Skip to main content

Daily Kos Elections Live Digest banner
Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here.

9:27 AM PT: Special Elections: This was the big one, folks. Johnny wraps it up:

Virginia SD-33: A little snow didn't hamper Democratic efforts to hold this seat. Jennifer Wexton easily dispatched Republican John Whitbeck by a 53-37 margin. Republican-turned-independent Joe May pulled in the remaining 10 percent.
With this win, Democrats will retake control of the Virginia state Senate, assuming that Lynwood Lewis' nine-vote lead in the 6th District special election holds up in the upcoming recount.

9:58 AM PT: MT-Sen: The Senate will hold a confirmation hearing on Sen. Max Baucus' nomination as ambassador to China on Tuesday, meaning that Gov. Steve Bullock will soon need to tap a replacement for the incumbent. (Baucus is a lock for confirmation, especially in these post-filibuster days.) Bullock's been tight-lipped about whom he might appoint, but Lt. Gov. John Walsh, who is already running to succeed Baucus, is a very plausible option. If that happens, Walsh's primary opponent, ex-Lt. Gov. John Bohlinger, says he'll "give serious thought to withdrawing from the race" because he thinks it would be "almost impossible to win" under such circumstances.

10:19 AM PT: MA-Gov: MassInc's new poll of the Massachusetts governor's race is definitely weird. State Attorney General Martha Coakley is beating 2010 GOP nominee Charlie Baker by 10 points, which seems reasonable, but her margin is just 39-29, so there are a lot of undecideds. The matchups with other Democrats get even crazier on the undecided front, though. Baker leads state Treasurer Steve Grossman 33-23, former Medicare administrator Don Berwick 36-13, former Homeland Security official Juliette Kayyem 37-15, and pharma exec Joe Avellone 36-13. Suffice it to say that no one will be pulling in the teens on Election Day.

11:50 AM PT: FL-Gov: According to PPP's new Florida poll, the race for governor just got a whole lot tighter. PPP now has ex-Gov. Charlie Crist edging GOP incumbent Rick Scott by just a 43-41 margin, down from 50-38 in September. What's changed since then is that Crist officially declared his entry into the race and Scott started hammering him with negative ads, driving down Crist's favorables from 43-42 to 36-46. Meanwhile, Republicans have started rallying around Scott. All of this is as you'd expect—it just took a while to get set started, and these developments certainly show that Crist was right to wait as long as he reasonably could before joining the race.

The problem is that Scott has infinity money and quite a lot of time left on the clock, so he can keep pushing this trend forward. Crist will definitely be outgunned, and while his fundraising has been strong enough that he'll be able to fight back, he can't really start spending big now. Crist has to hope that Scott, like Meg Whitman in the 2010 California governor's race, ultimately hits a wall with his free-spending ways, giving Crist a chance to get his message out in the final phase of the campaign. Fortunately, Scott's still quite unpopular—his job approval stands at 34-51, not too different from his 33-55 mark last time—so Crist may yet get his shot.

11:56 AM PT: P.S. PPP also has early numbers on the attorney general's race, where it looks like Republican incumbent Pam Bondi could face a competitive battle for re-election. She leads Democrats George Sheldon and Perry Thurston 37-34 and 37-35, respectively.

12:04 PM PT: Georgia: Unlike the lunatics who run the New York legislature, Georgia lawmakers have done the sensible thing in response to a federal judge moving the state's federal primaries earlier: They've consolidated all state and local primaries on the same day, May 20. New York is still slated to have two separate primaries: one for federal races in June and one for all others in September. A ridiculous waste of money.

12:09 PM PT: The review will take place Monday, though since all the voting machines involved were electronic, it's mostly a matter of double-checking to make sure there were no transcription errors when votes were recorded. However, some paper ballots were in fact cast, so some undervotes may yet emerge.

1:13 PM PT: ID-02: The National Journal's Shane Goldmacher sheds some light on the political activities of the American Dental Association, a strange group that spreads its cheddar on both sides of the aisle. But the ADA's prime focus is on electing dentists to Congress, on the theory that fellow tooth-yankers will look out for their own. This has actually worked well with Republican Rep. Paul Gosar of Arizona, who has often provided a friendly huff of nitrous on behalf of dental interests (and explains that he came up through the world of "grassroots dentistry," which I hope means something different from what it sounds like).

Now the ADA is busy helping Idaho Rep. Mike Simpson, who faces a challenge from attorney Bryan Smith in the GOP primary. Simpson was also a dentist before entering politics, but unlike Gosar, he's never made much of an effort to reach out to the industry. With his career on the line, though, that's changing: The ADA has already spent five figures on Simpson and promises "to raise as much as we can for him."

1:37 PM PT: MA-06: Former state Sen. Richard Tisei, who came very close to defeating Democratic Rep. John Tierney last year and had long been exploring a rematch, has finally made it official. Without context, though, that narrow loss looks more promising than it was, because if anything, Tisei blew the race. A late NRCC internal showed him up 12 points, and his final ad was a premature victory lap featuring nothing but waves lapping at an ocean shore.

This time, Tierney is a little bit further removed from the ethical allegations related to his wife's conviction for tax evasion (to which he was never linked). However, Tierney's also contending with a double-barreled primary challenge of his own. On the right, he faces Marine vet Seth Moulton, who has described himself as "fairly centrist." On the left, there's attorney Marisa DeFranco, who tried to out-progressive Elizabeth Warren in 2012 but didn't make it on to the ballot.

And if Tierney survives the renomination process, he'll then have to contend with the potential falloff in midterm voter turnout that dogs so many Democrats. It also doesn't help that he sits in the least blue district in the state, thanks to a less-than-stellar gerrymander by statehouse Democrats. So despite Tisei muffing what looked like a sure thing last cycle, Tierney will definitely face another difficult race.

1:40 PM PT: MD-Gov: Despite flirting with a late bid for governor, Democratic Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger has decided to stay put. That leaves Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown, state Attorney General Doug Gansler, and Del. Heather Mizeur to duke it out for the Democratic nomination.

2:11 PM PT: AZ-01: In response to a recent House Majority PAC ad defending Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, the NRCC is firing back with one of their own, backed by a small $25,000 buy. The Republican spot derides HMP's claim that Kirkpatrick "blew the whistle" on the failings of the Obamacare website, citing an Arizona Republic piece that points out that Kirkpatrick didn't issue a statement until six weeks after the site launch.

2:16 PM PT: NC-06: Even though North Carolina's open 6th District leans heavily Republican, Democrats have landed an elected official interested in giving the race a go, Guilford County Commissioner Bruce Davis. Republicans running include Greensboro City Councilman Zack Matheny, Rockingham County District Attorney Phil Berger, Jr., and a couple of clergymen.

2:30 PM PT: NM-02: Rep. Steve Pearce's new memoir is just what Republican leadership was hoping for in rebranding their party to appeal more to women:

"The wife is to voluntarily submit, just as the husband is to lovingly lead and sacrifice," he writes, citing the Bible. "The husband’s part is to show up during the times of deep stress, take the leadership role and be accountable for the outcome, blaming no one else."

2:41 PM PT: FL-13: The fire is already red hot in the Florida special election to replace the late Rep. Bill Young. The NRCC is joining the race with a $230,000 buy (part of reported $725,000 overall campaign), backing a spot bashing Democrat Alex Sink for supporting Obamacare and for allegedly favoring higher taxes. The narrator also rather snidely derides Sink's ads featuring her father as "cute."

The DCCC, meanwhile, has raised the stakes, with airtime reservations now totaling $820,000, according to Politico. That's on top of the $650,000 that we previously mentioned the House Majority PAC says it plans to spend. And here's a likely topic for the D-Trip's next attack ad: The Tampa Bay Times has unearthed a 2009 lobbying report which shows Jolly advocated on behalf of an organization called  The Free Enterprise Nation, whose CEO supports privatizing Social Security. If Democrats can make that stick, that could be very toxic in a state like Florida.

2:43 PM PT: VA-08: Democrat Jay Fisette, the chair of the Arlington County Board, has ruled out a bid for retiring Rep. Jim Moran's seat. So far, a ton of Democrats have expressed interest, but no one has yet made the leap.

