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Connecticut, the first state to exceed their March 31 enrollment deadline back on December 23rd, continues to keep their momentum up, adding at least another 12,000 people to their rolls since the 12/23 deadline for January coverage. The article doesn't distinguish between private plans and Medicaid expansion, so I've broken it out roughtly 55/45 for now to match their previous numbers.

This brings CT up to nearly 41,000 private enrollments and over 33,000 added to Medicaid/CHIP.

Many state residents are aware that enrollment is still open, as Counihan said enrollment through Access Health CT has remained strong over the past week or so.

"We're still doing a thousand a day," Counihan said. "I would have thought that, after Dec. 23, things would have really dipped."

That quote really says it all, although he does add:
He said he expects the dip will happen soon, but that it won't last long. "I think it's going to be a really slow January, then pick up in mid-February and March is going to be a zoo," he said.
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Comment Preferences

  •  The continued interest (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    weck, ItsSimpleSimon

    through the Dec deadline is interesting, but I suspect it reflects the overall dismal first couple of months.

    "In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” -Confucius

    by pierre9045 on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 09:55:52 AM PST

  •  Advertising (8+ / 0-)

    I suspect it has a lot to do with advertising - living in CT, I get constant advertisements for Access Health CT on Facebook, and have even seen them on Hulu and TV.  I've seen billboards, giant bus ads, etc.

    Advertising is probably a key factor in CT's success.  If you get the word out, people will come.  It would be interesting to compare sign up rates to advertising spending to see if that is what is making the difference (and I suspect it is).

  •  An impressive update from Oregon (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Satya1, Overseas, Vatexia, CoyoteMarti, IM

    “The meaning of life is to find it.”

    by ArcticStones on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 10:38:49 AM PST

    •  Please check that article. (0+ / 0-)

      It seems like those 60K people were enrolled in some other program back in 2008. It doesn't seem to be related to the ACA.

      •  That was kind of his point. (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ArcticStones, CoyoteMarti, IM

        Of course it had nothing to do with the ACA; it was in 2008, before Obama even took office.

        The point is that Oregon isn't inherently incapable of doing this; Oracle just screwed things up royally.

        •  The folks who run the Oregon (5+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          ybruti, Brainwrap, chimene, rsmpdx, IM

          social welfare agencies also screwed up because they tried to use the introduction of the ACA as a catalyst to create a new super duper all-in-one integrated system that incorporates all sorts of programs and benefits above and beyond the provisions of the ACA itself.

          Obviously implementing the provisions of the ACA were a significant enough challenge in their own right - witness the problems at the federal level as well as in 3-4 other states who seem to have stumbled badly. Adding on a 'Star Trek' super advanced rewrite of the entire social welfare system of the state was quite foolish. They set themselves up for guaranteed failure.

          KISS (Keep It Simple Stupid) is a good design principle to follow. From what I've read the Kentucky folks followed that strategy to success.

          I think there's shared blame over in Oregon. But still it's probably 80-20 on the side of the vendor being the bad guy. I hope they are doing some triage and simplifying the scope in order to get the basic functions up and running before the end of open enrollment.

          •  As I understand it, there is no outcome contract (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            rsmpdx, IM

            In other words, I believe that the sizeable delegation of Oracle IT engineers engaged in “fixing” the website – with no end in sight! – are essentially paid by the hour.

            It is also striking that Oracle’s CEO Larry Ellison and his team is refusing any and all interviews about Oregon’s website.

            Far better if “60 Minutes” did an in-depth interview on Oracle’s handling of Oregon’s website than fictional reporting on Benghazi.

            “The meaning of life is to find it.”

            by ArcticStones on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 04:23:50 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  No shortage of blame for Cover Oregon (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:


              It has been poorly managed by state officials, and poorly implemented by both Oracle and the state.

