PPP's latest poll has some bad news for Senate Republicans:
Michelle Nunn (D. GA) isn't the only Democrat benefitting from the GOP shutdown:New PPP polls of 6 key Senate races that will determine control of the body after next year’s election finds voters extremely unhappy about the government shutdown. As a result Republicans trail in 5 of the 6 key races and are tied in the 6th. Republicans need to win 6 seats to take control of the Senate.
We find voters strongly opposed to the shutdown in every state we polled, even though most of them voted for Mitt Romney last year.
In one case anger over the shutdown is helping to put a Republican held seat on the table:
-In Georgia voters oppose the shutdown 61/31, and it’s just another factor helping make this seat competitive for Democrats next year. Michelle Nunn is knotted with a generic Republican opponent at 42%.
The shutdown will be particularly problematic for the GOP if it nominates one of the House members seeking a promotion to the Senate- 47% of voters say they’re less likely to vote Paul Broun, Phil Gingrey, or Jack Kingston for the Senate because of their support for the shutdown to only 32% who think it’s a positive. After being informed that her most likely opponents were among those House Republicans who favored the shutdown, Nunn improves to a 48/42 lead lead on the generic ballot. - PPP, 10/16/13
All of these polls were conducted among registered voters on October 14th and 15th on behalf of Americans United for Change. 955 were interviewed in Arkansas with a margin error of +-3.2%. 707 were interviewed in Georgia with a margin error of +-3.7%. 634 were interviewed in Iowa with a margin error of +-3.9%. 632 were interviewed in Louisiana with a margin error of +-3.9%. 642 were interviewed in Michigan with a margin error of +-3.9%. 837 were interviewed in North Carolina with a margin error of +-3.4%. This is excellent news, especially since we are going to be fighting like hell next year to hold onto the Senate. If you would like to donate to any of the mentioned candidate, you can do so here:-In Michigan’s open seat race Democrat Gary Peters leads Republican Terri Lynn Land 43/36. Voters are opposed to the shutdown by a 65/27 margin, and when voters are informed that Peters stood against the shutdown in the House his lead expands to 50/36.
-It’s a similar story in Iowa’s open seat race- there Democrat Bruce Braley leads a generic Republican opponent 45/41. Voters are against the shutdown 64/27, and when voters are informed of Braley’s opposition his lead goes up to 7 points at 46/39.
-In Louisiana Mary Landrieu leads Republican challenger Bill Cassidy 48/41 for reelection. Voters oppose the shutdown 60/30, and 47% say they’re less likely to vote for Cassidy for the Senate next year because he supported it compared to only 32% who are more likely to. Landrieu’s lead grows to 52/42 when voters are informed of Cassidy’s position on the shutdown.
-In Arkansas Mark Pryor leads Republican challenger Tom Cotton 44/41. Voters there oppose the shutdown 59/32. When informed that Cotton supported it, 45% of voters say they’re less likely to support him for a move up to the Senate next year compared to just 33% who say they’re more likely to.
-In North Carolina Kay Hagan leads a generic Republican 47/42. Voters oppose the government shutdown 63/29, and when they’re informed that she opposed it as well her lead over a generic opponent increases to 49/41. - PPP, 10/16/13
Michelle Nunn (D. GA):
Gary Peters (D. MI):
Bruce Braley (D. IA):
Mary Landrieu (D. LA):
Mark Pryor (D. AR):
Kay Hagan (D. NC):