2:46 PM PT: OK-05: With Rep. Jim Lankford's entry into the Senate special election for Tom Coburn's seat, three Republicans are already looking to succeed him in the 5th District: Corporation Commissioner Patrice Douglas, state Sen. Clark Jolley, and former state Sen. Steve Russell. Emily Cahn also mentions three other possible contenders: Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett, state Sen. David Holt, and state Rep. Tom Newell.

2:49 PM PT: NE-Sen: As he rocks side-to-side in an office chair, Republican Ben Sasse brags that he's "one of the few, it seems, who read and studied Obamacare's 2,300 pages" in a new TV ad. The spot then features a National Review cover touting Sasse as "Nebraska's Obamacare nemesis." Sasse's campaign isn't divulging the size of the buy.

2:57 PM PT: FL-19: Values Are Vital, a super PAC backing ex-state Rep. Paige Kreegel in his bid to unseat Rep. Trey Radel in the GOP primary, is taking aim at another (potential) candidate, state Senate Majority Leader Lizbeth Benacquisto. Benacquisto hasn't formally declared her entry yet but she's been airing ads to puff up her name recognition. The PAC's spot lambastes her for "running for Congress" while actually "pretending to run for re-election to the Florida Senate" and accuses her of spending money that would be "illegal" in a congressional race. The Republican Party of Florida is pissed about the accusations and has demanded that TV stations remove the Values Are Vital ad.

4:32 PM PT (David Jarman): KY-Sen: Never mind that whole trying to repeal Obamacare thing, because Mitch McConnell would like you to know that he's actually a big fan of helping sick workers. His new ad (running in both 30- and 60-second versions, with a "six figures" buy statewide), and features a testimonial from a man who had throat cancer who benefited from McConnell-backed cancer screening efforts. Alison Lundergan Grimes's campaign, however, pointed out that McConnell is not only recycling this ad from his 2008 campaign (including using the same worker), but also that he took years to take any action to help workers sickened at the Superfund site where his endorser worked.

McConnell may be playing the faux-compassion card a little too early in the game, though, because he still has to get through a primary with a tea partier, Matt Bevin, before he can face off against Grimes in the general. Further complicating matters, FreedomWorks endorsed Bevin on Tuesday. Now FreedomWorks endorsements have often been worth about as much as the paper they're printed on, but in this case, they're promising they may spend as much as $500,000 on Bevin's behalf. Given that Bevin can self-fund, too, he won't lack for money in his primary challenge.

4:57 PM PT: 4Q Fundraising:

MS-Sen: Chris McDaniel (R): $500,000 raised, $350,000 cash-on-hand

OR-Sen: Jason Conger (R): "Conger said in a fundraising invitation that he had raised $200,000 but in an interview Tuesday he said he didn't know if that total covered the last quarter of 2013 or the amount he has raised until now."

PA-Gov: Tom Corbett (R-inc): $6.8 million raised (in 2013), $7.5 million cash-on-hand

CA-15: Eric Swalwell (D-inc): $270,000 raised

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (4+ / 0-)

    Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

    by David Nir on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 06:00:14 AM PST

  •  Congratulations to VA Dems (6+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ProgMD, bythesea, wadingo, JGibson, TofG, DCCyclone

    For winning control of the State Senate! Speaking of which, what happened with that hearing Lynwood Lewis was talking about yesterday on his Facebook page? Is the recount scheduled yet?

    Gay suburbanite in NJ-11

    by interstate73 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 06:07:39 AM PST

    •  Don't celebrate yet (5+ / 0-)

      There's a recount left. But unless something goes wrong there, there'll hopefully be a big fiesta at Casa McAuliffe.

      19/Sweden/Wonk. Prefers discussing opinions to having them. Learning by doing.

      by Tayya on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 06:21:55 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Recount for VA State Senate 33 (0+ / 0-)

        If you're talking about Jennifer Wexton, in this case, she won by double digits so it's highly unlikely much if any of the recount will give the Republican candidate much traction.  Recounts are generally more game changers in narrow elections where one candidate leads another by just a few hundred or so votes (maybe 1,000).

        There's another state senate election recount going on, I think.

        •  They're talking about SD-06 (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen, JGibson, wadingo

          where the Dem leads by 9 votes.  But that area uses touch screens so a recount changes next to nothing.

          “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

          by KingofSpades on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 09:30:50 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  SD-06 one to determine who controls VA State Sen? (0+ / 0-)

            If this is the case, then yes, the Democratic candidate who leads by 9 votes is certainly not going to win right away.  Anyone who leads by just that few votes isn't going to get off easily.  Just look at the Minnesota U.S. Senate election in 2008.

    •  VA Dems don't officially have control of State Sen (0+ / 0-)

      The election Jennifer Wexton won, even if there's a recount, will still likely favor her as she won the election by double digits.  Recounts typically don't change the results that much unless a candidate wins by just a few hundred or a thousand votes.

      There's another VA State Senate election I think that went on last evening or so but that's the one where the recount may make the difference overall.

  •  what about the RI Dem primary yesterday? (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gygaxian, gabjoh, nimh

    Was the Dem who won the progressive Dem?

    •  very hard to tell much about the candidates (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gabjoh, nimh

      the guy who won seems pretty much the insider favorite. was endorsed by the (kinda conservadem-ish IIRC) previous holder of the seat as well as House Speaker Fox, who is liberal but very establishment.

      Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

      by sapelcovits on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 07:34:02 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  PA SD-46 (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bjssp, TofG, Adam B, KingofSpades, DCCyclone

    St. Sen. Tim Solobay is getting a challenge from Camera Bartoletta, who is described as a PTA vice-president and small business owner (the small business seems to be this web-based cooking show).  She's not a top tier challenger and Solobay is a skilled politician but she does seem charismatic and may be able to self-fund to a degree.

    SD-46 is the extreme SW corner of the state and basically the definition of Demosaur territory that swung hard against Obama (Romney won it with 54%); Casey and Kane both won it though and if there's going to be any hope at all of taking the PA Senate this seat is a must hold.

    •  Good to see Republicans moving beyond impeachment. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades

      Or maybe not?

      http://www.wnd.com/...

      These type of things are always better reported on by WND, but the St Pete's newspaper article.

      http://www.tampabay.com/...

      No doubt good news for the fundraising efforts of his Democratic opponent, Dwight Dudley.  Since no Republican opponent has been mentioned in any articles is it safe to assume he's the only Republican in the race so far?

      The lady was enchanted and said they ought to see. So they charged her with subversion and made her watch TV -Spirogyra

      by Taget on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 07:22:44 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  This guy is a fucking moran (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades
        "He should be executed for treason," Black said. "I think the appropriate punishment is death. They killed Benedict Arnold. (Obama) shouldn't be allowed to kill Americans without a trial."
        Aside from the fact that Obama hasn't done anything near treason or the fact that calling for a president is just WRONG, this fucking moran doesn't even know our history.  Benedict Arnold wasn't executed.  He switched sides, led the British army in battles until the end of the war, including in Groton CT which was where he came from and then after the war ended he went to England where he lives until 1801.  

        But it's not surprising.  The GOp is really scraping the bottom of the barrel with these assholes

        Black, 31, of Pinellas Park moved to Florida in 2007 after practicing street evangelism in St. Louis and works as a taxi driver. According to his campaign website, Black entered politics in 2012 when he tried influencing the presidential primary.
        Not that I have anything against a taxi driver, but I suspect THIS particular taxi driver spends too much time listening to Rush on the radio.  If a 31 year old former street evangelical/taxi driver with no political experience is the best they have, then our future looks very bright.

        This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

        by DisNoir36 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 07:42:58 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Technically, Benedict Arnold wasn't a traitor (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Taget

          Everyone else was.

          You don't fight the fights you can win. You fight the fights that need fighting. -President Andrew Sheppard (D-Wisconsin)

          by Gpack3 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 01:35:29 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Well, he did betray the cause. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            JacobNC

            He went from being a loyal general to a turncoat.  It's not like he was a Loyalist from the get-go.

            “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

            by KingofSpades on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 01:40:23 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Benedict Arnold (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              KingofSpades

              was betrayed by the Continental Congress before turning his coat.  The inside baseball details are actually pretty fascinating.

              Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

              by benamery21 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 07:48:03 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

          •  he's what you call a double crosser (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            KingofSpades, jncca

            even worse.

            ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

            by James Allen on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 05:12:05 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

          •  No, technically he is the only sure traitor (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            HoosierD42

            Since he went from British subject to rebel to British subject, he was a traitor no matter what.

