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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (5+ / 0-)

    Editor, Daily Kos Elections

    by James L on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 02:51:14 PM PST

  •  VA-St. Sen Specials (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32, Gygaxian, aamail6

    I would assume we are favored in both races, given their Democratic tilts and in Herring's district, a split in the right-wing vote.

    Gay suburbanite in NJ-11

    by interstate73 on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 05:16:58 PM PST

    •  I've seen a lot of Wayne Coleman signs around Norf (0+ / 0-)

      which is surprising since I'm in the more liberal part of the city.  I haven't seen as many for Lynwood Lewis.  Also heard some Coleman radio ads, he's running hard against Obamacare.

      I don't know if that means Coleman is running a better campaign or if Republicans are just dumping a lot of money here.  But I do think the race will be close.

      •  Southeast Virginia isn't Northern Illinois (8+ / 0-)

        So signs don't mean shit.

        38, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

        by Mike in MD on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 05:33:32 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  In a low turnout special election... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          JGibson

          it might tell you where the enthusiasm and organization is.  GOTV is everything.

          •  And of course, (4+ / 0-)

            lawn signs do actually vote. It's well-documented.

          •  lawn signs tell you exactly one thing (12+ / 0-)

            How much money each side is budgeting for signs.

            •  and strength of preference of the voter (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Darth Jeff

              A voter must really really like a candidate to put out a lawn sign.

              But since all votes are counted equally ( A person who has a strong preference for a candidate gets an equal vote to as a person who only has mild/weak preference for candidate)

              So Lawn signs are pretty much a nothingburger as there are plenty of people who vote for candidates and never put lawn signs up (including me).

              Redistricting is an officeholder's nightmare because overnight it can change the makeup of his constituency sufficiently perhaps to cost him the next election." -Speaker Joseph Martin

              by lordpet8 on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 12:00:42 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  even then (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                BeloitDem

                I've seen people only kind of be won over but then agree to put up a sign when they already have a sign for another candidate in the same race.

                ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

                by James Allen on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 01:18:10 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

          •  Lawn signs really tell you nothing important (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Skaje

            It's really tempting to look at lawn signs as a bellwether in the absence of any polling, but they mean nothing unless the electorate is confined to a single lawn.

            For starters, many of these signs aren't on people's property, they're on public areas. Campaigns frequently have a few volunteers/ interns flood high visible public areas with signs. (I've been one of these people before). It tells you nothing about geographic support or enthusiasm: All it means is one campaign had a few people put its signs up.

            Even signs that were actually placed by real life voters on their own lawns really mean little beyond that household. I've been on campaigns that would try to convince voters we'd IDed as strong supporters to put up signs; I've also been on campaigns that didn't bother.

            I think this portion of an article about a GOP vs. GOP state representative race in the New Orleans area sums it up pretty well:

            LaBruzzo also said in late September that his campaign team had plotted a map of Lakeview showing him with a 4-to-1 advantage in yard signs. He said voters were simply more excited about him than Lorusso, who has not gravitated to hot-button issues. That didn't change as the election got closer, and it wasn't just LaBruzzo's perception.

            "I was surprised at the outcome because there seemed to be so much support for LaBruzzo in Lakeview," said Rita Legrand, a Lakeview activist and Democrat who voted for Lorusso. "LaBruzzo had a lot more yard signs and the people I talked to, they were going to vote for LaBruzzo no matter what. There was nothing you could say to change them. And, of course, we knew he was going to get a lot of votes over in Bucktown."

            Lakeview dominates the Orleans Parish portion of the district, and Lorusso (the candidate with far fewer yard signs) won Orleans 70-30 that race.

            Contributing Editor, Daily Kos Elections. 23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-02 (resident).

            by Jeff Singer on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 06:22:52 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  And yeah, yard signs mean nothing anecdotally (6+ / 0-)

              From National Journal's Josh Kraushaar in 2012:

              Purely anecdotal, but why my instinct is that Romney ahead in VA.

              Normally I don't view yard signs as any reputable indicator, but was surprised that a stretch of Shreve Rd. in Falls Church was filled with Romney signs on yards -- more than 2:1 Romney. This, I thought, was solidly Dem territory (it's gerrymandered in Moran's district)

              Sure enough, checking the precinct data, Obama carried the area, 60-38% in 2008; Kerry won 57-42% in 2004.

              It's consistent with what I've been seeing throughout Fairfax Co... shocked to see so many Romney/Ryan signs in areas that, to put it mildly, awfully hostile to Bush both in 00/04. But if upper-middle class voters moving Romney's direction... would make some sense. O needs big margin in Fairfax Co to counteract weaknesses downstate, and if Romney overperforming in Fairfax, my gut is that ballgame over.

              Four years before, the Washington Post ran a serious article about the Great Obama Sign Shortage. The difference between the Obama and McCain campaign's reaction to the crisis is pretty notable:
              "Obviously, we want people to feel like they are part of the campaign and want them to be able to show their support for Senator Obama," Griffis said. "But the number one thing we prioritize in this race is building a human infrastructure in the state, and sometimes other parts of that campaign just don't receive the same priority."

              ...

               "Yard signs are an effective grass-roots tool, and we will continue to work to meet the demand of voters in Virginia who want to proudly display their support for John McCain and Sarah Palin by placing a sign in the front of their home," Gitcho said.

              Contributing Editor, Daily Kos Elections. 23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-02 (resident).

              by Jeff Singer on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 06:31:26 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Political reporters can be so stupid (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                Skaje, aamail6

                It's really embarrassing how bad they can be.

                Kraushaar in particular is dumber than a box of rocks.  He's really among the worst.

                And that WaPo story is just as bad, though that author, Tim Craig, is completely unfamiliar to me.  He's not anyone prominent in the local political media.

                45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                by DCCyclone on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 07:40:36 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

        •  I was just going to post this! (0+ / 0-)

          You beat me to it.

          I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

          by OGGoldy on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 08:12:42 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

      •  I wouldn't be surprised (5+ / 0-)

        if Lewis underperforms in Norfolk. In last November's election, he only got 60% there against an independent while he was winning the Eastern Shore by a landslide. Add to that the unusual geographic bases of the candidates - a Norfolk Republican vs. an Eastern Shore Democrat - and I don't see him running up a huge margin in Norfolk.

        The problem for Coleman is that he needs to win Norfolk in order to win the district, since Lewis will overperform on the Eastern Shore. That's a really heavy lift - even Creigh Deeds carried the Norfolk portion of SD-06 in 2009 (albeit by a narrow 51-49 margin) while he lost the district by 8.

    •  It's really hard to tell (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      psychicpanda, ehstronghold, itskevin

      On paper both districts are heavily Democratic.  However, special election turnout is always unpredictable and there are no public polls of either seat.  

