomat on Wed Sep 04, 2013 at 11:08:06 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  you mean the last time (0+ / 0-)

      Japan hosted the summer olympics was 1964? the 1994 winter olympics were in Nagano.

      Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

      by sapelcovits on Thu Sep 05, 2013 at 01:20:59 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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