            Everybody else can be cut slack for their choices, but not Arnold.  He was a traitor.

            All the problems we face in the United States today can be traced to an unenlightened immigration policy on the part of the American Indian. -- Pat Paulsen

            by tommypaine on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:23:03 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

        •  Surprisingly.. (0+ / 0-)

          Huh - I was assuming that, for the GOP to be running such a nut and nobody, this must be some kind of ridiculously safe Democratic seat. But it really isn't. The Democrat, Dwight Dudley, won this seat 51% to 44% in 2012, and he's a freshman.

    •  "PTA vice-president" (8+ / 0-)

      I was PTA Treasurer at my kids' elementary school last  year, that's really the position you need to run for President.  PTA Vice-President doesn't cut it.  So my White House campaign will completely eclipse her race.

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 05:10:56 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  VA-SEN (6+ / 0-)

    well that didn't take long: http://thehill.com/...

    Managed small races in VA and DC. Worked political for DGA. Did some time at a super PAC focused on NJ lege races. Follow me @bharatkrishnan if you want to be my friend.

    by Bharat on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 07:44:09 AM PST

  •  OR state house: yes! (10+ / 0-)

    Ben Unger will run for re-election in HD-29. They also say Brent Barton will in the article in HD-40, and if so, I think that means all our incumbents in marginal districts are running. We held Unger's district from 2002-2010, only losing it when our incumbent ran for state senate. Needless to say Unger won it back for us in 2012, when it was about D+4 in PVI.

    It looks like all of our incumbents in tough seats are running. Meanwhile, 9/26 of the Republicans are not running for re-election, including two of the four who hold Dem-leaning districts.

    ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

    by James Allen on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 07:58:01 AM PST

  •  FL-misc: Crist still leads & Bondi's in tight race (11+ / 0-)

    http://www.saintpetersblog.com/...

    http://www.saintpetersblog.com/...

    Very encouraged by the AG poll. I really really dispise Bondi.

    NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

    by BKGyptian89 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:02:21 AM PST

    •  She is bad (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      kleinburger, DCCyclone, JBraden

      I don't care how you feel about the death penalty, what she did with her fundraiser and the death row inmate should be impeachable. Are there other highlights to her crazy profile?

    •  Also (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, bythesea, wadingo, pademocrat

      marriage equality favored at 47% to 44% against.  Medical marijuana supported 65% to 23% against.  Promising numbers on both fronts.

    •  Kind of disappointed by the Gov poll though (0+ / 0-)

      Crist's lead down from 12 to 2. Dont see how Scott wins if his 34-51 approval doesnt improve significantly, but still.

      Crist just hired Jim Messina and Teddy Goff so that's certainly good news.

      •  Has there been ads running? (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        nimh, JBraden

        What could otherwise be responsible for Crist's favorability drop? (Full write-up: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...)

        19/Sweden/Wonk. Prefers discussing opinions to having them. Learning by doing.

        by Tayya on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:28:38 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  I tell you why I'm not disappointed (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        madmojo, wadingo, jj32, JBraden

        Because Florida poll go up and down like this. You remember when some if those polls, and some where the very same ones from PPP showed Bill Nelson leading Mack by a good margin, then they showed him leading Mack by a too close for comfort margin?

        People know who Nelson is plus Florida is a big state, so not everyone is tuned into the race yet. The main important thing to take away from the poll is that Scott is stuck in the high 30's low 40's, and have bad re-elect and approval numbers. You still have those type if numbers in the year if the election, that's not good at all, and that really tells a lot about your chance at re-election.

        The AG poll, I really wish somebody strong was in the race to take on Bondi. Maybe somebody like Kathy Castor, or hell even Gwen Graham if she wasn't running for Congress, but it is what it is, and we'll have to roll with either Sheldon and Thurston.

        NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

        by BKGyptian89 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:50:45 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  FL-Sen 2012 (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen, wadingo, JBraden

          did see a lot of polling volatility.  Even if you throw out Ramussen's bullshit and Gravis' fake polls, the others were still all over the map, mostly understating Nelson's easy 13 point win.

          I'll always remember Rasmussen's July poll showing Mack leading the incumbent senator 46-37%.  Likely GOP?  Hah.  There were still some people using the "5 point rule" for Ramussen polls at the time...they would turn out to be 22 points off.

          •  The 2010 gubernatorial race was very topsy turvy (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            JBraden

            Just as their Ohio numbers look optimistic I think Scott is in a worse position than the topline suggests. Though obviously it won't be a walk. The most encouraging number here is the president being at 44-48 approval.

            "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

            by conspiracy on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 11:13:19 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

      •  Lets hope Nelson doesn't see this poll... (0+ / 0-)

        Or at least doesn't do anything else which is silly. Crist will be fine as a candidate.

        •  Yes and no (0+ / 0-)

          I hope he doesn't see it.  But he would be a better, and stronger, nominee to run against Scott.

          "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

          by Paleo on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 03:10:27 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  How is Obama's Katrina Affecting West Virginia? (6+ / 0-)

    By Obama's Katrina, I mean the PPACA, of course./snark over

    It's already reduced the number of uninsured in West Virginia by a third, which is a great accomplishment. Some of that is re-enrollment, but the Kaiser Family Foundation estimates that the Medicaid expansion alone will lower the number of uninsured by 75 percent in the state. Based on this reporting, we see there's a lot of hemming and hawing over this from both sides. Tennant says she supports it, while SMC has voiced her support for repeal but also said “'We are where we are now, and we have to figure out how to go forward.'” There's some difficulty in being in a state like West Virginia and being an ObamaCare supporter, to put it lightly, but I think this is easy for someone like Natalie Tennant to get behind.

    But how does this affect SMC? If you're Tennant, do you start hammering her about being part of the party that wants to do away with a large part of the law, if not the whole thing, and in many cases can't agree on a comprehensive replacement? If not that, then what? I think Tennant has an opening here, and I hope she can use it to begin to narrow the race. Unlike others here, I don't think this one can be written off so quickly.

    You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

    by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:05:57 AM PST

    •  Would love to (0+ / 0-)

      discuss this in the policy thread. Short 'n simple is, Dems need to go balls to the walls on Obamacare. No hemming and hawing on it. Bet the farm, just like the Republicans did with their repeal mantra.

      TX-17 (Bill Flores-R), TX Sen-14 (Kirk Watson-D), TX HD-50 (TBD - Likely Celia Israel-D)

      by Le Champignon on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:40:54 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Is it better for the policy thread? (0+ / 0-)

        I figured it was okay to post here since we're talking about tactics, but maybe I am wrong.

        You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

        by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:46:40 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I (0+ / 0-)

          think this is okay because you're talking about how Tennant and SMC would campaign on this issue, but you're pretty close to the line.

          The Republican party is now an extreme right-wing party that is owned by their billionaire campaign contributors. - Bernie Sanders

          by ehstronghold on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:49:57 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Let's hope I end up (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            wadingo, ehstronghold

            more like that French figure skater that used to piss off the judges by doing backflips than Tonya Harding, right?/#maybeineedsomenewreferences

            You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

            by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 09:21:03 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  I think you're all right (0+ / 0-)

              policy and horse race politics often go very hand-in-hand.  And the concept that Dems need to stop being such whimps about it is very important to our electoral prospects.  Especially since the MSM seems reluctant in reporting all the positivies of the ACA, then it's clearly the Dem's job.

              What I'd say when it comes to WV is who the eff knows.  Even their governor, a Democrat, is acting like a moron when saying, "I'm not a scientist so don't ask me if you should drink the water."  That type of statement clearly indicates that WV is a classic case of being anti-science and anti-reality.  There is a damn good reason this state was as strong Democratic as they come, and that's because our economic policies help them.  But they've gone the other way because of de-alignment oriented issues and no longer vote in their economic interests, unless of course it has to do with coal.  (Although, one can argue that becoming pigeon holed into a single economic sector and embracing that is not in their economic best interests.  Michigan is also in this camp.)

              So to bring up the ACA and say hey dumb asses, you now have insurance, they may not be receptive to that, even if they are better off now.

    •  WV (9+ / 0-)

      Tennant has a bunch of other votes to beat up Capito over, such as the Ryan plan. I don't think she should raise the ACA issue, even in the form of an attack ad such as "Capito voted repeatedly to deprive tens of thousands of West Virginians of health insurance". She could use something like that to counter Capito's attacks, but she probably doesn't want to make the ACA the big issue in the campaign.