      Contributing Editor, Daily Kos Elections. 23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-02 (resident).

      by Jeff Singer on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 05:30:36 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Word on the ground is we'll win both (4+ / 0-)

        What I hear consistently here is that Lewis and Wexton both have it.

        Yes specials are unpredictable and once in awhile something happens that catches everyone on the ground off-guard.

        But everyone here is confident that we'll hold both seats, and that they won't be squeakers, either.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 08:25:03 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Well that's good. (0+ / 0-)

          Is it polling rumors?

          Also, any word on who Dems run to hold Lewis' seat?

          "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

          by KingofSpades on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 09:18:09 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  I haven't heard polling numbers, but... (3+ / 0-)

            ...I did get a robopoll call on my answering machine for SD-33.

            Problem is, I don't live in that district!  Not really even close!  Pretty big screw-up by whoever was polling, but I suspect it wasn't a campaign because they seldom do robopolls.

            Meanwhile, no I haven't heard hard polling numbers myself, but people here broadly say with quiet confidence Wexton is on her way to a perhaps comfortable victory, and Lewis perhaps a big victory.  In Wexton's case, Joe May is a factor, making it less close than it normally would be.  That the GOP nominated a wackobird also helps.

            45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

            by DCCyclone on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 07:32:54 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

    •  Not sure which race this is refering to... (0+ / 0-)

      ...but I received an e-mail from the DLCC claiming that a right-wing front group was robocalling usual Democratic voters in one of the two districts and trying to get them to vote for a write-in candidate in order to pull votes away from the Democratic nominee.

      Since Yahoo Mail won't allow me to link to the email, I'll blockquote part of it:

      ...we have a big problem right now in a race that’s crucial for progressives nationally.

      In just 4 days, Tea Party extremists could win a majority in the Virginia Senate in a special election. Democrats have a narrow advantage, but we’re being out-spent nearly 2-to-1.

      And now, a right-wing group is robo-calling Democrats, trying to trick them into voting for a fake write-in candidate - these dirty GOP tactics could cost us the election.

      There are three natural adversaries of the progressive movement: Republicans, the Democratic establishment, and the mainstream media

      by DownstateDemocrat on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 10:52:39 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  In the realm of absurdity... (5+ / 0-)

    there's the arguments behind this latest challenge to the MD congressional map:

    http://www.gazette.net/...

    Here's my favorite: “It is particularly unfair to folks in the smaller sections [of the districts],” he said. “Voters in the large section are largely going to decide who the congressman will be.”  Um...maybe that's because there are actually more voters in the larger sections?

    I think this has about as much merit or chance of success as   gluing this week's supermarket tabloid cover onto paper with a legal caption and calling it a case, but if somehow it did succeed, it would open up an opportunity to challenge GOP maps in a bunch of other states.

    38, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

    by Mike in MD on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 05:23:35 PM PST

    •  I think this is great (0+ / 0-)

      I like Belgard's chances against a carpetbagging lunatic like Lonegan.

      Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 06:27:19 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Heeees baaaack! (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MetroGnome

      Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

      by Gygaxian on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 07:47:01 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  the best part of this (7+ / 0-)

      is how the Burlington Co. GOP guy openly trash talks him.

      Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

      by sapelcovits on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 09:58:20 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Ah the good old days of BurlCo-OceanCo GOP sniping (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        gabjoh

        are back, it seems.

        "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

        by KingofSpades on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 10:15:43 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  It just goes to show (0+ / 0-)

          that Burlington and Ocean Counties should not be in the same CD. In either a fair map or a Democratic gerrymander, they wouldn't be.

          (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

          by ProudNewEnglander on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 12:46:56 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Hard to say that (0+ / 0-)

            I say Burlington should all be in NJ-03 and the balance taken from Ocean County, because where else?

            "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

            by KingofSpades on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 03:32:58 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Mercer, that's where. (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              KingofSpades

              In a fair map, you'd have all the southern counties (but none of Ocean) in one district, then a Camden-centered district, and then a Burlington-part of Mercer district. None of Ocean County should be in any of those districts. Ocean should be entirely contained in one district, and the balance should be taken from Monmouth.

              (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

              by ProudNewEnglander on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 07:23:16 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Just seems a stretch is all (0+ / 0-)

                though it would definitely be interesting.

                "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

                by KingofSpades on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 09:18:37 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

    •  Superficially, I see some parallels (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gabjoh

      to the race in MD-6, with Dan Bongino running for the GOP: failed blue state Senate candidate decides to run for the House in a district well removed from his residence, and quarrels with many others in his party (Bongino has written op-eds and online posts attacking much of the GOP establishment.)

      But if I may play devil's advocate for Lonegan, at least he has a realistic potential path to victory in NJ-3, which Bongino does not have in his race.

      38, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

      by Mike in MD on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 10:02:19 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  That reminds me (0+ / 0-)

        what kind of crazy stuff is Bongino doing there?

        "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

        by KingofSpades on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 10:16:11 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Nothing especially crazy (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          KingofSpades

          but definitely clueless.  He's written posts in which he essentially separates himself from the GOP establishment for not listening enough to the "grass roots"--the same grass roots that thought a government shutdown was a great idea.  How does he think that will play in a 55% Obama district close to DC?

          Since he started his campaign I've only been able to wonder just where he thinks he's running.  He said he chose the 6th district because in his Senate race he carried the three panhandle counties in it (Garrett, Allegany, and Washington)--counties which only have a third of the redrawn district's population.  He was completely skunked where the other two-thirds live.

          I get the impression that he's more interested in protesting or making a statement than serving in elected office.  If he really wanted to win office, there are positions he could have run for and actually won in Anne Arundel County, where he actually lives.

          38, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

          by Mike in MD on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 11:48:12 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  Feeling good about this race (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      IndyLiberal, BeloitDem, lordpet8

      That's like 8 races in my "feeling good" category:

      CA-31
      FL-13
      FL-02
      VA-10
      NJ-03
      IA-03
      IL-13
      MI-01

      All of these I'd put as tossups or better for us.

  •  Politico sez Gillespie likely to run... (9+ / 0-)

    For Senate in Virginia, where he will be flattened by popular Sen. Mark Warner. Story here.

    State Sen. Jeff McWaters said Friday that instead of running himself, he’ll back Gillespie in the campaign against Sen. Mark Warner (D).

    “I don’t know exactly when he’ll officially announce, but I feel confident enough that I will throw my support behind him,” McWaters said in a phone interview.