              Nick Budnick, The Oregonian, Dec 14, "Oregon health exchange technology troubles run deep due to mismanagement, early decisions"

              Dozens of interviews and the review of hundreds of documents and internal emails by The Oregonian reveal the roots of Oregon's headline-grabbing fiasco run deep:

                  Despite a consultant's warnings, the exchange's information technology project disregarded basic cost and management controls until a year into the work – until, arguably, it was too late.
                  The state entered into time and materials contracts with its contractors with no fixed price, reducing the state's leverage.
                  State leaders scrapped a plan to hire an IT general contractor to manage the work, choosing to oversee the project itself despite a consultant's finding that it lacked the expertise to do so.
                  Oregon made an enormous and high-risk bet on California-based Oracle, handing over the lion's share of the developmental responsibility to the giant software firm and paying it to date $90 million. In return, the state got substandard software code, repeated broken promises and perhaps the least functional exchange site in the country.

              I can't help it. I love the state of Texas. It's a harmless perversion. - Molly Ivins

              by rsmpdx on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 05:37:13 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Nick Budnick is the best source on this (0+ / 0-)

                He’s done very thorough investigative journalism on the Oregon exchange. I believe I’ve read all that he has written on the topic in The Oregonian.

                Budnick has done everything humanly possible to get comments from Oracle – short of camping outside Larry Ellison’s front door, or sneaking on board his yacht as a stowaway.

                Sadly, as it is, it seems Oregon is Ellison’s hostage. I would think he would have greater integrity, have more pride, and be less willing to display Oracle’s gross incompetence.

                “The meaning of life is to find it.”

                by ArcticStones on Tue Jan 07, 2014 at 12:09:17 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

  •  As people get their tax refunds, (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap, jj32

    it will surge again.

  •  This is a New Critical Phase (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ArcticStones, ItsSimpleSimon, IM

    This is probably the most critical phase for determining whether we will reach our 7 million benchmark.  If the enrollment keeps up at a reasonable pace of around 1.0 to 1.5 million a month nationally we have a really good chance to reach the 7 million target.  This is a really good start to achieving that objective.  

    Of course, by mid-January we will begin to get a really good indicator for how much enrollment will dip in January and February.  My bet is that we will easily be in the 1.0 to 1.5 million range based on the Massachusetts roll-out that actually showed fairly strong enrollment for ten months before surging in the eleventh month.  Although everyone focuses on the final month surge, enrollment still proved fairly robust during the months prior to the final month.  Consequently, it is likely that the enrollment data will decrease somewhat but will still remain fairly strong in January and February before surging again in March.  Only time will tell, however, so the data coming out right now is crucial.  

  •  Proud of CT (5+ / 0-)

    I am so proud of my state on this.  I suspect alot of it is because there were organizations working on a universal health care policy for the state for several years so much of the groundwork had been laid.
    Our Guv Malloy will face a tough re-election over gun control (maybe) and variety of higher taxes.  I do not like all he does of course (he is much too willing to throw tax money at profitable companies in the name of "job creation) but he deserves applause on this.

    •  Kentucky’s target: enroll 33.5% of its uninsured (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      I hope that Connecticut will sign up far more people than it has.

      Connecticut’s accomplishment is impressive, but the defined target was only 9.2 % of the state’s 359,000 uninsured. Let’s see Connecticut reach 33 %.

      “The meaning of life is to find it.”

      by ArcticStones on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 04:33:29 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  ACASignups cited in study by Theda Skocpol, (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap, ArcticStones, Mokurai, IM

    professor of government and sociology at Harvard University and director of the Scholars Strategy Network.

    The Best Way to See That Affordable Care is Moving Ahead - Look at States Really Trying

    Opponents have already pronounced Affordable Care a failure, while the national media exaggerates every glitch and tracks the story as a DC political horse race. But America's fifty states are where the real action is. Enrollments are adding up quickly in cooperative states, and lagging where top officials are engaged in obstruction or delay. Where good faith is present, the law is working well so far.

    Affordable Care's two pillars of expanded health insurance coverage are purchases of private health insurance plans on exchange "marketplaces" designed for each state, plus added enrollments in Medicaid programs administered by the states. To see where things stand at the start of 2014, SSN Director Theda Skocpol worked with preliminary state-by-state numbers compiled by Charles Gaba (aka Brainwrap), and benchmarked them to projections for Medicaid and exchange enrollments prepared some time ago by neutral experts. The results summarized in her new brief are striking and show that health reform implementation is unfolding very differently in various groups of states.