      SSP poster. 44, CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

      by sacman701 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 09:25:10 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  True, but it seems like Tennant will definitely (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wadingo, sulthernao, nimh

        be criticized over ACA. When she is, hopefully, she responds forcefully, pointing out the Medicaid expansion, how many people it has helped in WV and that repeal of the law means those people will be left without insurance. That might actually put Capito on the defense.

      •  I figure it'll come up regardless. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        sulthernao

        And anyway, didn't Greenberg and others suggest going on the offensive in regards to the ACA?

        You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

        by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:01:50 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  DMN Issues Praise for Davis "owning" bio (11+ / 0-)

    Dallas Morning News says it's great Wendy owns up to some of her dates being wrong.

    However they have a sad that Wendy has politicized it into an attack on the Abbot campaign because it is disappointing when rivals in politics during campaign season do things that are political instead of concentrating on the hard-hitting issues like how long she lived in a trailer and what year she technically got divorced.

    "No, that's not what Abbott did," the editorial said. "No one is disputing that Davis worked hard for years and overcame obstacles that few people manage to overcome — singe mothers especially. Davis deserves credit for that. And she's right that a single mother's story of struggle is one that millions of women can identify with."
    Personally I think their hit piece (probably fed to them by Abbott's people) began to backfire after the initial sensationalism wore off and people realized what a nothingburger it was and how it began transforming into an attack on her as a woman.
    •  This (5+ / 0-)
      how it began transforming into an attack on her as a woman.
      No one has ever written a piece like this against a male candidate (nor will they begin to do so), therefore it is biased against her because of her gender.

      24 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

      by wwmiv on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 11:16:39 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  As Sao said last night (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingTag

      It's really disheartening that people attack journalists who write pieces that are (as far as I can tell) completely true.  And Davis's response that Abbott doesn't know the struggles of Texans was terrible.  I'm starting to think she's an even worse candidate than I thought, and I wasn't high on her to start with.

      21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
      politicohen.com
      Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal, not progressive. For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.
      UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city.

      by jncca on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:11:16 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  To follow up (0+ / 0-)

        Misrepresenting one's biography has happened before many times in politics, and Dick Blumenthal and Mark Kirk are both in the Senate after having done so so it isn't fatal. But the whole point of Davis's candidacy was to run a flawless campaign to build up the party, and this isn't it.

        21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
        politicohen.com
        Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal, not progressive. For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.
        UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city.

        by jncca on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:34:44 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I don't think this is fatal. (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          markhanna, nimh

          Far from it, in fact, and all the more so because I don't think it tips her into the "might now lose" category. Why? There weren't many signs she was in the "might win" category. Even if this shaves a point or two off of her victory, it still makes sense for her to run. And unless she runs the most incompetent campaign in history and/or 2014 is like 2010 on steroids, she'll help build the state party in the mean time.

          She hasn't been caught in some huge, ridiculous lie, and I think this summary is pretty decent.

          I don't think she's being unfairly attacked. Getting all the details right is expected for any politician. Reporting that she didn't do so is fair game, even if it ends up hurting out side.

          You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

          by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:42:37 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

      •  It might be completely true (6+ / 0-)

        and I'm fine with that. The problem isn't the veracity of the journalism - it's great journalism as far as it goes - the problem is that a piece like this would never be written about a male candidate. Unless and until males get the same type of attention, this piece was gendered and biased because of it.

        24 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

        by wwmiv on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:46:19 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  A piece about a male candidate's family life? (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          nimh

          Or did you mean something else?

          You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

          by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:49:24 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  A piece that implies it's scandalous (12+ / 0-)

            For your partner to have custody of your kid after a divorce. That's pretty unthinkable that it would be written about a man.

            You don't fight the fights you can win. You fight the fights that need fighting. -President Andrew Sheppard (D-Wisconsin)

            by Gpack3 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 01:57:58 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Which (0+ / 0-)

              part of the piece that you are referring to does that? I seem to have a blind spot for this sort of thing unless it's blatant, so perhaps it's me, but I didn't get that sense from the article in question.

              You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

              by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 02:14:37 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Nearly half of the DMN's story (3+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                askew, nimh, PassionateJus

                Is dedicated to how much child support Wendy paid and the circumstances of her child support payments, including quotes from her ex and an "anonymous" colleague:

                “Wendy is tremendously ambitious,” he said, speaking only on condition of anonymity in order to give what he called an honest assessment. “She’s not going to let family or raising children or anything else get in her way.”

                He said: “She’s going to find a way, and she’s going to figure out a way to spin herself in a way that grabs at the heart strings. A lot of it isn’t true about her, but that’s just us who knew her. But she’d be a good governor.”

                And this gem:

                “She got a break,” Jeff Davis said. “Good things happen, opportunities open up. You take them; you get lucky. That’s a better narrative than what they’re trying to paint.”
                Because women are lucky when opportunities open up. She was lucky to get in to Harvard. She was lucky to have a spouse that supported her (because that's so rare in a marriage)...I could go on.
    •  It was a disgusting hit piece (5+ / 0-)

      And now they saw that it didn't generate the type f response it want and it came back to backfire on them, they trying to look for a excuse, and say Davis is "owning" her mistake. It's obvious that they want their guy Abbott to win, and will most likely endorse him for the race.

      NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

      by BKGyptian89 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:39:12 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Where members of the House Elections Cmte (4+ / 0-)

    stand on HJR-3, the anti-gay marriage/civil unions bill. Committee will hold its hearing at 3:30 in the Indiana House Chamber. The committee is 9-4 GOP. Seven votes are needed to pass it. Speaker Bosma (R-Indianapolis) managed to find the committee with 2 of the 3 remaining conservative Dems in the House.

    Will vote yes (5)- Rep. Milo Smith (R-Columbus), Woody Burton (R-Whiteland), Kathy Richardson (R-Noblesville), Tim Wesco (R-Osceola), Jeff Thompson (R-Lizton)

    Leans yes (1)- Richard Hamm (R-Richmond)

    Undecided (5)- Rep. Terry Goodin (D-Austin), Kreg Battles (D-Vincennes), Casey Cox (R-Ft. Wayne), Holli Sullivan (R-Evansville), Ed Soliday (R-Valparaiso)

    Will vote no (2)- Rep. John Bartlett (D-Indianapolis), Phil GiaQuinta (D-Ft. Wayne)

    http://www.indystar.com/...

    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

    by SouthernINDem on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 09:31:21 AM PST

    •  2014 (0+ / 0-)

      Are they all up for re-election this year? The conservative dems might have no choice if so. If not, they might get away with a no vote.

      •  All House members and half the Senate (0+ / 0-)

        is up in 2014. Goodin and Battles seats are very conservative (though locally Dem), even among the Democrats in each district, and both barely survived 2012. Goodin and Battles are socially conservative, but good on most other issues, especially labor and education.

        In the Senate, I think only 1 of the 13 Dems there will be a yes vote- Sen. Richard Young (D-Milltown), who is in a rather conservative Southern Indiana district, where Republicans added more GOP voters in redistricting.

        "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

        by SouthernINDem on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:20:34 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Sad to see (0+ / 0-)

          that Democrats still defend tough seats, despite being knocked down to just 31 of 100 seats.  Just how bad is the legislature gerrymander?

          •  It is pretty bad (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Skaje, James Allen

            Though the GOP didn't really push their limits in Marion and St. Joseph Counties. One of the main ways they hurt Dems was to concentrate Dems in the medium size urban areas into single districts, and then cut up the rest of the area around the rural areas. They also paired 4 Dem incumbents in Lake County and drew 2 new GOP seats in the southern part of the county. I am not optimistic on gaining much ground this year, as Dem candidate recruitment was been absolutely awful. The marriage amendment on the ballot should make it easier to hold HD-87 and HD-92 in Marion County, where Dems made two pickups in 2012, but where the GOP thought a dip in turnout could flip them back.

            "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

            by SouthernINDem on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:34:41 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

          •  Pretty bad (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Skaje, James Allen

            Republicans packed the urban Democrats. For instance, Fort Wayne has one district that sits at over 60% Obama, and thus has 3-4 others that all voted for Romney by double digits. Similar in Indianapolis and Gary, the urban cores are backed into very Democratic districts, leaving the surrounding areas divided up to provide a decent cushion for Republicans.