    Warner announced earlier Friday that he raised $1.6 million in the third quarter and has $7.1 million cash on hand. The freshman Democrat remains personally popular, but national Republicans believe a candidate like Gillespie could oust him by raising enough money and capitalizing on the sinking popularity of President Barack Obama and the Warner-backed health care law.

    "Sinking popularity"? You mean except for over the past like three weeks? Classic Politico.

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 06:47:24 PM PST

    •  Warner is too popular (5+ / 0-)

      Imagine Kaine, but a tier better.

      "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

      by KingofSpades on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 06:52:55 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  The Politico people are the ultimate echo chamber (13+ / 0-)

      The Beltway media echo chamber is awful, and Politico has become the core of it.

      Gillespie is a joke.

      Warner will crush him.

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 08:22:41 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Maybe he'll run to raise statewide profile... (0+ / 0-)

      to then run for Gov in three years time.  I can't imagine he'd expect to beat Warner for his Senate seat.  Or he's angling to establish his name in case Warner is tabbed to be Hillary's running mate and thus the seat will be up in 2018, along with the Kaine re-election cycle if I am not mistaken.  

      Glenn Greenwald promotes far-right fringe extremist group The Oath Keepers - https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/statuses/377787818619064320

      by Jacoby Jonze on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 08:27:24 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Warner is sitting on a lot of cash... (0+ / 0-)

        7.1 million and he's a multimillionaire surely he can spread that around to other more vulnerable candidates like Begich/Hagan/Landreiu ALG and Nunn could use the money too.  

      •  They think Obamacare will cause another 2010 (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen, lordpet8

        Democrats lost senate seats then in IL, WI and PA. VA is more Republican than those and they believe Cuccinelli wins with another week. Sure, Warner is popular and unlikely to lose but they'll do better in general the more seats they can put into play. We can mock but there is sometimes method to their madness.

        "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

        by conspiracy on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 02:00:38 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Fine but there are better seats than VA (4+ / 0-)

          If Warner is in any semblance of trouble, then we're really not talking about whether Democrats keep control of the Senate, we're likely talking about if they can break 55 seats or not.

          Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 27 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

          by NMLib on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 03:30:22 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

        •  Of course, in 2010... (6+ / 0-)

          only two incumbent Senators and two incumbent Governors lost in the general election. And none of those were the most popular politician in the state like Warner is. I can see Warner topping out in the high-50s, since SWVA and some other rural areas will probably not vote for him again under any circumstances, but there's no Republican in the state that can actually beat him. An insider's insider like Gillespie isn't going to get close.

        •  2010, (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          The Caped Composer

          to a large degree, was about the perception of Dems having virtually unchecked power in the executive and legislative branches. I'd argue that the filibuster kept us from that, but that's not how most people saw it. Hardcore Republicans were seeing red, and a lot of indies were discomfited and wanted to ensure balance.

          2006 was similar in this way, as was 1994.

          That's nowhere near the case this year. Neither party can get anything done, at least not anything that's significant.

          So the occasional early poll aside, Republican dreams of a 2010-type wave are little more than pipe dreams.

          I'd hazard a guess that the candidates most likely to be rewarded this year are those that look and talk sensible, trustworthy, those that express a desire to break through the dysfunction and gridlock, those that want to make incremental changes to existing law and processes to make them better.

          As for Obamacare, even if it's still seen as troubled later in the year (which IMO is more unlikely than not), Dems should be able to undercut that by proposing solutions and fixes, bringing some of them up for "show votes" in the senate, and then building the narrative in campaign ads that their R opponents are getting in the way of sensible solutions. That when given the chance to fix some of the things they criticize about the law, they'd rather do nothing.

          PS. conspiracy, I know you're merely stating what may be Republican opinion in some circles, so I'm not arguing with you, just this particular Republican belief.

    •  Assuming the GOP does another (0+ / 0-)

      nominating convention, could he even win?

      He doesn't seem enough of a conservative fire breather.

      If he does end up being the nominee and gets flattened we'll still hear usual "He was not conservative enough" argument from the right.

      Redistricting is an officeholder's nightmare because overnight it can change the makeup of his constituency sufficiently perhaps to cost him the next election." -Speaker Joseph Martin

      by lordpet8 on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 12:21:04 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  While in Israel on Taglit (Birthright) (9+ / 0-)

    I met a member of my group who is a resident and voter in GA-12 (he goes to Georgia Southern University in Statesboro, though he's originally from Savannah).  I heard him mention Barrow over dinner and my ears lit up.  He said he is a member of the College Dems there and when they asked the College Repubs why the awful Lee Anderson was chosen as their 2012 candidate, they replied because he made his religiosity a big thing in the primary.  He has the same dilemma with Barrow as Gygaxian does with Matheson.  He feels Barrow's votes too red and gives cover to Repubs, but he acknowledges only he can hold the district and that means a lot.  He also sounded hopeful about Michelle Nunn.

    "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

    by KingofSpades on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 06:51:37 PM PST

  •  WATN: Rand Paul is filing a class action lawsuit (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, lordpet8

    against the Obama admin over the NSA's data collection policies.

    The lead lawyer in the lawsuit is....Ken Cuccinelli.

    link.

  •  races i'm interested in are all the open seats (0+ / 0-)

    which should help the dems in 2010 - NJ 3, VA 10, FL 13, IA 3. If dems win all of them, it will put them in good position to win the HOR by decade's end.

    follow me at: http://rumromerebellion.wordpress.com/

    by demographicarmageddon on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 07:29:42 PM PST

  •  Phil Everly, RIP (7+ / 0-)

    Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

    by tommypaine on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 07:49:15 PM PST

  •  VA-10 (21+ / 0-)

    I got home not long ago from John Foust's campaign kickoff event.

    I've been to his house before, and turnout was always good for his fundraising events for his county supervisor campaign coffers.

    But tonight was off the charts.

    And I knew it would be.  I left a little after 6:30 for a 7:00 event just across town in McLean.  Hundreds of people, and traffic jammed up and down the street.  And I got there early!  It was much worse for late-comers.

    But no matter, everyone was thrilled, you could feel an energy that hasn't been there for John's past events for local office.  Everyone who is anyone in the Fairfax County Democratic universe was there.

    As I've commented before and told people here on the ground in person, I had been looking forward to a "quiet" year of not doing much campaign work, thinking we'd have Wolf and Warner running in safe seats.  But Foust running immediately puts me into action as he's my own county supervisor and I know him, and then Wolf retiring puts us all into overdrive for this cycle.