    Aside from the important citation, Skocpol's results are important in understanding where the ACA marketplaces are working, and where they're not. Follow the link above for a very informative graphic.

    I can't help it. I love the state of Texas. It's a harmless perversion. - Molly Ivins

    by rsmpdx on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 06:06:08 PM PST

    •  Wow, nice find! (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ArcticStones, rsmpdx

      Also, at least 1 entry has been created for all 50 states so the spreadsheet "Notes" links should all work now.

    •  Nice! But for a truly accurate picture... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      ...Professor Theda Skocpol needs to repeat her analysis after’s 1.1 million enrollments are broken down by state.

      I am convinced her analysis at that time, with truer and more complete data, will also be very revealing.

      “The meaning of life is to find it.”

      by ArcticStones on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 07:10:30 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I don't know if she is planning to update, (0+ / 0-)

        but I think her analysis would be pretty easy to repeat with newer numbers. It's not some formal, peer-reviewed study.

        Just take the numbers at given points in time. Compare the private enrollments to CBO projections, and Medicaid SCHIP to Kaiser projections. Break the states into groups by her classification and generate bar graphs.

        By the way, in case you didn't see the citation within the text of her brief:

        Data come from Charles Gaba/Brainwrap compilations through January 4, 2014; from the December 2013 Kaiser report on state decisions on exchanges and Medicaid; and from projections in Table 9 of the November 2012 report of the Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured.

        I can't help it. I love the state of Texas. It's a harmless perversion. - Molly Ivins

        by rsmpdx on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 07:22:26 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  I emailed Dr. Skocpol, including your (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Brainwrap, ArcticStones


        I'll keep you posted on any response.

        I can't help it. I love the state of Texas. It's a harmless perversion. - Molly Ivins

        by rsmpdx on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 08:48:05 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  Here is another story backing up that point (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      IM, rsmpdx

      Morning Break: Blue States Red Hot in ACA Sign-Ups

      An analysis of recently released Obamacare enrollment numbers suggest health coverage under the 2010 health law is expanding faster in states with Democratic leadership. The trend has some public health analysts asking if health disparities will widen in states where Republicans are in charge.
      Linking to

      Federal Data Show Health Care Disparities Among States

      and to ACAsignups. So that can go on the In the News page.

      This is quite pleasant to see, also, even though rather exaggerated:

      ACA Signups: the 538 of the ACA political newscape

      And we have yet more links of varying significance to report.

      Speakeasy forum: ACA signups top 5,600,000 refers to a dKos Abbreviated Pundit Roundup that leads with brainwrap's graph.

      From Savannah Unplugged:

      A wonkish look at ACA signups, state by state

      If you’re interested in following the course of the Affordable Care Act (aka, Obamacare), then you ought to be keeping track of changes at Charles Gaba’s site
      ACA sign-ups zooming....

      Also leads with brainwrap's graph.

      Middleboro Review blog:

      Saturday, January 4, 2014
      Impressive ACA Signups

      Daily Kos Recommended

         Kochs still spending big against Obamacare by Joan McCarter

          ACA Signups: MS, OH, NM, MA, WY & a major one from CA! by Brainwrap

      Woo. reports that Wonkblog cited us, and even suggests that ObamaCare might work. Maybe.

      Obamacare's December Surge Gets It to 26% of Goal

      Obamacare still has a long way to go to reach its goal. It's not impossible, not if it keeps up the same pace it set over the last couple weeks. But there's no guarantee that will happen.

      Also, none of this tells us anything about the percentage of young people who enrolled.

      December 13, 2013 4:25 AM
      Checking in on the First Obamacare Million
      By James Wimberley
      Facebook Twitter Digg Reddit StumbleUpon Delicious

      On November 28 I welcomed the first million enrollees under ACA, whether to marketplace policies or Medicaid/SCHIP. The post was based on the fragmentary data available at the time, brought together in Charles “brainwrap” Gaba’s invaluable running spreadsheet, with some extra tweaks and guesswork by me.