            "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

            by ArkDem14 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:42:30 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

      •  Didn't happen in MN (0+ / 0-)

        And we only one state senator vote to send the amendment to voters and two in the state house.  I can't think of anyone that lost off the top of my head.  Granted, I don't have my maps with me at work  ;)

    •  So instead of removing members (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gabjoh, nimh

      From the Judiciary Cmte, Bosma simply moved the bill to a different committee?

      Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

      by David Nir on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:53:45 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Correct (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wadingo, bythesea, nimh

        The Judiciary Committee was deeply divided on the issue, and the fact that Bosma switched Committees is a public concession that he knows he didn't have the votes for it to pass (and that deposing Committee members would've only poisoned the well). The Public Policy Committee was also reportedly an alternative, but that was also divided, and the fact that Bosma didn't move it to that Committee indicates he didn't have the votes there either. The Elections Committee is arguably the most socially conservative Committee in the House.

  •  Please support my campaign for City Council (9+ / 0-)

    I am a long time Kossack, (#57762, July 2, 2005) and I posted a diary this morning highlighting the rollout of my campaign web material.  You can see it here..

    At the risk of being redundant, I was told to post a link to the diary at a few DK places.  

    I appreciate you reading the diary and going to the website.  Constructive comments are appreciated!

    Thanks!
    Ken

  •  Terri Lynn Land and Dave Agema (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DrPhillips, KingofSpades

    Not sure if Gary Peters really needs the help, but I can't imagine this will help TLL in her almost certainly necessary outreach to nonwhites in Michigan.

    You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

    by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:07:10 AM PST

    •  Perfect for an attack ad (0+ / 0-)

      Just have that picture with audio of Agema making his homophobic comments and pics of racist newsletters.

    •  Incestuous (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gabjoh, bjssp

      The politics of West Michigan area really insular and politically incestuous.  Everyone knows everyone else, and they tend to keep to themselves...until they run for office.  This presents a lot of problems for them in state-wide races in that they come across as totally unaware of themselves and how they are viewed, and don't know  how politics work in the rest of the state.

      This is a long way of saying that I'm not at all surprised that Agema and Land have crossed paths, and I'm not surprised that Agema seems legitimately surprised at this pushback.  Conservative West Michigan Republicans just tend to be weird.

      I'd go looking at her connections with the DeVoses and the Hoekstras and the (insert powerful West Michigan Dutch surname).

  •  VA SD-06: Recount next monday (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Marcus Graly, KingofSpades, nimh, abgin

    The recount for the special election to fill Ralph Northam's senate seat is scheduled to begin next Monday at 8 am.  The district does use touch screens, but there are around 600 paper ballots, so with only a 9 vote margin a switch may not be likely, but could happen.

    30, male, VA-02 (resident), NJ-01 (my old ancestral home)

    by footfootfoot on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:13:46 AM PST

  •  MA-GOV: Now that Menino is no longer (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gygaxian, gabjoh, nimh

    Boston mayor, what affect does that have in this race, in both the primary and general? Would a Walsh endorsement be as significant? Could it GOTV as much as support from Menino? Does nothing really change much, with the change in Boston mayors?

  •  It would be maddening (8+ / 0-)

    if Democrats fail to take control of the state senate because of SD-06, as well as an embarrassment for Ralph Northam and the entire state Democratic party.

    While Democrats in SD-33 immediately recognized the importance of the special election, even coalescing around a candidate before it was clear what happened in the AG race, and ran a hard-nosed campaign, Lewis and the SD-06 Democrats were complacent and overconfident. Despite SD-33 being a district that has Republican roots and which is typically tough for Democrats in low-turnout downballot elections (exacerbated by bad weather), Jennifer Wexton won easily, seeing only minor fall off from MacAuliffe's performance. Lewis on the other hand, ran what Blue Virginia described as a bland, generic political campaign, started late, and seemed to expect broad regional support from his home base, conservative Accomack county. Lewis based his entire campaign on appealing to the center, despite the fact that the center is not a major political constituency at this point, and particularly not of importance in low-turnout elections where victory comes from getting Democratic voters to the polls.

    Let's hope Lewis holds on and Democrats dodge a bullet. Without the State Senate, it will be much harder to temper the Republican held House of Delegates.

    "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

    by ArkDem14 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 10:39:11 AM PST

  •  Yet another NJ poll (16+ / 0-)

    From Rutgers-Eagleton, Christie's favorability now 46-43%.  Two months ago it stood at 65-27% from the same pollster.

    He's finished on the national scene.  Without an argument for crossover support or electability, I don't know why any Republican would vote for him in a primary.

    •  They did that poll last week (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone

      I would have participated if winter vacation bus schedules weren't sucky.

      And remember, Eagleton tends to be off.  In NJ-Sen, they were too strongly in Booker's favor and in NJ-Gov, they were too strongly in Christie's favor.

      “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

      by KingofSpades on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:27:24 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Obama approval still in the low 40s (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, nimh

    A few more polls have come out, and the president's approval is still in the low 40s.

    The GWU/Battleground poll is particularly troubling. They have GOP 43-41 on the generic ballot, while having Dems ahead in October by 3.

    I said before, I wouldnt really start worrying until April. And there is some evidence that the president's numbers might have at least stabilized.

    But the problem, as I've said before, is I dont know really know what could boost the president's numbers quickly. Things like ACA and an Iran deal are going to be controversial for a while, even if they ended working in the long run. I think people basically know where Obama stands on things like the minimum wage, and agree with him, so that wont help increase his numbers.

    The only things that might help are a noticeable increase in the economy(although recent progress hasnt helped), or some legislative victory(like immigration reform).

  •  My next project (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    BlueSasha, Zack from the SFV

    Is going to be tracking the number of congresswomen by party over the decades.  I found a pretty good source that lists every woman that served in Congress by each session, but it's not really arranged by party, so it will take a bit of time to count up.  While it's well known that Democrats elect more women to Congress, I want to see how the rates have changed between the parties, and where we're likely to end up after this November.  In all likelihood, this will balloon up to the point of being a diary.  But for now, a cursory look at the 2014 elections indicates that Republicans are unlikely to have more women in Congress than before, whereas Democrats should add several to the totals.

  •  Killing bin Laden again? (5+ / 0-)

    I kid. In any event, I just think Obama's approvals are naturally going to settle in the low to mid 40s. That's where they've settled for years, outside of the elimination of one of America's worst enemies or a presidential election campaign. The economy has improved but so slowly and unevenly as to be imperceptible, people are frustrated about gridlock and will blame the president a bit more for it, and Obama has generally not been able to keep the public inspired and engaged, though I don't entirely blame him for that. If unemployment and GDP growth were at 4% he'd probably have 60% approvals, but I doubt we'll see either soon.

    Probably the best way for him to approach the midterms would be to fill the Federal Reserve slots with monetary doves, then stump the country about Medicaid expansion and minimum wage laws. Strategic deployment of pot legalization initiatives in certain states could help too.

  •  Kentucky SD-06 (5+ / 0-)

    Some good news here. Sen. Jerry Rhoads (D-Madisonville) is retiring and this is the heart of the Western Coalfields, and saw big swings against President Obama from 08 to 12. Dems have a solid candidate now in Bill Cox, who is the former Mayor of Madisonville. The only declared Republican candidate is Rep. C.W. Embry (R-Morgantown). If he is the GOP nominee, it is unlikely that voters in Hopkins County will go for him from Butler County, and Dems can generally count on a win in Muhlenburg County. I feel better about this seat. Rep. Ben Waide (R-Madisonville), who saw his seat destroyed in redistricting is not a factor in this race- he is running for Hopkins County Judge-Executive.

    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

    by SouthernINDem on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:03:38 PM PST

    •  I was just about to post that. (0+ / 0-)

      That is good news.  Dems also posted an opponent in HD-04 today.

      “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

      by KingofSpades on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:25:27 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Freedomworks backing Matt Bevin (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    itskevin, KingofSpades, JBraden

    is this news? I thought he already had the support of all of the worthless tea party-style groups.

    ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

    by James Allen on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:04:51 PM PST

  •  Florida AG (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, HoosierD42

    I hope Democrats nominate Perry Thurston over George Sheldon. Sheldon is too old to run for anything after attorney general. Thurston is in his early 50s, so he could conceivably run for senator or governor in the future.

    http://www.snappac.org/ Students for a New American Politics!

    by redrelic17 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:05:30 PM PST

  •  Todd Young (10+ / 0-)

    Last night, after an IU Dems leader meeting, we went down to an event being hosted by the IU Republicans. The featured speaker was Todd Young. It was small but had reasonable turnout of about 40 or so people (pizza quality...questionable). He knew ahead of his speech that we were with IU Dems after talking with us. He joked that if we pulled cameras out, he would be on his best behavior lol.

    His speech was a pretty standard conservative speech: inflating debt, printing money (referenced Weimar Germany and women with wheelbarrows of money), the ills of Obamacare, etc. During his Q&A session, I asked him if he supported bringing the immigration reform bill passed in the Senate to a full vote in the House (and if so, how he would vote). He said he supports Boehner's piecemeal approach to the issue, and that while he thinks immigration reform is crucial, it can't be hammered out in one bill.

    I talked with him for a couple minutes afterward one-on-one. He seems like a pretty nice guy on a personal level. He noted he was a bit introverted and that his run for the House was his first campaign, so he's still getting used to the nuances of being a pol. I asked if he had any advice about being more politically involved. He offered the same answer I've gotten from all other pols I've asked: getting involved with campaigns that you feel strongly about. Overall, I think it was a pretty nice experience even though we disagree on most issues. It's not every day you get to chat with a sitting US House member!

  •  MD Gov: Ruppersberger running for re-election (8+ / 0-)

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    This will come as a surprise to no one except maybe Dutch Ruppersberger himself. If there was any great outcry for him to get into the race, it was only within his own circle. And it just makes more sense for him to stay in the House. He's got a plumb committee position, and if the Democrats were to somehow take back the House in 2014 (doubtful) or 2016 (maybe slightly more likely) he'd be in a very powerful position.

  •  MI-14: Poll gives Brenda Lawrence the lead (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32

    in a 7 way race.

    She leads with 37%. In second is Rudy Hobbs with 6%. Bert Johnson comes in third with 5%.

    There are a lot of undecideds but 37% could win a crowded primary. She hasn't announced yet and I assume that most of the support is really soft, but she is in a good position if she runs a good campaign.

    The poll was conducted by Lake Research. They help with the GWU/Battleground Polls.

    M, 24, School: MI-12, Home: NY-18

    by slacks on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:18:19 PM PST

  •  LA SEN: TONY PERKINS!!!! (4+ / 0-)

    I dont have a link at the moment, but I just saw a tweet that Tony Perkins says he might be interested in running for Vitter's seat. I'm telling you, the Senate is the gift that keeps on giving.

  •  MA-6: Richard Tisei says he will make an (0+ / 0-)

    announcement tomorrow at 2pm. Officially getting into the race, I guess. Seeing this on twitter.

    •  At what point does this guy give up? (0+ / 0-)

      You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

      by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:44:07 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  When people stop giving him money. (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        bjssp, wadingo, James Allen

        And since he's the last hope for the MA GOP, probably not for a long time.

      •  Well, he only lost narrowly last year (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        bjssp, wadingo

        I dont know if his chances are better this year. I think the House Ethics committee dropped the case looking into Tierney. Or what was really Tierney's in laws issues.

        I've said before, as long as another shoe doesnt drop, I'm not sure if it's a problem for Tierney.

        And if he is defeated in a primary, then it seems like a lot of the basis for Tisei's campaign is gone.  

        •  Yes (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          jj32

          They did drop it.

          Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

          by David Nir on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 05:10:11 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

        •  Tisei's running b/c it's a midterm (0+ / 0-)

          Bad news for Tisei: Tierney's "scandal" is relatively old news now.

          Good news for Tisei:

          1. The electorate is likely to be very different than in 2012. In particular Lynn, where Tierney cleaned up, tends to have low turnout in non-presidential years, and skew several points more Republican. Ditto Tierney's hometown of Salem. In 2012 they represented 13% of votes cast in the district, but 20% of Tierney's votes.

          2. The libertarian pulled 16,000 votes, while Tisei lost by less than 4,000. The libertarian's probably not running again.

          I know plenty of local activists who expect this to be a nail-biter. It's the most Republican-friendly House district in the state.

          I'd not worry about the primary. The opponents are a centrist pseudo-Dem (he considered running as an independent not long ago) and a progressive Dem who managed to piss off the entire state Democratic Party in 2012.

          “Republicans...think American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people... And they admire of Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it.” Harry S. Truman

          by fenway49 on Fri Jan 24, 2014 at 12:53:13 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

      •  He Probably Will Give Up If He Loses In 2014..... (5+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Possible Liberal, gabjoh, wadingo, nimh, jncca

        He came within one point in a Presidential year, so from his perspective it's worth giving it another shot on a lower-turnout midterm year.

      •  He almost won last year (0+ / 0-)

        With coattails from Obama and Warren helping Tierney, and Fishman candidacy hurting Tisei. Without that Tisei would be in Congress now. Why not????

  •  Indiana Bipartisan Redistricting (12+ / 0-)

    In a session that has otherwise been marred by conservative ideology and partisanship, the Indiana State House just passed a measure instituting a bipartisan redistricting commission by a 77-20 vote.

    The commission would be made up of four members, each appointed by a leader of a legislative caucus, then a fifth appointed by the four members. The redistricting committee would be in charge of drawing maps for the state House, state Senate and congressional districts. The bill passed 77-20 after amendments meant to make the process as independent as possible and require a unanimous vote of the commission to pass the maps. Democrats offered both amendments.
    Speaker Brian Bosma supports the bill, which is likely why it got so many votes. Considering that Bosma is our de facto head of government, this should move through the State Senate and get signed by Governor Pence (and even if he vetoes the bill, Bosma can just ram it through again). Congressman Todd Rokita also tried to implement an independent redistricting commission during his eight years as Secretary of State, though he was unsuccessful at the time. I find it fascinating that at least one state dominated by Republican governance is openly giving away their ability to gerrymander the state's legislature and congressional districts. I still think bipartisan committees are very messy and inferior to nonpartisan committees (Washington and New Jersey are testaments to this), but it would still be a massive upgrade to the current situation, so I'll take it.
  •  Link to watch HJR-3 hearing (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Midwest Leftist, nimh

    in the House Elections Committee. It is being held on the House Floor.

    http://iga.in.gov/...

    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

    by SouthernINDem on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:42:02 PM PST

  •  UT-04: Dems unsuprisingly having trouble (5+ / 0-)

    finding anyone credible who wants to run.

    The three mentioned as possible candidates (Scott Howell, Pat Jones, and Sam Granato) all have potential negatives with the Dem base (and they don't have the institutional loyalty Matheson had), so I don't see them as being the Dem nominee. Like I've mentioned before, I've been told that there will be at least one candidate for the nomination, but that I don't know who. I just don't think it'll be one of those three.

    Howell is already thinking about running in State Senate District 4 (where incidentally, I'm helping former state senator Ross Romero reach out to LDS folks), and has lived in California for years. Also, he had a lackluster campaign against Hatch in 2012. He'd probably be the most acceptable of the three ideologically, but eh, he's just that good of a candidate.

    Jones has a rather conservative voting record, and has greatly angered the LGBT wing of the party by saying she wouldn't support gay adoptions and so forth. Plus, she's a bit old, approaching 70, I think.

    Sam Granato would be theoretically alright, if he were a bit younger. He's 66, and never had much appetite for running against Mike Lee for Senate. However, he was elected to the Salt Lake County Council (one of the most powerful jobs a Utah Dem can reasonably get) in 2012, and while he's viewed as a loyal Dem for running in 2010, he doesn't inspire much loyalty, and is viewed as a bit of a lazy campaigner. He's also too moderate for most Utah Dem tastes, even if they'd fall into line if he were the candidate.

    Our best recruitment would be Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams, who inspires personal loyalty in his campaign staff, who can unite the progressives and the conservatives, who loves campaigning, and who has a base of over half of UT-04. But it'd still be a longshot, so I don't blame McAdams for abstaining from this election and focusing on being County Mayor (and potentially a gubernatorial run down the line).

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 12:59:11 PM PST

    •  Maybe Matheson (0+ / 0-)

      has a clone or something. That would be something, for a variety of reasons.

      In this case, perhaps the answer is someone who doesn't have a career in politics outside of the PTA or community groups or whatever and is willing to campaign hard. Maybe the political outsider pose will be something of a boon for our side.