    This is a historical election locally, because this is the only time since the seat was created in 1952 that it has been open.  Ardent segregationist Republican Joel Broyhill won it originally and held it until defeated in an upset by Democrat Joseph Fisher in the 1974 Watergate landslide.  Fisher won reelection against McLean Delegate Vince Callahan (who held his Delegate seat, HD-34 where I live, for 40 years until retiring in 2008), who had beaten Wolf in the primary in 1976.  Then Wolf got the nomination in 1978 and lost 53-47 to Fisher.  Finally, in the 1980 Reagan landslide Wolf knocked off Fisher 51-49.  Wolf held it ever since.  So only three guys holding the seat for 62 years, and it was never open...it turned over only when an incumbent lost.

    This is our chance to take this seat and hold it with the best demographics Democrats have ever had.

    45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 08:21:02 PM PST

    •  It will be tough (0+ / 0-)

      Comstock will be the favorite if she wins the primary.  Foust will be the favorite if Black wins.

      32/D/M/NY-01/SSP&RRH: Tekzilla

      by Socks The Cat on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 09:33:22 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I'm one of the more pessimistic fellows around (0+ / 0-)

        And if Republicans choose a convention (which isn't unlikely) and nominate Dick Black (which isn't unlikely) this and maybe FL-02 (and FL-13) will be the only pick-up chances I'm optimistic about.

        19/Sweden/Wonk. Prefers discussing opinions to having them. Learning by doing.

        by Tayya on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 04:44:51 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  Wrong (11+ / 0-)

        This is my district, I'm on the local Democratic committee in my supervisory district (Dranesville), I know it well.

        Comstock will not be any kind of favorite over Foust.  It would be a pure tossup.  Foust is broadly popular, won his last election by far more than Comstock has ever won an election, and Foust's Dranesville District has a considerably larger population than Comstock's HoD district.  And there's very little difference in partisan lean, Obama carried both Dranesville and HD-34 very narrowly in '12.  Indeed, Foust is the only Democrat ever to win reelection in the Dranesville supervisory seat.  He beat an incumbent Republican in 2007, and it had been represented by mostly Republicans before then.

        Foust simply has more natural ability than Comstock to win crossover support.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 07:29:25 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  Good to hear (0+ / 0-)

      I especially like learning about the previous holder of the district.

      It's actually a bit surprising that Republican segregationist could win a seat on Ike's coattails as early as 1952. I know that district was carved out of Howard Smith's old district, so I guess it's not surprising a segregationist would win it in the '50's and '60's. I guess I just wasn't expecting the GOP to be that conservative in VA at the point in time.

      The only other district I can think of that had long term congress-critters is Texas's 4th. It has had only 3 congressmen for the past century 1913-2013 (Sam Rayburn, Ray Roberts, and Ralph Hall.  But of course it's had two open seat races in the last half century.

      Redistricting is an officeholder's nightmare because overnight it can change the makeup of his constituency sufficiently perhaps to cost him the next election." -Speaker Joseph Martin

      by lordpet8 on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 12:45:10 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  What's interesting to me is how conservative... (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        lordpet8, LordMike, KingofSpades

        ...NoVA was back then.

        It had become more purple, but with a reddish tint, by the time Doug Wilder won the Governorship in 1989.

        Now it's dark blue, and rural white areas that were culturally conservative but strongly Democratic have become dark red.  The difference is that NoVA's left turn is truly ideological, it was truly conservative decades ago.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 02:00:22 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  GOP segregationists in the South (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades, lordpet8, aamail6

        They existed in small pockets. Eastern TN and Western NC both were Republican areas post-Reconstruction, but they didn't actually differ meaningfully from other politicians from those states at the time. All of TN's GOP reps voted against the Civil Rights Act, of course.

  •  BeloitDem plays TV critic, SGU edition. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ehstronghold

    So I just finished watching Stargate Universe (and by extension, the entire Stargate franchise). I have to say that I have pretty mixed feelings about this last show. The first half of the first season was pretty subpar in my opinion. While it got substantially better from there, with some internal conflict and a few cool episode concepts, I couldn't shake the feeling that even at it's best, the show was basically a slightly toned down version of BSG with fewer interesting space battles. And while the drones in Season 2 proved to be an interesting enemy, I couldn't help but feeling that that whole plotline would have been better if they had just used replicators.

    Ultimately, the show deviated from the formula that earned SG-1 10 seasons and Atlantis 5 by failing to establish a consistent alien threat of galactic or universal import and taking a darker less humorous tone. While the result had enough interesting elements that I don't feel my time was wasted, I'm neither particularly surprised nor distraught that it was cancelled.

    I'm curious if anyone else hear watched the show, and if so what their thoughts are.

    •  Ditto (0+ / 0-)

      on all of that. I thought Chloe was completely useless outside of eye candy and giving Matt Scott a shagging partner.

      It's a shame Syfy went into the shitter soon after BSG ended and decided that making low-budget movies (Sharknado FTW) was the way to go.

      The Republican party is now an extreme right-wing party that is owned by their billionaire campaign contributors. - Bernie Sanders

      by ehstronghold on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 08:55:40 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  MD State Senate (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Skaje, DownstateDemocrat

    Today my Senator, Jennie Forehand, announced her retirement after 20 years in the Senate, plus 16 in the House.  Del. Luiz Simmons and ex-Del. Cheryl Kagan, who challenged Forehand in 2010, are likely to run; not sure if other serious candidates will.  District is safe D.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    Meanwhile, not truly elections-related, but Senate President Mike Miller now wants a legal marijuana sales and taxation regime similar to Washington State and Colorado.  I found this somewhat amusing, as just two years ago Miller vocally opposed marriage equality, though he ultimately didn't work to block its passage.

     http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    38, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

    by Mike in MD on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 09:42:46 PM PST

    •  You and I must be within a few miles of each other (0+ / 0-)

      Jennie's been my state senator my whole life. I've never met her myself, but I've heard nothing but very good things.

      On a side note, wouldn't it be funny if we lived on the same street, or even in the same neighborhood?

      20, Male, MD-8. Fan of University of Virginia athletics.

      by Danny Ricci on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 01:03:00 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Ate lunch with a SD State Rep (9+ / 0-)

    Not intentionally- On Amtrak, on which I have been traveling for much of the past 2 weeks, you get sat with other people for each meal. I was sat next to a state representative from South Dakota who said his son was a state senator from Colorado, who was running for Governor! From wikipedia, It must have been Don Kopp, father of Mike. He got into a bit of a debate over gun control with the couple sitting with us from Michigan. Was interesting.

    Ethnically Bostonian lifelong New Yorker

    by R30A on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 09:46:13 PM PST

  •  IA-3/U.S. Senate (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    BeloitDem, jj32, lordpet8

    The fact that David Young (Grassley's privately preferred candidate) was not able to gain traction with the GOP in the U.S. Senate primary may be a sign that Grassley will continue to swerve to the right with his voting record in order to stay in the good graces of the crazy people.  Grassley would be fine with everyone but Clovis because Grassley realizes Clovis can't get many votes in most parts of the state.  