      Newsbusters: Exposing and Combating Liberal Media Bias

      Sarah Kliff Skips P-Word in Article Hailing 'December Deluge' of ObamaCare Enrollments

      That would be the word "paid", as we have previously discussed.

      Wall St. Cheat Sheet again:

      A New Year, The Same Obamacare Worries

      December 30, 2013

      As the Obama administration announced Monday morning, more than 975,000 people signed up this month for health insurance under Obamacare, pushing the total number of people who have enrolled in a “qualified health plan” through the 36 federally-facilitated marketplaces since their October 1 launch to more than 1.1 million. In addition, calculations conducted by Brainwrap’s Charles Gaba, show that the most recently available numbers published by state-based exchanges put enrollments made through the marketplaces created by those states and the District of Columbia totaled around 2 million. Plus, nearly 4 million people will be newly covered thanks to the law’s expansion of Medicaid.
      The Wire
      Dec 26, 2013 12:20PM ET / Politics
      A Lot of People Signed Up for Obamacare at the Last Minute
      Charles Gaba (a.k.a "Brainwrap," who's been recording and mapping sign-ups for the past 3 months) estimates that since Obamacare's debut, about 5.8 million people have signed up for private insurance or qualified for Medicaid. (Obviously more people are insured through Medicaid — about 4 million.) But the ACA still has a long way to go: In 2012, 47 million non-elderly Americans were uninsured.

      Viewpoints: Rethinking What Health Insurance Should Cover; Sen. Johnson Suing Over Congressional Health Plan; Medicaid's Unsung Success

      Links to LA Times story

      Medical Daily Dec 30, 2013 06:08 PM EDT

      1.1 Million Americans Signed Up For Obamacare; Majority Enrolled In Days Leading Up To Deadline

      Washington Post again:

      Health-insurance sign-ups on U.S. exchange top 1.1 million in initial enrollment period

      By Juliet Eilperin and Sarah Kliff, Published: December 29

      Roughly 850,000 people have enrolled through the state-run exchanges, according to Charles Gaba, a Web designer tracking enrollment numbers.
      Reprinted in Tampa Bay Times, Dallas Morning News, and no doubt elsewhere.

      Healthrender: Health News, Trends, and Information

      We Still Don’t Know Key Obamacare Demographic Data

      Obamacare in Full Effect
      Talking Points Memo, Dec. 31, 2013:

      Where Does Obamacare Stand?

      As noted, more than 1.1 million people have signed up via the federal exchange site. But that doesn't include people who've enrolled through the 14 state exchange sites which have generally done a better job (especially in October and November) signing people up. One person collecting this data is Charles Gaba. He's maintaining an incredibly helpful data set compiling the enrollments released in dribs and drabs from these 14 states. That number currently stands at just under 1 million enrollees. That puts the total number of enrollees at probably a bit under 2.1 million.

      According to Gaba (and this is consistent with other estimates I've seen) just over 4 million people have gained coverage via Medicaid expansion (which is obviously skewed greatly by the geography of which states did and didn't opt in). That brings the new people with care to just over 6 million. Gaba also notes this June 2012 piece in Money, which notes that 3.1 million young adults had gained coverage under the part of Obamacare which requires children be allowed to stay on their parents plans until their 26th birthday.

      Mortgage Grapevine, Jan. 7, 2014
      Political: Obamacare has failed? Sure, whatever you say.........
      For those that have difficulty with graphs and tables and/or have no use for actual facts please feel free to post the usual nonsense.

      OK, now I'm down to blog posts and shoutouts from brainwrap's Web hosting customers telling their own health care stories, so I'll leave it there.

      Ceterem censeo, gerrymandra delenda est

      by Mokurai on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 11:51:19 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Wow! We have 16 solid links (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap, ArcticStones

    to stories referencing ACAsignups on the new In the News page at ACAsignups, going back to December 10, and currently ending with the one in this Diary. That's way more than I saw in the Diaries and comments, including my own. National and local news and major Web sites.

    Ceterem censeo, gerrymandra delenda est

    by Mokurai on Mon Jan 06, 2014 at 10:14:32 PM PST

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