      You're a Constitutional conservative. I'm a Constitutional conservative. Who isn't a Constitutional conservative? We are all proud Constitutional conservatives. Ted Cruz in 2016!

      by bjssp on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 01:20:38 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  He's got a brother, Judge Scott Matheson. (0+ / 0-)

        Scott even cracked 40% against Huntsman in 2004. But Scott leaving his easy gig as a Court of Appeals Judge doesn't seem likely, especially with the fight over marriage equality likely passing through his end of the law sometime soon.

        We've actually tried political outsiders; internet service provider CEO Pete Ashdown tried to go against Hatch in 2006 on a somewhat progressive, internet libertarian-style campaign. Ashdown got 31%, almost exactly the same as Scott Howell (a former state Senate minority leader) got in both 2000 and 2012 against Hatch.

        Also the progressives tried to oust Matheson in 2010 with a retired schoolteacher, and that failed (didn't seem to hurt Matheson too badly in the general election either).

        Though UT-04 is more compact than Matheson's old district or the state as a whole, so I could see an outsider who happened to be good at campaigning doing well.

        Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

        by Gygaxian on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 02:27:51 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  2016 FL PPP (13+ / 0-)

    Tweet says Clinton doing 10 points better against Christie in Florida than in September.  Don't recall what the September numbers were.

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 01:10:01 PM PST

  •  I was comparing VA-Gov 2009 to 2013 (5+ / 0-)

    and this contrast really stood out:
    Creigh Deeds won Newport News by 14 votes (49.96%-49.93%)
    Terry McAuliffe won Newport News by 10,282 votes (59.14%-34.90%)

    A black eye to Creigh Deeds was his loss of Albemarle County by 1% to McDonnell since half of that county is/was in his district.  McAuliffe won it by almost 19%.

    “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

    by KingofSpades on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 01:23:29 PM PST

  •  WI-SD-13: Dems targeting Fitzgerald AGAIN (0+ / 0-)

    This time, Michelle Zahn, a soap manufacturer from Dodge County, Wisconsin and a former president of the Juneau (WI) Chamber of Commerce, is running against the Republican Majority Leader of the Wisconsin State Senate.

    Zahn has launched a campaign Facebook page where she mentioned that she was recruited by the DPW to run against Fitzgerald, so it looks like the Democratic establishment in Wisconsin may make a serious effort to oust Big Fitz from office.

    Fitzgerald's district is about a 55% or so Romney district (I'm not sure of the exact numbers), and Fitzgerald survived a 2012 recall attempt against him despite a heroic effort by the Democratic grassroots to try to oust him from office. The 2012 Democratic recall challenger against Fitzgerald, Lori Compas, no longer lives in the district due to redistricting and is now the head of a progressive business organization.

    There are three natural adversaries of the progressive movement: Republicans, the Democratic establishment, and the mainstream media

    by DownstateDemocrat on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 02:19:18 PM PST

    •  someone running does not mean they're (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Skaje

      targeting him. It just means someone is running.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 05:43:56 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  I'm guessing he's in a safe seat? (0+ / 0-)

      Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

      by Gygaxian on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 02:39:43 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Not really (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        Obama lost 52-45. I dont know what the bench is like here though, but it seems like a good candidate could make it competitive.  

        •  Some more history (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          madmojo, James Allen, wadingo, JBraden

          Dem Harry Teague won an open seat in 2008, with 52%, while Obama lost 50-48. Pearce held the seat previously, vacating to run for Senate.

          Pearce beat Teague 55-45 in 2010.  Pearce won 59-41 in 2012, when Obama lost 52-45.

          So it would be tough to defeat Pearce, unless there is a strongly negative reaction to the comments.  

          •  It's a Blue Dog seat, if anything. (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            jj32, nimh, wadingo

            It's the southern half of New Mexico.  Lots of desert, little towns, military bases, and the one place we can count to go Democratic in that area, Las Cruces.  Basically, it's conservative, but not necessarily Republican.  If Albuquerque grows more to the south in coming decades, we could turn it D.

            •  No no no (10+ / 0-)

              If Albuquerque grows southward, those will be suburban areas that are Republican leaning. That'd be bad. What we need is Las Cruces to grow and for Latinos to turn out at a slightly higher rate. That will push the district into more competitive territory.

              24 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

              by wwmiv on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 03:34:56 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Suburbs aren't necessarily Republican anymore. (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                DCCyclone, David Jarman

                Valencia county voted Democratic in 2012.  It was close, but they did.  Socorro county wasn't even really close.  Would we say Albuquerque even has any suburbs outside of Los Lunas and Rio Rancho?  Note that suburbs become exurbs, which vote Democratic.  Also suburbs are not much more diverse than they were in the 1990s.  Suburban people would likely vote for a blue dog in the short run.  Your plan is more a long term thing I think.  

                The secret, I think, are interstates 25 and 10.  If you look at the 2012 election map of the state, the only counties along those two interstates that didn't go for the Democrat were Sierra County, which we lost by almost 20 points, and Luna County, which we lost by just over 1 point.  Those corridors need to be worked on.  There's ample votes to be picked up there.

          •  FWIW Pearce did lose the district in his (6+ / 0-)

            senate run against Tom Udall in 2008, which is pretty sad. Martin Heinrich also matched Obama's performance in the 2nd district despite winning about 2% less of the vote statewide and with both he and his opponent being from the 1st district. If we were to see a jolt to Hispanic turnout/voting patterns here in 2016 Pearce could lose, but I suspect it would take our ticket actually carrying the district for that to happen.

      •  Last I heard.. (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        geoneb, sulthernao, wadingo

        we had a very good, unique challenger. A female hispanic in a nearly hispanic-majority district, IIRC. With some money, he can be taken out.

        TX-17 (Bill Flores-R), TX Sen-14 (Kirk Watson-D), TX HD-50 (TBD - Likely Celia Israel-D)

        by Le Champignon on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 05:03:37 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  6th least white seat held by R (0+ / 0-)

          40.15% non-Hispanic white in 2010, 51.82% majority Hispanic.  3 of the 5 less white seats are held by Cubans or Azoreans, a 4th has a substantial Vietnamese population, and the 5th was the Gary Miller jungle primary screw-up.

          If Rocky Lara can turnout voters, we can win.

          Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

          by benamery21 on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:28:35 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  WaPo update (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, tothestation, wadingo, JBraden

      I appreciated the rather assertive way in which the WaPo updated its story after the Pearce campaign tried to complain:

      Update 5:25 p.m.: A Pearce spokesman is out with a statement accusing the Post of "falsely and inaccurately" mischaracterizing Pearce's book.

      "This was a piece of either sloppy journalism or wilful intent to deceive," the spokesman said. "The words clearly written show that Pearce believes the phrase 'submission' is widely misunderstood in society and criticizes those who distort the bible to justify male dominance."

      The statement does not make clear what Pearce's office believes is inaccurate.

      The spokesman also accuses the post of "refusing" to use a number of quotes that add context to the congressman's words. One of the supposedly refused passages -- "But a close study of the Bible shows that authoritarian control is not given to the husband" -- is, in fact, quoted above.

      "The statement does not make clear what Pearce's office believes is inaccurate" - I think that's the buttoned-up version of "They ain't got nuthin'".
  •  CA-State Leg: New Democratic leaders soon (4+ / 0-)

    On January 15, current state senate president pro tem Darrell Steinberg tipped his hand for Kevin de Leon of Los Angeles to succeed him. He will be the first person of color in this position.

    Today in the state assembly, Toni Atkins of San Diego was unanimously selected to succeed John Perez for the speakership. She is also the first open lesbian and first San Diegan in the speakership.

    Both Steinberg and Perez are termed out this year. The dates to vote and install de Leon and Atkins in the positions have not been determined.

    On the Republican side, assembly minority leader Connie Conway is also termed out, but there haven't been many names popping up lately. Many in the GOP leadership are termed out or running for other offices. Senate minority leader Bob Huff terms out in 2016.

    23, D, pragmatic progressive (-4.50, -5.18), CA-14. DKE folk culture curator.

    by kurykh on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 02:33:49 PM PST

  •  FL-Gov, thanks for the write up on PPP's latest (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32, JBraden

    poll.  Those numbers had me worried but I'm still convinced Crist can beat Scott.