    Young is an insider and not well known, but if mainstream conservatism and solid constituent services still mattered to a GOP voting bloc Young would have gained more traction.  

    I also expect Young to get nowhere within the IA-3 primary as well.  Brad Zaun and Matt Schultz have too much of a fanbase.  Other people will get in however so Zaun and Schultz would not be guaranteed anything.  

    IA-2 Born, raised, currently reside.

    by BoswellSupporter on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 11:18:31 PM PST

  •  How do I (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Danny Ricci

    go about acquiring knowledge of local politics like many of you have?

    •  I (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Gygaxian

      read the local newspapers/newsblogs. That's how I get my knowledge of local politics.

      The Republican party is now an extreme right-wing party that is owned by their billionaire campaign contributors. - Bernie Sanders

      by ehstronghold on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 08:28:01 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  well it depends where locally (0+ / 0-)

      you're talking about.

      I'd try looking up some blogs on the local sector you're interested in.

      Redistricting is an officeholder's nightmare because overnight it can change the makeup of his constituency sufficiently perhaps to cost him the next election." -Speaker Joseph Martin

      by lordpet8 on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 12:57:36 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  The way I started in Hawaii (0+ / 0-)

      read local newspapers, they often have decent coverage of local politics.  Go to your state's elections page and start pouring through election results.  Research various politicians.  Pay attention to close election results and try to delve in deeper.  Find someone else who is incredibly knowledgeable about local politics and just ask them lots of questions about things you've read up on, they can usually offer more insight (for me, it was a friend who has worked on a few campaigns and hears a lot more political gossip than I ever did).

    •  Best way is to start attending your local, county (0+ / 0-)

      level Democratic Party Central Committee meetings.

      They are open to any Democrat who wants to attend.

      They are the base organizing unit of the Democratic Party across the nation.

      You'll be able to speak with people who have likely been running that local group for years (if not decades). These are the people you want to talk to. They will know who each State and Federal office holder and upcoming candidates are/will be. They likely have a personal relationship with a number of these office holder/candidates.

      They can tell you everything you want to know, and probably a lot more.

      To find your local Democratic Party and where/when they have meetings (usually monthly, although attendance is always voluntary):

      Go to The Democrats.org

      In the horizontal main menu at top, slide over to ABOUT, and down that popup menu to the Dems in your State link.

      In the page which loads, pick your state from the drop-down menu at the top right. You should see the page resolve and show you something like this (which is for my state, WA):

      See the URL near the top there, that's our State Party website, it's WA-Democrats.org. Click that and then when the State page loads, follow the Get Local link on the State Party website and see links to County Party contacts, via a handy interactive map.

      Which gives me this, when I click on my County, Clark:

      It works the same for all States. You shouldn't have any trouble navigating to your local area contact information.

      Good luck and #GOTV!


      "I like paying taxes...with them, I buy Civilization"

      by Angie in WA State on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 01:25:27 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  From Comment on Kentucky this weekend (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, James Allen, Skaje

    Panel: Host Farrell Wellman, Al Cross from the Center for Rural Journalism, Jack Brammer from the Lexington Herald Leader, and Mike Wynn from the Courier Journal

    The legislature comes back to town- The main thing they have to do this year is to pass a two year budget. Al Cross think this session will be dominated by politics, given the GOP thinks they can win the House this year. He thinks the Senate GOP will use its control to try to push ObamaCare bills. Gov. Beshear will address the legislature on Tuesday, and then a budget address in a few weeks. Jack Brammer says he will address health care, a statewide smoking ban, education, and a bi-partisan bill for colon cancer screening, and "nods" to casino gambling and tax reform. Gov. Beshear wants to channel more money to education, which has been cut to the bone in the last few years. Al Cross thinks tax reform will go nowhere- Dems are scared of the GOP, and the GOP is scared of primary opposition. Speaker Greg Stumbo (D-Prestonburg) is making raising the minimum wage to $10.10 an hour a top priority and it will be given the prime designation as HB-1. It is also a priority of Alison Grimes. Dems think they can make this a good issue for them in holding the House, and bring lower income voters to the polls in a mid-term election. Rep. Mary Lou Marizan (D-Louisville) is also pushing a gender pay-equity bill. There is also a bi-partisan bill to combat the heroin epidemic, which Cross says has increased as prescription drug abuse has declined.

    Statewide Smoking Ban- Al Cross notes that a recent poll shows 65% of Kentuckians support s statewide smoking ban, with 29% opposed. He notes that five years ago, it was 48/48. He notes that Western Kentucky now favors it 65/30, which was skeptical of it in past years. He states that the only area it is close is in Appalachia, where smoking is the highest. Cross does not think that Dems in the House will want to touch anything they see as controversial, but it looks like Gov. Beshear will push it hard. Cross thinks many Republicans may take a libertarian view and want to leave it up to local business. Jack Brammer notes that there are not nearly the number of tobacco legislators as there were a few years ago. He also notes that 30% of Kentuckians smoke and it has the highest rate of lung cancer in America. Cross thinks that Phillip Morris is more worried about carving an exemption for the e-cigarettes. They spend more money than any company lobbying the legislature.

    Ballot Questions in 2014- To pass a constitutional amendment in Kentucky, it needs a 3/5 vote of both Houses and then a statewide vote. One by Speaker Stumbo to raise the sales tax from 6% to 7% for education. Senate President Robert Stivers (R-Manchester) immediately shot it down. There is also an idea to allow cities and counties to raise their own sales taxes. Republicans want an amendment to limit the power of the governor to issue administration regulations. Republicans are still smarting from Gov. Beshear using his executive authority to set up Obamacare and expand Medicaid. There is also the gambling amendment that the governor wants. Republicans may let it go on the ballot to turnout religious conservatives.

    The Bluegrass Pipeline- Which would carry natural gas liquids through Kentucky. The question is whether the pipeline can use eminent domain. The pipeline has met opposition in the Bardstown area. Another wrinkle- one of the attorneys for the Pipeline is Andy Beshear- son of the Governor and candidate for AG in 2015.

    Politics Nuggets- Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Vanceburg), the Tea Party favorite and ally of Sen. Rand Paul (R-Bowling Green) will not face strong primary opponent. Steve Stevens, who is President of the Northern Kentucky Chamber of Commerce decided not to run, after being pressured by party leaders. I think this may have been more of a regional split than ideological- the bulk of the district is in Kenton, Campbell, Boone and Massie is from a rural county on the eastern side of the River District. Also, Rick Perry will headline a GOP dinner in Murray on March 15. Mitch got Sen. Paul and Ag Commissioner James Comer to sign his filing papers.

