Public Policy Polling has just surveyed 24 House districts currently occupying by Republicans. In 17 of them, a generic Democratic candidate is ahead, in 4, a generic Democrat is ahead when the respondent is told the Republican supported the shutdown, and in only 3 is the Republican ahead.
To: Interested Parties
From: Jim Williams, Public Policy Polling
Re: 24 New Polls show GOP in grave danger of losing House in wake of government shutdown.
If the 2014 elections were held today, Republicans would be in grave danger of losing control of the House of Representatives, according to a series of 24 surveys conducted by Public Policy Polling in Republican-held House districts over the past few days. The surveys challenge the conventional wisdom that gerrymandering has put the House out of reach for Democrats. The surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, show Republican incumbents behind among registered voters in head-to-head contests with generic Democratic challengers in 17 districts. In four other districts, the incumbent Republican falls behind a generic Democratic candidate after respondents are told that the Republican incumbent supported the government shutdown. In only three districts do Republican incumbents best generic Democratic challengers after voters are told the incumbent supported the government shutdown. Democrats must pick up 17 seats to win control of the House. These poll results makeclear that if the election were held today, such a pickup would be well within reach.
Details are at
http://www.scribd.com/...