    Funny Stuff at http://www.funnyordie.com/oresmas

    by poopdogcomedy on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 02:39:37 PM PST

  •  House Elections Committee passes HJR-3 (7+ / 0-)

    Vote is 9-3. All Republicans vote yes. Dems vote no, with Rep. Terry Goodin (D-Austin) excused for a medical emergency.

    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

    by SouthernINDem on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 04:57:25 PM PST

  •  How rich is Bevin? (0+ / 0-)

    I thought I read he was worth low ten figures - I don't think he could self fund more than a few million bucks, which will be chump change against the McConnell war chest and a terrible investment on his part.  

    Glenn Greenwald promotes far-right fringe extremist group The Oath Keepers - https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/statuses/377787818619064320

    by Jacoby Jonze on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 05:21:37 PM PST

  •  Holy shit (23+ / 0-)

    My research is everywhere.  While I can't take credit for all the Jolly research, (yes I know I'm bragging) the Pearce thing was 50% me, and I was the one who found that quote after having had to read the entire autobiography.

    21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
    politicohen.com
    Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal, not progressive. For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.
    UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city.

    by jncca on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 05:43:17 PM PST

  •  VA-10: Senator Dick Black not running? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DCCyclone

    John Whitbeck, the guy who lost yesterday in the Senate special, tweeted that Black isnt running.

    •  Ben Tribbett's tweet was my 1st awareness... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jj32, PassionateJus

      ...of this.  He said it looks like the GOP is down to Comstock as the lone major candidate, while Democrats are "headed to primary battle."  That makes it sound like Foust isn't a clear frontrunner, but I don't know that's what Ben meant.  Unless a new big-name candidate is jumping in real soon, Foust has to be considered a clear frontrunner against a pair of Some Dudes who are the only other filed candidates.  Ben could've used "battle" loosely and really was trying to make the point that Dems would nominate by primary, which isn't settled but is the normal way Virginia Dems choose nominees for non-local offices.  For local and state legislative offices, a "firehouse primary" or other in-person process is used as a less elaborate option, but for federal or statewide offices a primary is the norm on our side.

      As far as Black is concerned, too bad for us, just having him push Comstock would've helped us even if she's the nominee.

      Foust vs. Black would've favored Foust, but against Comstock it's a tossup.

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 07:21:02 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Confirmed (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, jj32, SaoMagnifico, wadingo

      http://atr.rollcall.com/...

      Controversial GOP state Sen. Dick Black announced Wednesday he will withdraw his candidacy in Virginia’s 10th District.

      23, D, pragmatic progressive (-4.50, -5.18), CA-14. DKE folk culture curator.

      by kurykh on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 07:48:53 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  As I said, sucks for us (0+ / 0-)

        Would've been a real help for us if Black stayed in it.

        I'll work like hell for Foust, this thing is a tossup.  But we do need some improvement in the political environment as the year goes on.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:20:52 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  IL-Tres: Frerichs web video (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32, KingofSpades, JDJase, Gygaxian, abgin

    This is an introductory web video by Mike Frerichs's campaign for Treasurer of Illinois, and it looks like he's going to make college affordability a key part of his campaign (the Illinois Treasurer's office is responsible for administering a couple of college savings plans in Illinois).

    There are three natural adversaries of the progressive movement: Republicans, the Democratic establishment, and the mainstream media

    by DownstateDemocrat on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 07:15:08 PM PST

  •  Jason Conger (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen

    LOL.

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:50:00 PM PST

  •  Interesting story out of Maryland... (8+ / 0-)

    As Gov. O'Malley takes the highly unusual step of supporting a primary challenge to a sitting Democratic senator, Baltimore County conservaDem James Brochin. Story here.

    O’Malley is supporting Connie DeJuliis, a former member of the House of Delegates who helped him in his gubernatorial campaigns. [...]

    Brochin fell out of favor with O’Malley in 2006 when he opposed legislation that blocked an attempted state takeover of 11 low-performing Baltimore schools. O’Malley was mayor of Baltimore at the time, and he said the takeover was an attempt by Ehrlich and his allies to embarrass him.

    Since then, Brochin has had a mixed record when it comes to supporting O’Malley initiatives. Brochin vocally opposed some tax increases proposed by O’Malley but supported same-sex marriage and gun-control legislation pushed by the governor.

    Bob Ehrlich is supporting a Republican candidate in the race, the story notes, but who gives a fuck about Bob Ehrlich.

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 08:52:37 PM PST

  •  Republican hoping to lose to Rep. Schakowsky... (5+ / 0-)

    Wants to eliminate the stock market, believes abortion and same-sex marriage have prompted God to punish America with tornadoes and autism, and supports open borders. Hilariously, the Daily Herald plays its profile of the two-person Republican field completely straight. Story here.

    The two have vastly different opinions on nearly everything including foreign aid, marriage equality, NSA spying, immigration and the economy, but both call themselves Republicans.
    And that's about as cheeky as it gets. The rest of the piece is bone-dry and hilarious.

    This district (IL-09) is, of course, completely 100% safe for Jan Schakowsky, and any Republican opposition is purely comic relief.

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 09:03:33 PM PST

    •  Suzanne Adams is a total crackpot (0+ / 0-)

      If she thinks abortion and marriage equality are responsible for tornadoes and people having developmental disorders, she's absolutely delusional. Also, she used an Occupy talking point to justify wanting to get rid of the stock market.

      Also, David Williams supports regressive taxation and claims to be both pro-life and pro-choice (he said that he was "pro-life" but then turned around and used a pro-choice talking point)

      I live in a different part of Illinois, but I endorse Jan Schakowsky.

      There are three natural adversaries of the progressive movement: Republicans, the Democratic establishment, and the mainstream media

      by DownstateDemocrat on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 09:21:16 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Elections have consequences, Part 1,105,045 (17+ / 0-)

    Atty. Gen. Herring will not only refuse to defend Virginia's gay marriage ban against legal challenges, but he will lead the commonwealth in joining a lawsuit seeking to overturn it. Story here.

    Herring, too, had voted against same-sex marriage eight years ago, when he was a state senator. But he has said that his views have changed since then and that on Thursday he will file a supportive brief in a lawsuit in Norfolk that challenges the state’s ban, said two people familiar with his plans.

    Herring will say that Virginia has been on the “wrong side” of landmark legal battles involving school desegregation, interracial marriage and single-sex education at the Virginia Military Institute, one official said. He will make the case that the commonwealth should be on the “right side of the law and history” in the battle over same-sex marriage. [...]

    Virginia has been a particularly appealing place for a challenge by supporters of gay rights because of the Supreme Court’s 1967 decision in Loving v. Virginia, which struck down laws against interracial marriage. Those who support same-sex unions often draw a parallel.

    Herring will make the same point, according to a person who has seen the brief he will file. The state will say that Loving upheld the fundamental right to marriage, not the right to interracial marriage. The question at stake now, the brief states, is not a right to same-sex marriage but whether the fundamental right to marriage can be denied to “loving couples based solely on their sexual orientation.”

    Republicans are expected to lose their shit accordingly and may attempt to pass a law to allow them to assume the attorney general's right to defend the ban. That attempt could show us Part 1,105,046 of how elections have consequences.

    * slaps Virginia Republicans around with a plump herring *

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Wed Jan 22, 2014 at 09:20:44 PM PST

  •  Elections have consequences (6+ / 0-)

    VA Attorney General edition.

    Tomorrow, Mark Herring will announce that he believes the state ban on same sex marriage is unconstitutional and the state will join two couples who are asking a federal court to strike it down.

    link

  •  NH-02 (0+ / 0-)

    Marinda garcia (R] announces for congress to challenge Kuster.  http://www.concordmonitor.com/...

    governing listed her as a state legislator to watch in 2014.

    http://www.governing.com/...

    NH-02. First time living in NH, waiting for the candidates to start a courting.

    by DougTuttle on Thu Jan 23, 2014 at 03:48:08 AM PST

    •  A VERY conservative (0+ / 0-)

      candidate in Democratic-leaning New England district? I doubt her chances even if she is really talented politician. ... Moderate would, probably, be better...

        •  Naturally - Republicans (0+ / 0-)

          I always evaluate chances looking from position of side that promotes (runs) a candidate. When i discuss Democratic candidates - i try to find out who is the best among them. Ditto - when i look on Republican candidates. My "axiom" is that a party, running a candidate, wants him/her to win. Garcia (IMHO) is not the best possible Republican candidates in this district exactly because of reasons i mentioned

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site