    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

    by SouthernINDem on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 03:18:46 AM PST

    •  that's too bad about Massie (0+ / 0-)

      he's one of the most conservative folks in the House and it'd have been nice to try to cut his career short at the beginning.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 09:49:12 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Also, I'll be applying for study abroad in May. (6+ / 0-)

    Right now I'm leaning towards NC State as my top choice.

  •  A little self-parody (Minnesota style) (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bythesea

    Minnesota culture in a comedic bit about a fictional airline. (And most ELCA ministers actually speak in that kind of language, but the accent is a caricature.)
    https://www.youtube.com/...

    I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

    by OGGoldy on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 09:21:54 AM PST

  •  AZ-Gov: Steven Seagal considering. (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32, KingofSpades, James Allen

    Link.

    Definitely not serious, and the article doesn't quote any real sources, but an interesting tidbit.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 11:38:34 AM PST

    •  Well he has plenty of experience (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      geoneb, James Allen

      of speaking to state legislators:

      http://www.youtube.com/...

      That movie, by the way, is amazing. Hollywood basically gave Steven Seagal $50 million and let him do whatever he wanted with it. So he wrote/directed one of the most masturbatory movies ever, which is basically about how awesome Steven Seagal is, ending with that endless speech given to the Alaska legislature. Recall, this is an ACTION movie.

    •  Reminds me of this (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Darth Jeff, JDJase, itskevin

      Colbert Report segment about Seagal trying to form a gun posse to protect AZ schools.

      Seagal: I've put hundreds of thousands, if not millions of hours, into my weapons training.

      Colbert: I know what you're thinking, a million hours is technically 115 years.

    •  Minor surprise he's a Republican (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Gygaxian, itskevin, PassionateJus

      Seagal's only loud political noise for much of his more prominent acting years was environmentalism.  He even made pro-environmental action movies, one attacking coal mining in Appalachia, another as I recall on the oil industry in Alaska.

      I know he created controversy palling around with Arpaio in more recent years, but didn't realize he had gone this far.

      This makes me lose all respect for Seagal.  Arpaio isn't a mere border hawk, he's outright racist and xenophobic.

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 12:21:29 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Clay Aiken should run here. (0+ / 0-)

      Okay.  I'd hate for optics of the Democratic side being represented by Aiken versus Seagal.  But it would be funny as hell.

      What action star is Democratic?  Harry Hamlin?  Could just drop Tom Hanks in.  Forrest Gump has moves.

      The lady was enchanted and said they ought to see. So they charged her with subversion and made her watch TV -Spirogyra

      by Taget on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 08:28:34 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Matt Damon is a Dem, I think. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Taget

        He's talked about the importance of unions, clean water, and other stuff, and I think was against drug testing for welfare. He's in the Bourne Trilogy, so he counts, right?

        Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

        by Gygaxian on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 07:36:13 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  Schoking: Aaron Schock Outted (7+ / 0-)

    Color me unsurprised, but an out CBS journalist says Aaron Schock (R) is gay.

    Well, he doesn't say verbatim he is, he just makes it overwhelmingly clear that he's talking about Schock.

  •  FL-CFO: Atwater seeking FAU presidency. (5+ / 0-)

    This could potentially be big news for Florida Democrats:

    Florida Chief Financial Officer Jeff Atwater is applying for the presidency at Florida Atlantic University, according to an e-mail he has sent to his top staffers today.

    North Palm Beach Republican Atwater’s decision shakes up FAU’s presidential search as a Monday deadline for applications approaches. If Atwater gets the FAU job, it will open up the race for CFO this year and have implications for 2018, when Atwater has been seen as a likely candidate for governor.

    If Atwater leaves the race at any point in the next year, this could be a major pickup opportunity for us. There's a lot that could potentially happen, but it seems like, in the event he's selected as FAU's President, Atwater could handicap his eventual replacement on the ballot significantly--if he decides not to run before the filing deadline, Republicans will scramble to find a replacement, and a big-name Democrat could potentially decide to run. If he drops out after the deadline, the state party would name a replacement, and in a race with low name-identification, that could be killer.

    My hope, though, is that Atwater decides to drop his campaign before the deadline, which could persuade a bigger-name Democrat to step up.

    Currently, our only candidate is William Rankin, who doesn't have much of a profile: he worked as the Director of Asset Management for the Ohio State Treasury and was the Director of Florida's statewide 2000 census operations. He's probably more than qualified for the position, but he seems like he wouldn't go far as a candidate. The only other name I've heard tossed around is term-limited State Representative Jim Waldman. Waldman is currently planning on running for the State Senate in 2016, but he could run for CFO in 2014, and there's not really a downside for him. If he loses, he raises his name identification and can get in contact with some big-name donors, and if he wins, he wins. If Atwater is out of the picture, I have to think that Waldman would at least seriously consider the race. If not him, I have legitimately no idea who could run for us. I'm sure there's a former state representative or state senator somewhere who wouldn't mind running, but without a high-profile, big-name recruit, it's difficult for us to take advantage of the imminent chaos in the race.

    But that's just examining the implications for the CFO race this year. It significantly shakes up the 2018 gubernatorial election. Atwater is probably the best candidate that Florida Republicans have for Governor, and I would love to see him taken out of contention. Republicans will need a new gubernatorial nominee whether Rick Scott is re-elected or defeated, and I would hate for our nominee in 2018, whoever he or she is, to face Atwater. It's not as though he's a particularly well-known figure in Florida politics or to Florida voters, but he's more mainstream than Attorney General Pam Bondi or Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam, and he is from Palm Beach County; it would be unpleasant for a Democrat to run when one of our strongholds has one of its own running as the Republican nominee.

    19, FL-07. University of Central Florida student pursuing a B.A. in Political Science, future teacher, and hopeful presidential candidate in 2044. "The Republican vision is clear: I've got mine, the rest of you are on your own." -Elizabeth Warren.

    by Tyler Yeargain on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 12:31:16 PM PST

  •  Just an idle thought... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, LordMike, Taget

    Dungeons and Dragons turns 40 this year; I wonder how many elected officials played or have played it? I know there's a lot of actors (Vin Diesel, Wil Wheaton, Stephen Colbert, and a bunch of others) who played it, but I don't know of any politicians who have.

    Considering D&D's bad reputation in the 80s, ambitious politicians over a certain age probably don't have any record of them playing it, but a few of the younger ones might have. The WoW player that was elected last year might have played D&D.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 12:32:40 PM PST

    •  Who played WoW? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike

      Never played myself, but I've seen that game eat people's souls. I'm happy to hear of a survivor lol.

      Age 25, conservative Republican, WA-03 (represented by wonderful Congresswoman Jaime Herrera Beutler)

      by KyleinWA on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 02:26:52 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  State Senator Collen Lachowicz (D-Maine) (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike, Jorge Harris, KyleinWA, geoneb

        Wiki.

        She's also old enough that there's a good chance she played D&D back in it's hey-day.

        Also, apparently the guys who make WoW sent her a free copy of the newest expansion.

        Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

        by Gygaxian on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 02:39:08 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I find it interesting (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Gygaxian, James Allen

          that the only thing people outside of Maine know about my state senator is that she plays WoW.

          She's also solidly liberal and defeated an incumbent in 2012 by a 53-47 margin. The interesting thing about that is that she lost every town except her hometown, but she won her hometown with 64% of the vote, and that was enough to more than cancel out all the smaller towns.

          (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

          by ProudNewEnglander on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 07:12:38 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  To be fair, would she be as notable (0+ / 0-)

            If she hadn't been attacked for playing WoW? It's good to know she's a solid liberal, though. And that hometown advantage is nice; I get the feeling that a lot of first-time voters were angry enough about the attack on their hobbies/age that they gladly voted for her.

            Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

            by Gygaxian on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 08:18:22 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  That is true (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Gygaxian

              if you expand the definition of first-time voter to include people for whom (like me), this was the first general election in which they could vote.

              Another thing may have been that Lachowicz's opponent was not from Waterville, and the people in Waterville wanted to be represented by someone from their town. As I've mentioned before, this kind of parochialism is very widespread in New England.

              (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

              by ProudNewEnglander on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 08:36:20 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

      •  I play WoW. Lol (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KyleinWA
        •  It does seem interesting (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Audrid, Gygaxian, Possible Liberal

          To be honest, I love computer and video games and I don't really think WoW is bad lol. I just worry because I know two people who played it. One lost his girlfriend, many of his friends, and gained almost 90 pounds he was so addicted. I had to...part ways with one of my employees who was so addicted to WoW she missed 3 shifts was late 5 times in a month.

          Age 25, conservative Republican, WA-03 (represented by wonderful Congresswoman Jaime Herrera Beutler)

          by KyleinWA on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 08:22:30 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  I know a Michigan State Rep that played (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Gygaxian, KyleinWA

      While canvassing I bumped into a voter that said they played D&D together. When I asked my candidate about it, I got confirmation that the story was legit.

      M, 24, School: MI-12, Home: NY-18

      by slacks on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 05:55:01 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Per twitter, RT Rybak (now Ex-Gov of Minneapolis) (7+ / 0-)

    suffered a massive heart attack today. Hope he pulls through.

  •  MD-06: Well we knew Roscoe Bartlett had moved (9+ / 0-)

    out into the woods, but now we have pictures.

    No phone, no electricity, no plumbing.  Lol.

  •  MMJ and the electoral college. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    David Nir, Gygaxian

    I wanted to see if you could get to 270 using the 20 states + DC that have legalized medical marijuana, they add up to 204.

    D in FL at the SSP.

    by Avedee on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 02:00:47 PM PST

  •  Boston City Council President's race (0+ / 0-)

    down to Ayanna Pressley and Bill Linehan.

    http://www.masslive.com/...

  •  Yknow, now that Matheson is retiring... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32

    I wonder who will be the de facto leader of the Utah Dems? I mean, the Utah Democratic chairs always tried their best, but most everybody both within the Dems and outside of them paid more respect to Matheson and his advisers than the Utah Dem leaders. While I believe that Matheson will re-emerge as the de facto UT Dem leader in 2015 when he undoubtedly announces for Governor or Senate, that void will have to be filled. Will it be the Chairman? The Salt Lake County Mayor (who has clear ambitions beyond SLCO)? The Utah House or Senate Minority Leader? Someone else altogether? Will Matheson become a true "behind the scenes" leader while he waits?

    Just an idle thought.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 05:24:20 PM PST

    •  the de facto leader (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Gygaxian, James Allen

      will still be Matheson.

      25, Practical Progressive Democratic Socialist (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie!

      by HoosierD42 on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 12:18:24 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Well, sure. (0+ / 0-)

        But considering he amassed most of his influence by being the only Congressional Democrat from Utah for 14 years, it's possible that that influence could be temporarily diminished while Matheson builds himself up for a statewide race (I still think he's going for governor). He'll undoubtedly re-emerge as the Utah Dem leader once more, but my question was more "could another Utah Dem budge into that sphere of influence and garner a bit of lasting influence?"

        Also, considering that the state is his oyster now, I wonder which other elections besides his own he'll take part in?

        Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

        by Gygaxian on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 12:51:19 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  I published a new diary with maps for Washington (0+ / 0-)

    Like the state has the Democratic votes for it, the map is a 10D-0R map.

  •  RIP: Former NE State Senator Jennie Robak (4+ / 0-)

    who served in the legislature from 1989-2003, and is the mother of Kim Robak, who was Lieutenant Governor from 1993-1999 under Ben Nelson, was killed by an 88 year old driver in a grocery store parking lot.  

    http://journalstar.com/...

    I got acquainted to her a bit through her daughter, who was still active in Dem party functions back when I first started getting into Nebraska politics in the mid-2000s.

    28, NE-2 (resident), IL-9 (part-timer), SD-AL (raised); SSP and DKE lurker since 2007

    by JDJase on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 08:21:26 PM PST

  •  So Bill Young had a very sordid family life and (13+ / 0-)

    his 2nd wife Beverly is absolutely insane.

    http://www.tampabay.com/...

    •  It should also be noted that Young was a dirtbag. (7+ / 0-)
    •  And guess who's the daughter (7+ / 0-)

      of his ex-wife's divorce attorney! You may remember her has the Democratic candidate in 2012. May have also been the reason she was told not to come to the funeral.

      •  LOL Beverly & Bill Jr. were possible candidates... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades

        ...as mentioned in the news before David Jolly ran and concurrently Beverly and Bill Jr. demurred.

        I think now we know they were never serious choices, this story would've broken just as it has and either would've been toast.

        Bill Jr. for his part could've been considered innocent in all this if it wasn't for him slamming the original wife's kids on Twitter.  He's a piece of shit no less than his parents.

        I tweeted yesterday that as far as the late Rep. Young is concerned, he is a degenerate piece of shit himself.  Abandoning your own children is not forgivable.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 06:29:15 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  And slowly estranging them all over a secretary (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          DCCyclone

          Ingrate.

          "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

          by KingofSpades on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 07:13:14 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  Yeesh, and I thought Mitterand had a screwy (0+ / 0-)

      family life.

      And yeah, Beverly is a word I don't wish to utter.

      Beverly Young said her husband underwent multiple surgeries, including heart bypass surgery in 1996, without hearing from Terry Young [eldest son by Bill Young's first marriage] or his sisters. Over the years the congressman also had surgery for a slipped disc, a kidney stone and gallbladder removal.

      Terry Young said he and his sisters were told about his father's open-heart surgery only a couple of days beforehand and he wasn't informed of any other times that his father was sick.

      To Beverly Young, Terry has come forward now because he "is trying to get rid of his guilt for being a horrible son."

      "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

      by KingofSpades on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 09:14:53 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yes, she sounds *lovely* (6+ / 0-)
        "They are going to use the media to try to get back at me," she said. "It's been 30 years and it's a joke. He had nothing to do with them and he wanted nothing to do with them after he tried in the beginning. He would tell me to tell you they are not his family."

        Young even once claimed that he "never had a son named Terry," his wife said.

        Mrs. Young, 58, said she has wondered if her husband's first children resent her for being younger than they are.

        Asked whether any photos of Young's first family were included in the photo montage at his funeral, Mrs. Young replied: "Hell, no. Why would I do that? Why should they be? They played no part in his life whatsoever. Consider that courtesy of me."

        ...

        " … It's sad, that after thirty years (Marian Young) still can't accept the fact that he never loved her. … She attempted to make him stay in a loveless marriage by having her children, but once they were out of his home and grown adults he wanted to experience real love, life and happiness. And that's what we did. We did it when, where and how we wanted to."

    •  John McCain deja vu (0+ / 0-)

      So... Good news?

      I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

      by OGGoldy on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 09:29:41 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  The more I hear about Young's 2nd wife, (7+ / 0-)

        the more I think that her endorsement of Jolly means nothing. It could even become a net negative for him if this very ugly family affair drags out. The same goes for the other Republican in the race since it looks like the other Young kids (from his first wife), according to that article, supports Parker.

        "My friends, love is better than anger. Hope is better than fear. Optimism is better than despair. So let us be loving, hopeful and optimistic. And we’ll change the world." -Jack Layton (1950-2011)

        by Coco Usagi on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 10:10:46 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  To say the least.. (3+ / 0-)

      but that's what happens when you fall for a woman who would knowingly bang a married guy: The woman may end up having loose morals. (And vice-versa falling for a man who would bang a married woman.)

      Wasn't this the same woman who rudely disinvited a particularly famous Florida politician from the funeral? (Matter of fact, I think it was Charlie Crist, but don't quote me.)

    •  You (5+ / 0-)

      know after reading that article I have to say that while Beverly Young's devotion to her husband is admirable, she takes it way too far.

      I understand she always wanted to protect her husband, but lashing out at his first wife and saying she was in a sham marriage destined to fail and effectively disowning one of her own children because he endorsed Kathleen Peters goes too far.

      The Republican party is now an extreme right-wing party that is owned by their billionaire campaign contributors. - Bernie Sanders

      by ehstronghold on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 10:27:18 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I don't even think her devotion (6+ / 0-)

        is admirable. She sounds extremely manipulative, and claims to be speaking for her husband posthumously about any number of things, when even her son by Young is challenging her on some of them. And then apparently she wasn't even kept in the loop on the congressman's sudden retirement plans ("it floored me," she said).

        Doesn't seem like he confided in her nearly as much as she'd like everyone to believe. It's all about her, apparently.

  •  OH-GOV: Tea Party challenger withdraws (3+ / 0-)

    After announcing just Wednesday that he would challenge Kasich in the GOP primary, Ted Stevenot has withdrawn from the race.

    A conservative blogger found some tax problems that Stevenot's runningmate, Brenda Mack had, including passing bad checks and tax liens, although it should be noted she was fighting a rare form of cancer for years.

    link.

  •  Texas State board of Education (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, Avedee, Skaje, kleinburger

    So, last week I wrote and article on Dave Mundy calling for Texas Secession.

    He decided to respond by going to Burnt Orange Report's Facebook Page and call people names.

    So I documented it.

    Enjoy!

    http://www.burntorangereport.com/...

    SSP alumni, 29, Male, Democrat, TX-14 Elections Blogger for Burnt Orange Report. Collection of Texas elections diaries can be found here

    by trowaman on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 09:41:49 AM PST

  •  Who's ready for the east coast deep freeze (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32

    The coldest temps I've ever experienced in NC were around 15ish and they're forecasting single digits on Tuesday... so it's gonna be cold!  No snow though.

    •  It's too weird (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      psychicpanda, wadingo

      The one week I go to Florida during the winter is the week when it reaches 29 degrees as a low.

      For more election analysis and redistricting maps, check out my blog http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/ CA-2 (former CA-6) College in CA-37. Go Trojans!!

      by Alibguy on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 07:06:45 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  WATN: Cherilyn Eager, 2010 UT-Sen candidate (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SaoMagnifico, LordMike

    ....Is calling for an uprising because of gay people getting married in Utah.

    For those who don't know who Cherilyn Eager is, she was the female lead in the popular LDS-themed movie "Saturday's Warrior" and soon after filming that movie went off the deep end, became a Tea Party lunatic (thinks that the Common Core education concept is communist, thinks former UT AG John Swallow was innocent of all his wrongdoing, and now wants an uprising and for sheriff and random citizens to disobey the law), and ran for Senate once or twice.

    She also writes a hilariously insane far-right blog.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 12:30:18 PM PST

  •  My first post in over 4 months: (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, itskevin, jj32, GloFish

    ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

    by James Allen on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 12:42:53 PM PST

  •  NY-GOV: Cuomo to propose full day pre-K (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gygaxian

    statewide in his State of the State address.

    Cuomo wants to avoid a tax hike, and this could put the ball back into De Blasio's court, forcing him to accept the plan, even if it isnt funded the way he wants. It's not clear how much money Cuomo will allocate to funding this program.

    link

  •  Something that I've been annoyed about... (0+ / 0-)

    Is that here in Utah (possibly because of the convention system making it only necessary to introduce oneself to delegates), there isn't much info on any Democratic candidates for the legislature; I only know of a couple because I had known beforehand that they were going to run again, otherwise there is a complete blackout on information before the convention (and after it as well, in the case of 2012), I have no idea who is running for which legislative seats. There is a complete isolation of each legislative race to their individual delegates and the party insiders.

    I wish there was a database or website at least listing the names of who is running; I hate knowing so little about my state's legislative races, as I like to consider myself well-informed.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sun Jan 05, 2014 at 06:26:59 PM PST

  •  BREAKING: Liz Cheney ending WY SEN bid (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, wwmiv, Gygaxian

    Cheney dropping out of the race.

    link.

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